Analyzing GRB 080916C with Fermi-GBM
(NASA/Swift/Cruz deWilde)
To demonstrate the capabilities and features of 3ML in, we will go through a time-integrated and time-resolved analysis. This example serves as a standard way to analyze Fermi-GBM data with 3ML as well as a template for how you can design your instrument’s analysis pipeline with 3ML if you have similar data.
3ML provides utilities to reduce time series data to plugins in a correct and statistically justified way (e.g., background fitting of Poisson data is done with a Poisson likelihood). The approach is generic and can be extended. For more details, see the time series documentation.
[1]:
import warnings
warnings.simplefilter("ignore")
[2]:
%%capture
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import numpy as np
np.seterr(all="ignore")
from threeML import *
from threeML.io.package_data import get_path_of_data_file
[3]:
silence_warnings()
%matplotlib inline
from jupyterthemes import jtplot
jtplot.style(context="talk", fscale=1, ticks=True, grid=False)
set_threeML_style()
Examining the catalog
As with Swift and Fermi-LAT, 3ML provides a simple interface to the on-line Fermi-GBM catalog. Let’s get the information for GRB 080916C.
[4]:
gbm_catalog = FermiGBMBurstCatalog()
gbm_catalog.query_sources("GRB080916009")
[4]:
Table length=1
| name | ra | dec | trigger_time | t90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| object | float64 | float64 | float64 | float64 |
| GRB080916009 | 119.800 | -56.600 | 54725.0088613 | 62.977 |
To aid in quickly replicating the catalog analysis, and thanks to the tireless efforts of the Fermi-GBM team, we have added the ability to extract the analysis parameters from the catalog as well as build an astromodels model with the best fit parameters baked in. Using this information, one can quickly run through the catalog an replicate the entire analysis with a script. Let’s give it a try.
[5]:
grb_info = gbm_catalog.get_detector_information()["GRB080916009"]
gbm_detectors = grb_info["detectors"]
source_interval = grb_info["source"]["fluence"]
background_interval = grb_info["background"]["full"]
best_fit_model = grb_info["best fit model"]["fluence"]
model = gbm_catalog.get_model(best_fit_model, "fluence")["GRB080916009"]
[6]:
model
[6]:
Model summary:
Free parameters (5):
Fixed parameters (3):
(abridged. Use complete=True to see all fixed parameters)
Properties (0):
(none)
Linked parameters (0):
(none)
Independent variables:
(none)
Linked functions (0):
(none)
| N | |
|---|---|
| Point sources | 1 |
| Extended sources | 0 |
| Particle sources | 0 |
Free parameters (5):
| value | min_value | max_value | unit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GRB080916009.spectrum.main.SmoothlyBrokenPowerLaw.K | 0.012255 | 0.0 | None | keV-1 s-1 cm-2 |
| GRB080916009.spectrum.main.SmoothlyBrokenPowerLaw.alpha | -1.130424 | -1.5 | 2.0 | |
| GRB080916009.spectrum.main.SmoothlyBrokenPowerLaw.break_energy | 309.2031 | 10.0 | None | keV |
| GRB080916009.spectrum.main.SmoothlyBrokenPowerLaw.break_scale | 0.3 | 0.0 | 10.0 | |
| GRB080916009.spectrum.main.SmoothlyBrokenPowerLaw.beta | -2.096931 | -5.0 | -1.6 |
Fixed parameters (3):
(abridged. Use complete=True to see all fixed parameters)
Properties (0):
(none)
Linked parameters (0):
(none)
Independent variables:
(none)
Linked functions (0):
(none)
Downloading the data
We provide a simple interface to download the Fermi-GBM data. Using the information from the catalog that we have extracted, we can download just the data from the detectors that were used for the catalog analysis. This will download the CSPEC, TTE and instrument response files from the on-line database.
[7]:
dload = download_GBM_trigger_data("bn080916009", detectors=gbm_detectors)
Let’s first examine the catalog fluence fit. Using the TimeSeriesBuilder, we can fit the background, set the source interval, and create a 3ML plugin for the analysis. We will loop through the detectors, set their appropriate channel selections, and ensure there are enough counts in each bin to make the PGStat profile likelihood valid.
First we use the CSPEC data to fit the background using the background selections. We use CSPEC because it has a longer duration for fitting the background.
The background is saved to an HDF5 file that stores the polynomial coefficients and selections which we can read in to the TTE file later.
The light curve is plotted.
The source selection from the catalog is set and DispersionSpectrumLike plugin is created.
The plugin has the standard GBM channel selections for spectral analysis set.
[8]:
fluence_plugins = []
time_series = {}
for det in gbm_detectors:
ts_cspec = TimeSeriesBuilder.from_gbm_cspec_or_ctime(
det, cspec_or_ctime_file=dload[det]["cspec"], rsp_file=dload[det]["rsp"]
)
ts_cspec.set_background_interval(*background_interval.split(","))
ts_cspec.save_background(f"{det}_bkg.h5", overwrite=True)
ts_tte = TimeSeriesBuilder.from_gbm_tte(
det,
tte_file=dload[det]["tte"],
rsp_file=dload[det]["rsp"],
restore_background=f"{det}_bkg.h5",
)
time_series[det] = ts_tte
ts_tte.set_active_time_interval(source_interval)
ts_tte.view_lightcurve(-40, 100)
fluence_plugin = ts_tte.to_spectrumlike()
if det.startswith("b"):
fluence_plugin.set_active_measurements("250-30000")
else:
fluence_plugin.set_active_measurements("9-900")
fluence_plugin.rebin_on_background(1.0)
fluence_plugins.append(fluence_plugin)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 1) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 1) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 2) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 3) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
The TTE file /home/runner/work/threeML/threeML/docs/md_docs/slow_execute/glg_tte_n3_bn080916009_v01.fit.gz contains duplicate time tags and is thus invalid. Contact the FSSC
The TTE file /home/runner/work/threeML/threeML/docs/md_docs/slow_execute/glg_tte_n3_bn080916009_v01.fit.gz was not sorted in time but contains no duplicate events. We will sort the times, but use caution with this file. Contact the FSSC.
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 1) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 2) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 3) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 1) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 1) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 2) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 3) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
The TTE file /home/runner/work/threeML/threeML/docs/md_docs/slow_execute/glg_tte_n4_bn080916009_v01.fit.gz was not sorted in time but contains no duplicate events. We will sort the times, but use caution with this file. Contact the FSSC.
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 1) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 2) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 3) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 1) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 1) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 2) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 3) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
The TTE file /home/runner/work/threeML/threeML/docs/md_docs/slow_execute/glg_tte_b0_bn080916009_v01.fit.gz contains duplicate time tags and is thus invalid. Contact the FSSC
The TTE file /home/runner/work/threeML/threeML/docs/md_docs/slow_execute/glg_tte_b0_bn080916009_v01.fit.gz was not sorted in time but contains no duplicate events. We will sort the times, but use caution with this file. Contact the FSSC.
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 1) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 2) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 3) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Setting up the fit
Let’s see if we can reproduce the results from the catalog.
Set priors for the model
We will fit the spectrum using Bayesian analysis, so we must set priors on the model parameters.
[9]:
model.GRB080916009.spectrum.main.shape.alpha.prior = Truncated_gaussian(
lower_bound=-1.5, upper_bound=1, mu=-1, sigma=0.5
)
model.GRB080916009.spectrum.main.shape.beta.prior = Truncated_gaussian(
lower_bound=-5, upper_bound=-1.6, mu=-2.25, sigma=0.5
)
model.GRB080916009.spectrum.main.shape.break_energy.prior = Log_normal(mu=2, sigma=1)
model.GRB080916009.spectrum.main.shape.break_energy.bounds = (None, None)
model.GRB080916009.spectrum.main.shape.K.prior = Log_uniform_prior(
lower_bound=1e-3, upper_bound=1e1
)
model.GRB080916009.spectrum.main.shape.break_scale.prior = Log_uniform_prior(
lower_bound=1e-4, upper_bound=10
)
We have set the min_value of GRB080916009.spectrum.main.SmoothlyBrokenPowerLaw.break_energy to 1e-99 because there was a postive transform
We have set the min_value of GRB080916009.spectrum.main.SmoothlyBrokenPowerLaw.break_energy to 1e-99 because there was a postive transform
Clone the model and setup the Bayesian analysis class
Next, we clone the model we built from the catalog so that we can look at the results later and fit the cloned model. We pass this model and the DataList of the plugins to a BayesianAnalysis class and set the sampler to MultiNest.
[10]:
new_model = clone_model(model)
bayes = BayesianAnalysis(new_model, DataList(*fluence_plugins))
# share spectrum gives a linear speed up when
# spectrumlike plugins have the same RSP input energies
bayes.set_sampler("multinest", share_spectrum=True)
Examine at the catalog fitted model
We can quickly examine how well the catalog fit matches the data. There appears to be a discrepancy between the data and the model! Let’s refit to see if we can fix it.
[11]:
fig = display_spectrum_model_counts(bayes, min_rate=20, step=False)
Run the sampler
We let MultiNest condition the model on the data
[12]:
bayes.sampler.setup(n_live_points=400)
bayes.sample()
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 400
dimensionality = 5
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.995575
Replacements: 450
Total Samples: 452
Nested Sampling ln(Z): **************
Acceptance Rate: 0.980392
Replacements: 500
Total Samples: 510
Nested Sampling ln(Z): **************
Acceptance Rate: 0.948276
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 580
Nested Sampling ln(Z): **************
Acceptance Rate: 0.904977
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 663
Nested Sampling ln(Z): **************
Acceptance Rate: 0.862069
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 754
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -766505.167984
Acceptance Rate: 0.813953
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 860
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -329078.010123
Acceptance Rate: 0.809935
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 926
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -179974.619214
Acceptance Rate: 0.799201
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 1001
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -92362.674076
Acceptance Rate: 0.796626
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 1067
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -45033.832326
Acceptance Rate: 0.791557
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1137
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -25414.621258
Acceptance Rate: 0.778051
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1221
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -16698.644197
Acceptance Rate: 0.768049
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1302
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -12242.916428
Acceptance Rate: 0.761421
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1379
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10962.397472
Acceptance Rate: 0.758621
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1450
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10357.886357
Acceptance Rate: 0.746269
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1541
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -9949.126363
Acceptance Rate: 0.743494
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1614
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -9521.104571
Acceptance Rate: 0.729714
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1713
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -9101.279916
Acceptance Rate: 0.721421
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1802
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -8722.643089
Acceptance Rate: 0.709034
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1904
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -8344.381430
Acceptance Rate: 0.703871
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1989
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -8080.664746
Acceptance Rate: 0.697786
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 2078
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -7776.522258
Acceptance Rate: 0.689655
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 2175
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -7510.916226
Acceptance Rate: 0.684327
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2265
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -7294.659540
Acceptance Rate: 0.682594
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2344
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -7072.340801
Acceptance Rate: 0.675952
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2441
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6839.570556
Acceptance Rate: 0.673534
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2524
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6632.944108
Acceptance Rate: 0.671527
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2606
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6399.754675
Acceptance Rate: 0.670391
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2685
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6217.427242
Acceptance Rate: 0.664273
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2785
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6012.007379
Acceptance Rate: 0.659951
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2879
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5838.386884
Acceptance Rate: 0.659229
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2958
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5670.850974
Acceptance Rate: 0.657895
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 3040
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5486.379673
Acceptance Rate: 0.652451
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 3142
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5325.438464
Acceptance Rate: 0.650558
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 3228
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5214.394754
Acceptance Rate: 0.648176
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 3317
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5072.070378
Acceptance Rate: 0.641961
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3427
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4946.812072
Acceptance Rate: 0.638298
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3525
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4844.324726
Acceptance Rate: 0.632737
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3635
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4732.703847
Acceptance Rate: 0.630703
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3726
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4659.975003
Acceptance Rate: 0.630583
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3806
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4564.551683
Acceptance Rate: 0.629820
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3890
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4479.203071
Acceptance Rate: 0.628773
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3976
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4389.707898
Acceptance Rate: 0.626382
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 4071
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4287.405903
Acceptance Rate: 0.623053
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 4173
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4200.425931
Acceptance Rate: 0.619883
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 4275
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4131.164152
Acceptance Rate: 0.619266
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 4360
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4051.508913
Acceptance Rate: 0.616316
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 4462
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4003.369099
Acceptance Rate: 0.614035
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4560
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3949.652021
Acceptance Rate: 0.612771
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4651
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3896.376008
Acceptance Rate: 0.609756
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4756
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3834.033647
Acceptance Rate: 0.605252
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4874
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3781.325299
Acceptance Rate: 0.601443
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4988
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3748.510298
Acceptance Rate: 0.599803
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 5085
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3711.338191
Acceptance Rate: 0.597303
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 5190
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3685.388803
Acceptance Rate: 0.594452
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 5299
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3647.365680
Acceptance Rate: 0.591279
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 5412
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3621.710167
Acceptance Rate: 0.588661
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 5521
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3591.278677
Acceptance Rate: 0.585314
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 5638
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3568.567963
Acceptance Rate: 0.581496
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5761
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3545.133334
Acceptance Rate: 0.577446
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5888
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3524.165231
Acceptance Rate: 0.572614
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 6025
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3499.875148
Acceptance Rate: 0.567169
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 6171
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3478.101144
Acceptance Rate: 0.565647
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 6276
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3456.443465
Acceptance Rate: 0.561798
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 6408
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3439.975527
Acceptance Rate: 0.557678
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 6545
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3420.919545
Acceptance Rate: 0.554307
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 6675
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3402.145734
Acceptance Rate: 0.551308
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 6802
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3389.560559
Acceptance Rate: 0.543867
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 6987
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3374.010841
Acceptance Rate: 0.538914
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 7144
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3362.053562
Acceptance Rate: 0.535935
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 7277
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3350.612713
Acceptance Rate: 0.532130
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 7423
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3336.768059
Acceptance Rate: 0.530574
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 7539
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3326.960292
Acceptance Rate: 0.527206
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 7682
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3317.064957
Acceptance Rate: 0.524565
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 7816
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3308.014388
Acceptance Rate: 0.520703
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 7970
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3295.076951
Acceptance Rate: 0.518135
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 8106
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3283.565248
Acceptance Rate: 0.514902
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 8254
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3274.578420
Acceptance Rate: 0.511905
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 8400
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3266.753372
Acceptance Rate: 0.509606
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 8536
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3255.497047
Acceptance Rate: 0.507322
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 8673
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3246.920301
Acceptance Rate: 0.504993
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 8812
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3240.785076
Acceptance Rate: 0.502288
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 8959
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3232.424420
Acceptance Rate: 0.499561
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 9108
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3224.389695
Acceptance Rate: 0.495957
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 9275
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3215.997410
Acceptance Rate: 0.492637
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 9439
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3209.567203
Acceptance Rate: 0.488261
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 9626
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3204.503143
Acceptance Rate: 0.483411
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 9826
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3200.280298
Acceptance Rate: 0.479329
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 10014
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3194.891352
Acceptance Rate: 0.476518
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 10178
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3190.443169
Acceptance Rate: 0.471063
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 10402
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3185.870890
Acceptance Rate: 0.467908
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 10579
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3181.538885
Acceptance Rate: 0.465333
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 10745
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3177.210111
Acceptance Rate: 0.461145
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 10951
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3173.319308
Acceptance Rate: 0.458509
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 11123
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3169.173870
Acceptance Rate: 0.454586
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 11329
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3165.447668
Acceptance Rate: 0.451860
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 11508
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3162.357751
Acceptance Rate: 0.448680
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 11701
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3159.691630
Acceptance Rate: 0.443775
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 11943
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3157.119394
Acceptance Rate: 0.439786
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 12165
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3154.042158
Acceptance Rate: 0.436575
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 12369
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3151.508879
Acceptance Rate: 0.432060
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 12614
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3149.014729
Acceptance Rate: 0.430192
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 12785
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3146.900556
Acceptance Rate: 0.426956
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 12999
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3144.509913
Acceptance Rate: 0.423921
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 13210
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3142.429503
Acceptance Rate: 0.421705
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 13398
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3140.181567
Acceptance Rate: 0.420168
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 13566
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3137.892493
Acceptance Rate: 0.417483
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 13773
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3135.622998
Acceptance Rate: 0.415294
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 13966
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3133.619903
Acceptance Rate: 0.413106
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 14161
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3131.756935
Acceptance Rate: 0.411264
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 14346
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3130.041255
Acceptance Rate: 0.409582
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 14527
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3128.368816
Acceptance Rate: 0.406394
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 14764
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3127.011846
Acceptance Rate: 0.404601
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 14953
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3125.791556
Acceptance Rate: 0.402986
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 15137
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3124.372473
Acceptance Rate: 0.401043
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 15335
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3122.928923
Acceptance Rate: 0.398381
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 15563
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3121.633151
Acceptance Rate: 0.397254
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 15733
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3120.274222
Acceptance Rate: 0.395778
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 15918
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3119.039494
Acceptance Rate: 0.393652
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 16131
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3118.029364
Acceptance Rate: 0.392494
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 16306
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3117.137112
Acceptance Rate: 0.389705
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 16551
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3116.177702
Acceptance Rate: 0.387620
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 16769
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3115.314672
Acceptance Rate: 0.386453
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 16949
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3114.531542
Acceptance Rate: 0.385559
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 17118
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3113.724787
Acceptance Rate: 0.385396
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 17255
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3112.954152
Acceptance Rate: 0.384196
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 17439
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3112.166283
Acceptance Rate: 0.382610
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 17642
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3111.518433
Acceptance Rate: 0.381273
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 17835
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3110.908843
Acceptance Rate: 0.379649
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 18043
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3110.320418
Acceptance Rate: 0.378476
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 18231
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3109.746214
Acceptance Rate: 0.376878
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 18441
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3109.218110
Acceptance Rate: 0.375033
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 18665
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3108.743586
Acceptance Rate: 0.372366
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 18933
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3108.279020
Acceptance Rate: 0.371087
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 19133
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3107.800107
Acceptance Rate: 0.369433
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 19354
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3107.351525
Acceptance Rate: 0.368437
Replacements: 7200
Total Samples: 19542
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3106.932974
Acceptance Rate: 0.367517
Replacements: 7250
Total Samples: 19727
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3106.579265
Acceptance Rate: 0.365585
Replacements: 7300
Total Samples: 19968
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3106.237913
Acceptance Rate: 0.363591
Replacements: 7350
Total Samples: 20215
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3105.902826
Acceptance Rate: 0.361575
Replacements: 7400
Total Samples: 20466
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3105.599164
Acceptance Rate: 0.359903
Replacements: 7450
Total Samples: 20700
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3105.308941
Acceptance Rate: 0.358012
Replacements: 7500
Total Samples: 20949
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3105.030925
Acceptance Rate: 0.355394
Replacements: 7550
Total Samples: 21244
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3104.781325
Acceptance Rate: 0.354329
Replacements: 7600
Total Samples: 21449
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3104.547135
Acceptance Rate: 0.353137
Replacements: 7650
Total Samples: 21663
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3104.321051
Acceptance Rate: 0.352097
Replacements: 7700
Total Samples: 21869
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3104.115088
Acceptance Rate: 0.350837
Replacements: 7750
Total Samples: 22090
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3103.932389
Acceptance Rate: 0.349415
Replacements: 7800
Total Samples: 22323
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3103.759593
Acceptance Rate: 0.348378
Replacements: 7850
Total Samples: 22533
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3103.589377
Acceptance Rate: 0.346628
Replacements: 7900
Total Samples: 22791
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3103.429021
Acceptance Rate: 0.345592
Replacements: 7950
Total Samples: 23004
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3103.285277
Acceptance Rate: 0.344501
Replacements: 8000
Total Samples: 23222
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3103.156313
Acceptance Rate: 0.342787
Replacements: 8050
Total Samples: 23484
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3103.031829
Acceptance Rate: 0.341945
Replacements: 8100
Total Samples: 23688
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3102.906613
Acceptance Rate: 0.340278
Replacements: 8150
Total Samples: 23951
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3102.784178
Acceptance Rate: 0.338549
Replacements: 8200
Total Samples: 24221
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3102.660918
Acceptance Rate: 0.337852
Replacements: 8250
Total Samples: 24419
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3102.540980
Acceptance Rate: 0.335869
Replacements: 8300
Total Samples: 24712
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3102.416944
Acceptance Rate: 0.334441
Replacements: 8350
Total Samples: 24967
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3102.297521
Acceptance Rate: 0.333069
Replacements: 8400
Total Samples: 25220
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3102.184855
Acceptance Rate: 0.331061
Replacements: 8450
Total Samples: 25524
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3102.075003
Acceptance Rate: 0.329291
Replacements: 8500
Total Samples: 25813
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.973166
Acceptance Rate: 0.327348
Replacements: 8550
Total Samples: 26119
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.875434
Acceptance Rate: 0.326475
Replacements: 8600
Total Samples: 26342
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.786377
Acceptance Rate: 0.324359
Replacements: 8650
Total Samples: 26668
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.699730
Acceptance Rate: 0.323480
Replacements: 8700
Total Samples: 26895
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.619518
Acceptance Rate: 0.321975
Replacements: 8750
Total Samples: 27176
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.543142
Acceptance Rate: 0.321156
Replacements: 8800
Total Samples: 27401
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.474025
Acceptance Rate: 0.319910
Replacements: 8850
Total Samples: 27664
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.409559
Acceptance Rate: 0.318107
Replacements: 8900
Total Samples: 27978
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.348947
Acceptance Rate: 0.316926
Replacements: 8950
Total Samples: 28240
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.293085
Acceptance Rate: 0.315956
Replacements: 9000
Total Samples: 28485
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.240741
Acceptance Rate: 0.315079
Replacements: 9050
Total Samples: 28723
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.192077
Acceptance Rate: 0.314966
Replacements: 9100
Total Samples: 28892
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.147018
Acceptance Rate: 0.314077
Replacements: 9150
Total Samples: 29133
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.104814
Acceptance Rate: 0.313501
Replacements: 9200
Total Samples: 29346
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.065480
Acceptance Rate: 0.312173
Replacements: 9250
Total Samples: 29631
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.029153
Acceptance Rate: 0.311214
Replacements: 9300
Total Samples: 29883
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3100.995348
Acceptance Rate: 0.310394
Replacements: 9350
Total Samples: 30123
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3100.964191
Acceptance Rate: 0.309955
Replacements: 9400
Total Samples: 30327
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3100.935230
Acceptance Rate: 0.309359
Replacements: 9450
Total Samples: 30547
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3100.908413
Acceptance Rate: 0.309144
Replacements: 9500
Total Samples: 30730
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3100.883514
Acceptance Rate: 0.308303
Replacements: 9550
Total Samples: 30976
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3100.860496
Acceptance Rate: 0.307365
Replacements: 9595
Total Samples: 31217
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3100.841260
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -3100.6283441799465 +/- 0.22045475631276137
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 31217
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| GRB080916009...K | (1.470 -0.019 +0.016) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| GRB080916009...alpha | -1.0945 +0.0017 +0.04 | |
| GRB080916009...break_energy | (1.89 +0.12 +0.8) x 10^2 | keV |
| GRB080916009...break_scale | (0.0 +1.7 +4) x 10^-1 | |
| GRB080916009...beta | -1.97 -0.26 -0.04 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3 | -1019.515145 |
| n4 | -1009.928161 |
| b0 | -1049.744637 |
| total | -3079.187942 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 6168.546340 |
| BIC | 6187.778550 |
| DIC | 6180.476749 |
| PDIC | 4.463114 |
| log(Z) | -1346.585780 |
Now our model seems to match much better with the data!
[13]:
bayes.restore_median_fit()
fig = display_spectrum_model_counts(bayes, min_rate=20)
But how different are we from the catalog model? Let’s plot our fit along with the catalog model. Luckily, 3ML can handle all the units for is
[14]:
conversion = u.Unit("keV2/(cm2 s keV)").to("erg2/(cm2 s keV)")
energy_grid = np.logspace(1, 4, 100) * u.keV
vFv = (energy_grid**2 * model.get_point_source_fluxes(0, energy_grid)).to(
"erg2/(cm2 s keV)"
)
[15]:
fig = plot_spectra(bayes.results, flux_unit="erg2/(cm2 s keV)")
ax = fig.get_axes()[0]
_ = ax.loglog(energy_grid, vFv, color="blue", label="catalog model")
Time Resolved Analysis
Now that we have examined fluence fit, we can move to performing a time-resolved analysis.
Selecting a temporal binning
We first get the brightest NaI detector and create time bins via the Bayesian blocks algorithm. We can use the fitted background to make sure that our intervals are chosen in an unbiased way.
[16]:
n3 = time_series["n3"]
[17]:
n3.create_time_bins(0, 60, method="bayesblocks", use_background=True, p0=0.2)
Sometimes, glitches in the GBM data cause spikes in the data that the Bayesian blocks algorithm detects as fast changes in the count rate. We will have to remove those intervals manually.
Note: In the future, 3ML will provide an automated method to remove these unwanted spikes.
[18]:
fig = n3.view_lightcurve(use_binner=True)
[19]:
bad_bins = []
for i, w in enumerate(n3.bins.widths):
if w < 5e-2:
bad_bins.append(i)
edges = [n3.bins.starts[0]]
for i, b in enumerate(n3.bins):
if i not in bad_bins:
edges.append(b.stop)
starts = edges[:-1]
stops = edges[1:]
n3.create_time_bins(starts, stops, method="custom")
Now our light curve looks much more acceptable.
[20]:
fig = n3.view_lightcurve(use_binner=True)
The time series objects can read time bins from each other, so we will map these time bins onto the other detectors’ time series and create a list of time plugins for each detector and each time bin created above.
[21]:
time_resolved_plugins = {}
for k, v in time_series.items():
v.read_bins(n3)
time_resolved_plugins[k] = v.to_spectrumlike(from_bins=True)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Setting up the model
For the time-resolved analysis, we will fit the classic Band function to the data. We will set some principled priors.
[22]:
band = Band()
band.alpha.prior = Truncated_gaussian(lower_bound=-1.5, upper_bound=1, mu=-1, sigma=0.5)
band.beta.prior = Truncated_gaussian(lower_bound=-5, upper_bound=-1.6, mu=-2, sigma=0.5)
band.xp.prior = Log_normal(mu=2, sigma=1)
band.xp.bounds = (None, None)
band.K.prior = Log_uniform_prior(lower_bound=1e-10, upper_bound=1e3)
ps = PointSource("grb", 0, 0, spectral_shape=band)
band_model = Model(ps)
We have set the min_value of Band.xp to 1e-99 because there was a postive transform
We have set the min_value of Band.xp to 1e-99 because there was a postive transform
Perform the fits
One way to perform Bayesian spectral fits to all the intervals is to loop through each one. There can are many ways to do this, so find an analysis pattern that works for you.
[23]:
models = []
results = []
analysis = []
for interval in range(12):
# clone the model above so that we have a separate model
# for each fit
this_model = clone_model(band_model)
# for each detector set up the plugin
# for this time interval
this_data_list = []
for k, v in time_resolved_plugins.items():
pi = v[interval]
if k.startswith("b"):
pi.set_active_measurements("250-30000")
else:
pi.set_active_measurements("9-900")
pi.rebin_on_background(1.0)
this_data_list.append(pi)
# create a data list
dlist = DataList(*this_data_list)
# set up the sampler and fit
bayes = BayesianAnalysis(this_model, dlist)
# get some speed with share spectrum
bayes.set_sampler("multinest", share_spectrum=True)
bayes.sampler.setup(n_live_points=500)
bayes.sample()
# at this stage we coudl also
# save the analysis result to
# disk but we will simply hold
# onto them in memory
analysis.append(bayes)
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.992780
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 554
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -49035.180347
Acceptance Rate: 0.977199
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 614
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3450.107139
Acceptance Rate: 0.955882
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 680
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1244.953199
Acceptance Rate: 0.933333
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 750
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1243.929712
Acceptance Rate: 0.909091
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 825
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1243.472477
Acceptance Rate: 0.883002
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 906
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1243.185739
Acceptance Rate: 0.878099
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 968
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1242.982280
Acceptance Rate: 0.857960
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1049
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1242.827940
Acceptance Rate: 0.845196
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1124
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1242.705697
Acceptance Rate: 0.832639
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1201
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1242.605400
Acceptance Rate: 0.818394
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1283
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1242.519127
Acceptance Rate: 0.811808
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1355
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1242.440205
Acceptance Rate: 0.800278
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1437
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1242.357389
Acceptance Rate: 0.792602
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1514
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1242.238787
Acceptance Rate: 0.782228
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1598
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1241.979165
Acceptance Rate: 0.773810
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1680
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1241.378114
Acceptance Rate: 0.756303
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1785
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1239.804969
Acceptance Rate: 0.748263
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1871
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1236.824940
Acceptance Rate: 0.745118
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1946
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1233.212630
Acceptance Rate: 0.742942
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 2019
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1227.465689
Acceptance Rate: 0.740564
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2093
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1220.955622
Acceptance Rate: 0.735632
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2175
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1211.620979
Acceptance Rate: 0.730412
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2259
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1201.959983
Acceptance Rate: 0.732443
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2321
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1191.073772
Acceptance Rate: 0.726744
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2408
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1179.188304
Acceptance Rate: 0.723764
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2487
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1167.594942
Acceptance Rate: 0.724070
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2555
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1155.800862
Acceptance Rate: 0.718880
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2643
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1145.839669
Acceptance Rate: 0.714547
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2729
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1135.260352
Acceptance Rate: 0.715052
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2797
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1124.029120
Acceptance Rate: 0.712548
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2877
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1114.752713
Acceptance Rate: 0.710660
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 2955
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1104.507803
Acceptance Rate: 0.711214
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 3023
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1094.330370
Acceptance Rate: 0.711054
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3094
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1081.847980
Acceptance Rate: 0.705550
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3189
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1070.831283
Acceptance Rate: 0.702505
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3274
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1060.271818
Acceptance Rate: 0.701074
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3352
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1050.868511
Acceptance Rate: 0.698893
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3434
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1042.538805
Acceptance Rate: 0.696221
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3519
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1032.700368
Acceptance Rate: 0.692713
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3609
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1024.993398
Acceptance Rate: 0.691619
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3687
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1017.469079
Acceptance Rate: 0.691306
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3761
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1010.775795
Acceptance Rate: 0.687062
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3857
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1004.968058
Acceptance Rate: 0.685279
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 3940
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -996.442825
Acceptance Rate: 0.682552
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 4029
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -987.590617
Acceptance Rate: 0.681099
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4111
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -980.419747
Acceptance Rate: 0.680678
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4187
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -973.098429
Acceptance Rate: 0.679634
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4267
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -967.024352
Acceptance Rate: 0.678473
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4348
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -961.863596
Acceptance Rate: 0.677048
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4431
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -956.196557
Acceptance Rate: 0.676425
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4509
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -951.276764
Acceptance Rate: 0.676413
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4583
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -946.665196
Acceptance Rate: 0.674663
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4669
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -942.240691
Acceptance Rate: 0.673401
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4752
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -937.842117
Acceptance Rate: 0.672878
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 4830
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -933.238279
Acceptance Rate: 0.671687
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 4913
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -929.430471
Acceptance Rate: 0.671477
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 4989
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -925.389521
Acceptance Rate: 0.671539
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5063
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -921.906781
Acceptance Rate: 0.669773
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5151
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -918.275086
Acceptance Rate: 0.668705
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5234
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -914.434758
Acceptance Rate: 0.670824
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5292
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -911.363570
Acceptance Rate: 0.670266
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5371
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -908.537939
Acceptance Rate: 0.668621
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5459
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -905.927083
Acceptance Rate: 0.666907
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5548
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -903.614624
Acceptance Rate: 0.666430
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 5627
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -901.549950
Acceptance Rate: 0.664336
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 5720
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -899.153430
Acceptance Rate: 0.664022
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 5798
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -897.034820
Acceptance Rate: 0.662364
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 5888
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -895.276914
Acceptance Rate: 0.661199
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 5974
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -893.558336
Acceptance Rate: 0.659631
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6064
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -891.698623
Acceptance Rate: 0.656721
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6167
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -889.842448
Acceptance Rate: 0.656946
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6241
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -888.149477
Acceptance Rate: 0.655401
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6332
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -886.608245
Acceptance Rate: 0.653391
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6428
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -885.332659
Acceptance Rate: 0.652441
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 6514
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -884.069372
Acceptance Rate: 0.652009
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 6595
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -882.852267
Acceptance Rate: 0.650419
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 6688
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -881.658246
Acceptance Rate: 0.649734
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 6772
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -880.611203
Acceptance Rate: 0.648499
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 6862
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -879.549928
Acceptance Rate: 0.648322
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 6941
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -878.580453
Acceptance Rate: 0.647964
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7022
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -877.570368
Acceptance Rate: 0.647705
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7102
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -876.612122
Acceptance Rate: 0.647362
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7183
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -875.534998
Acceptance Rate: 0.645782
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7278
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -874.553172
Acceptance Rate: 0.645907
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 7354
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -873.751758
Acceptance Rate: 0.643001
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 7465
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -873.046778
Acceptance Rate: 0.642129
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 7553
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -872.266285
Acceptance Rate: 0.641865
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 7634
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -871.483590
Acceptance Rate: 0.640943
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 7723
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -870.726699
Acceptance Rate: 0.637349
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 7845
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -869.404448
Acceptance Rate: 0.637304
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 7924
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -867.734824
Acceptance Rate: 0.637341
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 8002
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -865.571640
Acceptance Rate: 0.635410
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 8105
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -863.328574
Acceptance Rate: 0.634224
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 8199
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -861.249844
Acceptance Rate: 0.634364
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 8276
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -859.176225
Acceptance Rate: 0.634199
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 8357
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -856.952604
Acceptance Rate: 0.634112
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 8437
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -854.720783
Acceptance Rate: 0.633208
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 8528
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -852.514412
Acceptance Rate: 0.633500
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 8603
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -850.149179
Acceptance Rate: 0.632184
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 8700
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -847.837008
Acceptance Rate: 0.632118
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 8780
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -845.807683
Acceptance Rate: 0.631769
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 8864
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -843.498504
Acceptance Rate: 0.631144
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 8952
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -841.274249
Acceptance Rate: 0.630740
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 9037
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -839.098728
Acceptance Rate: 0.630344
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 9122
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -837.005443
Acceptance Rate: 0.630092
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 9205
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -834.926508
Acceptance Rate: 0.630864
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 9273
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -832.801435
Acceptance Rate: 0.630477
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 9358
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -831.142890
Acceptance Rate: 0.630430
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 9438
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -829.192792
Acceptance Rate: 0.629987
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 9524
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -827.340221
Acceptance Rate: 0.629684
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 9608
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -825.469650
Acceptance Rate: 0.629450
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 9691
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -823.927487
Acceptance Rate: 0.628513
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 9785
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -822.287927
Acceptance Rate: 0.627657
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 9878
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -820.640406
Acceptance Rate: 0.627258
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 9964
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -818.873519
Acceptance Rate: 0.626180
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 10061
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -817.351647
Acceptance Rate: 0.626604
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 10134
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -815.954385
Acceptance Rate: 0.625733
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 10228
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.815285
Acceptance Rate: 0.625121
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 10318
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.697869
Acceptance Rate: 0.625301
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 10395
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.183134
Acceptance Rate: 0.625477
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 10472
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -810.776626
Acceptance Rate: 0.624527
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 10568
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -809.718513
Acceptance Rate: 0.624296
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 10652
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -808.791714
Acceptance Rate: 0.624185
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 10734
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -807.931085
Acceptance Rate: 0.623787
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 10821
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -806.998766
Acceptance Rate: 0.624082
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 10896
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -806.094641
Acceptance Rate: 0.624487
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 10969
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -805.198693
Acceptance Rate: 0.625340
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 11034
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -804.368313
Acceptance Rate: 0.624719
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 11125
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -803.582243
Acceptance Rate: 0.624108
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 11216
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -802.834067
Acceptance Rate: 0.624668
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 11286
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -802.084536
Acceptance Rate: 0.624780
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 11364
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -801.424094
Acceptance Rate: 0.624782
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 11444
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -800.797134
Acceptance Rate: 0.625380
Replacements: 7200
Total Samples: 11513
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -800.089620
Acceptance Rate: 0.625485
Replacements: 7250
Total Samples: 11591
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -799.430969
Acceptance Rate: 0.625054
Replacements: 7300
Total Samples: 11679
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.824021
Acceptance Rate: 0.625159
Replacements: 7350
Total Samples: 11757
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.250027
Acceptance Rate: 0.625528
Replacements: 7400
Total Samples: 11830
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -797.731340
Acceptance Rate: 0.625630
Replacements: 7450
Total Samples: 11908
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -797.247794
Acceptance Rate: 0.626357
Replacements: 7500
Total Samples: 11974
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -796.755841
Acceptance Rate: 0.626920
Replacements: 7550
Total Samples: 12043
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -796.275676
Acceptance Rate: 0.626856
Replacements: 7600
Total Samples: 12124
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -795.786175
Acceptance Rate: 0.626382
Replacements: 7650
Total Samples: 12213
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -795.299530
Acceptance Rate: 0.626271
Replacements: 7700
Total Samples: 12295
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -794.839445
Acceptance Rate: 0.626161
Replacements: 7750
Total Samples: 12377
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -794.394925
Acceptance Rate: 0.626405
Replacements: 7800
Total Samples: 12452
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -794.010442
Acceptance Rate: 0.626496
Replacements: 7850
Total Samples: 12530
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -793.642783
Acceptance Rate: 0.626189
Replacements: 7900
Total Samples: 12616
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -793.288120
Acceptance Rate: 0.625639
Replacements: 7950
Total Samples: 12707
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.951529
Acceptance Rate: 0.625684
Replacements: 8000
Total Samples: 12786
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.640487
Acceptance Rate: 0.625486
Replacements: 8050
Total Samples: 12870
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.370693
Acceptance Rate: 0.625338
Replacements: 8100
Total Samples: 12953
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.117955
Acceptance Rate: 0.625720
Replacements: 8150
Total Samples: 13025
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.870986
Acceptance Rate: 0.624952
Replacements: 8200
Total Samples: 13121
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.629362
Acceptance Rate: 0.625142
Replacements: 8250
Total Samples: 13197
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.388579
Acceptance Rate: 0.624295
Replacements: 8300
Total Samples: 13295
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.164657
Acceptance Rate: 0.624626
Replacements: 8350
Total Samples: 13368
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.956053
Acceptance Rate: 0.624768
Replacements: 8400
Total Samples: 13445
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.763266
Acceptance Rate: 0.623708
Replacements: 8450
Total Samples: 13548
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.585243
Acceptance Rate: 0.623304
Replacements: 8500
Total Samples: 13637
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.421777
Acceptance Rate: 0.623450
Replacements: 8550
Total Samples: 13714
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.272641
Acceptance Rate: 0.623640
Replacements: 8600
Total Samples: 13790
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.134541
Acceptance Rate: 0.623289
Replacements: 8650
Total Samples: 13878
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.007521
Acceptance Rate: 0.622808
Replacements: 8700
Total Samples: 13969
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.891634
Acceptance Rate: 0.622466
Replacements: 8750
Total Samples: 14057
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.782322
Acceptance Rate: 0.622832
Replacements: 8800
Total Samples: 14129
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.680722
Acceptance Rate: 0.622450
Replacements: 8850
Total Samples: 14218
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.584647
Acceptance Rate: 0.622726
Replacements: 8900
Total Samples: 14292
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.496465
Acceptance Rate: 0.622089
Replacements: 8950
Total Samples: 14387
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.414736
Acceptance Rate: 0.621934
Replacements: 9000
Total Samples: 14471
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.340059
Acceptance Rate: 0.621609
Replacements: 9050
Total Samples: 14559
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.271906
Acceptance Rate: 0.621288
Replacements: 9100
Total Samples: 14647
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.208472
Acceptance Rate: 0.620549
Replacements: 9150
Total Samples: 14745
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.149416
Acceptance Rate: 0.620155
Replacements: 9200
Total Samples: 14835
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.094938
Acceptance Rate: 0.618978
Replacements: 9250
Total Samples: 14944
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.044254
Acceptance Rate: 0.618063
Replacements: 9300
Total Samples: 15047
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -788.996707
Acceptance Rate: 0.618223
Replacements: 9350
Total Samples: 15124
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -788.952701
Acceptance Rate: 0.617730
Replacements: 9400
Total Samples: 15217
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -788.912326
Acceptance Rate: 0.617445
Replacements: 9450
Total Samples: 15305
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -788.875119
Acceptance Rate: 0.617685
Replacements: 9500
Total Samples: 15380
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -788.840875
Acceptance Rate: 0.617683
Replacements: 9550
Total Samples: 15461
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -788.808979
Acceptance Rate: 0.617761
Replacements: 9600
Total Samples: 15540
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -788.779344
Acceptance Rate: 0.616771
Replacements: 9650
Total Samples: 15646
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -788.752014
Acceptance Rate: 0.616487
Replacements: 9677
Total Samples: 15697
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -788.738196
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -788.45554717298887 +/- 0.17744213177067525
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 15697
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (3.5 +/- 0.5) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | (-5.8 -1.3 +1.1) x 10^-1 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (3.2 -0.5 +0.8) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -2.03 -0.4 +0.08 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval0 | -250.291473 |
| n4_interval0 | -267.999517 |
| b0_interval0 | -285.708898 |
| total | -803.999888 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 1616.113091 |
| BIC | 1631.521908 |
| DIC | 1570.416027 |
| PDIC | 2.429206 |
| log(Z) | -342.421893 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.998185
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 551
Nested Sampling ln(Z): **************
Acceptance Rate: 0.988468
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 607
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -48601.596310
Acceptance Rate: 0.977444
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 665
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10225.982072
Acceptance Rate: 0.968188
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 723
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10224.876299
Acceptance Rate: 0.945776
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 793
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10224.402914
Acceptance Rate: 0.908059
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 881
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10224.109235
Acceptance Rate: 0.897571
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 947
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10223.901662
Acceptance Rate: 0.880626
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1022
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10223.743733
Acceptance Rate: 0.872360
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1089
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10223.616482
Acceptance Rate: 0.859845
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1163
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10223.503506
Acceptance Rate: 0.840673
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1249
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10223.373707
Acceptance Rate: 0.828937
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1327
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10223.005812
Acceptance Rate: 0.817923
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1406
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10221.209335
Acceptance Rate: 0.808081
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1485
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10212.921513
Acceptance Rate: 0.793147
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1576
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10202.144119
Acceptance Rate: 0.786925
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1652
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10178.139224
Acceptance Rate: 0.783063
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1724
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10145.353367
Acceptance Rate: 0.779510
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1796
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10088.030849
Acceptance Rate: 0.770867
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1881
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10017.146882
Acceptance Rate: 0.770021
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 1948
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -9931.217565
Acceptance Rate: 0.766568
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2022
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -9803.629739
Acceptance Rate: 0.761905
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2100
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -9667.029587
Acceptance Rate: 0.759669
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2172
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -9475.585308
Acceptance Rate: 0.755556
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2250
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -9273.416684
Acceptance Rate: 0.755940
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2315
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -9068.267049
Acceptance Rate: 0.751566
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2395
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -8785.233231
Acceptance Rate: 0.747475
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2475
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -8498.259377
Acceptance Rate: 0.747149
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2543
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -8244.807580
Acceptance Rate: 0.743140
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2624
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -8013.261878
Acceptance Rate: 0.742115
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2695
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -7792.629537
Acceptance Rate: 0.739272
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2773
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -7586.727169
Acceptance Rate: 0.737360
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 2848
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -7401.342056
Acceptance Rate: 0.734039
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 2929
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -7202.581316
Acceptance Rate: 0.731870
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3006
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -7010.354141
Acceptance Rate: 0.729809
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3083
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6801.100304
Acceptance Rate: 0.729233
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3154
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6561.726648
Acceptance Rate: 0.728231
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3227
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6371.269733
Acceptance Rate: 0.725733
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3307
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6202.689813
Acceptance Rate: 0.723781
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3385
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6006.929894
Acceptance Rate: 0.721085
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3467
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5843.119762
Acceptance Rate: 0.719526
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3544
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5727.939767
Acceptance Rate: 0.717044
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3626
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5606.624305
Acceptance Rate: 0.716023
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3701
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5463.049621
Acceptance Rate: 0.713342
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 3785
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5330.114618
Acceptance Rate: 0.713730
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 3853
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5197.064350
Acceptance Rate: 0.712468
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 3930
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5069.255933
Acceptance Rate: 0.709838
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4015
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4961.277002
Acceptance Rate: 0.708181
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4095
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4849.724615
Acceptance Rate: 0.705067
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4184
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4743.275727
Acceptance Rate: 0.702576
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4270
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4648.773227
Acceptance Rate: 0.700666
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4353
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4557.768582
Acceptance Rate: 0.696160
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4453
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4477.014850
Acceptance Rate: 0.694291
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4537
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4408.214128
Acceptance Rate: 0.691892
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4625
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4323.622051
Acceptance Rate: 0.690901
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 4704
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4260.097971
Acceptance Rate: 0.688360
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 4794
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4184.516209
Acceptance Rate: 0.686054
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 4883
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4135.884652
Acceptance Rate: 0.684518
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 4967
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4088.119498
Acceptance Rate: 0.683033
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5051
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4031.495999
Acceptance Rate: 0.680404
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5144
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3987.302543
Acceptance Rate: 0.680207
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5219
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3942.766232
Acceptance Rate: 0.678222
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5308
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3897.990791
Acceptance Rate: 0.676427
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5396
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3857.331739
Acceptance Rate: 0.675923
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5474
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3818.151372
Acceptance Rate: 0.672405
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 5577
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3778.755043
Acceptance Rate: 0.671615
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 5658
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3746.852115
Acceptance Rate: 0.670381
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 5743
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3714.673883
Acceptance Rate: 0.667923
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 5839
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3677.935794
Acceptance Rate: 0.667117
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 5921
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3652.225678
Acceptance Rate: 0.665890
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6007
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3622.327355
Acceptance Rate: 0.663826
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6101
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3589.744556
Acceptance Rate: 0.662680
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6187
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3564.586681
Acceptance Rate: 0.660092
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6287
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3535.176809
Acceptance Rate: 0.658410
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6379
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3510.098986
Acceptance Rate: 0.657386
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 6465
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3486.367977
Acceptance Rate: 0.656890
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 6546
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3462.316039
Acceptance Rate: 0.655911
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 6632
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3443.192597
Acceptance Rate: 0.654081
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 6727
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3425.614534
Acceptance Rate: 0.653451
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 6810
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3410.289633
Acceptance Rate: 0.652742
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 6894
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3391.790798
Acceptance Rate: 0.651396
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 6985
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3374.215528
Acceptance Rate: 0.650544
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7071
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3359.117322
Acceptance Rate: 0.650259
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7151
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3343.950123
Acceptance Rate: 0.649440
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7237
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3328.576809
Acceptance Rate: 0.649084
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 7318
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3314.188485
Acceptance Rate: 0.646291
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 7427
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3300.658028
Acceptance Rate: 0.646408
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 7503
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3288.283148
Acceptance Rate: 0.644907
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 7598
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3280.018612
Acceptance Rate: 0.645624
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 7667
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3268.090978
Acceptance Rate: 0.642674
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 7780
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3255.992038
Acceptance Rate: 0.640782
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 7881
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3244.061474
Acceptance Rate: 0.640060
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 7968
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3232.649537
Acceptance Rate: 0.638720
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 8063
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3219.371620
Acceptance Rate: 0.637959
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 8151
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3186.976305
Acceptance Rate: 0.635824
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 8257
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3154.189758
Acceptance Rate: 0.634655
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 8351
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3119.538908
Acceptance Rate: 0.635015
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 8425
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3082.360749
Acceptance Rate: 0.633431
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 8525
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3052.031373
Acceptance Rate: 0.633353
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 8605
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3012.959089
Acceptance Rate: 0.632547
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 8695
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2965.890621
Acceptance Rate: 0.632190
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 8779
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2930.588507
Acceptance Rate: 0.631413
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 8869
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2900.686396
Acceptance Rate: 0.631003
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 8954
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2870.360206
Acceptance Rate: 0.629765
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 9051
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2834.064834
Acceptance Rate: 0.629103
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 9140
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2802.352706
Acceptance Rate: 0.627502
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 9243
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2775.119348
Acceptance Rate: 0.626808
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 9333
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2737.696173
Acceptance Rate: 0.627259
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 9406
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2703.768414
Acceptance Rate: 0.627571
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 9481
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2669.849374
Acceptance Rate: 0.626894
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 9571
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2634.241654
Acceptance Rate: 0.626943
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 9650
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2603.982413
Acceptance Rate: 0.626091
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 9743
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2567.250433
Acceptance Rate: 0.625763
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 9828
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2536.002520
Acceptance Rate: 0.625441
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 9913
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2507.275802
Acceptance Rate: 0.625876
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 9986
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2478.476284
Acceptance Rate: 0.624628
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 10086
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2450.197052
Acceptance Rate: 0.624754
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 10164
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2427.360655
Acceptance Rate: 0.623782
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 10260
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2398.183037
Acceptance Rate: 0.623791
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 10340
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2376.067120
Acceptance Rate: 0.623860
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 10419
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2353.940850
Acceptance Rate: 0.623572
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 10504
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2329.971807
Acceptance Rate: 0.622113
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 10609
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2311.320008
Acceptance Rate: 0.622310
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 10686
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2292.191590
Acceptance Rate: 0.620830
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 10792
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2278.019534
Acceptance Rate: 0.619550
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 10895
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2261.556260
Acceptance Rate: 0.618126
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 11001
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2244.638871
Acceptance Rate: 0.617117
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 11100
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2231.759124
Acceptance Rate: 0.616622
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 11190
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2218.538335
Acceptance Rate: 0.615371
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 11294
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2203.527556
Acceptance Rate: 0.614628
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 11389
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2187.914481
Acceptance Rate: 0.614165
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 11479
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2176.374915
Acceptance Rate: 0.613921
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 11565
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2168.497218
Acceptance Rate: 0.613050
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 11663
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2160.157335
Acceptance Rate: 0.612870
Replacements: 7200
Total Samples: 11748
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2151.993497
Acceptance Rate: 0.612331
Replacements: 7250
Total Samples: 11840
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2144.822601
Acceptance Rate: 0.611544
Replacements: 7300
Total Samples: 11937
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2136.181776
Acceptance Rate: 0.610973
Replacements: 7350
Total Samples: 12030
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2127.906131
Acceptance Rate: 0.610460
Replacements: 7400
Total Samples: 12122
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2118.558745
Acceptance Rate: 0.610306
Replacements: 7450
Total Samples: 12207
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2108.716279
Acceptance Rate: 0.609806
Replacements: 7500
Total Samples: 12299
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2102.110071
Acceptance Rate: 0.608135
Replacements: 7550
Total Samples: 12415
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2094.435066
Acceptance Rate: 0.607903
Replacements: 7600
Total Samples: 12502
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2087.541013
Acceptance Rate: 0.607818
Replacements: 7650
Total Samples: 12586
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2078.948806
Acceptance Rate: 0.607735
Replacements: 7700
Total Samples: 12670
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2073.690230
Acceptance Rate: 0.606986
Replacements: 7750
Total Samples: 12768
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2069.498116
Acceptance Rate: 0.606155
Replacements: 7800
Total Samples: 12868
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2065.919879
Acceptance Rate: 0.606037
Replacements: 7850
Total Samples: 12953
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2061.180300
Acceptance Rate: 0.605318
Replacements: 7900
Total Samples: 13051
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2056.145730
Acceptance Rate: 0.604793
Replacements: 7950
Total Samples: 13145
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2052.051394
Acceptance Rate: 0.604595
Replacements: 8000
Total Samples: 13232
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2046.526672
Acceptance Rate: 0.603720
Replacements: 8050
Total Samples: 13334
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2041.665215
Acceptance Rate: 0.603937
Replacements: 8100
Total Samples: 13412
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2038.201792
Acceptance Rate: 0.603927
Replacements: 8150
Total Samples: 13495
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2034.244042
Acceptance Rate: 0.603518
Replacements: 8200
Total Samples: 13587
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2030.509652
Acceptance Rate: 0.603202
Replacements: 8250
Total Samples: 13677
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2026.917868
Acceptance Rate: 0.603154
Replacements: 8300
Total Samples: 13761
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2023.780732
Acceptance Rate: 0.602932
Replacements: 8350
Total Samples: 13849
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2020.795316
Acceptance Rate: 0.602669
Replacements: 8400
Total Samples: 13938
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2016.994067
Acceptance Rate: 0.602281
Replacements: 8450
Total Samples: 14030
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2013.940632
Acceptance Rate: 0.602154
Replacements: 8500
Total Samples: 14116
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2011.024856
Acceptance Rate: 0.601604
Replacements: 8550
Total Samples: 14212
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2008.724040
Acceptance Rate: 0.601693
Replacements: 8600
Total Samples: 14293
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2006.310782
Acceptance Rate: 0.601488
Replacements: 8650
Total Samples: 14381
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2003.423379
Acceptance Rate: 0.600953
Replacements: 8700
Total Samples: 14477
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2001.076547
Acceptance Rate: 0.600590
Replacements: 8750
Total Samples: 14569
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1997.990766
Acceptance Rate: 0.600068
Replacements: 8800
Total Samples: 14665
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1995.566286
Acceptance Rate: 0.599756
Replacements: 8850
Total Samples: 14756
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1993.570821
Acceptance Rate: 0.599286
Replacements: 8900
Total Samples: 14851
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1991.485181
Acceptance Rate: 0.599023
Replacements: 8950
Total Samples: 14941
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1989.440814
Acceptance Rate: 0.599241
Replacements: 9000
Total Samples: 15019
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1987.524290
Acceptance Rate: 0.598981
Replacements: 9050
Total Samples: 15109
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1985.957736
Acceptance Rate: 0.598960
Replacements: 9100
Total Samples: 15193
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1984.262374
Acceptance Rate: 0.597883
Replacements: 9150
Total Samples: 15304
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1982.342735
Acceptance Rate: 0.597286
Replacements: 9200
Total Samples: 15403
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1980.656431
Acceptance Rate: 0.596851
Replacements: 9250
Total Samples: 15498
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1979.478674
Acceptance Rate: 0.595429
Replacements: 9300
Total Samples: 15619
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1978.029035
Acceptance Rate: 0.594897
Replacements: 9350
Total Samples: 15717
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1976.304340
Acceptance Rate: 0.594335
Replacements: 9400
Total Samples: 15816
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1974.748862
Acceptance Rate: 0.593332
Replacements: 9450
Total Samples: 15927
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1973.355726
Acceptance Rate: 0.592565
Replacements: 9500
Total Samples: 16032
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1971.995879
Acceptance Rate: 0.592432
Replacements: 9550
Total Samples: 16120
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.691349
Acceptance Rate: 0.591825
Replacements: 9600
Total Samples: 16221
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1969.417473
Acceptance Rate: 0.591444
Replacements: 9650
Total Samples: 16316
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1968.114695
Acceptance Rate: 0.590743
Replacements: 9700
Total Samples: 16420
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1967.074399
Acceptance Rate: 0.589765
Replacements: 9750
Total Samples: 16532
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1965.952656
Acceptance Rate: 0.588872
Replacements: 9800
Total Samples: 16642
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.836222
Acceptance Rate: 0.588200
Replacements: 9850
Total Samples: 16746
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1963.841419
Acceptance Rate: 0.587746
Replacements: 9900
Total Samples: 16844
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1962.864921
Acceptance Rate: 0.587714
Replacements: 9950
Total Samples: 16930
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1961.942927
Acceptance Rate: 0.587337
Replacements: 10000
Total Samples: 17026
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1961.066808
Acceptance Rate: 0.586519
Replacements: 10050
Total Samples: 17135
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1960.271279
Acceptance Rate: 0.586391
Replacements: 10100
Total Samples: 17224
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1959.491554
Acceptance Rate: 0.586197
Replacements: 10150
Total Samples: 17315
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1958.740889
Acceptance Rate: 0.585803
Replacements: 10200
Total Samples: 17412
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1957.957753
Acceptance Rate: 0.585748
Replacements: 10250
Total Samples: 17499
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1957.191229
Acceptance Rate: 0.585427
Replacements: 10300
Total Samples: 17594
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.456854
Acceptance Rate: 0.585341
Replacements: 10350
Total Samples: 17682
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.804278
Acceptance Rate: 0.584927
Replacements: 10400
Total Samples: 17780
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.229604
Acceptance Rate: 0.584452
Replacements: 10450
Total Samples: 17880
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1954.622854
Acceptance Rate: 0.583755
Replacements: 10500
Total Samples: 17987
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1954.054984
Acceptance Rate: 0.583647
Replacements: 10550
Total Samples: 18076
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1953.541714
Acceptance Rate: 0.583315
Replacements: 10600
Total Samples: 18172
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1953.033384
Acceptance Rate: 0.582955
Replacements: 10650
Total Samples: 18269
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1952.554147
Acceptance Rate: 0.582313
Replacements: 10700
Total Samples: 18375
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1952.085954
Acceptance Rate: 0.582183
Replacements: 10750
Total Samples: 18465
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1951.638997
Acceptance Rate: 0.582210
Replacements: 10800
Total Samples: 18550
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1951.166401
Acceptance Rate: 0.581925
Replacements: 10850
Total Samples: 18645
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1950.727393
Acceptance Rate: 0.581457
Replacements: 10900
Total Samples: 18746
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1950.295818
Acceptance Rate: 0.581457
Replacements: 10950
Total Samples: 18832
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1949.872297
Acceptance Rate: 0.580751
Replacements: 11000
Total Samples: 18941
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1949.466307
Acceptance Rate: 0.580845
Replacements: 11050
Total Samples: 19024
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1949.104368
Acceptance Rate: 0.580696
Replacements: 11100
Total Samples: 19115
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1948.775274
Acceptance Rate: 0.580366
Replacements: 11150
Total Samples: 19212
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1948.474671
Acceptance Rate: 0.580642
Replacements: 11200
Total Samples: 19289
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1948.184957
Acceptance Rate: 0.580495
Replacements: 11250
Total Samples: 19380
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1947.890141
Acceptance Rate: 0.580320
Replacements: 11300
Total Samples: 19472
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1947.616419
Acceptance Rate: 0.579999
Replacements: 11350
Total Samples: 19569
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1947.357516
Acceptance Rate: 0.579092
Replacements: 11400
Total Samples: 19686
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1947.109295
Acceptance Rate: 0.579102
Replacements: 11450
Total Samples: 19772
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1946.873155
Acceptance Rate: 0.579491
Replacements: 11500
Total Samples: 19845
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1946.655900
Acceptance Rate: 0.579907
Replacements: 11550
Total Samples: 19917
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1946.441303
Acceptance Rate: 0.580319
Replacements: 11600
Total Samples: 19989
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1946.222768
Acceptance Rate: 0.579775
Replacements: 11650
Total Samples: 20094
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1946.024780
Acceptance Rate: 0.579466
Replacements: 11700
Total Samples: 20191
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1945.839242
Acceptance Rate: 0.579760
Replacements: 11750
Total Samples: 20267
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1945.665643
Acceptance Rate: 0.579141
Replacements: 11800
Total Samples: 20375
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1945.500638
Acceptance Rate: 0.578839
Replacements: 11850
Total Samples: 20472
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1945.349467
Acceptance Rate: 0.578484
Replacements: 11900
Total Samples: 20571
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1945.209836
Acceptance Rate: 0.578524
Replacements: 11950
Total Samples: 20656
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1945.075069
Acceptance Rate: 0.578258
Replacements: 12000
Total Samples: 20752
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1944.948228
Acceptance Rate: 0.578270
Replacements: 12050
Total Samples: 20838
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1944.826903
Acceptance Rate: 0.578228
Replacements: 12100
Total Samples: 20926
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1944.709580
Acceptance Rate: 0.578076
Replacements: 12150
Total Samples: 21018
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1944.598865
Acceptance Rate: 0.577843
Replacements: 12200
Total Samples: 21113
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1944.497748
Acceptance Rate: 0.577286
Replacements: 12250
Total Samples: 21220
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1944.401758
Acceptance Rate: 0.576626
Replacements: 12300
Total Samples: 21331
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1944.313159
Acceptance Rate: 0.576349
Replacements: 12350
Total Samples: 21428
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1944.232111
Acceptance Rate: 0.576155
Replacements: 12400
Total Samples: 21522
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1944.156568
Acceptance Rate: 0.576149
Replacements: 12450
Total Samples: 21609
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1944.086840
Acceptance Rate: 0.576090
Replacements: 12500
Total Samples: 21698
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1944.020163
Acceptance Rate: 0.575952
Replacements: 12550
Total Samples: 21790
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1943.957995
Acceptance Rate: 0.575947
Replacements: 12600
Total Samples: 21877
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1943.899935
Acceptance Rate: 0.575890
Replacements: 12650
Total Samples: 21966
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1943.845952
Acceptance Rate: 0.575103
Replacements: 12700
Total Samples: 22083
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1943.795329
Acceptance Rate: 0.574531
Replacements: 12750
Total Samples: 22192
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1943.748721
Acceptance Rate: 0.573888
Replacements: 12800
Total Samples: 22304
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1943.705799
Acceptance Rate: 0.573200
Replacements: 12850
Total Samples: 22418
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1943.666036
Acceptance Rate: 0.572977
Replacements: 12900
Total Samples: 22514
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1943.629264
Acceptance Rate: 0.572781
Replacements: 12950
Total Samples: 22609
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1943.595095
Acceptance Rate: 0.572839
Replacements: 13000
Total Samples: 22694
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1943.563574
Acceptance Rate: 0.572419
Replacements: 13050
Total Samples: 22798
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1943.534620
Acceptance Rate: 0.572127
Replacements: 13100
Total Samples: 22897
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1943.507701
Acceptance Rate: 0.571317
Replacements: 13150
Total Samples: 23017
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1943.482815
Acceptance Rate: 0.571385
Replacements: 13199
Total Samples: 23100
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1943.460422
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -1943.1970785294207 +/- 0.21255596220620773
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 23100
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (4.10 -0.12 +0.15) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | (-8.63 -0.25 +0.30) x 10^-1 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (6.3 +/- 0.5) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -2.15 -0.12 +0.07 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval1 | -641.854210 |
| n4_interval1 | -645.656170 |
| b0_interval1 | -673.837832 |
| total | -1961.348211 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 3930.809737 |
| BIC | 3946.218555 |
| DIC | 3873.206288 |
| PDIC | 3.563200 |
| log(Z) | -843.919768 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 1.000000
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 550
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -110717.999681
Acceptance Rate: 0.993377
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 604
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5090.123128
Acceptance Rate: 0.973054
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 668
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1562.096819
Acceptance Rate: 0.961538
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 728
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1561.214940
Acceptance Rate: 0.933998
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 803
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1560.789519
Acceptance Rate: 0.902935
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 886
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1560.516794
Acceptance Rate: 0.879007
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 967
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1560.321218
Acceptance Rate: 0.862895
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1043
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1560.172090
Acceptance Rate: 0.852783
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1114
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1560.053797
Acceptance Rate: 0.846024
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1182
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1559.957004
Acceptance Rate: 0.836653
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1255
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1559.874882
Acceptance Rate: 0.827690
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1329
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1559.801000
Acceptance Rate: 0.817923
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1406
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1559.727967
Acceptance Rate: 0.811359
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1479
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1559.637479
Acceptance Rate: 0.802826
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1557
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1559.475971
Acceptance Rate: 0.799508
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1626
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1559.110574
Acceptance Rate: 0.799763
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1688
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1557.231532
Acceptance Rate: 0.790514
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1771
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1553.172375
Acceptance Rate: 0.786761
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1843
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1546.859786
Acceptance Rate: 0.782473
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 1917
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1537.657852
Acceptance Rate: 0.781250
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 1984
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1524.028752
Acceptance Rate: 0.774443
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2066
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1508.579592
Acceptance Rate: 0.771388
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2139
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1487.082906
Acceptance Rate: 0.765766
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2220
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1462.963291
Acceptance Rate: 0.761863
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2297
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1436.681923
Acceptance Rate: 0.758534
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2373
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1412.703984
Acceptance Rate: 0.756956
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2444
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1383.333308
Acceptance Rate: 0.753072
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2523
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1356.503072
Acceptance Rate: 0.753187
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2589
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1331.044117
Acceptance Rate: 0.750469
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2665
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1312.326132
Acceptance Rate: 0.744913
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2752
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1295.854344
Acceptance Rate: 0.744417
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 2821
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1276.878634
Acceptance Rate: 0.741891
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 2898
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1258.827555
Acceptance Rate: 0.738255
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 2980
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1242.544602
Acceptance Rate: 0.736980
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3053
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1223.469234
Acceptance Rate: 0.733418
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3136
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1207.323286
Acceptance Rate: 0.732315
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3209
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1189.749100
Acceptance Rate: 0.730149
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3287
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1176.610180
Acceptance Rate: 0.727435
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3368
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1161.796172
Acceptance Rate: 0.724008
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3453
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1148.062133
Acceptance Rate: 0.720543
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3539
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1137.709676
Acceptance Rate: 0.718034
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3621
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1126.581543
Acceptance Rate: 0.718157
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3690
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1116.540677
Acceptance Rate: 0.715801
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 3772
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1106.595643
Acceptance Rate: 0.712435
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 3860
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1097.941597
Acceptance Rate: 0.710840
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 3939
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1090.910541
Acceptance Rate: 0.709485
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4017
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1081.488739
Acceptance Rate: 0.704396
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4117
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1073.681114
Acceptance Rate: 0.700214
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4213
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1066.682456
Acceptance Rate: 0.698487
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4295
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1059.287714
Acceptance Rate: 0.697143
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4375
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1052.611469
Acceptance Rate: 0.696004
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4454
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1045.307273
Acceptance Rate: 0.693374
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4543
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1039.552881
Acceptance Rate: 0.689210
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4643
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1034.750038
Acceptance Rate: 0.688413
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 4721
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1029.524684
Acceptance Rate: 0.688073
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 4796
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1023.851627
Acceptance Rate: 0.684932
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 4891
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1019.743741
Acceptance Rate: 0.683005
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 4978
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1015.393281
Acceptance Rate: 0.679401
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5078
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1010.964346
Acceptance Rate: 0.675285
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5183
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1006.828664
Acceptance Rate: 0.673113
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5274
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1002.835665
Acceptance Rate: 0.669767
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5375
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -998.901655
Acceptance Rate: 0.667642
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5467
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -995.087286
Acceptance Rate: 0.665348
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5561
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -991.884503
Acceptance Rate: 0.664305
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 5645
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -989.124036
Acceptance Rate: 0.662367
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 5737
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -986.392268
Acceptance Rate: 0.661171
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 5823
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -983.693859
Acceptance Rate: 0.659452
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 5914
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -981.845647
Acceptance Rate: 0.657895
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6004
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -980.035997
Acceptance Rate: 0.655415
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6103
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -977.839732
Acceptance Rate: 0.653226
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6200
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -975.830718
Acceptance Rate: 0.651932
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6289
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -974.208705
Acceptance Rate: 0.650266
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6382
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -972.726636
Acceptance Rate: 0.648849
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6473
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -971.450588
Acceptance Rate: 0.648261
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 6556
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -970.035682
Acceptance Rate: 0.648469
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 6631
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -968.462884
Acceptance Rate: 0.646360
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 6730
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -967.073433
Acceptance Rate: 0.644594
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 6826
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -965.879281
Acceptance Rate: 0.644274
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 6907
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -964.647831
Acceptance Rate: 0.644145
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 6986
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -963.560600
Acceptance Rate: 0.643838
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7067
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -962.554801
Acceptance Rate: 0.643177
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7152
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -961.671614
Acceptance Rate: 0.642265
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7240
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -960.695897
Acceptance Rate: 0.640501
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7338
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -959.735430
Acceptance Rate: 0.638956
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 7434
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -958.942963
Acceptance Rate: 0.637620
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 7528
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -958.275596
Acceptance Rate: 0.635982
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 7626
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -957.583339
Acceptance Rate: 0.634715
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 7720
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -956.995492
Acceptance Rate: 0.632265
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 7829
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -956.467802
Acceptance Rate: 0.630676
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 7928
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -955.973931
Acceptance Rate: 0.629440
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 8023
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -955.463914
Acceptance Rate: 0.627538
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 8127
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -954.979967
Acceptance Rate: 0.625000
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 8240
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -954.547085
Acceptance Rate: 0.623950
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 8334
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -954.138181
Acceptance Rate: 0.623145
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 8425
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -953.748749
Acceptance Rate: 0.622285
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 8517
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -953.383545
Acceptance Rate: 0.621082
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 8614
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -953.043233
Acceptance Rate: 0.619053
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 8723
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -952.710512
Acceptance Rate: 0.618264
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 8815
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -952.383560
Acceptance Rate: 0.617215
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 8911
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -952.058127
Acceptance Rate: 0.615299
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 9020
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -951.741050
Acceptance Rate: 0.613295
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 9131
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -951.409012
Acceptance Rate: 0.612134
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 9230
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -950.935477
Acceptance Rate: 0.611063
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 9328
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -950.183833
Acceptance Rate: 0.610598
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 9417
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -948.993640
Acceptance Rate: 0.609116
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 9522
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -947.764719
Acceptance Rate: 0.608614
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 9612
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -946.589366
Acceptance Rate: 0.607433
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 9713
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -945.109072
Acceptance Rate: 0.606153
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 9816
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -943.883074
Acceptance Rate: 0.605694
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 9906
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -942.688476
Acceptance Rate: 0.605727
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 9988
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -941.464651
Acceptance Rate: 0.604979
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 10083
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -940.238973
Acceptance Rate: 0.604720
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 10170
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -939.027550
Acceptance Rate: 0.603935
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 10266
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -937.886548
Acceptance Rate: 0.602758
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 10369
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -936.710935
Acceptance Rate: 0.602525
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 10456
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -935.709383
Acceptance Rate: 0.601668
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 10554
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -934.691253
Acceptance Rate: 0.600939
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 10650
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -933.553953
Acceptance Rate: 0.600838
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 10735
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -932.491431
Acceptance Rate: 0.600628
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 10822
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -931.597529
Acceptance Rate: 0.600092
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 10915
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -930.774649
Acceptance Rate: 0.598911
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 11020
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -929.975444
Acceptance Rate: 0.598614
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 11109
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -929.147318
Acceptance Rate: 0.598214
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 11200
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -928.355187
Acceptance Rate: 0.597081
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 11305
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -927.592711
Acceptance Rate: 0.597067
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 11389
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -926.849820
Acceptance Rate: 0.597523
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 11464
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -926.175577
Acceptance Rate: 0.597454
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 11549
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -925.515502
Acceptance Rate: 0.597387
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 11634
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -924.899581
Acceptance Rate: 0.597729
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 11711
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -924.333119
Acceptance Rate: 0.597559
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 11798
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -923.766517
Acceptance Rate: 0.597492
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 11883
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -923.183784
Acceptance Rate: 0.597976
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 11957
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -922.622131
Acceptance Rate: 0.597659
Replacements: 7200
Total Samples: 12047
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -922.102701
Acceptance Rate: 0.597544
Replacements: 7250
Total Samples: 12133
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -921.614026
Acceptance Rate: 0.597528
Replacements: 7300
Total Samples: 12217
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -921.161245
Acceptance Rate: 0.597804
Replacements: 7350
Total Samples: 12295
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -920.736878
Acceptance Rate: 0.597304
Replacements: 7400
Total Samples: 12389
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -920.343285
Acceptance Rate: 0.598057
Replacements: 7450
Total Samples: 12457
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -919.954158
Acceptance Rate: 0.598134
Replacements: 7500
Total Samples: 12539
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -919.563618
Acceptance Rate: 0.598067
Replacements: 7550
Total Samples: 12624
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -919.188798
Acceptance Rate: 0.598614
Replacements: 7600
Total Samples: 12696
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -918.817297
Acceptance Rate: 0.598311
Replacements: 7650
Total Samples: 12786
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -918.450342
Acceptance Rate: 0.598384
Replacements: 7700
Total Samples: 12868
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -918.097015
Acceptance Rate: 0.598271
Replacements: 7750
Total Samples: 12954
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -917.753351
Acceptance Rate: 0.597426
Replacements: 7800
Total Samples: 13056
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -917.428395
Acceptance Rate: 0.597959
Replacements: 7850
Total Samples: 13128
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -917.130534
Acceptance Rate: 0.597987
Replacements: 7900
Total Samples: 13211
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -916.833453
Acceptance Rate: 0.598149
Replacements: 7950
Total Samples: 13291
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -916.540922
Acceptance Rate: 0.598265
Replacements: 8000
Total Samples: 13372
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -916.265748
Acceptance Rate: 0.597846
Replacements: 8050
Total Samples: 13465
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -916.004069
Acceptance Rate: 0.597698
Replacements: 8100
Total Samples: 13552
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -915.754293
Acceptance Rate: 0.597726
Replacements: 8150
Total Samples: 13635
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -915.515354
Acceptance Rate: 0.598104
Replacements: 8200
Total Samples: 13710
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -915.280576
Acceptance Rate: 0.598433
Replacements: 8250
Total Samples: 13786
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -915.049059
Acceptance Rate: 0.598716
Replacements: 8300
Total Samples: 13863
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -914.829422
Acceptance Rate: 0.598996
Replacements: 8350
Total Samples: 13940
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -914.627523
Acceptance Rate: 0.598760
Replacements: 8400
Total Samples: 14029
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -914.437056
Acceptance Rate: 0.598781
Replacements: 8450
Total Samples: 14112
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -914.258611
Acceptance Rate: 0.598802
Replacements: 8500
Total Samples: 14195
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -914.084031
Acceptance Rate: 0.599411
Replacements: 8550
Total Samples: 14264
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -913.905741
Acceptance Rate: 0.599930
Replacements: 8600
Total Samples: 14335
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -913.727082
Acceptance Rate: 0.600278
Replacements: 8650
Total Samples: 14410
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -913.552662
Acceptance Rate: 0.600663
Replacements: 8700
Total Samples: 14484
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -913.384167
Acceptance Rate: 0.601292
Replacements: 8750
Total Samples: 14552
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -913.227378
Acceptance Rate: 0.601463
Replacements: 8800
Total Samples: 14631
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -913.070387
Acceptance Rate: 0.601264
Replacements: 8850
Total Samples: 14719
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -912.912229
Acceptance Rate: 0.601677
Replacements: 8900
Total Samples: 14792
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -912.759311
Acceptance Rate: 0.601155
Replacements: 8950
Total Samples: 14888
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -912.607783
Acceptance Rate: 0.601524
Replacements: 9000
Total Samples: 14962
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -912.464205
Acceptance Rate: 0.601929
Replacements: 9050
Total Samples: 15035
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -912.324193
Acceptance Rate: 0.602170
Replacements: 9100
Total Samples: 15112
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -912.192328
Acceptance Rate: 0.602053
Replacements: 9150
Total Samples: 15198
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -912.064861
Acceptance Rate: 0.602055
Replacements: 9200
Total Samples: 15281
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -911.938893
Acceptance Rate: 0.601822
Replacements: 9250
Total Samples: 15370
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -911.816109
Acceptance Rate: 0.601747
Replacements: 9300
Total Samples: 15455
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -911.696498
Acceptance Rate: 0.601828
Replacements: 9350
Total Samples: 15536
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -911.580658
Acceptance Rate: 0.602062
Replacements: 9400
Total Samples: 15613
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -911.466672
Acceptance Rate: 0.601949
Replacements: 9450
Total Samples: 15699
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -911.359004
Acceptance Rate: 0.601913
Replacements: 9500
Total Samples: 15783
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -911.257148
Acceptance Rate: 0.601954
Replacements: 9550
Total Samples: 15865
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -911.160020
Acceptance Rate: 0.601956
Replacements: 9600
Total Samples: 15948
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -911.068689
Acceptance Rate: 0.601959
Replacements: 9650
Total Samples: 16031
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -910.982131
Acceptance Rate: 0.601924
Replacements: 9700
Total Samples: 16115
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -910.898490
Acceptance Rate: 0.602410
Replacements: 9750
Total Samples: 16185
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -910.820374
Acceptance Rate: 0.602299
Replacements: 9800
Total Samples: 16271
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -910.744560
Acceptance Rate: 0.602557
Replacements: 9850
Total Samples: 16347
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -910.671630
Acceptance Rate: 0.603070
Replacements: 9900
Total Samples: 16416
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -910.601957
Acceptance Rate: 0.603103
Replacements: 9950
Total Samples: 16498
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -910.531602
Acceptance Rate: 0.603865
Replacements: 10000
Total Samples: 16560
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -910.463796
Acceptance Rate: 0.604039
Replacements: 10050
Total Samples: 16638
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -910.399301
Acceptance Rate: 0.604754
Replacements: 10100
Total Samples: 16701
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -910.336784
Acceptance Rate: 0.604635
Replacements: 10150
Total Samples: 16787
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -910.276226
Acceptance Rate: 0.605018
Replacements: 10200
Total Samples: 16859
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -910.217893
Acceptance Rate: 0.605613
Replacements: 10250
Total Samples: 16925
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -910.161250
Acceptance Rate: 0.606132
Replacements: 10300
Total Samples: 16993
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -910.105975
Acceptance Rate: 0.606185
Replacements: 10350
Total Samples: 17074
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -910.052426
Acceptance Rate: 0.606202
Replacements: 10400
Total Samples: 17156
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -910.000792
Acceptance Rate: 0.606747
Replacements: 10450
Total Samples: 17223
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -909.951402
Acceptance Rate: 0.606761
Replacements: 10500
Total Samples: 17305
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -909.904791
Acceptance Rate: 0.607054
Replacements: 10550
Total Samples: 17379
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -909.860773
Acceptance Rate: 0.607241
Replacements: 10600
Total Samples: 17456
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -909.818283
Acceptance Rate: 0.607357
Replacements: 10650
Total Samples: 17535
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -909.777481
Acceptance Rate: 0.607506
Replacements: 10700
Total Samples: 17613
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -909.737709
Acceptance Rate: 0.607894
Replacements: 10750
Total Samples: 17684
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -909.699165
Acceptance Rate: 0.608074
Replacements: 10800
Total Samples: 17761
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -909.663282
Acceptance Rate: 0.608252
Replacements: 10850
Total Samples: 17838
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -909.629598
Acceptance Rate: 0.608361
Replacements: 10900
Total Samples: 17917
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -909.597587
Acceptance Rate: 0.608942
Replacements: 10950
Total Samples: 17982
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -909.566953
Acceptance Rate: 0.608575
Replacements: 11000
Total Samples: 18075
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -909.537846
Acceptance Rate: 0.608681
Replacements: 11050
Total Samples: 18154
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -909.510116
Acceptance Rate: 0.608553
Replacements: 11100
Total Samples: 18240
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -909.483985
Acceptance Rate: 0.608890
Replacements: 11150
Total Samples: 18312
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -909.459455
Acceptance Rate: 0.608828
Replacements: 11200
Total Samples: 18396
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -909.436340
Acceptance Rate: 0.608964
Replacements: 11250
Total Samples: 18474
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -909.414739
Acceptance Rate: 0.609164
Replacements: 11300
Total Samples: 18550
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -909.394439
Acceptance Rate: 0.609036
Replacements: 11350
Total Samples: 18636
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -909.375328
Acceptance Rate: 0.609300
Replacements: 11400
Total Samples: 18710
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -909.357394
Acceptance Rate: 0.609661
Replacements: 11447
Total Samples: 18776
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -909.341457
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt ln(ev)= -909.12971107162161 +/- 0.19075098388029296
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 18776
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (2.86 +0.06 +0.5) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | (-9.703 -0.016 +1.1) x 10^-1 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (4.16 -1.2 -0.10) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -1.77 +/- 0.07 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval2 | -288.088083 |
| n4_interval2 | -311.603623 |
| b0_interval2 | -323.673855 |
| total | -923.365560 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 1854.844435 |
| BIC | 1870.253253 |
| DIC | 1805.308463 |
| PDIC | 1.621140 |
| log(Z) | -394.830017 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.996377
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 552
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -102084.600323
Acceptance Rate: 0.981997
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 611
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3273.757296
Acceptance Rate: 0.948905
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 685
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1271.596208
Acceptance Rate: 0.930851
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 752
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1270.805406
Acceptance Rate: 0.896057
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 837
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1270.403600
Acceptance Rate: 0.869565
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 920
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1270.141672
Acceptance Rate: 0.846614
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 1004
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1269.952195
Acceptance Rate: 0.834106
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1079
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1269.806806
Acceptance Rate: 0.822511
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1155
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1269.690535
Acceptance Rate: 0.813670
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1229
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1269.594062
Acceptance Rate: 0.807071
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1301
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1269.510262
Acceptance Rate: 0.799419
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1376
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1269.428395
Acceptance Rate: 0.787671
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1460
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1269.334710
Acceptance Rate: 0.772201
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1554
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1269.181131
Acceptance Rate: 0.767813
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1628
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1268.869213
Acceptance Rate: 0.756694
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1718
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1267.791011
Acceptance Rate: 0.750000
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1800
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1264.972284
Acceptance Rate: 0.744681
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1880
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1260.820263
Acceptance Rate: 0.740552
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1958
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1253.395451
Acceptance Rate: 0.733855
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 2044
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1243.695274
Acceptance Rate: 0.729069
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2126
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1232.562087
Acceptance Rate: 0.723982
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2210
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1220.396064
Acceptance Rate: 0.718954
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2295
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1197.857531
Acceptance Rate: 0.716091
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2374
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1181.091236
Acceptance Rate: 0.712831
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2455
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1159.067673
Acceptance Rate: 0.709499
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2537
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1139.634295
Acceptance Rate: 0.707998
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2613
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1122.145903
Acceptance Rate: 0.707108
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2687
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1106.244476
Acceptance Rate: 0.703971
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2770
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1089.121547
Acceptance Rate: 0.704970
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2837
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1072.070911
Acceptance Rate: 0.703742
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2913
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1056.860432
Acceptance Rate: 0.699301
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 3003
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1040.905521
Acceptance Rate: 0.698279
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 3079
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1026.216890
Acceptance Rate: 0.697085
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3156
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1014.069146
Acceptance Rate: 0.692521
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3249
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1003.825560
Acceptance Rate: 0.690483
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3331
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -992.964123
Acceptance Rate: 0.686733
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3422
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -982.846602
Acceptance Rate: 0.684346
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3507
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -973.175913
Acceptance Rate: 0.682071
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3592
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -962.792201
Acceptance Rate: 0.681570
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3668
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -954.613173
Acceptance Rate: 0.677471
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3764
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -944.996435
Acceptance Rate: 0.676731
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3842
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -938.066965
Acceptance Rate: 0.674987
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3926
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -930.793693
Acceptance Rate: 0.673989
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 4006
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -923.536470
Acceptance Rate: 0.673524
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 4083
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -917.878365
Acceptance Rate: 0.673401
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4158
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -911.577827
Acceptance Rate: 0.670746
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4249
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -906.103431
Acceptance Rate: 0.668819
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4336
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -899.454526
Acceptance Rate: 0.668479
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4413
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -894.750783
Acceptance Rate: 0.667111
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4497
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -889.987933
Acceptance Rate: 0.664778
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4588
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -885.775808
Acceptance Rate: 0.660840
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4691
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -881.302647
Acceptance Rate: 0.659134
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4779
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -877.177409
Acceptance Rate: 0.656680
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4873
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -873.419884
Acceptance Rate: 0.652479
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 4981
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -869.730786
Acceptance Rate: 0.649478
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 5081
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -866.749266
Acceptance Rate: 0.646344
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5183
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -864.203406
Acceptance Rate: 0.645284
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5269
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -861.296411
Acceptance Rate: 0.641502
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5378
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -858.929364
Acceptance Rate: 0.640791
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5462
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -856.759508
Acceptance Rate: 0.639755
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5549
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -854.689861
Acceptance Rate: 0.638411
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5639
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -852.488835
Acceptance Rate: 0.635999
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5739
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -850.133413
Acceptance Rate: 0.635848
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5819
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -848.063357
Acceptance Rate: 0.633767
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 5917
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -846.240055
Acceptance Rate: 0.632069
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 6012
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -844.411818
Acceptance Rate: 0.628264
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 6128
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -842.958719
Acceptance Rate: 0.626305
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 6227
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -841.650332
Acceptance Rate: 0.624901
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6321
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -840.414051
Acceptance Rate: 0.622181
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6429
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -839.201854
Acceptance Rate: 0.619930
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6533
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -838.062598
Acceptance Rate: 0.619055
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6623
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -837.023885
Acceptance Rate: 0.617009
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6726
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -836.058771
Acceptance Rate: 0.616921
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6808
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -835.144879
Acceptance Rate: 0.615585
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 6904
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -834.306732
Acceptance Rate: 0.612710
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 7018
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -833.433986
Acceptance Rate: 0.609927
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 7132
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -832.712550
Acceptance Rate: 0.609587
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 7218
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -831.956934
Acceptance Rate: 0.609422
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 7302
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -831.289093
Acceptance Rate: 0.606960
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 7414
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -830.682729
Acceptance Rate: 0.605698
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7512
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -830.008293
Acceptance Rate: 0.605263
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7600
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -829.354397
Acceptance Rate: 0.604839
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7688
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -828.789972
Acceptance Rate: 0.604657
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7773
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -828.292067
Acceptance Rate: 0.602868
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 7879
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -827.847792
Acceptance Rate: 0.600826
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 7989
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -827.421991
Acceptance Rate: 0.600322
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 8079
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -826.998076
Acceptance Rate: 0.599169
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 8178
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -826.584145
Acceptance Rate: 0.598984
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 8264
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -826.217721
Acceptance Rate: 0.598301
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 8357
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -825.873069
Acceptance Rate: 0.596645
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 8464
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -825.557557
Acceptance Rate: 0.595655
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 8562
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -825.259410
Acceptance Rate: 0.594345
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 8665
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -824.983454
Acceptance Rate: 0.594014
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 8754
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -824.720346
Acceptance Rate: 0.593757
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 8842
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -824.460581
Acceptance Rate: 0.593107
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 8936
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -824.206775
Acceptance Rate: 0.593785
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 9010
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -823.956930
Acceptance Rate: 0.594452
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 9084
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -823.710698
Acceptance Rate: 0.594005
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 9175
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -823.463093
Acceptance Rate: 0.594145
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 9257
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -823.213725
Acceptance Rate: 0.593329
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 9354
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -822.955652
Acceptance Rate: 0.592781
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 9447
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -822.536949
Acceptance Rate: 0.591995
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 9544
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -821.985152
Acceptance Rate: 0.591655
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 9634
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -821.376941
Acceptance Rate: 0.591059
Replacements: 5751
Total Samples: 9730
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -820.635702
Acceptance Rate: 0.589225
Replacements: 5851
Total Samples: 9930
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.078725
Acceptance Rate: 0.588452
Replacements: 5921
Total Samples: 10062
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.306989
Acceptance Rate: 0.587119
Replacements: 5971
Total Samples: 10170
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.305316
Acceptance Rate: 0.587185
Replacements: 6021
Total Samples: 10254
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.301127
Acceptance Rate: 0.586400
Replacements: 6071
Total Samples: 10353
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.291189
Acceptance Rate: 0.586359
Replacements: 6121
Total Samples: 10439
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.271381
Acceptance Rate: 0.586541
Replacements: 6171
Total Samples: 10521
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.231129
Acceptance Rate: 0.586610
Replacements: 6221
Total Samples: 10605
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.159138
Acceptance Rate: 0.586952
Replacements: 6271
Total Samples: 10684
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.050123
Acceptance Rate: 0.587126
Replacements: 6321
Total Samples: 10766
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -811.856443
Acceptance Rate: 0.586594
Replacements: 6371
Total Samples: 10861
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -811.561963
Acceptance Rate: 0.587251
Replacements: 6421
Total Samples: 10934
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -811.188434
Acceptance Rate: 0.587738
Replacements: 6471
Total Samples: 11010
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -810.744957
Acceptance Rate: 0.587954
Replacements: 6521
Total Samples: 11091
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -810.259456
Acceptance Rate: 0.588641
Replacements: 6571
Total Samples: 11163
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -809.728002
Acceptance Rate: 0.588952
Replacements: 6621
Total Samples: 11242
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -809.207261
Acceptance Rate: 0.589259
Replacements: 6671
Total Samples: 11321
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -808.644683
Acceptance Rate: 0.589768
Replacements: 6721
Total Samples: 11396
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -808.033194
Acceptance Rate: 0.590117
Replacements: 6771
Total Samples: 11474
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -807.474483
Acceptance Rate: 0.591075
Replacements: 6821
Total Samples: 11540
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -806.909157
Acceptance Rate: 0.591054
Replacements: 6871
Total Samples: 11625
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -806.317780
Acceptance Rate: 0.591033
Replacements: 6921
Total Samples: 11710
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -805.760223
Acceptance Rate: 0.591314
Replacements: 6971
Total Samples: 11789
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -805.248385
Acceptance Rate: 0.591990
Replacements: 7021
Total Samples: 11860
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -804.781321
Acceptance Rate: 0.592608
Replacements: 7071
Total Samples: 11932
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -804.351800
Acceptance Rate: 0.593309
Replacements: 7147
Total Samples: 12046
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -802.666951
Acceptance Rate: 0.594016
Replacements: 7247
Total Samples: 12200
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -800.103002
Acceptance Rate: 0.595092
Replacements: 7347
Total Samples: 12346
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -799.209825
Acceptance Rate: 0.595502
Replacements: 7414
Total Samples: 12450
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -799.057819
Acceptance Rate: 0.595976
Replacements: 7464
Total Samples: 12524
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -799.049430
Acceptance Rate: 0.596397
Replacements: 7514
Total Samples: 12599
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -799.039390
Acceptance Rate: 0.597095
Replacements: 7564
Total Samples: 12668
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -799.026137
Acceptance Rate: 0.597551
Replacements: 7614
Total Samples: 12742
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -799.008962
Acceptance Rate: 0.597629
Replacements: 7664
Total Samples: 12824
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.988266
Acceptance Rate: 0.598263
Replacements: 7714
Total Samples: 12894
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.963146
Acceptance Rate: 0.598705
Replacements: 7764
Total Samples: 12968
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.933291
Acceptance Rate: 0.598820
Replacements: 7814
Total Samples: 13049
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.900408
Acceptance Rate: 0.599299
Replacements: 7864
Total Samples: 13122
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.864915
Acceptance Rate: 0.598956
Replacements: 7914
Total Samples: 13213
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.825888
Acceptance Rate: 0.599157
Replacements: 7964
Total Samples: 13292
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.783251
Acceptance Rate: 0.599671
Replacements: 8014
Total Samples: 13364
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.736678
Acceptance Rate: 0.600089
Replacements: 8064
Total Samples: 13438
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.683608
Acceptance Rate: 0.600059
Replacements: 8114
Total Samples: 13522
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.625874
Acceptance Rate: 0.599897
Replacements: 8164
Total Samples: 13609
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.563852
Acceptance Rate: 0.600088
Replacements: 8214
Total Samples: 13688
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.496413
Acceptance Rate: 0.600232
Replacements: 8264
Total Samples: 13768
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.423419
Acceptance Rate: 0.600766
Replacements: 8314
Total Samples: 13839
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.347828
Acceptance Rate: 0.601251
Replacements: 8364
Total Samples: 13911
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.269278
Acceptance Rate: 0.601860
Replacements: 8414
Total Samples: 13980
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.186164
Acceptance Rate: 0.602463
Replacements: 8464
Total Samples: 14049
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.101185
Acceptance Rate: 0.602804
Replacements: 8514
Total Samples: 14124
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.015246
Acceptance Rate: 0.603184
Replacements: 8564
Total Samples: 14198
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -797.928293
Acceptance Rate: 0.602968
Replacements: 8614
Total Samples: 14286
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -797.841728
Acceptance Rate: 0.603385
Replacements: 8664
Total Samples: 14359
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -797.756816
Acceptance Rate: 0.604216
Replacements: 8714
Total Samples: 14422
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -797.671045
Acceptance Rate: 0.604622
Replacements: 8764
Total Samples: 14495
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -797.586313
Acceptance Rate: 0.604859
Replacements: 8814
Total Samples: 14572
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -797.501195
Acceptance Rate: 0.605340
Replacements: 8864
Total Samples: 14643
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -797.414600
Acceptance Rate: 0.605160
Replacements: 8914
Total Samples: 14730
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -797.327320
Acceptance Rate: 0.605389
Replacements: 8964
Total Samples: 14807
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -797.241461
Acceptance Rate: 0.605576
Replacements: 9014
Total Samples: 14885
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -797.158804
Acceptance Rate: 0.606247
Replacements: 9064
Total Samples: 14951
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -797.079491
Acceptance Rate: 0.606589
Replacements: 9114
Total Samples: 15025
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -797.002515
Acceptance Rate: 0.606606
Replacements: 9164
Total Samples: 15107
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -796.929593
Acceptance Rate: 0.606903
Replacements: 9214
Total Samples: 15182
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -796.859282
Acceptance Rate: 0.607475
Replacements: 9264
Total Samples: 15250
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -796.790211
Acceptance Rate: 0.607924
Replacements: 9314
Total Samples: 15321
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -796.723104
Acceptance Rate: 0.608131
Replacements: 9364
Total Samples: 15398
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -796.657869
Acceptance Rate: 0.608336
Replacements: 9414
Total Samples: 15475
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -796.595458
Acceptance Rate: 0.608891
Replacements: 9464
Total Samples: 15543
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -796.536155
Acceptance Rate: 0.609325
Replacements: 9514
Total Samples: 15614
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -796.479849
Acceptance Rate: 0.609988
Replacements: 9564
Total Samples: 15679
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -796.427505
Acceptance Rate: 0.609948
Replacements: 9614
Total Samples: 15762
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -796.378347
Acceptance Rate: 0.610679
Replacements: 9664
Total Samples: 15825
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -796.331293
Acceptance Rate: 0.611174
Replacements: 9714
Total Samples: 15894
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -796.286875
Acceptance Rate: 0.611205
Replacements: 9764
Total Samples: 15975
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -796.244621
Acceptance Rate: 0.611502
Replacements: 9814
Total Samples: 16049
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -796.204860
Acceptance Rate: 0.612177
Replacements: 9864
Total Samples: 16113
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -796.167244
Acceptance Rate: 0.612694
Replacements: 9914
Total Samples: 16181
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -796.131725
Acceptance Rate: 0.613207
Replacements: 9964
Total Samples: 16249
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -796.097772
Acceptance Rate: 0.613904
Replacements: 10014
Total Samples: 16312
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -796.065762
Acceptance Rate: 0.614370
Replacements: 10064
Total Samples: 16381
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -796.036284
Acceptance Rate: 0.614497
Replacements: 10114
Total Samples: 16459
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -796.008537
Acceptance Rate: 0.614919
Replacements: 10164
Total Samples: 16529
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -795.982935
Acceptance Rate: 0.615450
Replacements: 10214
Total Samples: 16596
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -795.959296
Acceptance Rate: 0.616086
Replacements: 10264
Total Samples: 16660
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -795.937160
Acceptance Rate: 0.616571
Replacements: 10314
Total Samples: 16728
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -795.916442
Acceptance Rate: 0.616758
Replacements: 10364
Total Samples: 16804
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -795.897125
Acceptance Rate: 0.616943
Replacements: 10414
Total Samples: 16880
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -795.879314
Acceptance Rate: 0.616952
Replacements: 10416
Total Samples: 16883
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -795.878633
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -795.67079228161822 +/- 0.18103502644262220
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 16883
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (4.03 +0.07 +0.9) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | (-7.60 -0.20 +1.1) x 10^-1 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (1.96 -0.4 -0.08) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -1.841 +0.019 +0.13 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval3 | -241.980641 |
| n4_interval3 | -262.008852 |
| b0_interval3 | -298.329255 |
| total | -802.318748 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 1612.750810 |
| BIC | 1628.159628 |
| DIC | 1577.243795 |
| PDIC | 1.941352 |
| log(Z) | -345.555434 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.994575
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 553
Nested Sampling ln(Z): **************
Acceptance Rate: 0.986842
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 608
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -103931.101558
Acceptance Rate: 0.953079
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 682
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6235.062990
Acceptance Rate: 0.922266
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 759
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6233.131433
Acceptance Rate: 0.898204
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 835
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6232.558332
Acceptance Rate: 0.878156
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 911
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6232.225546
Acceptance Rate: 0.863821
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 984
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6231.997170
Acceptance Rate: 0.858779
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1048
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6231.826848
Acceptance Rate: 0.841453
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1129
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6231.691918
Acceptance Rate: 0.821693
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1217
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6231.577247
Acceptance Rate: 0.809561
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1297
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6231.466303
Acceptance Rate: 0.801749
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1372
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6231.321338
Acceptance Rate: 0.798611
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1440
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6230.881698
Acceptance Rate: 0.787402
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1524
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6228.294977
Acceptance Rate: 0.781250
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1600
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6222.790518
Acceptance Rate: 0.772430
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1683
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6206.953290
Acceptance Rate: 0.764439
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1766
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6187.710610
Acceptance Rate: 0.755124
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1854
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6165.772513
Acceptance Rate: 0.750906
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1931
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6128.930630
Acceptance Rate: 0.742942
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 2019
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6086.814315
Acceptance Rate: 0.744119
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2083
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6019.039733
Acceptance Rate: 0.742459
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2155
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5944.465995
Acceptance Rate: 0.737595
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2237
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5843.843643
Acceptance Rate: 0.736568
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2308
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5740.291925
Acceptance Rate: 0.732831
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2388
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5649.780549
Acceptance Rate: 0.732601
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2457
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5475.363985
Acceptance Rate: 0.734418
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2519
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5281.678829
Acceptance Rate: 0.731332
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2598
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5141.251783
Acceptance Rate: 0.727069
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2682
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4998.256622
Acceptance Rate: 0.725953
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2755
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4874.582038
Acceptance Rate: 0.723359
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2834
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4753.405833
Acceptance Rate: 0.720165
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 2916
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4627.886201
Acceptance Rate: 0.718103
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 2994
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4525.022978
Acceptance Rate: 0.714750
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3078
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4420.468080
Acceptance Rate: 0.712251
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3159
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4313.936163
Acceptance Rate: 0.709658
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3241
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4225.616544
Acceptance Rate: 0.708472
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3317
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4138.730728
Acceptance Rate: 0.706506
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3397
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4044.506201
Acceptance Rate: 0.703215
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3484
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3956.825540
Acceptance Rate: 0.702642
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3558
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3868.155591
Acceptance Rate: 0.701513
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3635
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3781.781322
Acceptance Rate: 0.698549
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3722
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3707.625853
Acceptance Rate: 0.696635
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3804
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3650.443462
Acceptance Rate: 0.693374
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 3894
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3596.332500
Acceptance Rate: 0.691302
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 3978
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3526.481376
Acceptance Rate: 0.687792
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4071
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3470.150616
Acceptance Rate: 0.683945
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4167
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3409.536393
Acceptance Rate: 0.682032
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4252
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3349.400767
Acceptance Rate: 0.679724
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4340
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3306.175838
Acceptance Rate: 0.675068
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4444
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3270.121549
Acceptance Rate: 0.672695
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4534
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3224.296496
Acceptance Rate: 0.669836
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4628
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3194.234260
Acceptance Rate: 0.667514
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4719
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3149.945276
Acceptance Rate: 0.665696
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4807
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3120.204487
Acceptance Rate: 0.664486
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 4891
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3085.815904
Acceptance Rate: 0.661986
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 4985
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3057.915882
Acceptance Rate: 0.660229
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5074
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3029.847486
Acceptance Rate: 0.656878
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5176
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3000.304367
Acceptance Rate: 0.655271
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5265
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2978.779695
Acceptance Rate: 0.653473
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5356
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2955.844835
Acceptance Rate: 0.648165
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5477
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2938.700688
Acceptance Rate: 0.644238
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5588
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2917.091969
Acceptance Rate: 0.643399
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5673
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2897.002639
Acceptance Rate: 0.641359
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5769
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2882.707916
Acceptance Rate: 0.638298
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 5875
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2865.948334
Acceptance Rate: 0.638226
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 5954
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2851.668130
Acceptance Rate: 0.636995
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 6044
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2838.146561
Acceptance Rate: 0.636527
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 6127
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2825.364410
Acceptance Rate: 0.635252
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6218
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2814.615089
Acceptance Rate: 0.635021
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6299
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2800.206006
Acceptance Rate: 0.633803
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6390
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2790.693940
Acceptance Rate: 0.632033
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6487
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2780.748537
Acceptance Rate: 0.630699
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6580
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2768.975786
Acceptance Rate: 0.629213
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6675
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2760.352044
Acceptance Rate: 0.629910
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 6747
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2748.757570
Acceptance Rate: 0.627279
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 6855
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2741.118357
Acceptance Rate: 0.625809
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 6951
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2733.407778
Acceptance Rate: 0.624734
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 7043
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2724.185751
Acceptance Rate: 0.623249
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 7140
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2717.072066
Acceptance Rate: 0.623010
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 7223
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2709.026156
Acceptance Rate: 0.621670
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7319
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2702.172816
Acceptance Rate: 0.620197
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7417
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2695.962435
Acceptance Rate: 0.617448
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7531
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2690.950326
Acceptance Rate: 0.616636
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7622
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2685.657659
Acceptance Rate: 0.615205
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 7721
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2681.218663
Acceptance Rate: 0.613027
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 7830
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2676.386555
Acceptance Rate: 0.611370
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 7933
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2670.839232
Acceptance Rate: 0.609756
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 8036
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2666.432237
Acceptance Rate: 0.608108
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 8140
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2662.763203
Acceptance Rate: 0.607533
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 8230
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2658.642805
Acceptance Rate: 0.605370
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 8342
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2654.778577
Acceptance Rate: 0.602766
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 8461
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2652.357995
Acceptance Rate: 0.602410
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 8549
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2648.627018
Acceptance Rate: 0.600739
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 8656
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2644.490850
Acceptance Rate: 0.600069
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 8749
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2640.361775
Acceptance Rate: 0.599548
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 8840
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2634.848316
Acceptance Rate: 0.599574
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 8923
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2622.156461
Acceptance Rate: 0.599135
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 9013
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2610.897608
Acceptance Rate: 0.598441
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 9107
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2602.276908
Acceptance Rate: 0.597826
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 9200
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2590.537304
Acceptance Rate: 0.597545
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 9288
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2579.820335
Acceptance Rate: 0.597843
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 9367
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2572.284489
Acceptance Rate: 0.597441
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 9457
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2563.294845
Acceptance Rate: 0.597171
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 9545
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2554.573666
Acceptance Rate: 0.596597
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 9638
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2543.810029
Acceptance Rate: 0.597015
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 9715
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2533.970676
Acceptance Rate: 0.597061
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 9798
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2526.697474
Acceptance Rate: 0.596985
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 9883
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2517.687514
Acceptance Rate: 0.597390
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 9960
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2508.943210
Acceptance Rate: 0.597253
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 10046
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2499.130705
Acceptance Rate: 0.597531
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 10125
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2490.509058
Acceptance Rate: 0.596635
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 10224
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2482.001353
Acceptance Rate: 0.597029
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 10301
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2473.499681
Acceptance Rate: 0.596555
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 10393
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2466.226333
Acceptance Rate: 0.595976
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 10487
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2457.998850
Acceptance Rate: 0.596647
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 10559
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2451.255429
Acceptance Rate: 0.596468
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 10646
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2444.078816
Acceptance Rate: 0.596737
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 10725
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2437.869678
Acceptance Rate: 0.597610
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 10793
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2432.133367
Acceptance Rate: 0.598251
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 10865
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2425.625978
Acceptance Rate: 0.598392
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 10946
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2419.933546
Acceptance Rate: 0.598260
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 11032
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2412.378221
Acceptance Rate: 0.597968
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 11121
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2405.502402
Acceptance Rate: 0.597627
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 11211
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2400.442010
Acceptance Rate: 0.597239
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 11302
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2395.454289
Acceptance Rate: 0.597067
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 11389
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2391.562117
Acceptance Rate: 0.597210
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 11470
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2387.053585
Acceptance Rate: 0.597403
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 11550
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2382.115031
Acceptance Rate: 0.597952
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 11623
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2376.797883
Acceptance Rate: 0.598546
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 11695
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2371.964034
Acceptance Rate: 0.598675
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 11776
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2368.935550
Acceptance Rate: 0.599055
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 11852
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2365.524052
Acceptance Rate: 0.599028
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 11936
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2361.648915
Acceptance Rate: 0.599451
Replacements: 7200
Total Samples: 12011
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2358.026017
Acceptance Rate: 0.599620
Replacements: 7250
Total Samples: 12091
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2354.374943
Acceptance Rate: 0.599639
Replacements: 7300
Total Samples: 12174
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2351.327818
Acceptance Rate: 0.599315
Replacements: 7350
Total Samples: 12264
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2348.486047
Acceptance Rate: 0.599433
Replacements: 7400
Total Samples: 12345
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2345.395320
Acceptance Rate: 0.599694
Replacements: 7450
Total Samples: 12423
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2342.970279
Acceptance Rate: 0.600480
Replacements: 7500
Total Samples: 12490
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2340.606261
Acceptance Rate: 0.600732
Replacements: 7550
Total Samples: 12568
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2338.108007
Acceptance Rate: 0.601742
Replacements: 7600
Total Samples: 12630
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2336.243284
Acceptance Rate: 0.601983
Replacements: 7650
Total Samples: 12708
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2333.913335
Acceptance Rate: 0.602410
Replacements: 7700
Total Samples: 12782
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2331.405478
Acceptance Rate: 0.602878
Replacements: 7750
Total Samples: 12855
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2329.246842
Acceptance Rate: 0.603528
Replacements: 7800
Total Samples: 12924
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2326.994820
Acceptance Rate: 0.604078
Replacements: 7850
Total Samples: 12995
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2324.891170
Acceptance Rate: 0.604160
Replacements: 7900
Total Samples: 13076
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2322.222769
Acceptance Rate: 0.604517
Replacements: 7950
Total Samples: 13151
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2320.229463
Acceptance Rate: 0.604641
Replacements: 8000
Total Samples: 13231
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2318.440970
Acceptance Rate: 0.604899
Replacements: 8050
Total Samples: 13308
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2316.236503
Acceptance Rate: 0.605110
Replacements: 8100
Total Samples: 13386
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2314.169175
Acceptance Rate: 0.605363
Replacements: 8150
Total Samples: 13463
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2312.230898
Acceptance Rate: 0.605613
Replacements: 8200
Total Samples: 13540
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2310.724856
Acceptance Rate: 0.605860
Replacements: 8250
Total Samples: 13617
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2309.113555
Acceptance Rate: 0.606105
Replacements: 8300
Total Samples: 13694
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2307.368403
Acceptance Rate: 0.606743
Replacements: 8350
Total Samples: 13762
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2305.677766
Acceptance Rate: 0.607156
Replacements: 8400
Total Samples: 13835
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2304.053181
Acceptance Rate: 0.607477
Replacements: 8450
Total Samples: 13910
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2302.577701
Acceptance Rate: 0.607881
Replacements: 8500
Total Samples: 13983
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2301.071081
Acceptance Rate: 0.608108
Replacements: 8550
Total Samples: 14060
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2299.739559
Acceptance Rate: 0.608247
Replacements: 8600
Total Samples: 14139
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2298.305211
Acceptance Rate: 0.608512
Replacements: 8650
Total Samples: 14215
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2296.916164
Acceptance Rate: 0.608775
Replacements: 8700
Total Samples: 14291
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2295.661589
Acceptance Rate: 0.608738
Replacements: 8750
Total Samples: 14374
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2294.548674
Acceptance Rate: 0.609376
Replacements: 8800
Total Samples: 14441
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2293.546064
Acceptance Rate: 0.609336
Replacements: 8850
Total Samples: 14524
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2292.346341
Acceptance Rate: 0.609631
Replacements: 8900
Total Samples: 14599
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2291.297193
Acceptance Rate: 0.609548
Replacements: 8950
Total Samples: 14683
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2290.306248
Acceptance Rate: 0.610252
Replacements: 9000
Total Samples: 14748
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2289.272665
Acceptance Rate: 0.610496
Replacements: 9050
Total Samples: 14824
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2288.330295
Acceptance Rate: 0.610124
Replacements: 9100
Total Samples: 14915
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2287.383660
Acceptance Rate: 0.610203
Replacements: 9150
Total Samples: 14995
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2286.417902
Acceptance Rate: 0.610606
Replacements: 9200
Total Samples: 15067
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2285.513018
Acceptance Rate: 0.610239
Replacements: 9250
Total Samples: 15158
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2284.748366
Acceptance Rate: 0.610236
Replacements: 9300
Total Samples: 15240
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2283.969355
Acceptance Rate: 0.610234
Replacements: 9350
Total Samples: 15322
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2283.218179
Acceptance Rate: 0.610469
Replacements: 9400
Total Samples: 15398
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2282.511111
Acceptance Rate: 0.610268
Replacements: 9450
Total Samples: 15485
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2281.777160
Acceptance Rate: 0.610697
Replacements: 9500
Total Samples: 15556
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2281.124594
Acceptance Rate: 0.610848
Replacements: 9550
Total Samples: 15634
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2280.517871
Acceptance Rate: 0.610299
Replacements: 9600
Total Samples: 15730
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2279.921727
Acceptance Rate: 0.610064
Replacements: 9650
Total Samples: 15818
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2279.330087
Acceptance Rate: 0.610178
Replacements: 9700
Total Samples: 15897
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2278.752473
Acceptance Rate: 0.610443
Replacements: 9750
Total Samples: 15972
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2278.220059
Acceptance Rate: 0.610250
Replacements: 9800
Total Samples: 16059
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2277.750094
Acceptance Rate: 0.610323
Replacements: 9850
Total Samples: 16139
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2277.270570
Acceptance Rate: 0.610508
Replacements: 9900
Total Samples: 16216
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2276.834279
Acceptance Rate: 0.610992
Replacements: 9950
Total Samples: 16285
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2276.410374
Acceptance Rate: 0.611135
Replacements: 10000
Total Samples: 16363
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2276.012046
Acceptance Rate: 0.610979
Replacements: 10050
Total Samples: 16449
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2275.652197
Acceptance Rate: 0.610678
Replacements: 10100
Total Samples: 16539
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2275.333904
Acceptance Rate: 0.610490
Replacements: 10150
Total Samples: 16626
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2275.042215
Acceptance Rate: 0.610303
Replacements: 10200
Total Samples: 16713
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2274.764695
Acceptance Rate: 0.610555
Replacements: 10250
Total Samples: 16788
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2274.496943
Acceptance Rate: 0.611022
Replacements: 10300
Total Samples: 16857
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2274.240341
Acceptance Rate: 0.611269
Replacements: 10350
Total Samples: 16932
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2273.993181
Acceptance Rate: 0.611046
Replacements: 10400
Total Samples: 17020
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2273.763143
Acceptance Rate: 0.610790
Replacements: 10450
Total Samples: 17109
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2273.549015
Acceptance Rate: 0.610678
Replacements: 10500
Total Samples: 17194
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2273.348848
Acceptance Rate: 0.610744
Replacements: 10550
Total Samples: 17274
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2273.164450
Acceptance Rate: 0.610845
Replacements: 10600
Total Samples: 17353
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2272.995929
Acceptance Rate: 0.610875
Replacements: 10650
Total Samples: 17434
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2272.840950
Acceptance Rate: 0.610800
Replacements: 10700
Total Samples: 17518
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2272.698054
Acceptance Rate: 0.610622
Replacements: 10750
Total Samples: 17605
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2272.567863
Acceptance Rate: 0.610687
Replacements: 10800
Total Samples: 17685
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2272.448335
Acceptance Rate: 0.610923
Replacements: 10850
Total Samples: 17760
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2272.337789
Acceptance Rate: 0.610507
Replacements: 10900
Total Samples: 17854
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2272.235895
Acceptance Rate: 0.609926
Replacements: 10950
Total Samples: 17953
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2272.141263
Acceptance Rate: 0.608879
Replacements: 11000
Total Samples: 18066
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2272.052304
Acceptance Rate: 0.608581
Replacements: 11050
Total Samples: 18157
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.969476
Acceptance Rate: 0.608553
Replacements: 11100
Total Samples: 18240
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.891491
Acceptance Rate: 0.608425
Replacements: 11150
Total Samples: 18326
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.817747
Acceptance Rate: 0.607771
Replacements: 11200
Total Samples: 18428
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.749878
Acceptance Rate: 0.607025
Replacements: 11250
Total Samples: 18533
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.687323
Acceptance Rate: 0.606451
Replacements: 11300
Total Samples: 18633
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.628835
Acceptance Rate: 0.606401
Replacements: 11350
Total Samples: 18717
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.574836
Acceptance Rate: 0.606673
Replacements: 11400
Total Samples: 18791
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.525022
Acceptance Rate: 0.605820
Replacements: 11450
Total Samples: 18900
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.478326
Acceptance Rate: 0.605486
Replacements: 11500
Total Samples: 18993
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.434305
Acceptance Rate: 0.604807
Replacements: 11550
Total Samples: 19097
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.393882
Acceptance Rate: 0.604639
Replacements: 11600
Total Samples: 19185
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.356414
Acceptance Rate: 0.604441
Replacements: 11650
Total Samples: 19274
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.321849
Acceptance Rate: 0.604245
Replacements: 11700
Total Samples: 19363
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.290054
Acceptance Rate: 0.604020
Replacements: 11750
Total Samples: 19453
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.260503
Acceptance Rate: 0.603766
Replacements: 11800
Total Samples: 19544
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.233399
Acceptance Rate: 0.602931
Replacements: 11850
Total Samples: 19654
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.208314
Acceptance Rate: 0.602202
Replacements: 11867
Total Samples: 19706
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.200256
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -2270.9260391006305 +/- 0.20017207139382201
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 19706
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (2.04 -0.08 +0.11) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | (-9.84 -0.30 +0.34) x 10^-1 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (4.0 -0.4 +0.5) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -1.94 -0.14 +0.04 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval4 | -756.921880 |
| n4_interval4 | -746.933211 |
| b0_interval4 | -778.518479 |
| total | -2282.373570 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 4572.860455 |
| BIC | 4588.269272 |
| DIC | 4526.921854 |
| PDIC | 3.050377 |
| log(Z) | -986.250648 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.985663
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 558
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -407129.886233
Acceptance Rate: 0.972447
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 617
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -20568.993750
Acceptance Rate: 0.948905
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 685
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3700.931294
Acceptance Rate: 0.927152
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 755
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3699.978238
Acceptance Rate: 0.896057
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 837
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3699.536121
Acceptance Rate: 0.885936
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 903
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3699.255909
Acceptance Rate: 0.880829
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 965
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3699.055899
Acceptance Rate: 0.865385
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1040
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3698.903387
Acceptance Rate: 0.848972
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1119
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3698.780350
Acceptance Rate: 0.836120
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1196
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3698.674118
Acceptance Rate: 0.827423
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1269
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3698.576369
Acceptance Rate: 0.820283
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1341
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3698.461514
Acceptance Rate: 0.813871
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1413
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3698.249258
Acceptance Rate: 0.805910
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1489
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3697.543153
Acceptance Rate: 0.801796
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1559
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3694.121606
Acceptance Rate: 0.789314
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1647
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3686.855623
Acceptance Rate: 0.784428
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1721
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3678.213692
Acceptance Rate: 0.777346
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1801
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3663.157954
Acceptance Rate: 0.774159
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1873
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3646.861043
Acceptance Rate: 0.773595
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 1939
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3620.447392
Acceptance Rate: 0.767707
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2019
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3578.893722
Acceptance Rate: 0.762631
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2098
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3537.613699
Acceptance Rate: 0.763535
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2161
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3483.872152
Acceptance Rate: 0.760967
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2234
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3424.121458
Acceptance Rate: 0.757904
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2309
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3337.421634
Acceptance Rate: 0.755350
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2383
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3260.620135
Acceptance Rate: 0.752033
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2460
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3195.645653
Acceptance Rate: 0.753370
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2522
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3129.273024
Acceptance Rate: 0.752896
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2590
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3038.964682
Acceptance Rate: 0.749344
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2669
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2963.463666
Acceptance Rate: 0.745455
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2750
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2888.027939
Acceptance Rate: 0.744681
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 2820
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2840.845331
Acceptance Rate: 0.742403
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 2896
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2771.529168
Acceptance Rate: 0.738751
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 2978
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2712.591819
Acceptance Rate: 0.735294
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3060
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2665.050669
Acceptance Rate: 0.731087
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3146
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2613.684639
Acceptance Rate: 0.728005
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3228
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2564.503855
Acceptance Rate: 0.728597
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3294
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2514.258799
Acceptance Rate: 0.726356
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3373
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2471.542237
Acceptance Rate: 0.723589
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3455
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2435.711496
Acceptance Rate: 0.720339
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3540
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2384.709645
Acceptance Rate: 0.719424
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3614
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2345.497372
Acceptance Rate: 0.715250
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3705
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2311.150973
Acceptance Rate: 0.714286
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 3780
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2273.766678
Acceptance Rate: 0.707851
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 3885
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2249.104575
Acceptance Rate: 0.703694
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 3979
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2220.711818
Acceptance Rate: 0.701625
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4062
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2192.020326
Acceptance Rate: 0.699976
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4143
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2161.934043
Acceptance Rate: 0.697235
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4231
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2140.714511
Acceptance Rate: 0.694927
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4317
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2116.628032
Acceptance Rate: 0.690670
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4416
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2096.529181
Acceptance Rate: 0.685386
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4523
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2073.774202
Acceptance Rate: 0.680934
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4626
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2056.693545
Acceptance Rate: 0.676247
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4732
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2037.830732
Acceptance Rate: 0.672739
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 4831
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2024.207969
Acceptance Rate: 0.667341
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 4945
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2010.073866
Acceptance Rate: 0.664419
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5042
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1994.386413
Acceptance Rate: 0.661865
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5137
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1979.768084
Acceptance Rate: 0.657644
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5246
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1965.109319
Acceptance Rate: 0.653961
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5352
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1954.216057
Acceptance Rate: 0.652094
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5444
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1943.365340
Acceptance Rate: 0.651348
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5527
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1934.556378
Acceptance Rate: 0.649813
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5617
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1925.879350
Acceptance Rate: 0.647873
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5711
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1916.373119
Acceptance Rate: 0.646329
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 5802
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1907.774906
Acceptance Rate: 0.644395
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 5897
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1899.829490
Acceptance Rate: 0.642202
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 5995
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1892.448590
Acceptance Rate: 0.641026
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 6084
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1886.486812
Acceptance Rate: 0.638952
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6182
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.654244
Acceptance Rate: 0.634618
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6303
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1873.981849
Acceptance Rate: 0.632022
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6408
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1869.064468
Acceptance Rate: 0.630963
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6498
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1862.953867
Acceptance Rate: 0.629169
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6596
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1858.134393
Acceptance Rate: 0.626866
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6700
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1852.989712
Acceptance Rate: 0.624357
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 6807
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1849.589258
Acceptance Rate: 0.622016
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 6913
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1846.035443
Acceptance Rate: 0.619658
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 7020
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1842.573705
Acceptance Rate: 0.617111
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 7130
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1839.230367
Acceptance Rate: 0.616685
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 7216
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1836.193112
Acceptance Rate: 0.615427
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 7312
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1832.577634
Acceptance Rate: 0.614699
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7402
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1829.251795
Acceptance Rate: 0.613579
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7497
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1826.468778
Acceptance Rate: 0.613133
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7584
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1824.057933
Acceptance Rate: 0.610945
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7693
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1820.989930
Acceptance Rate: 0.610697
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 7778
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1818.935957
Acceptance Rate: 0.609756
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 7872
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1816.577400
Acceptance Rate: 0.609067
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 7963
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1814.221734
Acceptance Rate: 0.608923
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 8047
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1812.414254
Acceptance Rate: 0.607287
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 8151
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1810.239066
Acceptance Rate: 0.606428
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 8245
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1808.581706
Acceptance Rate: 0.606024
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 8333
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1806.897576
Acceptance Rate: 0.604624
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 8435
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1805.036935
Acceptance Rate: 0.604247
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 8523
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1803.466738
Acceptance Rate: 0.603248
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 8620
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1801.875085
Acceptance Rate: 0.601788
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 8724
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1800.017936
Acceptance Rate: 0.600703
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 8823
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1798.277903
Acceptance Rate: 0.599373
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 8926
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1796.579528
Acceptance Rate: 0.599401
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 9009
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1792.207648
Acceptance Rate: 0.598178
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 9111
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1787.593659
Acceptance Rate: 0.596659
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 9218
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1781.863086
Acceptance Rate: 0.596838
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 9299
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1776.862299
Acceptance Rate: 0.596570
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 9387
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1770.901531
Acceptance Rate: 0.596684
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 9469
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1764.764761
Acceptance Rate: 0.595425
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 9573
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1758.632667
Acceptance Rate: 0.594623
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 9670
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1753.359472
Acceptance Rate: 0.594506
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 9756
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1748.071738
Acceptance Rate: 0.594029
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 9848
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1742.776501
Acceptance Rate: 0.594039
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 9932
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1737.331916
Acceptance Rate: 0.594168
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 10014
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1732.195974
Acceptance Rate: 0.593589
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 10108
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1725.981653
Acceptance Rate: 0.593486
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 10194
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1720.136158
Acceptance Rate: 0.593443
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 10279
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1714.212630
Acceptance Rate: 0.593400
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 10364
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1709.412632
Acceptance Rate: 0.593415
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 10448
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1705.143099
Acceptance Rate: 0.593599
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 10529
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1700.230101
Acceptance Rate: 0.593779
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 10610
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1694.643837
Acceptance Rate: 0.594124
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 10688
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1689.126474
Acceptance Rate: 0.594133
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 10772
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1684.999227
Acceptance Rate: 0.594087
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 10857
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1680.877410
Acceptance Rate: 0.594259
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 10938
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1677.353188
Acceptance Rate: 0.593351
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 11039
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1672.945737
Acceptance Rate: 0.593525
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 11120
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1669.689725
Acceptance Rate: 0.594281
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 11190
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1666.731634
Acceptance Rate: 0.593603
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 11287
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1663.253891
Acceptance Rate: 0.594138
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 11361
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1660.471329
Acceptance Rate: 0.593938
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 11449
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1657.539830
Acceptance Rate: 0.593639
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 11539
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1654.555326
Acceptance Rate: 0.593089
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 11634
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1651.884853
Acceptance Rate: 0.593206
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 11716
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1649.410774
Acceptance Rate: 0.593220
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 11800
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1646.276242
Acceptance Rate: 0.593285
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 11883
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1643.632114
Acceptance Rate: 0.593794
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 11957
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1640.871756
Acceptance Rate: 0.594298
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 12031
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1637.872161
Acceptance Rate: 0.593619
Replacements: 7200
Total Samples: 12129
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1635.055043
Acceptance Rate: 0.593193
Replacements: 7250
Total Samples: 12222
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1632.125317
Acceptance Rate: 0.592869
Replacements: 7300
Total Samples: 12313
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1630.100774
Acceptance Rate: 0.592694
Replacements: 7350
Total Samples: 12401
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1627.946665
Acceptance Rate: 0.592569
Replacements: 7400
Total Samples: 12488
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1625.876648
Acceptance Rate: 0.591975
Replacements: 7450
Total Samples: 12585
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1623.812746
Acceptance Rate: 0.592323
Replacements: 7500
Total Samples: 12662
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1621.441825
Acceptance Rate: 0.592668
Replacements: 7550
Total Samples: 12739
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1619.152855
Acceptance Rate: 0.591808
Replacements: 7600
Total Samples: 12842
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1617.201485
Acceptance Rate: 0.591876
Replacements: 7650
Total Samples: 12925
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1615.269909
Acceptance Rate: 0.591625
Replacements: 7700
Total Samples: 13015
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1613.474989
Acceptance Rate: 0.592010
Replacements: 7750
Total Samples: 13091
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1611.392583
Acceptance Rate: 0.592255
Replacements: 7800
Total Samples: 13170
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1609.525663
Acceptance Rate: 0.591961
Replacements: 7850
Total Samples: 13261
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1607.862211
Acceptance Rate: 0.591627
Replacements: 7900
Total Samples: 13353
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1606.434154
Acceptance Rate: 0.592179
Replacements: 7950
Total Samples: 13425
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1605.182125
Acceptance Rate: 0.591935
Replacements: 8000
Total Samples: 13515
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1603.649126
Acceptance Rate: 0.591912
Replacements: 8050
Total Samples: 13600
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1602.433503
Acceptance Rate: 0.591846
Replacements: 8100
Total Samples: 13686
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1601.162666
Acceptance Rate: 0.591351
Replacements: 8150
Total Samples: 13782
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1599.944348
Acceptance Rate: 0.591972
Replacements: 8200
Total Samples: 13852
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1598.798080
Acceptance Rate: 0.592034
Replacements: 8250
Total Samples: 13935
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1597.629019
Acceptance Rate: 0.592349
Replacements: 8300
Total Samples: 14012
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1596.564205
Acceptance Rate: 0.591947
Replacements: 8350
Total Samples: 14106
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1595.467078
Acceptance Rate: 0.592342
Replacements: 8400
Total Samples: 14181
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1594.376074
Acceptance Rate: 0.593107
Replacements: 8450
Total Samples: 14247
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1593.393331
Acceptance Rate: 0.593368
Replacements: 8500
Total Samples: 14325
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1592.480531
Acceptance Rate: 0.593668
Replacements: 8550
Total Samples: 14402
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1591.628948
Acceptance Rate: 0.593472
Replacements: 8600
Total Samples: 14491
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1590.748307
Acceptance Rate: 0.593238
Replacements: 8650
Total Samples: 14581
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1589.860173
Acceptance Rate: 0.592603
Replacements: 8700
Total Samples: 14681
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1588.967830
Acceptance Rate: 0.591736
Replacements: 8750
Total Samples: 14787
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1588.018535
Acceptance Rate: 0.591557
Replacements: 8800
Total Samples: 14876
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1587.142965
Acceptance Rate: 0.591459
Replacements: 8850
Total Samples: 14963
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1586.393180
Acceptance Rate: 0.591755
Replacements: 8900
Total Samples: 15040
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1585.694670
Acceptance Rate: 0.591188
Replacements: 8950
Total Samples: 15139
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1585.021158
Acceptance Rate: 0.591172
Replacements: 9000
Total Samples: 15224
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1584.448035
Acceptance Rate: 0.590963
Replacements: 9050
Total Samples: 15314
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1583.895371
Acceptance Rate: 0.590564
Replacements: 9100
Total Samples: 15409
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1583.349314
Acceptance Rate: 0.590170
Replacements: 9150
Total Samples: 15504
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1582.878751
Acceptance Rate: 0.589744
Replacements: 9200
Total Samples: 15600
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1582.455490
Acceptance Rate: 0.589886
Replacements: 9250
Total Samples: 15681
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1582.051380
Acceptance Rate: 0.589428
Replacements: 9300
Total Samples: 15778
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1581.647158
Acceptance Rate: 0.589088
Replacements: 9350
Total Samples: 15872
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1581.275884
Acceptance Rate: 0.588456
Replacements: 9400
Total Samples: 15974
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1580.920373
Acceptance Rate: 0.587650
Replacements: 9450
Total Samples: 16081
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1580.584520
Acceptance Rate: 0.587435
Replacements: 9500
Total Samples: 16172
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1580.276877
Acceptance Rate: 0.586934
Replacements: 9550
Total Samples: 16271
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1579.980598
Acceptance Rate: 0.586439
Replacements: 9600
Total Samples: 16370
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1579.705791
Acceptance Rate: 0.585629
Replacements: 9650
Total Samples: 16478
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1579.446278
Acceptance Rate: 0.584972
Replacements: 9700
Total Samples: 16582
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1579.196875
Acceptance Rate: 0.584813
Replacements: 9750
Total Samples: 16672
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1578.942599
Acceptance Rate: 0.584726
Replacements: 9800
Total Samples: 16760
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1578.690058
Acceptance Rate: 0.584292
Replacements: 9850
Total Samples: 16858
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1578.427418
Acceptance Rate: 0.583933
Replacements: 9900
Total Samples: 16954
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1578.176358
Acceptance Rate: 0.583749
Replacements: 9950
Total Samples: 17045
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1577.937360
Acceptance Rate: 0.583056
Replacements: 10000
Total Samples: 17151
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1577.709005
Acceptance Rate: 0.582170
Replacements: 10050
Total Samples: 17263
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1577.491160
Acceptance Rate: 0.581630
Replacements: 10100
Total Samples: 17365
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1577.295255
Acceptance Rate: 0.580929
Replacements: 10150
Total Samples: 17472
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1577.121899
Acceptance Rate: 0.580535
Replacements: 10200
Total Samples: 17570
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1576.957823
Acceptance Rate: 0.579587
Replacements: 10250
Total Samples: 17685
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1576.803591
Acceptance Rate: 0.578847
Replacements: 10300
Total Samples: 17794
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1576.659745
Acceptance Rate: 0.578762
Replacements: 10350
Total Samples: 17883
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1576.526085
Acceptance Rate: 0.578775
Replacements: 10400
Total Samples: 17969
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1576.394107
Acceptance Rate: 0.578211
Replacements: 10450
Total Samples: 18073
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1576.267434
Acceptance Rate: 0.577304
Replacements: 10500
Total Samples: 18188
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1576.147491
Acceptance Rate: 0.576818
Replacements: 10550
Total Samples: 18290
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1576.035388
Acceptance Rate: 0.576244
Replacements: 10600
Total Samples: 18395
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.930819
Acceptance Rate: 0.575831
Replacements: 10650
Total Samples: 18495
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.832236
Acceptance Rate: 0.575547
Replacements: 10700
Total Samples: 18591
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.738443
Acceptance Rate: 0.574897
Replacements: 10750
Total Samples: 18699
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.652047
Acceptance Rate: 0.574102
Replacements: 10800
Total Samples: 18812
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.569689
Acceptance Rate: 0.574135
Replacements: 10850
Total Samples: 18898
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.492473
Acceptance Rate: 0.574289
Replacements: 10900
Total Samples: 18980
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.421367
Acceptance Rate: 0.574200
Replacements: 10950
Total Samples: 19070
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.354739
Acceptance Rate: 0.574383
Replacements: 11000
Total Samples: 19151
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.292749
Acceptance Rate: 0.573817
Replacements: 11050
Total Samples: 19257
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.234171
Acceptance Rate: 0.573940
Replacements: 11100
Total Samples: 19340
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.178459
Acceptance Rate: 0.573884
Replacements: 11150
Total Samples: 19429
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.125257
Acceptance Rate: 0.573565
Replacements: 11200
Total Samples: 19527
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.075477
Acceptance Rate: 0.573307
Replacements: 11250
Total Samples: 19623
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.029253
Acceptance Rate: 0.573168
Replacements: 11300
Total Samples: 19715
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.986397
Acceptance Rate: 0.573001
Replacements: 11350
Total Samples: 19808
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.946367
Acceptance Rate: 0.573527
Replacements: 11400
Total Samples: 19877
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.908845
Acceptance Rate: 0.573475
Replacements: 11450
Total Samples: 19966
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.873684
Acceptance Rate: 0.573766
Replacements: 11500
Total Samples: 20043
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.841180
Acceptance Rate: 0.573400
Replacements: 11550
Total Samples: 20143
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.811226
Acceptance Rate: 0.573888
Replacements: 11600
Total Samples: 20213
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.783529
Acceptance Rate: 0.574090
Replacements: 11650
Total Samples: 20293
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.758005
Acceptance Rate: 0.574459
Replacements: 11700
Total Samples: 20367
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.734545
Acceptance Rate: 0.574430
Replacements: 11731
Total Samples: 20422
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.721018
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -1574.4646589045080 +/- 0.19777649892397495
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 20422
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (2.80 -0.13 +0.24) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | (-9.1 -0.4 +0.5) x 10^-1 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (4.2 -0.6 +0.4) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -2.130 +0.031 +0.17 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval5 | -523.644381 |
| n4_interval5 | -527.623859 |
| b0_interval5 | -536.713799 |
| total | -1587.982038 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 3184.077391 |
| BIC | 3199.486209 |
| DIC | 3135.335889 |
| PDIC | 2.598212 |
| log(Z) | -683.781313 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 1.000000
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 550
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -533559.931328
Acceptance Rate: 0.988468
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 607
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -17817.573659
Acceptance Rate: 0.964392
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 674
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3559.301314
Acceptance Rate: 0.945946
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 740
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3558.097798
Acceptance Rate: 0.909091
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 825
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3557.607208
Acceptance Rate: 0.888889
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 900
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3557.306437
Acceptance Rate: 0.875386
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 971
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3557.095194
Acceptance Rate: 0.861244
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1045
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3556.935761
Acceptance Rate: 0.851254
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1116
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3556.808929
Acceptance Rate: 0.841043
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1189
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3556.702266
Acceptance Rate: 0.830040
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1265
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3556.605258
Acceptance Rate: 0.815419
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1349
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3556.497044
Acceptance Rate: 0.809289
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1421
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3556.319156
Acceptance Rate: 0.797872
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1504
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3555.594360
Acceptance Rate: 0.785669
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1591
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3551.701901
Acceptance Rate: 0.780781
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1665
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3543.365719
Acceptance Rate: 0.775416
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1741
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3530.579277
Acceptance Rate: 0.765446
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1829
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3512.073460
Acceptance Rate: 0.761155
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1905
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3489.828741
Acceptance Rate: 0.757193
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 1981
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3459.380227
Acceptance Rate: 0.749879
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2067
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3420.860291
Acceptance Rate: 0.744532
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2149
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3369.450317
Acceptance Rate: 0.741240
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2226
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3301.125112
Acceptance Rate: 0.738168
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2303
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3232.315439
Acceptance Rate: 0.728560
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2402
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3160.647316
Acceptance Rate: 0.724930
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2483
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.305875
Acceptance Rate: 0.723221
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2558
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3043.814897
Acceptance Rate: 0.721063
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2635
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2979.085891
Acceptance Rate: 0.717968
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2716
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2910.759713
Acceptance Rate: 0.712758
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2806
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2858.768155
Acceptance Rate: 0.710326
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2886
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2797.193279
Acceptance Rate: 0.708263
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 2965
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2752.291026
Acceptance Rate: 0.706772
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 3042
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2702.769130
Acceptance Rate: 0.701083
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3138
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2656.650982
Acceptance Rate: 0.700935
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3210
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2613.995879
Acceptance Rate: 0.698027
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3295
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2572.592914
Acceptance Rate: 0.695884
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3377
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2531.748613
Acceptance Rate: 0.694244
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3457
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2489.036160
Acceptance Rate: 0.690530
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3548
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2448.863533
Acceptance Rate: 0.689085
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3628
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2417.220598
Acceptance Rate: 0.686406
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3715
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2384.885058
Acceptance Rate: 0.683671
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3803
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2351.487987
Acceptance Rate: 0.677576
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3911
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2327.999828
Acceptance Rate: 0.676692
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 3990
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2297.783479
Acceptance Rate: 0.674350
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 4078
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2267.311659
Acceptance Rate: 0.671624
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4169
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2236.301310
Acceptance Rate: 0.668230
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4265
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2216.365571
Acceptance Rate: 0.664376
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4365
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2198.219690
Acceptance Rate: 0.663518
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4446
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2180.793586
Acceptance Rate: 0.660357
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4543
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2160.729541
Acceptance Rate: 0.658179
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4634
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2144.495597
Acceptance Rate: 0.656362
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4723
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2130.500028
Acceptance Rate: 0.653256
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4822
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2114.791372
Acceptance Rate: 0.650142
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4922
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2100.681145
Acceptance Rate: 0.645866
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 5032
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2087.548858
Acceptance Rate: 0.644783
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 5118
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2077.564836
Acceptance Rate: 0.645223
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5192
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2065.929731
Acceptance Rate: 0.643817
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5281
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2054.481395
Acceptance Rate: 0.641383
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5379
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2041.568725
Acceptance Rate: 0.638337
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5483
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2031.323886
Acceptance Rate: 0.636429
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5578
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2022.489637
Acceptance Rate: 0.633914
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5679
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2013.946251
Acceptance Rate: 0.633901
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5758
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2006.034104
Acceptance Rate: 0.633779
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5838
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1996.996838
Acceptance Rate: 0.631313
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 5940
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1990.014151
Acceptance Rate: 0.629139
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 6040
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1983.809207
Acceptance Rate: 0.627342
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 6137
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1978.072721
Acceptance Rate: 0.625301
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 6237
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1973.327049
Acceptance Rate: 0.621069
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6360
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1967.944357
Acceptance Rate: 0.619771
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6454
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1962.665736
Acceptance Rate: 0.617284
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6561
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1958.056908
Acceptance Rate: 0.614969
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6667
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1954.017813
Acceptance Rate: 0.613542
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6764
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1950.751566
Acceptance Rate: 0.611443
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6869
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1947.475393
Acceptance Rate: 0.609057
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 6978
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1944.377049
Acceptance Rate: 0.606488
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 7090
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.759244
Acceptance Rate: 0.601660
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 7230
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1937.941702
Acceptance Rate: 0.599047
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 7345
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1935.373988
Acceptance Rate: 0.597396
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 7449
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1932.932249
Acceptance Rate: 0.594923
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 7564
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1930.255417
Acceptance Rate: 0.592294
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7682
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1928.041103
Acceptance Rate: 0.589971
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7797
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1925.690774
Acceptance Rate: 0.587344
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7917
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1923.472755
Acceptance Rate: 0.586108
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 8019
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1921.681710
Acceptance Rate: 0.585192
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 8117
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1919.649451
Acceptance Rate: 0.582312
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 8243
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1917.691146
Acceptance Rate: 0.580074
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 8361
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1915.825117
Acceptance Rate: 0.578991
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 8463
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1913.983842
Acceptance Rate: 0.576520
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 8586
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1912.118098
Acceptance Rate: 0.574911
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 8697
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1909.856385
Acceptance Rate: 0.573082
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 8812
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1906.488190
Acceptance Rate: 0.572070
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 8915
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1901.385189
Acceptance Rate: 0.570700
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 9024
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1896.983343
Acceptance Rate: 0.569613
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 9129
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1891.749988
Acceptance Rate: 0.567875
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 9245
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1887.419861
Acceptance Rate: 0.566118
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 9362
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1881.161241
Acceptance Rate: 0.564167
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 9483
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1875.962999
Acceptance Rate: 0.563322
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 9586
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1870.848392
Acceptance Rate: 0.563249
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 9676
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1866.269778
Acceptance Rate: 0.561454
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 9796
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1861.529496
Acceptance Rate: 0.560663
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 9899
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1857.299986
Acceptance Rate: 0.559050
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 10017
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1853.470895
Acceptance Rate: 0.558411
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 10118
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1849.632988
Acceptance Rate: 0.556967
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 10234
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1846.191590
Acceptance Rate: 0.556362
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 10335
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1841.877927
Acceptance Rate: 0.554017
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 10469
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1837.838324
Acceptance Rate: 0.553558
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 10568
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1834.233020
Acceptance Rate: 0.552331
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 10682
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1830.223803
Acceptance Rate: 0.551385
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 10791
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1827.415265
Acceptance Rate: 0.550005
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 10909
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1824.594688
Acceptance Rate: 0.548355
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 11033
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1822.020816
Acceptance Rate: 0.547429
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 11143
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1819.239802
Acceptance Rate: 0.547445
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 11234
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1816.842877
Acceptance Rate: 0.547268
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 11329
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1814.716751
Acceptance Rate: 0.546424
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 11438
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1812.321843
Acceptance Rate: 0.545691
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 11545
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1809.953691
Acceptance Rate: 0.545767
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 11635
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1808.109009
Acceptance Rate: 0.544866
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 11746
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1806.147559
Acceptance Rate: 0.543112
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 11876
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1804.252157
Acceptance Rate: 0.542662
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 11978
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1802.486629
Acceptance Rate: 0.542398
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 12076
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1801.052222
Acceptance Rate: 0.541339
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 12192
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1799.608320
Acceptance Rate: 0.540563
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 12302
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1797.900585
Acceptance Rate: 0.540453
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 12397
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1796.386806
Acceptance Rate: 0.540086
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 12498
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1795.167516
Acceptance Rate: 0.539983
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 12593
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1794.016620
Acceptance Rate: 0.539753
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 12691
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1792.757329
Acceptance Rate: 0.539948
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 12779
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1791.519546
Acceptance Rate: 0.539890
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 12873
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1790.422029
Acceptance Rate: 0.539084
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 12985
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1789.169664
Acceptance Rate: 0.539651
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 13064
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1788.081280
Acceptance Rate: 0.540129
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 13145
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1787.081281
Acceptance Rate: 0.540561
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 13227
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1786.054506
Acceptance Rate: 0.540176
Replacements: 7200
Total Samples: 13329
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1785.065965
Acceptance Rate: 0.539394
Replacements: 7250
Total Samples: 13441
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1784.038336
Acceptance Rate: 0.540181
Replacements: 7300
Total Samples: 13514
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1783.119809
Acceptance Rate: 0.540481
Replacements: 7350
Total Samples: 13599
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1782.140659
Acceptance Rate: 0.539949
Replacements: 7400
Total Samples: 13705
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1781.121665
Acceptance Rate: 0.539503
Replacements: 7450
Total Samples: 13809
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1780.103922
Acceptance Rate: 0.539568
Replacements: 7500
Total Samples: 13900
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1779.124795
Acceptance Rate: 0.540057
Replacements: 7550
Total Samples: 13980
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1778.127352
Acceptance Rate: 0.539619
Replacements: 7600
Total Samples: 14084
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1777.241553
Acceptance Rate: 0.539759
Replacements: 7650
Total Samples: 14173
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1776.445646
Acceptance Rate: 0.540010
Replacements: 7700
Total Samples: 14259
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1775.712773
Acceptance Rate: 0.539731
Replacements: 7750
Total Samples: 14359
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1774.967814
Acceptance Rate: 0.539233
Replacements: 7800
Total Samples: 14465
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1774.144182
Acceptance Rate: 0.538150
Replacements: 7850
Total Samples: 14587
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1773.364267
Acceptance Rate: 0.536904
Replacements: 7900
Total Samples: 14714
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1772.680735
Acceptance Rate: 0.535714
Replacements: 7950
Total Samples: 14840
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1772.042147
Acceptance Rate: 0.534509
Replacements: 8000
Total Samples: 14967
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1771.429124
Acceptance Rate: 0.534671
Replacements: 8050
Total Samples: 15056
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1770.826646
Acceptance Rate: 0.533316
Replacements: 8100
Total Samples: 15188
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1770.179932
Acceptance Rate: 0.532575
Replacements: 8150
Total Samples: 15303
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1769.565855
Acceptance Rate: 0.532640
Replacements: 8200
Total Samples: 15395
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1768.999990
Acceptance Rate: 0.532327
Replacements: 8250
Total Samples: 15498
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1768.493354
Acceptance Rate: 0.531847
Replacements: 8300
Total Samples: 15606
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1767.988827
Acceptance Rate: 0.531644
Replacements: 8350
Total Samples: 15706
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1767.525509
Acceptance Rate: 0.531612
Replacements: 8400
Total Samples: 15801
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1767.097488
Acceptance Rate: 0.531647
Replacements: 8450
Total Samples: 15894
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1766.656417
Acceptance Rate: 0.531150
Replacements: 8500
Total Samples: 16003
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1766.229831
Acceptance Rate: 0.530496
Replacements: 8550
Total Samples: 16117
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1765.817215
Acceptance Rate: 0.530046
Replacements: 8600
Total Samples: 16225
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1765.418970
Acceptance Rate: 0.529214
Replacements: 8650
Total Samples: 16345
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1765.023998
Acceptance Rate: 0.528618
Replacements: 8700
Total Samples: 16458
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1764.586067
Acceptance Rate: 0.528541
Replacements: 8750
Total Samples: 16555
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1764.167373
Acceptance Rate: 0.528021
Replacements: 8800
Total Samples: 16666
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1763.791201
Acceptance Rate: 0.527225
Replacements: 8850
Total Samples: 16786
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1763.434895
Acceptance Rate: 0.527439
Replacements: 8900
Total Samples: 16874
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1763.097518
Acceptance Rate: 0.527588
Replacements: 8950
Total Samples: 16964
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1762.785994
Acceptance Rate: 0.526901
Replacements: 9000
Total Samples: 17081
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1762.483383
Acceptance Rate: 0.526255
Replacements: 9050
Total Samples: 17197
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1762.194308
Acceptance Rate: 0.526651
Replacements: 9100
Total Samples: 17279
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1761.917000
Acceptance Rate: 0.526164
Replacements: 9150
Total Samples: 17390
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1761.648356
Acceptance Rate: 0.526497
Replacements: 9200
Total Samples: 17474
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1761.397432
Acceptance Rate: 0.526975
Replacements: 9250
Total Samples: 17553
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1761.165529
Acceptance Rate: 0.527211
Replacements: 9300
Total Samples: 17640
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1760.951110
Acceptance Rate: 0.527712
Replacements: 9350
Total Samples: 17718
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1760.738551
Acceptance Rate: 0.528268
Replacements: 9400
Total Samples: 17794
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1760.531313
Acceptance Rate: 0.527992
Replacements: 9450
Total Samples: 17898
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1760.333956
Acceptance Rate: 0.527631
Replacements: 9500
Total Samples: 18005
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1760.138565
Acceptance Rate: 0.527537
Replacements: 9550
Total Samples: 18103
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1759.953463
Acceptance Rate: 0.527821
Replacements: 9600
Total Samples: 18188
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1759.775176
Acceptance Rate: 0.527784
Replacements: 9650
Total Samples: 18284
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1759.601066
Acceptance Rate: 0.528006
Replacements: 9700
Total Samples: 18371
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1759.436776
Acceptance Rate: 0.528283
Replacements: 9750
Total Samples: 18456
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1759.271063
Acceptance Rate: 0.528444
Replacements: 9800
Total Samples: 18545
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1759.111813
Acceptance Rate: 0.528717
Replacements: 9850
Total Samples: 18630
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1758.965633
Acceptance Rate: 0.528959
Replacements: 9900
Total Samples: 18716
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1758.832404
Acceptance Rate: 0.529143
Replacements: 9950
Total Samples: 18804
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1758.705371
Acceptance Rate: 0.529325
Replacements: 10000
Total Samples: 18892
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1758.580664
Acceptance Rate: 0.529365
Replacements: 10050
Total Samples: 18985
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1758.456295
Acceptance Rate: 0.529628
Replacements: 10100
Total Samples: 19070
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1758.339333
Acceptance Rate: 0.529639
Replacements: 10150
Total Samples: 19164
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1758.227626
Acceptance Rate: 0.529348
Replacements: 10200
Total Samples: 19269
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1758.123352
Acceptance Rate: 0.529114
Replacements: 10250
Total Samples: 19372
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1758.027110
Acceptance Rate: 0.529291
Replacements: 10300
Total Samples: 19460
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1757.936392
Acceptance Rate: 0.528682
Replacements: 10350
Total Samples: 19577
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1757.848954
Acceptance Rate: 0.528939
Replacements: 10400
Total Samples: 19662
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1757.766058
Acceptance Rate: 0.529382
Replacements: 10450
Total Samples: 19740
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1757.689074
Acceptance Rate: 0.529795
Replacements: 10500
Total Samples: 19819
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1757.618514
Acceptance Rate: 0.529805
Replacements: 10550
Total Samples: 19913
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1757.551509
Acceptance Rate: 0.529868
Replacements: 10600
Total Samples: 20005
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1757.488726
Acceptance Rate: 0.530326
Replacements: 10650
Total Samples: 20082
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1757.429319
Acceptance Rate: 0.530780
Replacements: 10700
Total Samples: 20159
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1757.373061
Acceptance Rate: 0.530759
Replacements: 10750
Total Samples: 20254
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1757.319469
Acceptance Rate: 0.531130
Replacements: 10800
Total Samples: 20334
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1757.269294
Acceptance Rate: 0.531524
Replacements: 10850
Total Samples: 20413
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1757.221488
Acceptance Rate: 0.531941
Replacements: 10900
Total Samples: 20491
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1757.176462
Acceptance Rate: 0.532122
Replacements: 10950
Total Samples: 20578
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1757.134635
Acceptance Rate: 0.532430
Replacements: 11000
Total Samples: 20660
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1757.094898
Acceptance Rate: 0.532299
Replacements: 11050
Total Samples: 20759
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1757.057047
Acceptance Rate: 0.532630
Replacements: 11100
Total Samples: 20840
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1757.021391
Acceptance Rate: 0.532932
Replacements: 11150
Total Samples: 20922
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.987816
Acceptance Rate: 0.532851
Replacements: 11200
Total Samples: 21019
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.955853
Acceptance Rate: 0.532898
Replacements: 11250
Total Samples: 21111
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.925992
Acceptance Rate: 0.533119
Replacements: 11300
Total Samples: 21196
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.898479
Acceptance Rate: 0.533415
Replacements: 11350
Total Samples: 21278
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.872910
Acceptance Rate: 0.533458
Replacements: 11400
Total Samples: 21370
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.849139
Acceptance Rate: 0.533999
Replacements: 11450
Total Samples: 21442
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.826854
Acceptance Rate: 0.533990
Replacements: 11500
Total Samples: 21536
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.806056
Acceptance Rate: 0.534302
Replacements: 11550
Total Samples: 21617
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.786532
Acceptance Rate: 0.534504
Replacements: 11595
Total Samples: 21693
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.770065
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt ln(ev)= -1756.5468791406047 +/- 0.19440069373062216
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 21693
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (1.96 -0.05 +0.19) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | -1.007 -0.026 +0.06 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (4.39 -0.8 +0.27) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -2.31 +0.04 +0.27 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval6 | -584.299060 |
| n4_interval6 | -576.686414 |
| b0_interval6 | -609.420067 |
| total | -1770.405540 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 3548.924394 |
| BIC | 3564.333212 |
| DIC | 3500.611963 |
| PDIC | 2.890450 |
| log(Z) | -762.858617 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.996377
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 552
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -977591.104101
Acceptance Rate: 0.983607
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 610
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -31271.759076
Acceptance Rate: 0.964392
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 674
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3824.100223
Acceptance Rate: 0.938338
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 746
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3822.436644
Acceptance Rate: 0.924784
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 811
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3821.886547
Acceptance Rate: 0.916380
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 873
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3821.562386
Acceptance Rate: 0.900424
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 944
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3821.338763
Acceptance Rate: 0.890208
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1011
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3821.171962
Acceptance Rate: 0.862069
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1102
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3821.041259
Acceptance Rate: 0.857633
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1166
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3820.934318
Acceptance Rate: 0.843373
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1245
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3820.838915
Acceptance Rate: 0.832702
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1321
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3820.735704
Acceptance Rate: 0.812721
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1415
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3820.570572
Acceptance Rate: 0.800000
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1500
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3819.797570
Acceptance Rate: 0.794155
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1574
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3816.241006
Acceptance Rate: 0.785973
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1654
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3808.124875
Acceptance Rate: 0.776308
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1739
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3796.536148
Acceptance Rate: 0.768808
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1821
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3780.131276
Acceptance Rate: 0.761555
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1904
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3758.438146
Acceptance Rate: 0.756430
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 1983
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3728.030163
Acceptance Rate: 0.749154
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2069
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3690.048074
Acceptance Rate: 0.742804
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2154
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3640.380055
Acceptance Rate: 0.734312
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2247
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3589.041603
Acceptance Rate: 0.728051
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2335
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3532.276455
Acceptance Rate: 0.723140
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2420
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3481.095316
Acceptance Rate: 0.721443
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2495
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3391.262670
Acceptance Rate: 0.713735
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2592
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3320.810631
Acceptance Rate: 0.710812
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2673
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3258.190884
Acceptance Rate: 0.706778
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2759
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3188.464903
Acceptance Rate: 0.700280
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2856
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3119.367027
Acceptance Rate: 0.695387
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2948
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3064.944524
Acceptance Rate: 0.693298
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 3029
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3015.714427
Acceptance Rate: 0.691763
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 3108
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2968.497836
Acceptance Rate: 0.685999
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3207
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2921.818578
Acceptance Rate: 0.685140
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3284
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2872.119969
Acceptance Rate: 0.685340
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3356
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2838.732911
Acceptance Rate: 0.685531
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3428
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2789.801984
Acceptance Rate: 0.686499
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3496
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2747.860327
Acceptance Rate: 0.687430
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3564
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2704.564553
Acceptance Rate: 0.686813
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3640
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2663.549279
Acceptance Rate: 0.684380
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3726
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2624.761822
Acceptance Rate: 0.682415
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3810
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2593.476258
Acceptance Rate: 0.678965
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3903
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2558.389946
Acceptance Rate: 0.677201
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 3987
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2530.240428
Acceptance Rate: 0.673854
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 4081
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2498.599433
Acceptance Rate: 0.672430
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4164
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2472.716728
Acceptance Rate: 0.667291
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4271
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2446.792027
Acceptance Rate: 0.664833
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4362
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2419.516552
Acceptance Rate: 0.664864
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4437
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2397.795599
Acceptance Rate: 0.661813
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4533
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2380.776657
Acceptance Rate: 0.658605
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4631
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2358.619493
Acceptance Rate: 0.655114
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4732
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2340.390221
Acceptance Rate: 0.653391
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4821
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2318.531727
Acceptance Rate: 0.650274
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4921
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2304.757410
Acceptance Rate: 0.648832
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 5009
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2290.509296
Acceptance Rate: 0.646045
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 5108
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2275.692531
Acceptance Rate: 0.641517
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5222
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2262.293571
Acceptance Rate: 0.639699
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5315
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2247.989253
Acceptance Rate: 0.638062
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5407
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2235.553063
Acceptance Rate: 0.636479
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5499
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2224.360179
Acceptance Rate: 0.634042
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5599
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2216.725112
Acceptance Rate: 0.631468
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5701
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2209.057829
Acceptance Rate: 0.629853
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5795
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2202.402070
Acceptance Rate: 0.628397
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5888
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2195.576165
Acceptance Rate: 0.626671
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 5984
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2189.200881
Acceptance Rate: 0.626030
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 6070
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2180.129387
Acceptance Rate: 0.624291
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 6167
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2173.247348
Acceptance Rate: 0.622605
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 6264
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2167.006067
Acceptance Rate: 0.620874
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6362
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2160.721117
Acceptance Rate: 0.620636
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6445
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2155.138064
Acceptance Rate: 0.618982
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6543
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2150.511191
Acceptance Rate: 0.618401
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6630
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2145.869559
Acceptance Rate: 0.618941
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6705
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2141.506593
Acceptance Rate: 0.617556
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6801
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2135.958334
Acceptance Rate: 0.615853
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 6901
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2131.510701
Acceptance Rate: 0.614110
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 7002
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2127.608240
Acceptance Rate: 0.612762
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 7099
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2124.206121
Acceptance Rate: 0.611621
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 7194
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2121.442807
Acceptance Rate: 0.611348
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 7279
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2118.554968
Acceptance Rate: 0.610666
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 7369
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2115.678499
Acceptance Rate: 0.610165
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7457
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2112.840557
Acceptance Rate: 0.609352
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7549
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2110.486424
Acceptance Rate: 0.608320
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7644
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2108.368629
Acceptance Rate: 0.607942
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7731
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2105.930453
Acceptance Rate: 0.607650
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 7817
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2103.607969
Acceptance Rate: 0.606597
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 7913
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2101.956037
Acceptance Rate: 0.605115
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 8015
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2100.048324
Acceptance Rate: 0.602040
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 8139
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2098.164472
Acceptance Rate: 0.600291
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 8246
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2096.457704
Acceptance Rate: 0.598444
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 8355
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2094.672397
Acceptance Rate: 0.597633
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 8450
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2093.192657
Acceptance Rate: 0.595934
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 8558
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2091.624541
Acceptance Rate: 0.595513
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 8648
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2090.141176
Acceptance Rate: 0.593743
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 8758
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2088.653377
Acceptance Rate: 0.592685
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 8858
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2086.906071
Acceptance Rate: 0.591584
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 8959
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2084.828074
Acceptance Rate: 0.591749
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 9041
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2080.978942
Acceptance Rate: 0.590680
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 9142
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2076.121944
Acceptance Rate: 0.590146
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 9235
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2071.094415
Acceptance Rate: 0.590636
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 9312
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2066.226977
Acceptance Rate: 0.590300
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 9402
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2061.837202
Acceptance Rate: 0.590344
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 9486
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2058.033055
Acceptance Rate: 0.590202
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 9573
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2052.749957
Acceptance Rate: 0.589635
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 9667
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2048.219865
Acceptance Rate: 0.589683
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 9751
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2043.620127
Acceptance Rate: 0.589611
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 9837
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2039.781867
Acceptance Rate: 0.589956
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 9916
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2035.807477
Acceptance Rate: 0.589116
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 10015
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2031.825203
Acceptance Rate: 0.589226
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 10098
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2027.581150
Acceptance Rate: 0.589044
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 10186
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2024.081602
Acceptance Rate: 0.589209
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 10268
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2021.126691
Acceptance Rate: 0.587725
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 10379
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2017.552440
Acceptance Rate: 0.587954
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 10460
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2014.730702
Acceptance Rate: 0.587177
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 10559
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2011.518132
Acceptance Rate: 0.586744
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 10652
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2008.849638
Acceptance Rate: 0.587084
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 10731
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2005.853777
Acceptance Rate: 0.587147
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 10815
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2003.316386
Acceptance Rate: 0.586833
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 10906
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2000.752460
Acceptance Rate: 0.587057
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 10987
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1998.022863
Acceptance Rate: 0.587916
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 11056
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1994.473943
Acceptance Rate: 0.587813
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 11143
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1991.717320
Acceptance Rate: 0.587398
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 11236
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1989.193198
Acceptance Rate: 0.587508
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 11319
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1986.885714
Acceptance Rate: 0.587256
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 11409
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1984.753758
Acceptance Rate: 0.587518
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 11489
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1982.528847
Acceptance Rate: 0.586814
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 11588
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1980.780076
Acceptance Rate: 0.586824
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 11673
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1979.267254
Acceptance Rate: 0.586984
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 11755
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1977.195186
Acceptance Rate: 0.586944
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 11841
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1975.294196
Acceptance Rate: 0.587298
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 11919
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1973.663161
Acceptance Rate: 0.586815
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 12014
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1971.885410
Acceptance Rate: 0.586438
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 12107
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.344612
Acceptance Rate: 0.585921
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 12203
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1968.975743
Acceptance Rate: 0.585890
Replacements: 7200
Total Samples: 12289
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1967.696341
Acceptance Rate: 0.585669
Replacements: 7250
Total Samples: 12379
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1966.385842
Acceptance Rate: 0.585875
Replacements: 7300
Total Samples: 12460
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1965.147950
Acceptance Rate: 0.585797
Replacements: 7350
Total Samples: 12547
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.058020
Acceptance Rate: 0.586139
Replacements: 7400
Total Samples: 12625
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1963.015813
Acceptance Rate: 0.585232
Replacements: 7450
Total Samples: 12730
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1961.981744
Acceptance Rate: 0.584294
Replacements: 7500
Total Samples: 12836
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1960.959686
Acceptance Rate: 0.584275
Replacements: 7550
Total Samples: 12922
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1960.111560
Acceptance Rate: 0.583493
Replacements: 7600
Total Samples: 13025
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1959.201312
Acceptance Rate: 0.582635
Replacements: 7650
Total Samples: 13130
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1958.365215
Acceptance Rate: 0.582363
Replacements: 7700
Total Samples: 13222
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1957.535003
Acceptance Rate: 0.581526
Replacements: 7750
Total Samples: 13327
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.717813
Acceptance Rate: 0.580919
Replacements: 7800
Total Samples: 13427
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.959370
Acceptance Rate: 0.581051
Replacements: 7850
Total Samples: 13510
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.232525
Acceptance Rate: 0.580840
Replacements: 7900
Total Samples: 13601
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1954.527884
Acceptance Rate: 0.580250
Replacements: 7950
Total Samples: 13701
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1953.860664
Acceptance Rate: 0.580215
Replacements: 8000
Total Samples: 13788
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1953.214209
Acceptance Rate: 0.579679
Replacements: 8050
Total Samples: 13887
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1952.579560
Acceptance Rate: 0.579482
Replacements: 8100
Total Samples: 13978
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1951.966209
Acceptance Rate: 0.577400
Replacements: 8150
Total Samples: 14115
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1951.362772
Acceptance Rate: 0.577343
Replacements: 8200
Total Samples: 14203
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1950.816124
Acceptance Rate: 0.577125
Replacements: 8250
Total Samples: 14295
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1950.256565
Acceptance Rate: 0.576349
Replacements: 8300
Total Samples: 14401
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1949.710198
Acceptance Rate: 0.576220
Replacements: 8350
Total Samples: 14491
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1949.130289
Acceptance Rate: 0.574673
Replacements: 8400
Total Samples: 14617
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1948.619521
Acceptance Rate: 0.574205
Replacements: 8450
Total Samples: 14716
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1948.143225
Acceptance Rate: 0.574363
Replacements: 8500
Total Samples: 14799
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1947.694577
Acceptance Rate: 0.573941
Replacements: 8550
Total Samples: 14897
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1947.266733
Acceptance Rate: 0.574022
Replacements: 8600
Total Samples: 14982
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1946.852782
Acceptance Rate: 0.573341
Replacements: 8650
Total Samples: 15087
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1946.463898
Acceptance Rate: 0.572067
Replacements: 8700
Total Samples: 15208
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1946.120166
Acceptance Rate: 0.571783
Replacements: 8750
Total Samples: 15303
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1945.808446
Acceptance Rate: 0.570947
Replacements: 8800
Total Samples: 15413
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1945.517934
Acceptance Rate: 0.570269
Replacements: 8850
Total Samples: 15519
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1945.228857
Acceptance Rate: 0.570038
Replacements: 8900
Total Samples: 15613
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1944.952829
Acceptance Rate: 0.569737
Replacements: 8950
Total Samples: 15709
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1944.678566
Acceptance Rate: 0.569116
Replacements: 9000
Total Samples: 15814
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1944.412718
Acceptance Rate: 0.569111
Replacements: 9050
Total Samples: 15902
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1944.169150
Acceptance Rate: 0.568750
Replacements: 9100
Total Samples: 16000
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1943.936621
Acceptance Rate: 0.568994
Replacements: 9150
Total Samples: 16081
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1943.708696
Acceptance Rate: 0.568709
Replacements: 9200
Total Samples: 16177
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1943.483626
Acceptance Rate: 0.568042
Replacements: 9250
Total Samples: 16284
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1943.259663
Acceptance Rate: 0.568355
Replacements: 9300
Total Samples: 16363
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1943.036439
Acceptance Rate: 0.567768
Replacements: 9350
Total Samples: 16468
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1942.816601
Acceptance Rate: 0.567701
Replacements: 9400
Total Samples: 16558
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1942.608101
Acceptance Rate: 0.567636
Replacements: 9450
Total Samples: 16648
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1942.409723
Acceptance Rate: 0.567435
Replacements: 9500
Total Samples: 16742
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1942.223320
Acceptance Rate: 0.567068
Replacements: 9550
Total Samples: 16841
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1942.047725
Acceptance Rate: 0.567007
Replacements: 9600
Total Samples: 16931
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1941.881947
Acceptance Rate: 0.566481
Replacements: 9650
Total Samples: 17035
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1941.726851
Acceptance Rate: 0.566192
Replacements: 9700
Total Samples: 17132
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1941.580613
Acceptance Rate: 0.565480
Replacements: 9750
Total Samples: 17242
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1941.441717
Acceptance Rate: 0.564776
Replacements: 9800
Total Samples: 17352
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1941.310045
Acceptance Rate: 0.564276
Replacements: 9850
Total Samples: 17456
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1941.185459
Acceptance Rate: 0.562916
Replacements: 9900
Total Samples: 17587
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1941.065601
Acceptance Rate: 0.562401
Replacements: 9950
Total Samples: 17692
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.952484
Acceptance Rate: 0.562145
Replacements: 10000
Total Samples: 17789
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.846824
Acceptance Rate: 0.561986
Replacements: 10050
Total Samples: 17883
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.747568
Acceptance Rate: 0.561173
Replacements: 10100
Total Samples: 17998
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.653255
Acceptance Rate: 0.560681
Replacements: 10150
Total Samples: 18103
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.564287
Acceptance Rate: 0.560532
Replacements: 10200
Total Samples: 18197
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.481472
Acceptance Rate: 0.559345
Replacements: 10250
Total Samples: 18325
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.403444
Acceptance Rate: 0.559327
Replacements: 10300
Total Samples: 18415
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.330505
Acceptance Rate: 0.558795
Replacements: 10350
Total Samples: 18522
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.261339
Acceptance Rate: 0.558449
Replacements: 10400
Total Samples: 18623
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.197579
Acceptance Rate: 0.557423
Replacements: 10450
Total Samples: 18747
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.138074
Acceptance Rate: 0.557236
Replacements: 10500
Total Samples: 18843
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.082001
Acceptance Rate: 0.556816
Replacements: 10550
Total Samples: 18947
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.028991
Acceptance Rate: 0.555497
Replacements: 10600
Total Samples: 19082
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.978714
Acceptance Rate: 0.554688
Replacements: 10650
Total Samples: 19200
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.932130
Acceptance Rate: 0.552972
Replacements: 10700
Total Samples: 19350
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.889000
Acceptance Rate: 0.552557
Replacements: 10750
Total Samples: 19455
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.848962
Acceptance Rate: 0.552175
Replacements: 10800
Total Samples: 19559
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.812178
Acceptance Rate: 0.552219
Replacements: 10850
Total Samples: 19648
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.777759
Acceptance Rate: 0.552094
Replacements: 10900
Total Samples: 19743
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.745617
Acceptance Rate: 0.552027
Replacements: 10950
Total Samples: 19836
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.715664
Acceptance Rate: 0.551406
Replacements: 11000
Total Samples: 19949
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.688095
Acceptance Rate: 0.550793
Replacements: 11050
Total Samples: 20062
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.662166
Acceptance Rate: 0.550568
Replacements: 11100
Total Samples: 20161
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.638114
Acceptance Rate: 0.550425
Replacements: 11134
Total Samples: 20228
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.622822
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -1939.3575996494706 +/- 0.19169306387288801
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 20228
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (1.68 -0.11 +0.09) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | -1.03 -0.05 +0.04 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (4.3 -0.5 +0.8) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -2.25 -0.4 +0.13 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval7 | -640.798530 |
| n4_interval7 | -650.431088 |
| b0_interval7 | -662.230422 |
| total | -1953.460040 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 3915.033394 |
| BIC | 3930.442211 |
| DIC | 3868.839920 |
| PDIC | 3.349482 |
| log(Z) | -842.252304 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.992780
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 554
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -858750.579533
Acceptance Rate: 0.975610
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 615
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -19630.515060
Acceptance Rate: 0.933908
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 696
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3551.575717
Acceptance Rate: 0.903226
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 775
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3550.498887
Acceptance Rate: 0.891795
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 841
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3550.031010
Acceptance Rate: 0.854701
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 936
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3549.739709
Acceptance Rate: 0.834971
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 1018
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3549.533641
Acceptance Rate: 0.825688
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1090
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3549.377508
Acceptance Rate: 0.814751
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1166
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3549.253288
Acceptance Rate: 0.800000
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1250
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3549.149889
Acceptance Rate: 0.791855
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1326
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3549.057280
Acceptance Rate: 0.788530
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1395
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3548.960442
Acceptance Rate: 0.778078
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1478
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3548.824263
Acceptance Rate: 0.768246
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1562
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3548.467819
Acceptance Rate: 0.758035
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1649
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3547.098314
Acceptance Rate: 0.753623
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1725
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3542.903161
Acceptance Rate: 0.752508
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1794
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3535.406446
Acceptance Rate: 0.747464
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1873
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3525.434748
Acceptance Rate: 0.743209
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1951
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3508.697910
Acceptance Rate: 0.741840
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 2022
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3487.049862
Acceptance Rate: 0.736692
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2104
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3454.662131
Acceptance Rate: 0.735294
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2176
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3420.056281
Acceptance Rate: 0.730088
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2260
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3387.451054
Acceptance Rate: 0.726496
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2340
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3344.861097
Acceptance Rate: 0.722842
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2421
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3310.695447
Acceptance Rate: 0.720576
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2498
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3277.123737
Acceptance Rate: 0.717332
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2579
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3242.175189
Acceptance Rate: 0.714823
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2658
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3206.874087
Acceptance Rate: 0.714809
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2728
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3155.751240
Acceptance Rate: 0.712504
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2807
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3120.057684
Acceptance Rate: 0.709588
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2889
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3069.604660
Acceptance Rate: 0.707071
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 2970
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3032.643280
Acceptance Rate: 0.706540
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 3043
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2997.166549
Acceptance Rate: 0.702202
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3133
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2964.724793
Acceptance Rate: 0.696594
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3230
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2933.889324
Acceptance Rate: 0.693398
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3317
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2903.966434
Acceptance Rate: 0.689554
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3408
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2874.196852
Acceptance Rate: 0.687679
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3490
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2848.461030
Acceptance Rate: 0.686275
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3570
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2817.183082
Acceptance Rate: 0.685307
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3648
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2789.075956
Acceptance Rate: 0.683463
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3731
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2750.819868
Acceptance Rate: 0.681520
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3815
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2716.779359
Acceptance Rate: 0.680010
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3897
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2690.339732
Acceptance Rate: 0.679929
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 3971
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2662.656233
Acceptance Rate: 0.678008
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 4056
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2643.403374
Acceptance Rate: 0.676492
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4139
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2620.491646
Acceptance Rate: 0.675195
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4221
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2597.718143
Acceptance Rate: 0.671763
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4317
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2577.623183
Acceptance Rate: 0.671370
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4394
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2554.937400
Acceptance Rate: 0.669643
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4480
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2533.606642
Acceptance Rate: 0.670330
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4550
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2518.875357
Acceptance Rate: 0.669981
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4627
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2499.510789
Acceptance Rate: 0.668932
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4709
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2484.599141
Acceptance Rate: 0.666667
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4800
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2470.437093
Acceptance Rate: 0.664078
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 4894
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2459.164630
Acceptance Rate: 0.663717
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 4972
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2444.951428
Acceptance Rate: 0.662710
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5055
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2433.273242
Acceptance Rate: 0.661350
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5141
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2422.924390
Acceptance Rate: 0.660666
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5222
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2412.722887
Acceptance Rate: 0.659506
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5307
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2401.884162
Acceptance Rate: 0.656314
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5409
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2391.894585
Acceptance Rate: 0.656096
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5487
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2381.455148
Acceptance Rate: 0.654005
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5581
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2372.696583
Acceptance Rate: 0.652903
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5667
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2363.797553
Acceptance Rate: 0.652969
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 5743
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2357.238481
Acceptance Rate: 0.653482
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 5815
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2350.695817
Acceptance Rate: 0.652321
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 5902
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2344.450376
Acceptance Rate: 0.649892
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 6001
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2338.296855
Acceptance Rate: 0.647435
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6101
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2331.336513
Acceptance Rate: 0.645682
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6195
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2325.130239
Acceptance Rate: 0.644904
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6280
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2319.868415
Acceptance Rate: 0.643743
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6369
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2315.484645
Acceptance Rate: 0.643112
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6453
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2310.962985
Acceptance Rate: 0.642792
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6534
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2305.983334
Acceptance Rate: 0.641413
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 6626
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2302.452239
Acceptance Rate: 0.640167
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 6717
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2298.727917
Acceptance Rate: 0.638298
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 6815
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2295.387873
Acceptance Rate: 0.636943
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 6908
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2291.332941
Acceptance Rate: 0.635987
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 6997
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2287.320598
Acceptance Rate: 0.635234
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 7084
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2284.109612
Acceptance Rate: 0.631857
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7201
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2281.411302
Acceptance Rate: 0.631088
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7289
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2278.552807
Acceptance Rate: 0.629740
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7384
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2275.559069
Acceptance Rate: 0.629268
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7469
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2273.036387
Acceptance Rate: 0.629139
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 7550
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2270.706418
Acceptance Rate: 0.626877
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 7657
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2268.218847
Acceptance Rate: 0.625242
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 7757
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2265.625968
Acceptance Rate: 0.624283
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 7849
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2262.951780
Acceptance Rate: 0.624212
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 7930
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2260.652216
Acceptance Rate: 0.623986
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 8013
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2258.752045
Acceptance Rate: 0.622688
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 8110
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2256.607958
Acceptance Rate: 0.622179
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 8197
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2254.275168
Acceptance Rate: 0.621680
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 8284
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2251.687566
Acceptance Rate: 0.621192
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 8371
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2247.403060
Acceptance Rate: 0.619542
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 8474
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2241.693662
Acceptance Rate: 0.619159
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 8560
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2235.311667
Acceptance Rate: 0.618640
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 8648
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2229.924514
Acceptance Rate: 0.617213
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 8749
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2223.716312
Acceptance Rate: 0.617914
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 8820
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2217.561279
Acceptance Rate: 0.616938
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 8915
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2212.744442
Acceptance Rate: 0.615572
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 9016
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2207.592038
Acceptance Rate: 0.614912
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 9107
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2202.133703
Acceptance Rate: 0.614732
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 9191
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2195.987584
Acceptance Rate: 0.615086
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 9267
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2189.756400
Acceptance Rate: 0.615434
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 9343
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2184.037465
Acceptance Rate: 0.614667
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 9436
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2177.688286
Acceptance Rate: 0.614496
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 9520
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2172.408054
Acceptance Rate: 0.614647
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 9599
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2166.611174
Acceptance Rate: 0.615241
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 9671
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2161.033976
Acceptance Rate: 0.615322
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 9751
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2156.378963
Acceptance Rate: 0.615463
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 9830
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2153.161040
Acceptance Rate: 0.615788
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 9906
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2149.701587
Acceptance Rate: 0.615431
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 9993
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2145.673304
Acceptance Rate: 0.615140
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 10079
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2142.741076
Acceptance Rate: 0.615218
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 10159
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2139.799044
Acceptance Rate: 0.613975
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 10261
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2135.960623
Acceptance Rate: 0.612580
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 10366
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2133.246715
Acceptance Rate: 0.612792
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 10444
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2130.556937
Acceptance Rate: 0.612071
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 10538
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2127.540951
Acceptance Rate: 0.611650
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 10627
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2124.527013
Acceptance Rate: 0.610495
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 10729
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2121.897788
Acceptance Rate: 0.610264
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 10815
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2119.628844
Acceptance Rate: 0.610148
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 10899
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2117.284373
Acceptance Rate: 0.610256
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 10979
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2115.494327
Acceptance Rate: 0.610583
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 11055
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2113.509929
Acceptance Rate: 0.610523
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 11138
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2111.733097
Acceptance Rate: 0.610517
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 11220
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2109.826077
Acceptance Rate: 0.610403
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 11304
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2108.018093
Acceptance Rate: 0.610828
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 11378
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2106.287645
Acceptance Rate: 0.610181
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 11472
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.694606
Acceptance Rate: 0.610337
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 11551
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2103.074888
Acceptance Rate: 0.609756
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 11644
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2101.780993
Acceptance Rate: 0.610068
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 11720
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2100.351104
Acceptance Rate: 0.609034
Replacements: 7200
Total Samples: 11822
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2098.859350
Acceptance Rate: 0.609244
Replacements: 7250
Total Samples: 11900
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2097.284486
Acceptance Rate: 0.609095
Replacements: 7300
Total Samples: 11985
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2095.621877
Acceptance Rate: 0.608897
Replacements: 7350
Total Samples: 12071
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2094.337547
Acceptance Rate: 0.609053
Replacements: 7400
Total Samples: 12150
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2093.101687
Acceptance Rate: 0.608859
Replacements: 7450
Total Samples: 12236
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2091.785402
Acceptance Rate: 0.607878
Replacements: 7500
Total Samples: 12338
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2090.642983
Acceptance Rate: 0.607499
Replacements: 7550
Total Samples: 12428
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2089.690737
Acceptance Rate: 0.607611
Replacements: 7600
Total Samples: 12508
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2088.677973
Acceptance Rate: 0.607770
Replacements: 7650
Total Samples: 12587
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2087.697391
Acceptance Rate: 0.608599
Replacements: 7700
Total Samples: 12652
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2086.724397
Acceptance Rate: 0.609325
Replacements: 7750
Total Samples: 12719
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2085.663865
Acceptance Rate: 0.609470
Replacements: 7800
Total Samples: 12798
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2084.562533
Acceptance Rate: 0.609425
Replacements: 7850
Total Samples: 12881
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2083.566503
Acceptance Rate: 0.609992
Replacements: 7900
Total Samples: 12951
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2082.684251
Acceptance Rate: 0.610552
Replacements: 7950
Total Samples: 13021
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2081.721113
Acceptance Rate: 0.610640
Replacements: 8000
Total Samples: 13101
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2080.836703
Acceptance Rate: 0.610959
Replacements: 8050
Total Samples: 13176
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2079.981359
Acceptance Rate: 0.611505
Replacements: 8100
Total Samples: 13246
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2079.129320
Acceptance Rate: 0.610990
Replacements: 8150
Total Samples: 13339
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2078.380114
Acceptance Rate: 0.611302
Replacements: 8200
Total Samples: 13414
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2077.668957
Acceptance Rate: 0.611609
Replacements: 8250
Total Samples: 13489
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2077.018675
Acceptance Rate: 0.611959
Replacements: 8300
Total Samples: 13563
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2076.372785
Acceptance Rate: 0.612215
Replacements: 8350
Total Samples: 13639
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2075.650594
Acceptance Rate: 0.612379
Replacements: 8400
Total Samples: 13717
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2074.905168
Acceptance Rate: 0.612852
Replacements: 8450
Total Samples: 13788
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2074.144874
Acceptance Rate: 0.613099
Replacements: 8500
Total Samples: 13864
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2073.495315
Acceptance Rate: 0.613711
Replacements: 8576
Total Samples: 13974
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2072.563361
Acceptance Rate: 0.614927
Replacements: 8676
Total Samples: 14109
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2071.550099
Acceptance Rate: 0.616033
Replacements: 8776
Total Samples: 14246
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2070.650154
Acceptance Rate: 0.617461
Replacements: 8876
Total Samples: 14375
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2069.925516
Acceptance Rate: 0.617370
Replacements: 8971
Total Samples: 14531
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2069.317196
Acceptance Rate: 0.617665
Replacements: 9021
Total Samples: 14605
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2068.776187
Acceptance Rate: 0.617663
Replacements: 9071
Total Samples: 14686
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2068.242731
Acceptance Rate: 0.617954
Replacements: 9121
Total Samples: 14760
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2067.684179
Acceptance Rate: 0.617909
Replacements: 9171
Total Samples: 14842
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2067.074421
Acceptance Rate: 0.618485
Replacements: 9221
Total Samples: 14909
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2066.426124
Acceptance Rate: 0.618562
Replacements: 9271
Total Samples: 14988
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2065.858058
Acceptance Rate: 0.619212
Replacements: 9321
Total Samples: 15053
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2065.351799
Acceptance Rate: 0.619529
Replacements: 9371
Total Samples: 15126
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2064.905713
Acceptance Rate: 0.620374
Replacements: 9421
Total Samples: 15186
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2064.462263
Acceptance Rate: 0.620968
Replacements: 9471
Total Samples: 15252
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2064.020359
Acceptance Rate: 0.621435
Replacements: 9521
Total Samples: 15321
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2063.616802
Acceptance Rate: 0.621292
Replacements: 9571
Total Samples: 15405
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2063.228549
Acceptance Rate: 0.621793
Replacements: 9621
Total Samples: 15473
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2062.874957
Acceptance Rate: 0.622450
Replacements: 9671
Total Samples: 15537
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2062.561855
Acceptance Rate: 0.622383
Replacements: 9721
Total Samples: 15619
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2062.270737
Acceptance Rate: 0.622912
Replacements: 9771
Total Samples: 15686
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2061.989444
Acceptance Rate: 0.623556
Replacements: 9821
Total Samples: 15750
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2061.718146
Acceptance Rate: 0.623839
Replacements: 9871
Total Samples: 15823
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2061.453152
Acceptance Rate: 0.624119
Replacements: 9921
Total Samples: 15896
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2061.210503
Acceptance Rate: 0.624358
Replacements: 9971
Total Samples: 15970
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2060.984968
Acceptance Rate: 0.624673
Replacements: 10021
Total Samples: 16042
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2060.779030
Acceptance Rate: 0.625023
Replacements: 10071
Total Samples: 16113
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2060.585630
Acceptance Rate: 0.625525
Replacements: 10121
Total Samples: 16180
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2060.408452
Acceptance Rate: 0.626023
Replacements: 10171
Total Samples: 16247
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2060.235019
Acceptance Rate: 0.626709
Replacements: 10221
Total Samples: 16309
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2060.066420
Acceptance Rate: 0.626624
Replacements: 10271
Total Samples: 16391
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2059.904886
Acceptance Rate: 0.626979
Replacements: 10337
Total Samples: 16487
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2059.713707
Acceptance Rate: 0.627092
Replacements: 10416
Total Samples: 16610
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2059.524631
Acceptance Rate: 0.627420
Replacements: 10466
Total Samples: 16681
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2059.403213
Acceptance Rate: 0.627783
Replacements: 10516
Total Samples: 16751
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2059.286559
Acceptance Rate: 0.627994
Replacements: 10566
Total Samples: 16825
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2059.175159
Acceptance Rate: 0.628129
Replacements: 10616
Total Samples: 16901
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2059.064233
Acceptance Rate: 0.628040
Replacements: 10666
Total Samples: 16983
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2058.957258
Acceptance Rate: 0.628173
Replacements: 10716
Total Samples: 17059
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2058.854436
Acceptance Rate: 0.628818
Replacements: 10766
Total Samples: 17121
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2058.755882
Acceptance Rate: 0.629276
Replacements: 10816
Total Samples: 17188
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2058.659527
Acceptance Rate: 0.629585
Replacements: 10866
Total Samples: 17259
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2058.567945
Acceptance Rate: 0.630218
Replacements: 10916
Total Samples: 17321
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2058.481081
Acceptance Rate: 0.630520
Replacements: 10966
Total Samples: 17392
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2058.397781
Acceptance Rate: 0.630639
Replacements: 11016
Total Samples: 17468
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2058.318752
Acceptance Rate: 0.630469
Replacements: 11066
Total Samples: 17552
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2058.247263
Acceptance Rate: 0.631053
Replacements: 11116
Total Samples: 17615
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2058.181131
Acceptance Rate: 0.631240
Replacements: 11166
Total Samples: 17689
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2058.120845
Acceptance Rate: 0.631887
Replacements: 11216
Total Samples: 17750
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2058.065546
Acceptance Rate: 0.632176
Replacements: 11266
Total Samples: 17821
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2058.014367
Acceptance Rate: 0.632461
Replacements: 11316
Total Samples: 17892
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2057.966955
Acceptance Rate: 0.632569
Replacements: 11366
Total Samples: 17968
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2057.923125
Acceptance Rate: 0.632956
Replacements: 11416
Total Samples: 18036
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2057.882712
Acceptance Rate: 0.633236
Replacements: 11466
Total Samples: 18107
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2057.845701
Acceptance Rate: 0.633827
Replacements: 11516
Total Samples: 18169
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2057.811894
Acceptance Rate: 0.633823
Replacements: 11566
Total Samples: 18248
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2057.780723
Acceptance Rate: 0.634200
Replacements: 11616
Total Samples: 18316
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2057.751839
Acceptance Rate: 0.634367
Replacements: 11666
Total Samples: 18390
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2057.725377
Acceptance Rate: 0.634566
Replacements: 11716
Total Samples: 18463
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2057.701060
Acceptance Rate: 0.635176
Replacements: 11766
Total Samples: 18524
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2057.678552
Acceptance Rate: 0.635269
Replacements: 11816
Total Samples: 18600
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2057.657803
Acceptance Rate: 0.635667
Replacements: 11866
Total Samples: 18667
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2057.638665
Acceptance Rate: 0.636194
Replacements: 11914
Total Samples: 18727
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2057.621758
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt ln(ev)= -2057.4272333774607 +/- 0.19878417251905917
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 18727
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (1.517 +0.005 +0.22) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | (-8.62 -0.23 +0.8) x 10^-1 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (3.74 -0.7 -0.05) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -2.1905 +0.0017 +0.17 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval8 | -698.160600 |
| n4_interval8 | -666.370072 |
| b0_interval8 | -702.196987 |
| total | -2066.727659 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 4141.568632 |
| BIC | 4156.977449 |
| DIC | 4097.978824 |
| PDIC | 2.531087 |
| log(Z) | -893.529294 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.998185
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 551
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -796154.254558
Acceptance Rate: 0.981997
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 611
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -81285.007113
Acceptance Rate: 0.955882
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 680
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3723.688656
Acceptance Rate: 0.933333
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 750
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2107.032947
Acceptance Rate: 0.903614
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 830
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2105.929315
Acceptance Rate: 0.870511
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 919
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2105.456353
Acceptance Rate: 0.839921
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 1012
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2105.162931
Acceptance Rate: 0.815217
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1104
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.955784
Acceptance Rate: 0.805768
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1179
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.799224
Acceptance Rate: 0.803213
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1245
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.675533
Acceptance Rate: 0.788288
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1332
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.574457
Acceptance Rate: 0.781805
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1407
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.489201
Acceptance Rate: 0.776502
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1481
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.414031
Acceptance Rate: 0.767263
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1564
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.337343
Acceptance Rate: 0.758495
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1648
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.246300
Acceptance Rate: 0.756694
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1718
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.119025
Acceptance Rate: 0.754612
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1789
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2103.906464
Acceptance Rate: 0.753093
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1859
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2103.257157
Acceptance Rate: 0.751685
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1929
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2101.875084
Acceptance Rate: 0.749625
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 2001
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2098.460090
Acceptance Rate: 0.741272
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2091
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2092.676854
Acceptance Rate: 0.735971
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2174
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2087.677721
Acceptance Rate: 0.732357
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2253
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2081.482857
Acceptance Rate: 0.730554
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2327
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2072.840515
Acceptance Rate: 0.727953
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2404
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2061.882348
Acceptance Rate: 0.724638
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2484
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2050.557758
Acceptance Rate: 0.724070
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2555
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2040.713148
Acceptance Rate: 0.722433
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2630
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2030.956191
Acceptance Rate: 0.720355
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2707
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2020.812177
Acceptance Rate: 0.717103
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2789
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2010.145342
Acceptance Rate: 0.714286
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2870
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2002.001445
Acceptance Rate: 0.713800
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 2942
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1995.875095
Acceptance Rate: 0.710979
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 3024
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1987.842769
Acceptance Rate: 0.708535
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3105
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1980.026891
Acceptance Rate: 0.698758
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3220
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1974.639173
Acceptance Rate: 0.697816
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3296
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1969.592550
Acceptance Rate: 0.693829
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3387
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1963.436346
Acceptance Rate: 0.689655
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3480
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1958.021574
Acceptance Rate: 0.684740
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3578
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1953.502692
Acceptance Rate: 0.684932
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3650
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1948.794292
Acceptance Rate: 0.681090
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3744
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1944.421463
Acceptance Rate: 0.680450
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3821
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.282893
Acceptance Rate: 0.679139
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3902
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1937.556686
Acceptance Rate: 0.677031
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 3988
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1934.467936
Acceptance Rate: 0.675178
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 4073
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1930.862153
Acceptance Rate: 0.670177
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4178
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1926.845945
Acceptance Rate: 0.667604
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4269
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1924.086960
Acceptance Rate: 0.664985
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4361
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1921.511484
Acceptance Rate: 0.664564
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4439
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1919.142170
Acceptance Rate: 0.662252
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4530
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1916.319651
Acceptance Rate: 0.660173
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4620
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1914.051007
Acceptance Rate: 0.660277
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4695
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1911.683730
Acceptance Rate: 0.659410
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4777
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1909.227924
Acceptance Rate: 0.658301
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4861
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1907.102673
Acceptance Rate: 0.656566
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 4950
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1904.828531
Acceptance Rate: 0.654502
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 5042
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1903.219085
Acceptance Rate: 0.652894
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5131
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1901.720202
Acceptance Rate: 0.651716
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5217
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1900.405237
Acceptance Rate: 0.649595
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5311
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1899.243807
Acceptance Rate: 0.646114
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5417
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1898.286330
Acceptance Rate: 0.645103
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5503
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1897.335396
Acceptance Rate: 0.641826
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5609
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1896.403802
Acceptance Rate: 0.639565
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5707
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1895.522517
Acceptance Rate: 0.637601
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5803
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1894.590917
Acceptance Rate: 0.634410
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 5911
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1893.660067
Acceptance Rate: 0.633439
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 5999
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1892.922787
Acceptance Rate: 0.632807
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 6084
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1892.257726
Acceptance Rate: 0.631784
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 6173
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1891.602711
Acceptance Rate: 0.630286
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6267
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1890.979386
Acceptance Rate: 0.629129
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6358
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1890.422170
Acceptance Rate: 0.627712
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6452
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1889.900273
Acceptance Rate: 0.625095
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6559
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1889.429958
Acceptance Rate: 0.625094
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6639
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1888.977745
Acceptance Rate: 0.622407
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6748
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1888.590117
Acceptance Rate: 0.620800
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 6846
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1888.243651
Acceptance Rate: 0.619418
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 6942
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1887.920067
Acceptance Rate: 0.618689
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 7031
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1887.613774
Acceptance Rate: 0.617891
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 7121
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1887.330560
Acceptance Rate: 0.616173
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 7222
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1887.059875
Acceptance Rate: 0.616101
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 7304
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1886.792991
Acceptance Rate: 0.614367
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7406
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1886.550991
Acceptance Rate: 0.612435
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7511
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1886.330651
Acceptance Rate: 0.609996
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7623
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1886.116163
Acceptance Rate: 0.608729
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7721
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1885.916595
Acceptance Rate: 0.605945
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 7839
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1885.730724
Acceptance Rate: 0.602788
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 7963
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1885.556307
Acceptance Rate: 0.598987
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 8097
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1885.385317
Acceptance Rate: 0.598072
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 8193
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1885.194017
Acceptance Rate: 0.595668
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 8310
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1884.955039
Acceptance Rate: 0.595026
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 8403
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1884.660512
Acceptance Rate: 0.593420
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 8510
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1884.345034
Acceptance Rate: 0.591441
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 8623
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1884.010431
Acceptance Rate: 0.590664
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 8719
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1883.683700
Acceptance Rate: 0.588368
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 8838
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1883.334599
Acceptance Rate: 0.586068
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 8958
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1882.985570
Acceptance Rate: 0.585054
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 9059
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1882.650316
Acceptance Rate: 0.584252
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 9157
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1882.345611
Acceptance Rate: 0.583090
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 9261
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1882.064451
Acceptance Rate: 0.582141
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 9362
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1881.806669
Acceptance Rate: 0.580475
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 9475
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1881.573101
Acceptance Rate: 0.579030
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 9585
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1881.354451
Acceptance Rate: 0.576072
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 9721
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1881.151430
Acceptance Rate: 0.576178
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 9806
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1880.963113
Acceptance Rate: 0.573671
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 9936
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1880.783254
Acceptance Rate: 0.573452
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 10027
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1880.616038
Acceptance Rate: 0.572557
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 10130
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1880.454974
Acceptance Rate: 0.570231
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 10259
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1880.302719
Acceptance Rate: 0.568510
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 10378
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1880.162849
Acceptance Rate: 0.567153
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 10491
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1880.038179
Acceptance Rate: 0.564334
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 10632
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.922786
Acceptance Rate: 0.562424
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 10757
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.816320
Acceptance Rate: 0.559479
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 10903
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.716620
Acceptance Rate: 0.557166
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 11038
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.625470
Acceptance Rate: 0.556104
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 11149
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.542322
Acceptance Rate: 0.554570
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 11270
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.466157
Acceptance Rate: 0.551519
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 11423
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.396527
Acceptance Rate: 0.548786
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 11571
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.332495
Acceptance Rate: 0.547336
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 11693
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.272558
Acceptance Rate: 0.546194
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 11809
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.217145
Acceptance Rate: 0.544252
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 11943
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.165981
Acceptance Rate: 0.541680
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 12092
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.119003
Acceptance Rate: 0.540054
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 12221
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.075240
Acceptance Rate: 0.539073
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 12336
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.034893
Acceptance Rate: 0.536644
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 12485
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1878.997778
Acceptance Rate: 0.534611
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 12626
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1878.963431
Acceptance Rate: 0.532707
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 12765
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1878.931367
Acceptance Rate: 0.531337
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 12892
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1878.901585
Acceptance Rate: 0.529425
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 13033
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1878.874074
Acceptance Rate: 0.528799
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 13143
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1878.848533
Acceptance Rate: 0.527386
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 13273
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1878.824703
Acceptance Rate: 0.526355
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 13394
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1878.802409
Acceptance Rate: 0.524837
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 13528
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1878.781699
Acceptance Rate: 0.523771
Replacements: 7139
Total Samples: 13630
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1878.766503
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -1878.5248759177744 +/- 0.14379310437463277
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 13630
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (1.18 -0.31 +1.5) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | (-8.3 -1.5 +4) x 10^-1 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (1.10 -0.4 +0.32) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -1.87 -0.17 +0.16 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval9 | -616.997746 |
| n4_interval9 | -616.267520 |
| b0_interval9 | -648.347143 |
| total | -1881.612409 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 3771.338133 |
| BIC | 3786.746950 |
| DIC | 3706.738094 |
| PDIC | -39.894414 |
| log(Z) | -815.832988 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.996377
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 552
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -434644.987348
Acceptance Rate: 0.981997
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 611
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -12890.266460
Acceptance Rate: 0.964392
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 674
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1771.672777
Acceptance Rate: 0.945946
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 740
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1770.392922
Acceptance Rate: 0.899281
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 834
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1769.890185
Acceptance Rate: 0.863931
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 926
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1769.584475
Acceptance Rate: 0.851703
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 998
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1769.370569
Acceptance Rate: 0.828729
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1086
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1769.209551
Acceptance Rate: 0.819672
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1159
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1769.082287
Acceptance Rate: 0.810373
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1234
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1768.976059
Acceptance Rate: 0.798479
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1315
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1768.881911
Acceptance Rate: 0.791937
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1389
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1768.785494
Acceptance Rate: 0.785519
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1464
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1768.653666
Acceptance Rate: 0.777706
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1543
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1768.432109
Acceptance Rate: 0.769231
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1625
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1767.967195
Acceptance Rate: 0.767868
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1693
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1767.022501
Acceptance Rate: 0.760563
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1775
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1763.712573
Acceptance Rate: 0.751880
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1862
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1759.816721
Acceptance Rate: 0.740174
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1959
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1754.449561
Acceptance Rate: 0.731707
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 2050
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1746.799613
Acceptance Rate: 0.727358
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2131
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1737.071429
Acceptance Rate: 0.726612
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2202
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1725.775148
Acceptance Rate: 0.726232
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2272
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1714.003878
Acceptance Rate: 0.724329
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2347
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1697.679788
Acceptance Rate: 0.720461
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2429
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1682.761301
Acceptance Rate: 0.718850
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2504
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1669.356162
Acceptance Rate: 0.714562
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2589
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1655.792469
Acceptance Rate: 0.711344
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2671
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1641.082810
Acceptance Rate: 0.709349
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2749
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1628.844339
Acceptance Rate: 0.706714
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2830
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1614.819955
Acceptance Rate: 0.702055
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2920
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1599.909689
Acceptance Rate: 0.701169
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 2995
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1586.746359
Acceptance Rate: 0.697373
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 3083
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1574.954123
Acceptance Rate: 0.696643
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3158
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1563.679503
Acceptance Rate: 0.694444
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3240
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1550.845078
Acceptance Rate: 0.691521
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3326
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1540.146285
Acceptance Rate: 0.691176
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3400
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1529.051120
Acceptance Rate: 0.690846
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3474
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1517.584949
Acceptance Rate: 0.687623
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3563
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1509.411618
Acceptance Rate: 0.683434
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3658
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1500.321611
Acceptance Rate: 0.682183
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3738
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1494.386703
Acceptance Rate: 0.680628
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3820
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1485.403981
Acceptance Rate: 0.676020
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3920
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1478.955059
Acceptance Rate: 0.674494
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 4003
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1472.203280
Acceptance Rate: 0.672865
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 4087
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1465.047763
Acceptance Rate: 0.670980
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4173
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1458.401186
Acceptance Rate: 0.669800
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4255
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1450.777336
Acceptance Rate: 0.668203
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4340
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1444.611771
Acceptance Rate: 0.668177
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4415
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1438.784602
Acceptance Rate: 0.666371
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4502
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1434.048781
Acceptance Rate: 0.662755
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4602
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1429.381853
Acceptance Rate: 0.661263
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4688
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1424.739889
Acceptance Rate: 0.658307
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4785
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1420.543186
Acceptance Rate: 0.656410
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4875
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1416.500626
Acceptance Rate: 0.654846
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 4963
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1412.982099
Acceptance Rate: 0.650759
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 5071
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1409.578348
Acceptance Rate: 0.649225
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5160
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1405.952372
Acceptance Rate: 0.648360
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5244
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1403.283338
Acceptance Rate: 0.644860
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5350
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1400.908446
Acceptance Rate: 0.642792
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5445
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1398.239974
Acceptance Rate: 0.639755
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5549
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1396.060934
Acceptance Rate: 0.637733
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5645
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1393.811562
Acceptance Rate: 0.634783
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5750
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1391.212683
Acceptance Rate: 0.630861
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5865
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1389.399263
Acceptance Rate: 0.628773
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 5964
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1387.609798
Acceptance Rate: 0.624692
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 6083
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1385.599582
Acceptance Rate: 0.620267
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 6207
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1384.194987
Acceptance Rate: 0.619146
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 6299
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1382.949295
Acceptance Rate: 0.617188
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6400
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1381.779534
Acceptance Rate: 0.616618
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6487
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1380.601007
Acceptance Rate: 0.615782
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6577
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1379.420601
Acceptance Rate: 0.614416
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6673
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1378.180426
Acceptance Rate: 0.612637
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6774
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1377.009348
Acceptance Rate: 0.611354
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6870
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1375.959578
Acceptance Rate: 0.610720
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 6959
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1375.083478
Acceptance Rate: 0.608720
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 7064
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1374.190592
Acceptance Rate: 0.607966
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 7155
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1373.245843
Acceptance Rate: 0.607399
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 7244
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1372.385502
Acceptance Rate: 0.605031
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 7355
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1371.559450
Acceptance Rate: 0.602410
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 7470
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1370.789490
Acceptance Rate: 0.600422
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7578
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1370.074995
Acceptance Rate: 0.599192
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7677
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1369.490287
Acceptance Rate: 0.597686
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7780
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1368.947748
Acceptance Rate: 0.596295
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7882
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1368.454524
Acceptance Rate: 0.595835
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 7972
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1367.969280
Acceptance Rate: 0.595017
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 8067
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1367.488641
Acceptance Rate: 0.594144
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 8163
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1367.010841
Acceptance Rate: 0.592145
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 8275
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1366.550167
Acceptance Rate: 0.590340
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 8385
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1366.085593
Acceptance Rate: 0.589623
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 8480
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1365.648686
Acceptance Rate: 0.588853
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 8576
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1365.148061
Acceptance Rate: 0.589187
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 8656
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1364.178827
Acceptance Rate: 0.588235
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 8755
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1362.803442
Acceptance Rate: 0.589235
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 8825
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1361.292816
Acceptance Rate: 0.588895
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 8915
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1359.832880
Acceptance Rate: 0.589085
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 8997
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1357.994376
Acceptance Rate: 0.588041
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 9098
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1355.933303
Acceptance Rate: 0.587915
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 9185
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1354.305167
Acceptance Rate: 0.588172
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 9266
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1352.566689
Acceptance Rate: 0.587858
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 9356
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1350.896925
Acceptance Rate: 0.588048
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 9438
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1349.521237
Acceptance Rate: 0.587618
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 9530
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1348.216063
Acceptance Rate: 0.586586
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 9632
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1346.790115
Acceptance Rate: 0.585336
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 9738
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1345.667511
Acceptance Rate: 0.585361
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 9823
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1344.687271
Acceptance Rate: 0.584736
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 9919
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1343.653392
Acceptance Rate: 0.583599
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 10024
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1342.443144
Acceptance Rate: 0.583350
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 10114
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1341.375489
Acceptance Rate: 0.583276
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 10201
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1340.405864
Acceptance Rate: 0.582242
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 10305
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1339.409843
Acceptance Rate: 0.582235
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 10391
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1338.421210
Acceptance Rate: 0.581617
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 10488
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1337.445036
Acceptance Rate: 0.581340
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 10579
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1336.482974
Acceptance Rate: 0.581014
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 10671
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1335.711211
Acceptance Rate: 0.580585
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 10765
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1334.962474
Acceptance Rate: 0.580752
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 10848
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1334.227779
Acceptance Rate: 0.580174
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 10945
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1333.601834
Acceptance Rate: 0.580236
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 11030
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1332.992702
Acceptance Rate: 0.581238
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 11097
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1332.368947
Acceptance Rate: 0.580824
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 11191
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1331.751372
Acceptance Rate: 0.581292
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 11268
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1331.171171
Acceptance Rate: 0.581703
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 11346
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1330.649216
Acceptance Rate: 0.581904
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 11428
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1330.153287
Acceptance Rate: 0.582052
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 11511
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1329.707231
Acceptance Rate: 0.581947
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 11599
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1329.304163
Acceptance Rate: 0.581694
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 11690
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1328.906746
Acceptance Rate: 0.582038
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 11769
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1328.537013
Acceptance Rate: 0.581788
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 11860
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1328.183461
Acceptance Rate: 0.582711
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 11927
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1327.819266
Acceptance Rate: 0.582557
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 12016
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1327.480819
Acceptance Rate: 0.582356
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 12106
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1327.173788
Acceptance Rate: 0.582158
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 12196
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1326.891038
Acceptance Rate: 0.582153
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 12282
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1326.621528
Acceptance Rate: 0.581959
Replacements: 7200
Total Samples: 12372
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1326.364825
Acceptance Rate: 0.582329
Replacements: 7250
Total Samples: 12450
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1326.118164
Acceptance Rate: 0.582788
Replacements: 7300
Total Samples: 12526
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1325.883553
Acceptance Rate: 0.582040
Replacements: 7350
Total Samples: 12628
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1325.648611
Acceptance Rate: 0.582036
Replacements: 7400
Total Samples: 12714
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1325.430624
Acceptance Rate: 0.581895
Replacements: 7450
Total Samples: 12803
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1325.232724
Acceptance Rate: 0.581846
Replacements: 7500
Total Samples: 12890
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1325.050299
Acceptance Rate: 0.581843
Replacements: 7550
Total Samples: 12976
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1324.876340
Acceptance Rate: 0.581440
Replacements: 7600
Total Samples: 13071
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1324.707032
Acceptance Rate: 0.581351
Replacements: 7650
Total Samples: 13159
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1324.544625
Acceptance Rate: 0.580825
Replacements: 7700
Total Samples: 13257
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1324.393638
Acceptance Rate: 0.581047
Replacements: 7750
Total Samples: 13338
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1324.253609
Acceptance Rate: 0.581265
Replacements: 7800
Total Samples: 13419
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1324.121778
Acceptance Rate: 0.581180
Replacements: 7850
Total Samples: 13507
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.997466
Acceptance Rate: 0.581181
Replacements: 7900
Total Samples: 13593
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.883566
Acceptance Rate: 0.581013
Replacements: 7950
Total Samples: 13683
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.778424
Acceptance Rate: 0.580594
Replacements: 8000
Total Samples: 13779
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.679080
Acceptance Rate: 0.580724
Replacements: 8050
Total Samples: 13862
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.586769
Acceptance Rate: 0.579689
Replacements: 8100
Total Samples: 13973
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.500722
Acceptance Rate: 0.578917
Replacements: 8150
Total Samples: 14078
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.420379
Acceptance Rate: 0.576896
Replacements: 8200
Total Samples: 14214
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.345319
Acceptance Rate: 0.575514
Replacements: 8250
Total Samples: 14335
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.275882
Acceptance Rate: 0.573878
Replacements: 8300
Total Samples: 14463
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.211029
Acceptance Rate: 0.573489
Replacements: 8350
Total Samples: 14560
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.150642
Acceptance Rate: 0.572636
Replacements: 8400
Total Samples: 14669
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.094224
Acceptance Rate: 0.572571
Replacements: 8450
Total Samples: 14758
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.041469
Acceptance Rate: 0.571698
Replacements: 8500
Total Samples: 14868
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.992546
Acceptance Rate: 0.571945
Replacements: 8550
Total Samples: 14949
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.947539
Acceptance Rate: 0.571770
Replacements: 8600
Total Samples: 15041
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.906406
Acceptance Rate: 0.570995
Replacements: 8650
Total Samples: 15149
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.868362
Acceptance Rate: 0.570754
Replacements: 8700
Total Samples: 15243
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.832992
Acceptance Rate: 0.570255
Replacements: 8750
Total Samples: 15344
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.800244
Acceptance Rate: 0.569801
Replacements: 8800
Total Samples: 15444
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.769954
Acceptance Rate: 0.569059
Replacements: 8850
Total Samples: 15552
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.741749
Acceptance Rate: 0.568472
Replacements: 8900
Total Samples: 15656
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.715533
Acceptance Rate: 0.568362
Replacements: 8950
Total Samples: 15747
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.691308
Acceptance Rate: 0.567774
Replacements: 8989
Total Samples: 15832
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.673591
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -1322.4104326034007 +/- 0.16834787609885368
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 15832
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (2.08 -0.34 +0.6) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | (-7.4 -1.3 +1.6) x 10^-1 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (2.2 -0.4 +0.5) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -1.94 -0.17 +0.11 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval10 | -437.763359 |
| n4_interval10 | -433.042430 |
| b0_interval10 | -460.808686 |
| total | -1331.614475 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 2671.342265 |
| BIC | 2686.751083 |
| DIC | 2633.675687 |
| PDIC | 0.431556 |
| log(Z) | -574.315554 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.996377
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 552
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -146851.529575
Acceptance Rate: 0.974026
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 616
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3210.825529
Acceptance Rate: 0.944767
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 688
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.890022
Acceptance Rate: 0.907912
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 771
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -906.147679
Acceptance Rate: 0.888626
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 844
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -905.590126
Acceptance Rate: 0.869565
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 920
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -905.263182
Acceptance Rate: 0.849151
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 1001
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -905.038157
Acceptance Rate: 0.833333
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1080
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.870639
Acceptance Rate: 0.823938
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1153
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.739907
Acceptance Rate: 0.808407
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1237
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.634542
Acceptance Rate: 0.789474
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1330
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.547297
Acceptance Rate: 0.779589
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1411
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.472910
Acceptance Rate: 0.774933
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1484
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.407106
Acceptance Rate: 0.768738
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1561
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.346400
Acceptance Rate: 0.763592
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1637
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.285381
Acceptance Rate: 0.753623
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1725
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.216084
Acceptance Rate: 0.749168
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1802
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.118954
Acceptance Rate: 0.741918
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1887
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -903.943525
Acceptance Rate: 0.737538
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1966
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -903.608046
Acceptance Rate: 0.729927
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 2055
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -902.754684
Acceptance Rate: 0.724299
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2140
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -901.115505
Acceptance Rate: 0.717811
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2229
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -898.399611
Acceptance Rate: 0.712128
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2317
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -895.731513
Acceptance Rate: 0.710405
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2393
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -892.710355
Acceptance Rate: 0.709076
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2468
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -888.535187
Acceptance Rate: 0.707547
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2544
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -885.008495
Acceptance Rate: 0.703155
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2631
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -881.875359
Acceptance Rate: 0.701625
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2708
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -878.285145
Acceptance Rate: 0.697425
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2796
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -874.830648
Acceptance Rate: 0.695894
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2874
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -872.255495
Acceptance Rate: 0.693505
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2956
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -869.321327
Acceptance Rate: 0.690335
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 3042
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -866.263321
Acceptance Rate: 0.687780
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 3126
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -863.830205
Acceptance Rate: 0.683867
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3217
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -861.738210
Acceptance Rate: 0.680787
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3305
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -859.300902
Acceptance Rate: 0.679268
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3386
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -857.285435
Acceptance Rate: 0.675676
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3478
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -854.764381
Acceptance Rate: 0.674157
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3560
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -852.269379
Acceptance Rate: 0.672154
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3645
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -850.291355
Acceptance Rate: 0.669523
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3734
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -848.498314
Acceptance Rate: 0.667889
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3818
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -846.288038
Acceptance Rate: 0.664962
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3910
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -844.384771
Acceptance Rate: 0.665328
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3983
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -842.552191
Acceptance Rate: 0.662902
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 4073
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -841.075833
Acceptance Rate: 0.662331
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 4152
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -839.932408
Acceptance Rate: 0.661157
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4235
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -838.751168
Acceptance Rate: 0.657136
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4337
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -837.425116
Acceptance Rate: 0.656406
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4418
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -836.372931
Acceptance Rate: 0.656431
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4494
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -835.312202
Acceptance Rate: 0.655451
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4577
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -834.372904
Acceptance Rate: 0.654506
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4660
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -833.402598
Acceptance Rate: 0.650577
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4765
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -832.532134
Acceptance Rate: 0.648682
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4856
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -831.643359
Acceptance Rate: 0.646987
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4946
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -830.827890
Acceptance Rate: 0.643055
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 5054
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -830.071120
Acceptance Rate: 0.642523
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 5136
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -829.359460
Acceptance Rate: 0.641517
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5222
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -828.782373
Acceptance Rate: 0.639699
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5315
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -828.248857
Acceptance Rate: 0.637237
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5414
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -827.709808
Acceptance Rate: 0.635670
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5506
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -827.175639
Acceptance Rate: 0.631673
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5620
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -826.687518
Acceptance Rate: 0.628163
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5731
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -826.238246
Acceptance Rate: 0.625321
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5837
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -825.850408
Acceptance Rate: 0.625211
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5918
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -825.487906
Acceptance Rate: 0.623545
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 6014
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -825.164832
Acceptance Rate: 0.622135
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 6108
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -824.858063
Acceptance Rate: 0.620968
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 6200
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -824.570473
Acceptance Rate: 0.618361
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 6307
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -824.306484
Acceptance Rate: 0.617573
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6396
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -824.061628
Acceptance Rate: 0.616048
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6493
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -823.820620
Acceptance Rate: 0.615689
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6578
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -823.593546
Acceptance Rate: 0.615246
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6664
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -823.387344
Acceptance Rate: 0.613270
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6767
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -823.196556
Acceptance Rate: 0.612334
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6859
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -823.014587
Acceptance Rate: 0.611951
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 6945
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -822.843560
Acceptance Rate: 0.612361
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 7022
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -822.689511
Acceptance Rate: 0.610526
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 7125
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -822.543517
Acceptance Rate: 0.610941
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 7202
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -822.407332
Acceptance Rate: 0.610174
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 7293
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -822.282281
Acceptance Rate: 0.609756
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 7380
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -822.163141
Acceptance Rate: 0.607964
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7484
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -822.044673
Acceptance Rate: 0.606700
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7582
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -821.928229
Acceptance Rate: 0.605311
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7682
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -821.788310
Acceptance Rate: 0.604502
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7775
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -821.591319
Acceptance Rate: 0.603328
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 7873
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -821.348375
Acceptance Rate: 0.602712
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 7964
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -821.047511
Acceptance Rate: 0.603609
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 8035
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -820.706913
Acceptance Rate: 0.601153
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 8151
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -820.321248
Acceptance Rate: 0.601677
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 8227
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -819.948582
Acceptance Rate: 0.601540
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 8312
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -819.555211
Acceptance Rate: 0.601190
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 8400
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -819.146497
Acceptance Rate: 0.601344
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 8481
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -818.762834
Acceptance Rate: 0.601495
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 8562
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -818.365541
Acceptance Rate: 0.601156
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 8650
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -818.000896
Acceptance Rate: 0.601237
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 8732
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -817.662252
Acceptance Rate: 0.601248
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 8815
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -817.349606
Acceptance Rate: 0.600651
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 8907
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -817.067323
Acceptance Rate: 0.600667
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 8990
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -816.806780
Acceptance Rate: 0.599824
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 9086
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -816.548290
Acceptance Rate: 0.599324
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 9177
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -816.291931
Acceptance Rate: 0.599158
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 9263
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -816.022434
Acceptance Rate: 0.597333
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 9375
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -815.760990
Acceptance Rate: 0.597567
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 9455
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -815.510772
Acceptance Rate: 0.597171
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 9545
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -815.274665
Acceptance Rate: 0.596597
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 9638
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -815.061320
Acceptance Rate: 0.595055
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 9747
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.859541
Acceptance Rate: 0.593909
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 9850
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.664830
Acceptance Rate: 0.592905
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 9951
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.477872
Acceptance Rate: 0.592158
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 10048
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.298489
Acceptance Rate: 0.591541
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 10143
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.133762
Acceptance Rate: 0.590705
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 10242
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.981069
Acceptance Rate: 0.590513
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 10330
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.838090
Acceptance Rate: 0.590494
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 10415
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.700235
Acceptance Rate: 0.590758
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 10495
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.567123
Acceptance Rate: 0.589511
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 10602
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.442181
Acceptance Rate: 0.589115
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 10694
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.328354
Acceptance Rate: 0.587909
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 10801
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.219107
Acceptance Rate: 0.587911
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 10886
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.119977
Acceptance Rate: 0.586737
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 10993
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.029886
Acceptance Rate: 0.586272
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 11087
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.944860
Acceptance Rate: 0.585501
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 11187
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.863942
Acceptance Rate: 0.583864
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 11304
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.789374
Acceptance Rate: 0.582771
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 11411
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.721849
Acceptance Rate: 0.582913
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 11494
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.660394
Acceptance Rate: 0.581947
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 11599
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.604353
Acceptance Rate: 0.581246
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 11699
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.553281
Acceptance Rate: 0.581149
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 11787
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.506524
Acceptance Rate: 0.580759
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 11881
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.463363
Acceptance Rate: 0.579988
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 11983
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.424053
Acceptance Rate: 0.580239
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 12064
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.387576
Acceptance Rate: 0.580199
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 12151
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.353884
Acceptance Rate: 0.579639
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 12249
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.322955
Acceptance Rate: 0.578947
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 12350
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.294608
Acceptance Rate: 0.578888
Replacements: 7184
Total Samples: 12410
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.276739
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -811.99037960103544 +/- 0.14708806689464798
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 12410
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (3.2 -1.0 +1.7) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | (-4.3 -2.0 +2.5) x 10^-1 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (1.23 -0.23 +0.24) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -2.14 -0.4 +0.27 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval11 | -272.473751 |
| n4_interval11 | -255.848291 |
| b0_interval11 | -292.455866 |
| total | -820.777908 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 1649.669130 |
| BIC | 1665.077948 |
| DIC | 1618.560011 |
| PDIC | 1.522722 |
| log(Z) | -352.642941 |
Examine the fits
Now we can look at the fits in count space to make sure they are ok.
[24]:
for a in analysis:
a.restore_median_fit()
_ = display_spectrum_model_counts(a, min_rate=[20, 20, 20], step=False)
Finally, we can plot the models together to see how the spectra evolve with time.
[25]:
fig = plot_spectra(
*[a.results for a in analysis[::1]],
flux_unit="erg2/(cm2 s keV)",
fit_cmap="viridis",
contour_cmap="viridis",
contour_style_kwargs=dict(alpha=0.1),
)
This example can serve as a template for performing analysis on GBM data. However, as 3ML provides an abstract interface and modular building blocks, similar analysis pipelines can be built for any time series data.