Analyzing GRB 080916C with Fermi-GBM
(NASA/Swift/Cruz deWilde)
To demonstrate the capabilities and features of 3ML in, we will go through a time-integrated and time-resolved analysis. This example serves as a standard way to analyze Fermi-GBM data with 3ML as well as a template for how you can design your instrument’s analysis pipeline with 3ML if you have similar data.
3ML provides utilities to reduce time series data to plugins in a correct and statistically justified way (e.g., background fitting of Poisson data is done with a Poisson likelihood). The approach is generic and can be extended. For more details, see the time series documentation.
[1]:
import warnings
warnings.simplefilter("ignore")
[2]:
%%capture
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import numpy as np
np.seterr(all="ignore")
from threeML import *
from threeML.io.package_data import get_path_of_data_file
[3]:
silence_warnings()
%matplotlib inline
from jupyterthemes import jtplot
jtplot.style(context="talk", fscale=1, ticks=True, grid=False)
set_threeML_style()
Examining the catalog
As with Swift and Fermi-LAT, 3ML provides a simple interface to the on-line Fermi-GBM catalog. Let’s get the information for GRB 080916C.
[4]:
gbm_catalog = FermiGBMBurstCatalog()
gbm_catalog.query_sources("GRB080916009")
[4]:
Table length=1
| name | ra | dec | trigger_time | t90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| object | float64 | float64 | float64 | float64 |
| GRB080916009 | 119.800 | -56.600 | 54725.0088613 | 62.977 |
To aid in quickly replicating the catalog analysis, and thanks to the tireless efforts of the Fermi-GBM team, we have added the ability to extract the analysis parameters from the catalog as well as build an astromodels model with the best fit parameters baked in. Using this information, one can quickly run through the catalog an replicate the entire analysis with a script. Let’s give it a try.
[5]:
grb_info = gbm_catalog.get_detector_information()["GRB080916009"]
gbm_detectors = grb_info["detectors"]
source_interval = grb_info["source"]["fluence"]
background_interval = grb_info["background"]["full"]
best_fit_model = grb_info["best fit model"]["fluence"]
model = gbm_catalog.get_model(best_fit_model, "fluence")["GRB080916009"]
[6]:
model
[6]:
Model summary:
Free parameters (5):
Fixed parameters (3):
(abridged. Use complete=True to see all fixed parameters)
Properties (0):
(none)
Linked parameters (0):
(none)
Independent variables:
(none)
Linked functions (0):
(none)
| N | |
|---|---|
| Point sources | 1 |
| Extended sources | 0 |
| Particle sources | 0 |
Free parameters (5):
| value | min_value | max_value | unit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GRB080916009.spectrum.main.SmoothlyBrokenPowerLaw.K | 0.012255 | 0.0 | None | keV-1 s-1 cm-2 |
| GRB080916009.spectrum.main.SmoothlyBrokenPowerLaw.alpha | -1.130424 | -1.5 | 2.0 | |
| GRB080916009.spectrum.main.SmoothlyBrokenPowerLaw.break_energy | 309.2031 | 10.0 | None | keV |
| GRB080916009.spectrum.main.SmoothlyBrokenPowerLaw.break_scale | 0.3 | 0.0 | 10.0 | |
| GRB080916009.spectrum.main.SmoothlyBrokenPowerLaw.beta | -2.096931 | -5.0 | -1.6 |
Fixed parameters (3):
(abridged. Use complete=True to see all fixed parameters)
Properties (0):
(none)
Linked parameters (0):
(none)
Independent variables:
(none)
Linked functions (0):
(none)
Downloading the data
We provide a simple interface to download the Fermi-GBM data. Using the information from the catalog that we have extracted, we can download just the data from the detectors that were used for the catalog analysis. This will download the CSPEC, TTE and instrument response files from the on-line database.
[7]:
dload = download_GBM_trigger_data("bn080916009", detectors=gbm_detectors)
Let’s first examine the catalog fluence fit. Using the TimeSeriesBuilder, we can fit the background, set the source interval, and create a 3ML plugin for the analysis. We will loop through the detectors, set their appropriate channel selections, and ensure there are enough counts in each bin to make the PGStat profile likelihood valid.
First we use the CSPEC data to fit the background using the background selections. We use CSPEC because it has a longer duration for fitting the background.
The background is saved to an HDF5 file that stores the polynomial coefficients and selections which we can read in to the TTE file later.
The light curve is plotted.
The source selection from the catalog is set and DispersionSpectrumLike plugin is created.
The plugin has the standard GBM channel selections for spectral analysis set.
[8]:
fluence_plugins = []
time_series = {}
for det in gbm_detectors:
ts_cspec = TimeSeriesBuilder.from_gbm_cspec_or_ctime(
det, cspec_or_ctime_file=dload[det]["cspec"], rsp_file=dload[det]["rsp"]
)
ts_cspec.set_background_interval(*background_interval.split(","))
ts_cspec.save_background(f"{det}_bkg.h5", overwrite=True)
ts_tte = TimeSeriesBuilder.from_gbm_tte(
det,
tte_file=dload[det]["tte"],
rsp_file=dload[det]["rsp"],
restore_background=f"{det}_bkg.h5",
)
time_series[det] = ts_tte
ts_tte.set_active_time_interval(source_interval)
ts_tte.view_lightcurve(-40, 100)
fluence_plugin = ts_tte.to_spectrumlike()
if det.startswith("b"):
fluence_plugin.set_active_measurements("250-30000")
else:
fluence_plugin.set_active_measurements("9-900")
fluence_plugin.rebin_on_background(1.0)
fluence_plugins.append(fluence_plugin)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 1) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 1) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 2) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 3) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
The TTE file /home/runner/work/threeML/threeML/docs/md_docs/slow_execute/glg_tte_n3_bn080916009_v01.fit.gz contains duplicate time tags and is thus invalid. Contact the FSSC
The TTE file /home/runner/work/threeML/threeML/docs/md_docs/slow_execute/glg_tte_n3_bn080916009_v01.fit.gz was not sorted in time but contains no duplicate events. We will sort the times, but use caution with this file. Contact the FSSC.
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 1) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 2) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 3) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 1) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 1) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 2) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 3) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
The TTE file /home/runner/work/threeML/threeML/docs/md_docs/slow_execute/glg_tte_n4_bn080916009_v01.fit.gz was not sorted in time but contains no duplicate events. We will sort the times, but use caution with this file. Contact the FSSC.
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 1) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 2) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 3) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 1) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 1) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 2) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 3) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
The TTE file /home/runner/work/threeML/threeML/docs/md_docs/slow_execute/glg_tte_b0_bn080916009_v01.fit.gz contains duplicate time tags and is thus invalid. Contact the FSSC
The TTE file /home/runner/work/threeML/threeML/docs/md_docs/slow_execute/glg_tte_b0_bn080916009_v01.fit.gz was not sorted in time but contains no duplicate events. We will sort the times, but use caution with this file. Contact the FSSC.
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 1) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 2) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
The default choice for MATRIX extension failed:KeyError("Extension ('MATRIX', 3) not found.")available: None 'EBOUNDS' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX' 'SPECRESP MATRIX'
No TLMIN keyword found. This DRM does not follow OGIP standards. Assuming TLMIN=1
Setting up the fit
Let’s see if we can reproduce the results from the catalog.
Set priors for the model
We will fit the spectrum using Bayesian analysis, so we must set priors on the model parameters.
[9]:
model.GRB080916009.spectrum.main.shape.alpha.prior = Truncated_gaussian(
lower_bound=-1.5, upper_bound=1, mu=-1, sigma=0.5
)
model.GRB080916009.spectrum.main.shape.beta.prior = Truncated_gaussian(
lower_bound=-5, upper_bound=-1.6, mu=-2.25, sigma=0.5
)
model.GRB080916009.spectrum.main.shape.break_energy.prior = Log_normal(mu=2, sigma=1)
model.GRB080916009.spectrum.main.shape.break_energy.bounds = (None, None)
model.GRB080916009.spectrum.main.shape.K.prior = Log_uniform_prior(
lower_bound=1e-3, upper_bound=1e1
)
model.GRB080916009.spectrum.main.shape.break_scale.prior = Log_uniform_prior(
lower_bound=1e-4, upper_bound=10
)
We have set the min_value of GRB080916009.spectrum.main.SmoothlyBrokenPowerLaw.break_energy to 1e-99 because there was a postive transform
We have set the min_value of GRB080916009.spectrum.main.SmoothlyBrokenPowerLaw.break_energy to 1e-99 because there was a postive transform
Clone the model and setup the Bayesian analysis class
Next, we clone the model we built from the catalog so that we can look at the results later and fit the cloned model. We pass this model and the DataList of the plugins to a BayesianAnalysis class and set the sampler to MultiNest.
[10]:
new_model = clone_model(model)
bayes = BayesianAnalysis(new_model, DataList(*fluence_plugins))
# share spectrum gives a linear speed up when
# spectrumlike plugins have the same RSP input energies
bayes.set_sampler("multinest", share_spectrum=True)
Examine at the catalog fitted model
We can quickly examine how well the catalog fit matches the data. There appears to be a discrepancy between the data and the model! Let’s refit to see if we can fix it.
[11]:
fig = display_spectrum_model_counts(bayes, min_rate=20, step=False)
Run the sampler
We let MultiNest condition the model on the data
[12]:
bayes.sampler.setup(n_live_points=400)
bayes.sample()
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 400
dimensionality = 5
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.989011
Replacements: 450
Total Samples: 455
Nested Sampling ln(Z): **************
Acceptance Rate: 0.963391
Replacements: 500
Total Samples: 519
Nested Sampling ln(Z): **************
Acceptance Rate: 0.932203
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 590
Nested Sampling ln(Z): **************
Acceptance Rate: 0.902256
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 665
Nested Sampling ln(Z): **************
Acceptance Rate: 0.891632
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 729
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -723892.298168
Acceptance Rate: 0.871731
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 803
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -334774.449115
Acceptance Rate: 0.857143
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 875
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -161193.801671
Acceptance Rate: 0.837696
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 955
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -75787.274286
Acceptance Rate: 0.819672
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 1037
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -39306.461171
Acceptance Rate: 0.810081
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1111
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -24314.778959
Acceptance Rate: 0.798991
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1189
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -14967.364218
Acceptance Rate: 0.790514
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1265
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -11525.577081
Acceptance Rate: 0.784167
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1339
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10876.161673
Acceptance Rate: 0.771930
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1425
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10289.597740
Acceptance Rate: 0.766667
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1500
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -9920.873335
Acceptance Rate: 0.758054
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1583
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -9641.465394
Acceptance Rate: 0.749400
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1668
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -9222.010556
Acceptance Rate: 0.735294
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1768
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -8882.097124
Acceptance Rate: 0.722311
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1869
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -8575.033161
Acceptance Rate: 0.715746
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1956
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -8226.939626
Acceptance Rate: 0.706972
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 2051
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -7975.585172
Acceptance Rate: 0.699953
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 2143
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -7649.664680
Acceptance Rate: 0.698198
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2220
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -7326.456164
Acceptance Rate: 0.689655
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2320
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -7118.012767
Acceptance Rate: 0.686928
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2402
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6910.963778
Acceptance Rate: 0.684380
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2484
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6726.700422
Acceptance Rate: 0.683327
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2561
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6525.296558
Acceptance Rate: 0.680272
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2646
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6279.874555
Acceptance Rate: 0.679647
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2722
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6075.905797
Acceptance Rate: 0.673998
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2819
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5891.837786
Acceptance Rate: 0.671256
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2905
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5742.576407
Acceptance Rate: 0.667334
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2997
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5587.059270
Acceptance Rate: 0.662359
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 3095
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5461.139315
Acceptance Rate: 0.658720
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 3188
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5326.350349
Acceptance Rate: 0.656088
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 3277
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5178.585766
Acceptance Rate: 0.651466
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3377
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5074.542777
Acceptance Rate: 0.646366
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3481
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4981.426053
Acceptance Rate: 0.641741
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3584
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4892.469459
Acceptance Rate: 0.639804
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3673
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4792.373400
Acceptance Rate: 0.636943
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3768
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4718.821433
Acceptance Rate: 0.634551
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3861
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4625.142595
Acceptance Rate: 0.635001
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3937
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4544.905010
Acceptance Rate: 0.629785
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 4049
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4466.130505
Acceptance Rate: 0.627868
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 4141
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4381.156044
Acceptance Rate: 0.625590
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 4236
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4312.480950
Acceptance Rate: 0.622694
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 4336
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4235.752116
Acceptance Rate: 0.618534
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 4446
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4169.091821
Acceptance Rate: 0.618238
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4529
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4089.075110
Acceptance Rate: 0.615019
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4634
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4016.674506
Acceptance Rate: 0.612073
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4738
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3942.692908
Acceptance Rate: 0.609504
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4840
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3906.916788
Acceptance Rate: 0.607780
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4936
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3866.371400
Acceptance Rate: 0.607328
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 5022
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3824.399049
Acceptance Rate: 0.607962
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 5099
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3783.023691
Acceptance Rate: 0.605536
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 5202
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3751.196492
Acceptance Rate: 0.603091
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 5306
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3719.490022
Acceptance Rate: 0.602521
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 5394
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3689.721191
Acceptance Rate: 0.600437
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 5496
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3665.043325
Acceptance Rate: 0.598856
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5594
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3637.124705
Acceptance Rate: 0.598170
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5684
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3611.457660
Acceptance Rate: 0.594213
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5806
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3590.428573
Acceptance Rate: 0.590917
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5923
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3572.432764
Acceptance Rate: 0.589995
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 6017
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3553.929466
Acceptance Rate: 0.588909
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 6113
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3532.435797
Acceptance Rate: 0.587289
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 6215
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3514.842597
Acceptance Rate: 0.586464
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 6309
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3494.237276
Acceptance Rate: 0.585663
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 6403
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3477.137849
Acceptance Rate: 0.584885
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 6497
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3462.128154
Acceptance Rate: 0.582804
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 6606
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3448.711328
Acceptance Rate: 0.579926
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 6725
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3433.447918
Acceptance Rate: 0.577317
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6842
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3416.117064
Acceptance Rate: 0.575209
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6954
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3398.265797
Acceptance Rate: 0.574387
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 7051
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3382.124556
Acceptance Rate: 0.573507
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 7149
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3368.522672
Acceptance Rate: 0.572174
Replacements: 4166
Total Samples: 7281
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3334.928939
Acceptance Rate: 0.568194
Replacements: 4266
Total Samples: 7508
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3255.482435
Acceptance Rate: 0.562846
Replacements: 4366
Total Samples: 7757
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3213.959235
Acceptance Rate: 0.560773
Replacements: 4466
Total Samples: 7964
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3187.139504
Acceptance Rate: 0.557441
Replacements: 4566
Total Samples: 8191
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3158.192605
Acceptance Rate: 0.552909
Replacements: 4666
Total Samples: 8439
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3143.578542
Acceptance Rate: 0.550664
Replacements: 4766
Total Samples: 8655
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3131.556208
Acceptance Rate: 0.545638
Replacements: 4866
Total Samples: 8918
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3124.247669
Acceptance Rate: 0.539783
Replacements: 4966
Total Samples: 9200
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3119.079038
Acceptance Rate: 0.534219
Replacements: 5066
Total Samples: 9483
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3115.238437
Acceptance Rate: 0.531372
Replacements: 5166
Total Samples: 9722
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3111.432626
Acceptance Rate: 0.527708
Replacements: 5266
Total Samples: 9979
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3108.696825
Acceptance Rate: 0.524126
Replacements: 5366
Total Samples: 10238
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3106.927920
Acceptance Rate: 0.520968
Replacements: 5466
Total Samples: 10492
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3105.595260
Acceptance Rate: 0.516998
Replacements: 5566
Total Samples: 10766
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3104.659737
Acceptance Rate: 0.515513
Replacements: 5666
Total Samples: 10991
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3103.914490
Acceptance Rate: 0.510989
Replacements: 5766
Total Samples: 11284
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3103.238845
Acceptance Rate: 0.507879
Replacements: 5866
Total Samples: 11550
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3102.697926
Acceptance Rate: 0.503120
Replacements: 5966
Total Samples: 11858
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3102.247290
Acceptance Rate: 0.499671
Replacements: 6066
Total Samples: 12140
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.948042
Acceptance Rate: 0.496218
Replacements: 6166
Total Samples: 12426
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.712168
Acceptance Rate: 0.493036
Replacements: 6266
Total Samples: 12709
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.548135
Acceptance Rate: 0.489821
Replacements: 6352
Total Samples: 12968
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.488889
Replacements: 6402
Total Samples: 13095
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.487532
Replacements: 6452
Total Samples: 13234
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.486968
Replacements: 6502
Total Samples: 13352
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.486198
Replacements: 6552
Total Samples: 13476
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.484764
Replacements: 6602
Total Samples: 13619
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.483255
Replacements: 6652
Total Samples: 13765
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.481466
Replacements: 6702
Total Samples: 13920
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.481049
Replacements: 6752
Total Samples: 14036
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.480775
Replacements: 6802
Total Samples: 14148
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.479899
Replacements: 6852
Total Samples: 14278
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.477912
Replacements: 6902
Total Samples: 14442
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.476360
Replacements: 6952
Total Samples: 14594
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.475195
Replacements: 7002
Total Samples: 14735
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.473766
Replacements: 7052
Total Samples: 14885
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.473246
Replacements: 7102
Total Samples: 15007
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.472266
Replacements: 7152
Total Samples: 15144
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.471304
Replacements: 7202
Total Samples: 15281
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.471123
Replacements: 7252
Total Samples: 15393
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.470823
Replacements: 7302
Total Samples: 15509
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.470408
Replacements: 7352
Total Samples: 15629
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.470327
Replacements: 7402
Total Samples: 15738
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.469417
Replacements: 7452
Total Samples: 15875
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.468494
Replacements: 7502
Total Samples: 16013
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.468080
Replacements: 7552
Total Samples: 16134
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.467585
Replacements: 7602
Total Samples: 16258
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.466842
Replacements: 7652
Total Samples: 16391
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.466703
Replacements: 7702
Total Samples: 16503
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.465614
Replacements: 7752
Total Samples: 16649
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.464322
Replacements: 7802
Total Samples: 16803
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.464203
Replacements: 7852
Total Samples: 16915
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.464114
Replacements: 7902
Total Samples: 17026
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.463782
Replacements: 7952
Total Samples: 17146
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.463079
Replacements: 8002
Total Samples: 17280
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.463211
Replacements: 8052
Total Samples: 17383
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.463501
Replacements: 8102
Total Samples: 17480
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.463498
Replacements: 8152
Total Samples: 17588
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.463888
Replacements: 8202
Total Samples: 17681
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.463882
Replacements: 8252
Total Samples: 17789
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.464110
Replacements: 8302
Total Samples: 17888
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.464310
Replacements: 8352
Total Samples: 17988
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.464378
Replacements: 8402
Total Samples: 18093
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.464651
Replacements: 8452
Total Samples: 18190
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.465328
Replacements: 8502
Total Samples: 18271
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.465238
Replacements: 8552
Total Samples: 18382
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.465703
Replacements: 8602
Total Samples: 18471
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.466214
Replacements: 8652
Total Samples: 18558
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.466420
Replacements: 8702
Total Samples: 18657
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.466948
Replacements: 8752
Total Samples: 18743
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.467570
Replacements: 8802
Total Samples: 18825
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.468038
Replacements: 8852
Total Samples: 18913
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.468600
Replacements: 8902
Total Samples: 18997
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.469281
Replacements: 8952
Total Samples: 19076
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.470202
Replacements: 9018
Total Samples: 19179
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.471309
Replacements: 9076
Total Samples: 19257
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.471969
Replacements: 9126
Total Samples: 19336
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.472576
Replacements: 9176
Total Samples: 19417
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.473322
Replacements: 9226
Total Samples: 19492
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.474015
Replacements: 9276
Total Samples: 19569
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.474775
Replacements: 9326
Total Samples: 19643
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.475698
Replacements: 9376
Total Samples: 19710
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.476373
Replacements: 9426
Total Samples: 19787
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.477297
Replacements: 9492
Total Samples: 19887
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.478858
Replacements: 9592
Total Samples: 20031
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.480087
Replacements: 9692
Total Samples: 20188
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.481250
Replacements: 9792
Total Samples: 20347
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.482490
Replacements: 9892
Total Samples: 20502
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.482936
Replacements: 9948
Total Samples: 20599
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.483416
Replacements: 9998
Total Samples: 20682
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.484194
Replacements: 10048
Total Samples: 20752
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.485178
Replacements: 10098
Total Samples: 20813
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.486062
Replacements: 10148
Total Samples: 20878
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.486778
Replacements: 10198
Total Samples: 20950
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.487489
Replacements: 10248
Total Samples: 21022
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.488103
Replacements: 10298
Total Samples: 21098
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.488689
Replacements: 10348
Total Samples: 21175
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.489157
Replacements: 10398
Total Samples: 21257
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.489804
Replacements: 10448
Total Samples: 21331
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.490630
Replacements: 10498
Total Samples: 21397
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.491130
Replacements: 10548
Total Samples: 21477
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.491581
Replacements: 10598
Total Samples: 21559
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
Acceptance Rate: 0.492050
Replacements: 10646
Total Samples: 21636
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3101.459488
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -3101.2287573068420 +/- 0.22441946427909742
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 21636
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| GRB080916009...K | (1.460 -0.009 +0.027) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| GRB080916009...alpha | -1.0937 +0.0005 +0.035 | |
| GRB080916009...break_energy | (1.89 +0.14 +0.8) x 10^2 | keV |
| GRB080916009...break_scale | (0.0 +1.8 +3.4) x 10^-1 | |
| GRB080916009...beta | -1.994 -0.21 -0.018 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3 | -1020.285656 |
| n4 | -1011.076166 |
| b0 | -1049.186338 |
| total | -3080.548160 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 6171.266774 |
| BIC | 6190.498985 |
| DIC | 6180.182108 |
| PDIC | 4.491482 |
| log(Z) | -1346.846536 |
Now our model seems to match much better with the data!
[13]:
bayes.restore_median_fit()
fig = display_spectrum_model_counts(bayes, min_rate=20)
But how different are we from the catalog model? Let’s plot our fit along with the catalog model. Luckily, 3ML can handle all the units for is
[14]:
conversion = u.Unit("keV2/(cm2 s keV)").to("erg2/(cm2 s keV)")
energy_grid = np.logspace(1, 4, 100) * u.keV
vFv = (energy_grid**2 * model.get_point_source_fluxes(0, energy_grid)).to(
"erg2/(cm2 s keV)"
)
[15]:
fig = plot_spectra(bayes.results, flux_unit="erg2/(cm2 s keV)")
ax = fig.get_axes()[0]
_ = ax.loglog(energy_grid, vFv, color="blue", label="catalog model")
Time Resolved Analysis
Now that we have examined fluence fit, we can move to performing a time-resolved analysis.
Selecting a temporal binning
We first get the brightest NaI detector and create time bins via the Bayesian blocks algorithm. We can use the fitted background to make sure that our intervals are chosen in an unbiased way.
[16]:
n3 = time_series["n3"]
[17]:
n3.create_time_bins(0, 60, method="bayesblocks", use_background=True, p0=0.2)
Sometimes, glitches in the GBM data cause spikes in the data that the Bayesian blocks algorithm detects as fast changes in the count rate. We will have to remove those intervals manually.
Note: In the future, 3ML will provide an automated method to remove these unwanted spikes.
[18]:
fig = n3.view_lightcurve(use_binner=True)
[19]:
bad_bins = []
for i, w in enumerate(n3.bins.widths):
if w < 5e-2:
bad_bins.append(i)
edges = [n3.bins.starts[0]]
for i, b in enumerate(n3.bins):
if i not in bad_bins:
edges.append(b.stop)
starts = edges[:-1]
stops = edges[1:]
n3.create_time_bins(starts, stops, method="custom")
Now our light curve looks much more acceptable.
[20]:
fig = n3.view_lightcurve(use_binner=True)
The time series objects can read time bins from each other, so we will map these time bins onto the other detectors’ time series and create a list of time plugins for each detector and each time bin created above.
[21]:
time_resolved_plugins = {}
for k, v in time_series.items():
v.read_bins(n3)
time_resolved_plugins[k] = v.to_spectrumlike(from_bins=True)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.267000198364258)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Minimum MC energy (5.0) is larger than minimum EBOUNDS energy (4.369999885559082)
Setting up the model
For the time-resolved analysis, we will fit the classic Band function to the data. We will set some principled priors.
[22]:
band = Band()
band.alpha.prior = Truncated_gaussian(lower_bound=-1.5, upper_bound=1, mu=-1, sigma=0.5)
band.beta.prior = Truncated_gaussian(lower_bound=-5, upper_bound=-1.6, mu=-2, sigma=0.5)
band.xp.prior = Log_normal(mu=2, sigma=1)
band.xp.bounds = (None, None)
band.K.prior = Log_uniform_prior(lower_bound=1e-10, upper_bound=1e3)
ps = PointSource("grb", 0, 0, spectral_shape=band)
band_model = Model(ps)
We have set the min_value of Band.xp to 1e-99 because there was a postive transform
We have set the min_value of Band.xp to 1e-99 because there was a postive transform
Perform the fits
One way to perform Bayesian spectral fits to all the intervals is to loop through each one. There can are many ways to do this, so find an analysis pattern that works for you.
[23]:
models = []
results = []
analysis = []
for interval in range(12):
# clone the model above so that we have a separate model
# for each fit
this_model = clone_model(band_model)
# for each detector set up the plugin
# for this time interval
this_data_list = []
for k, v in time_resolved_plugins.items():
pi = v[interval]
if k.startswith("b"):
pi.set_active_measurements("250-30000")
else:
pi.set_active_measurements("9-900")
pi.rebin_on_background(1.0)
this_data_list.append(pi)
# create a data list
dlist = DataList(*this_data_list)
# set up the sampler and fit
bayes = BayesianAnalysis(this_model, dlist)
# get some speed with share spectrum
bayes.set_sampler("multinest", share_spectrum=True)
bayes.sampler.setup(n_live_points=500)
bayes.sample()
# at this stage we coudl also
# save the analysis result to
# disk but we will simply hold
# onto them in memory
analysis.append(bayes)
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.996377
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 552
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -80413.231102
Acceptance Rate: 0.985222
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 609
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4469.671630
Acceptance Rate: 0.973054
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 668
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1245.171316
Acceptance Rate: 0.945946
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 740
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1244.002734
Acceptance Rate: 0.911300
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 823
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1243.518081
Acceptance Rate: 0.893855
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 895
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1243.219788
Acceptance Rate: 0.882658
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 963
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1243.009973
Acceptance Rate: 0.866218
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1039
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1242.851736
Acceptance Rate: 0.848972
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1119
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1242.726990
Acceptance Rate: 0.839631
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1191
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1242.625212
Acceptance Rate: 0.832672
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1261
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1242.538969
Acceptance Rate: 0.820896
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1340
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1242.460573
Acceptance Rate: 0.811574
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1417
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1242.379763
Acceptance Rate: 0.803751
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1493
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1242.279828
Acceptance Rate: 0.799744
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1563
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1242.115984
Acceptance Rate: 0.794621
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1636
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1241.762528
Acceptance Rate: 0.789474
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1710
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1240.737093
Acceptance Rate: 0.779944
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1795
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1237.863007
Acceptance Rate: 0.769231
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1885
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1233.855492
Acceptance Rate: 0.764916
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 1961
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1228.198105
Acceptance Rate: 0.761297
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2036
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1220.335726
Acceptance Rate: 0.757217
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2113
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1208.713224
Acceptance Rate: 0.753081
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2191
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1195.799499
Acceptance Rate: 0.749890
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2267
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1183.337015
Acceptance Rate: 0.742154
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2358
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1171.969602
Acceptance Rate: 0.735294
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2448
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1161.457169
Acceptance Rate: 0.731804
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2528
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1148.526901
Acceptance Rate: 0.723810
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2625
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1138.249989
Acceptance Rate: 0.723026
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2697
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1128.607217
Acceptance Rate: 0.719942
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2778
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1119.793121
Acceptance Rate: 0.715782
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2864
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1106.138114
Acceptance Rate: 0.715503
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 2935
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1095.336798
Acceptance Rate: 0.713575
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 3013
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1085.665739
Acceptance Rate: 0.710594
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3096
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1075.355767
Acceptance Rate: 0.707992
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3178
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1062.879650
Acceptance Rate: 0.704441
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3265
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1050.550164
Acceptance Rate: 0.702331
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3346
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1040.985236
Acceptance Rate: 0.696258
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3447
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1033.019798
Acceptance Rate: 0.691700
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3542
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1025.924383
Acceptance Rate: 0.685871
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3645
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1018.063127
Acceptance Rate: 0.682731
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3735
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1010.982213
Acceptance Rate: 0.679739
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3825
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1003.557426
Acceptance Rate: 0.674644
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3928
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -996.448263
Acceptance Rate: 0.674326
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 4004
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -989.924671
Acceptance Rate: 0.672207
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 4091
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -983.010472
Acceptance Rate: 0.671624
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4169
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -974.670257
Acceptance Rate: 0.669800
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4255
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -968.671231
Acceptance Rate: 0.669282
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4333
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -963.122535
Acceptance Rate: 0.667421
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4420
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -957.047980
Acceptance Rate: 0.663130
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4524
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -952.758558
Acceptance Rate: 0.661749
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4609
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -948.091941
Acceptance Rate: 0.657058
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4718
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -942.378643
Acceptance Rate: 0.655704
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4804
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -938.127028
Acceptance Rate: 0.653461
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4897
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -934.162352
Acceptance Rate: 0.650390
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 4997
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -930.344674
Acceptance Rate: 0.648585
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 5088
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -926.874960
Acceptance Rate: 0.648596
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5165
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -923.443860
Acceptance Rate: 0.645039
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5271
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -920.265551
Acceptance Rate: 0.643657
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5360
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -917.050901
Acceptance Rate: 0.642320
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5449
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -913.797731
Acceptance Rate: 0.639409
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5552
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -910.712199
Acceptance Rate: 0.639091
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5633
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -907.729064
Acceptance Rate: 0.638447
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5717
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -905.234232
Acceptance Rate: 0.638481
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5795
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -902.594826
Acceptance Rate: 0.638624
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 5872
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -900.422414
Acceptance Rate: 0.638334
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 5953
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -898.035923
Acceptance Rate: 0.637312
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 6041
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -895.852289
Acceptance Rate: 0.635697
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 6135
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -894.037873
Acceptance Rate: 0.635968
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6211
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -892.151341
Acceptance Rate: 0.635122
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6298
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -890.511750
Acceptance Rate: 0.634597
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6382
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -888.732928
Acceptance Rate: 0.634184
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6465
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -887.268090
Acceptance Rate: 0.634072
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6545
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -885.742257
Acceptance Rate: 0.633007
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6635
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -884.232269
Acceptance Rate: 0.631219
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 6733
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -882.840911
Acceptance Rate: 0.630499
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 6820
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -881.738453
Acceptance Rate: 0.629887
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 6906
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -880.762139
Acceptance Rate: 0.626691
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 7021
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -879.670141
Acceptance Rate: 0.625351
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 7116
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -878.681667
Acceptance Rate: 0.624653
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 7204
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -877.661859
Acceptance Rate: 0.623288
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7300
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -876.641319
Acceptance Rate: 0.622379
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7391
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -875.667944
Acceptance Rate: 0.622657
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7468
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -874.835308
Acceptance Rate: 0.621447
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7563
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -873.907002
Acceptance Rate: 0.619943
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 7662
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -873.018430
Acceptance Rate: 0.619675
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 7746
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -872.182315
Acceptance Rate: 0.618622
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 7840
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -871.338761
Acceptance Rate: 0.618921
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 7917
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -870.426264
Acceptance Rate: 0.616746
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 8026
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -868.961637
Acceptance Rate: 0.615612
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 8122
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -867.080427
Acceptance Rate: 0.616079
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 8197
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -865.011109
Acceptance Rate: 0.615793
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 8282
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -862.345204
Acceptance Rate: 0.614705
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 8378
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -859.825208
Acceptance Rate: 0.613425
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 8477
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -857.153630
Acceptance Rate: 0.612888
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 8566
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -854.915888
Acceptance Rate: 0.612858
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 8648
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -852.717556
Acceptance Rate: 0.612058
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 8741
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -850.757255
Acceptance Rate: 0.611690
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 8828
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -848.733139
Acceptance Rate: 0.611055
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 8919
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -846.812357
Acceptance Rate: 0.610501
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 9009
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -845.041727
Acceptance Rate: 0.610897
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 9085
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -843.007742
Acceptance Rate: 0.611154
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 9163
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -841.059075
Acceptance Rate: 0.611340
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 9242
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -839.048305
Acceptance Rate: 0.610736
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 9333
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -837.362536
Acceptance Rate: 0.610857
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 9413
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -835.661331
Acceptance Rate: 0.610719
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 9497
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -833.869910
Acceptance Rate: 0.610838
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 9577
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -832.282111
Acceptance Rate: 0.610513
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 9664
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -830.635793
Acceptance Rate: 0.610069
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 9753
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -828.946190
Acceptance Rate: 0.610190
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 9833
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -827.515838
Acceptance Rate: 0.610494
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 9910
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -825.860019
Acceptance Rate: 0.610488
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 9992
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -824.265106
Acceptance Rate: 0.610846
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 10068
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -822.499910
Acceptance Rate: 0.610477
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 10156
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -821.004848
Acceptance Rate: 0.610530
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 10237
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -819.405177
Acceptance Rate: 0.611472
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 10303
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -817.922959
Acceptance Rate: 0.611047
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 10392
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -816.721317
Acceptance Rate: 0.611562
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 10465
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -815.382217
Acceptance Rate: 0.611722
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 10544
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.115292
Acceptance Rate: 0.611477
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 10630
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.789833
Acceptance Rate: 0.610723
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 10725
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -811.553818
Acceptance Rate: 0.609869
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 10822
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -810.486914
Acceptance Rate: 0.610260
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 10897
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -809.606134
Acceptance Rate: 0.610256
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 10979
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -808.700896
Acceptance Rate: 0.611026
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 11047
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -807.822110
Acceptance Rate: 0.611181
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 11126
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -806.951307
Acceptance Rate: 0.611443
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 11203
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -806.092789
Acceptance Rate: 0.612082
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 11273
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -805.206176
Acceptance Rate: 0.612713
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 11343
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -804.355925
Acceptance Rate: 0.612852
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 11422
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -803.544976
Acceptance Rate: 0.612617
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 11508
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -802.662198
Acceptance Rate: 0.612597
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 11590
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -801.907552
Acceptance Rate: 0.612945
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 11665
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -801.130977
Acceptance Rate: 0.612662
Replacements: 7200
Total Samples: 11752
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -800.398845
Acceptance Rate: 0.613056
Replacements: 7250
Total Samples: 11826
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -799.798540
Acceptance Rate: 0.613033
Replacements: 7300
Total Samples: 11908
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -799.206043
Acceptance Rate: 0.612704
Replacements: 7350
Total Samples: 11996
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.625341
Acceptance Rate: 0.613243
Replacements: 7400
Total Samples: 12067
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.136541
Acceptance Rate: 0.612564
Replacements: 7450
Total Samples: 12162
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -797.677164
Acceptance Rate: 0.612695
Replacements: 7500
Total Samples: 12241
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -797.238163
Acceptance Rate: 0.613024
Replacements: 7550
Total Samples: 12316
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -796.828685
Acceptance Rate: 0.613052
Replacements: 7600
Total Samples: 12397
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -796.432990
Acceptance Rate: 0.613571
Replacements: 7650
Total Samples: 12468
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -796.042344
Acceptance Rate: 0.613448
Replacements: 7700
Total Samples: 12552
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -795.666748
Acceptance Rate: 0.613618
Replacements: 7750
Total Samples: 12630
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -795.314942
Acceptance Rate: 0.613932
Replacements: 7800
Total Samples: 12705
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -794.988353
Acceptance Rate: 0.614145
Replacements: 7850
Total Samples: 12782
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -794.669543
Acceptance Rate: 0.614356
Replacements: 7900
Total Samples: 12859
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -794.373959
Acceptance Rate: 0.614279
Replacements: 7950
Total Samples: 12942
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -794.105053
Acceptance Rate: 0.614298
Replacements: 8000
Total Samples: 13023
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -793.835337
Acceptance Rate: 0.614551
Replacements: 8050
Total Samples: 13099
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -793.567611
Acceptance Rate: 0.614941
Replacements: 8100
Total Samples: 13172
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -793.317971
Acceptance Rate: 0.615280
Replacements: 8150
Total Samples: 13246
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -793.081379
Acceptance Rate: 0.615847
Replacements: 8200
Total Samples: 13315
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.867168
Acceptance Rate: 0.616039
Replacements: 8250
Total Samples: 13392
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.657098
Acceptance Rate: 0.615636
Replacements: 8300
Total Samples: 13482
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.451736
Acceptance Rate: 0.615736
Replacements: 8350
Total Samples: 13561
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.254527
Acceptance Rate: 0.616469
Replacements: 8400
Total Samples: 13626
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.058300
Acceptance Rate: 0.616788
Replacements: 8450
Total Samples: 13700
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.866442
Acceptance Rate: 0.617239
Replacements: 8500
Total Samples: 13771
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.683002
Acceptance Rate: 0.617373
Replacements: 8550
Total Samples: 13849
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.505016
Acceptance Rate: 0.617506
Replacements: 8600
Total Samples: 13927
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.339808
Acceptance Rate: 0.617504
Replacements: 8650
Total Samples: 14008
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.182507
Acceptance Rate: 0.617635
Replacements: 8700
Total Samples: 14086
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.034902
Acceptance Rate: 0.617720
Replacements: 8750
Total Samples: 14165
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.895793
Acceptance Rate: 0.617631
Replacements: 8800
Total Samples: 14248
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.766597
Acceptance Rate: 0.617327
Replacements: 8850
Total Samples: 14336
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.646636
Acceptance Rate: 0.617455
Replacements: 8900
Total Samples: 14414
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.534444
Acceptance Rate: 0.617540
Replacements: 8950
Total Samples: 14493
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.429279
Acceptance Rate: 0.617962
Replacements: 9000
Total Samples: 14564
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.330481
Acceptance Rate: 0.617916
Replacements: 9050
Total Samples: 14646
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.236939
Acceptance Rate: 0.618123
Replacements: 9100
Total Samples: 14722
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.149611
Acceptance Rate: 0.617993
Replacements: 9150
Total Samples: 14806
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.067240
Acceptance Rate: 0.617864
Replacements: 9200
Total Samples: 14890
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.988490
Acceptance Rate: 0.617696
Replacements: 9250
Total Samples: 14975
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.915194
Acceptance Rate: 0.618228
Replacements: 9300
Total Samples: 15043
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.846263
Acceptance Rate: 0.618591
Replacements: 9350
Total Samples: 15115
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.781252
Acceptance Rate: 0.618584
Replacements: 9400
Total Samples: 15196
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.721023
Acceptance Rate: 0.618901
Replacements: 9450
Total Samples: 15269
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.664909
Acceptance Rate: 0.618610
Replacements: 9500
Total Samples: 15357
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.612848
Acceptance Rate: 0.618523
Replacements: 9550
Total Samples: 15440
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.564318
Acceptance Rate: 0.618198
Replacements: 9600
Total Samples: 15529
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.519392
Acceptance Rate: 0.618590
Replacements: 9650
Total Samples: 15600
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.478275
Acceptance Rate: 0.618504
Replacements: 9700
Total Samples: 15683
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.440460
Acceptance Rate: 0.618773
Replacements: 9750
Total Samples: 15757
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.404881
Acceptance Rate: 0.618921
Replacements: 9800
Total Samples: 15834
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.371764
Acceptance Rate: 0.619419
Replacements: 9850
Total Samples: 15902
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.341241
Acceptance Rate: 0.619912
Replacements: 9900
Total Samples: 15970
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.313162
Acceptance Rate: 0.619706
Replacements: 9950
Total Samples: 16056
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.287088
Acceptance Rate: 0.619747
Replacements: 9955
Total Samples: 16063
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.284574
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -788.99976033175949 +/- 0.18002771257563616
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 16063
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (3.6 +/- 0.5) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | (-5.6 -1.2 +1.0) x 10^-1 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (3.12 -0.28 +0.7) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -2.06 -0.31 +0.07 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval0 | -250.084833 |
| n4_interval0 | -268.001866 |
| b0_interval0 | -285.677366 |
| total | -803.764065 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 1615.641444 |
| BIC | 1631.050261 |
| DIC | 1570.257229 |
| PDIC | 2.419077 |
| log(Z) | -342.658242 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 1.000000
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 550
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -654762.773316
Acceptance Rate: 0.993377
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 604
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -34422.229666
Acceptance Rate: 0.973054
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 668
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10225.675506
Acceptance Rate: 0.949796
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 737
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10224.764096
Acceptance Rate: 0.928218
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 808
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10224.331532
Acceptance Rate: 0.914286
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 875
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10224.055416
Acceptance Rate: 0.897571
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 947
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10223.857051
Acceptance Rate: 0.878906
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1024
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10223.701912
Acceptance Rate: 0.858175
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1107
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10223.567632
Acceptance Rate: 0.839631
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1191
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10223.422740
Acceptance Rate: 0.830696
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1264
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10223.179153
Acceptance Rate: 0.819062
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1343
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10221.769799
Acceptance Rate: 0.802512
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1433
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10215.207843
Acceptance Rate: 0.791035
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1517
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10198.748179
Acceptance Rate: 0.774954
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1613
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10178.140389
Acceptance Rate: 0.764256
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1701
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10144.517047
Acceptance Rate: 0.764439
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1766
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10093.046853
Acceptance Rate: 0.763359
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1834
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -9990.666875
Acceptance Rate: 0.756785
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1916
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -9865.086647
Acceptance Rate: 0.752257
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 1994
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -9666.161894
Acceptance Rate: 0.750605
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2065
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -9473.947962
Acceptance Rate: 0.745226
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2147
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -9256.558681
Acceptance Rate: 0.740907
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2227
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -8971.377699
Acceptance Rate: 0.738168
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2303
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -8750.522495
Acceptance Rate: 0.730384
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2396
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -8534.220848
Acceptance Rate: 0.722601
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2491
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -8255.427781
Acceptance Rate: 0.720125
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2569
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -8029.501580
Acceptance Rate: 0.714286
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2660
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -7812.973917
Acceptance Rate: 0.711419
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2741
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -7523.840595
Acceptance Rate: 0.706215
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2832
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -7322.770155
Acceptance Rate: 0.701814
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2921
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -7149.437766
Acceptance Rate: 0.701403
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 2994
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -7017.342048
Acceptance Rate: 0.696921
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 3085
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6823.582293
Acceptance Rate: 0.697306
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3155
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6627.898128
Acceptance Rate: 0.695088
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3237
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6431.618359
Acceptance Rate: 0.694025
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3314
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6245.949002
Acceptance Rate: 0.692194
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3395
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6114.151083
Acceptance Rate: 0.691842
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3469
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5947.164769
Acceptance Rate: 0.689946
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3551
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5805.096408
Acceptance Rate: 0.686625
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3641
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5626.638217
Acceptance Rate: 0.680181
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3749
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5456.604753
Acceptance Rate: 0.678497
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3832
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5345.287518
Acceptance Rate: 0.676365
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3918
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5254.377490
Acceptance Rate: 0.672813
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 4013
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5141.998679
Acceptance Rate: 0.669915
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 4105
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5038.807165
Acceptance Rate: 0.668098
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4191
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4941.906901
Acceptance Rate: 0.665732
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4281
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4855.492822
Acceptance Rate: 0.663616
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4370
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4763.645761
Acceptance Rate: 0.663667
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4445
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4662.351539
Acceptance Rate: 0.662691
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4527
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4581.136493
Acceptance Rate: 0.659887
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4622
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4492.238120
Acceptance Rate: 0.656641
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4721
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4425.851354
Acceptance Rate: 0.656250
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4800
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4348.951663
Acceptance Rate: 0.652529
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4904
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4291.652610
Acceptance Rate: 0.648444
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 5012
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4218.049454
Acceptance Rate: 0.648585
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 5088
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4163.951088
Acceptance Rate: 0.646843
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5179
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4099.877296
Acceptance Rate: 0.645529
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5267
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4044.180700
Acceptance Rate: 0.644498
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5353
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3992.244855
Acceptance Rate: 0.642438
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5448
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3937.622927
Acceptance Rate: 0.641257
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5536
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3893.310615
Acceptance Rate: 0.641597
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5611
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3850.727651
Acceptance Rate: 0.639565
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5707
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3807.016787
Acceptance Rate: 0.637272
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5806
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3765.867418
Acceptance Rate: 0.637105
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 5886
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3736.973722
Acceptance Rate: 0.634709
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 5987
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3702.011341
Acceptance Rate: 0.634685
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 6066
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3673.133483
Acceptance Rate: 0.633425
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 6157
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3634.413050
Acceptance Rate: 0.632911
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6241
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3598.731690
Acceptance Rate: 0.630517
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6344
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3570.691625
Acceptance Rate: 0.628589
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6443
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3548.432555
Acceptance Rate: 0.628160
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6527
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3526.342495
Acceptance Rate: 0.625943
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6630
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3502.966144
Acceptance Rate: 0.623608
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6735
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3481.268386
Acceptance Rate: 0.622802
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 6824
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3455.388881
Acceptance Rate: 0.621657
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 6917
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3436.727923
Acceptance Rate: 0.620011
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 7016
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3418.702979
Acceptance Rate: 0.620068
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 7096
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3402.589533
Acceptance Rate: 0.620296
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 7174
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3389.511410
Acceptance Rate: 0.618727
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 7273
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3373.884952
Acceptance Rate: 0.618795
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7353
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3361.732217
Acceptance Rate: 0.617698
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7447
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3348.397753
Acceptance Rate: 0.616466
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7543
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3332.313775
Acceptance Rate: 0.616393
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7625
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3317.854233
Acceptance Rate: 0.615126
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 7722
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3306.018662
Acceptance Rate: 0.614675
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 7809
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3294.174910
Acceptance Rate: 0.614469
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 7893
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3283.657590
Acceptance Rate: 0.613958
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 7981
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3272.967033
Acceptance Rate: 0.612245
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 8085
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3263.495808
Acceptance Rate: 0.610948
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 8184
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3254.295643
Acceptance Rate: 0.610272
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 8275
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3242.532369
Acceptance Rate: 0.609392
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 8369
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3233.018604
Acceptance Rate: 0.607813
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 8473
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3223.428359
Acceptance Rate: 0.608258
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 8549
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3210.180008
Acceptance Rate: 0.607569
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 8641
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3180.959217
Acceptance Rate: 0.606477
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 8739
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3146.511088
Acceptance Rate: 0.605272
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 8839
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3112.076867
Acceptance Rate: 0.605653
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 8916
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3080.083192
Acceptance Rate: 0.605219
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 9005
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3045.388995
Acceptance Rate: 0.604861
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 9093
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3017.955337
Acceptance Rate: 0.604641
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 9179
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2998.219543
Acceptance Rate: 0.604556
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 9263
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2972.547243
Acceptance Rate: 0.604020
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 9354
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2943.568113
Acceptance Rate: 0.603814
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 9440
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2917.767761
Acceptance Rate: 0.602978
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 9536
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2891.094273
Acceptance Rate: 0.602660
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 9624
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2863.566627
Acceptance Rate: 0.602472
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 9710
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2835.312088
Acceptance Rate: 0.602287
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 9796
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2808.428714
Acceptance Rate: 0.601922
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 9885
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2780.868081
Acceptance Rate: 0.602047
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 9966
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2756.854254
Acceptance Rate: 0.601751
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 10054
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2726.641705
Acceptance Rate: 0.601163
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 10147
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2701.050686
Acceptance Rate: 0.600586
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 10240
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2674.743942
Acceptance Rate: 0.601183
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 10313
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2652.861188
Acceptance Rate: 0.601772
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 10386
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2629.627230
Acceptance Rate: 0.602352
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 10459
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2605.282115
Acceptance Rate: 0.602295
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 10543
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2578.672917
Acceptance Rate: 0.602580
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 10621
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2556.878780
Acceptance Rate: 0.603086
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 10695
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2535.619165
Acceptance Rate: 0.603921
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 10763
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2514.003331
Acceptance Rate: 0.603854
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 10847
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2486.243179
Acceptance Rate: 0.604285
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 10922
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2461.039809
Acceptance Rate: 0.604051
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 11009
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2435.905283
Acceptance Rate: 0.604311
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 11087
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2417.902066
Acceptance Rate: 0.604730
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 11162
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2402.602523
Acceptance Rate: 0.605090
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 11238
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2382.336675
Acceptance Rate: 0.604750
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 11327
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2365.026315
Acceptance Rate: 0.604945
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 11406
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2353.067770
Acceptance Rate: 0.605084
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 11486
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2337.678549
Acceptance Rate: 0.604282
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 11584
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2324.271908
Acceptance Rate: 0.604372
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 11665
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2307.802899
Acceptance Rate: 0.605079
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 11734
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2291.348168
Acceptance Rate: 0.605984
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 11799
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2274.350746
Acceptance Rate: 0.606622
Replacements: 7200
Total Samples: 11869
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2262.838469
Acceptance Rate: 0.607203
Replacements: 7250
Total Samples: 11940
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2248.211572
Acceptance Rate: 0.607473
Replacements: 7300
Total Samples: 12017
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2236.786919
Acceptance Rate: 0.607739
Replacements: 7350
Total Samples: 12094
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2226.715741
Acceptance Rate: 0.607155
Replacements: 7400
Total Samples: 12188
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2214.853264
Acceptance Rate: 0.607519
Replacements: 7450
Total Samples: 12263
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2200.976211
Acceptance Rate: 0.607484
Replacements: 7500
Total Samples: 12346
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2193.531123
Acceptance Rate: 0.607499
Replacements: 7550
Total Samples: 12428
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2185.491332
Acceptance Rate: 0.607465
Replacements: 7600
Total Samples: 12511
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2175.270547
Acceptance Rate: 0.608011
Replacements: 7650
Total Samples: 12582
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2164.947680
Acceptance Rate: 0.608503
Replacements: 7700
Total Samples: 12654
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2155.919765
Acceptance Rate: 0.608942
Replacements: 7750
Total Samples: 12727
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2147.472677
Acceptance Rate: 0.609327
Replacements: 7800
Total Samples: 12801
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2138.882230
Acceptance Rate: 0.610040
Replacements: 7850
Total Samples: 12868
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2131.515578
Acceptance Rate: 0.609897
Replacements: 7900
Total Samples: 12953
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2123.582558
Acceptance Rate: 0.610365
Replacements: 7950
Total Samples: 13025
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2116.544125
Acceptance Rate: 0.610407
Replacements: 8000
Total Samples: 13106
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2110.610289
Acceptance Rate: 0.611145
Replacements: 8050
Total Samples: 13172
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.089925
Acceptance Rate: 0.611228
Replacements: 8100
Total Samples: 13252
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2099.013398
Acceptance Rate: 0.611540
Replacements: 8150
Total Samples: 13327
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2093.750820
Acceptance Rate: 0.611986
Replacements: 8200
Total Samples: 13399
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2087.867445
Acceptance Rate: 0.611519
Replacements: 8250
Total Samples: 13491
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2082.262976
Acceptance Rate: 0.611914
Replacements: 8300
Total Samples: 13564
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2076.636126
Acceptance Rate: 0.612260
Replacements: 8350
Total Samples: 13638
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2071.486545
Acceptance Rate: 0.612334
Replacements: 8400
Total Samples: 13718
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2066.790116
Acceptance Rate: 0.612852
Replacements: 8450
Total Samples: 13788
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2062.686840
Acceptance Rate: 0.613143
Replacements: 8500
Total Samples: 13863
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2058.736374
Acceptance Rate: 0.613475
Replacements: 8550
Total Samples: 13937
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2055.231260
Acceptance Rate: 0.613847
Replacements: 8600
Total Samples: 14010
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2052.247834
Acceptance Rate: 0.614172
Replacements: 8650
Total Samples: 14084
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2047.997288
Acceptance Rate: 0.614363
Replacements: 8700
Total Samples: 14161
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2044.063959
Acceptance Rate: 0.614898
Replacements: 8750
Total Samples: 14230
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2040.689941
Acceptance Rate: 0.615256
Replacements: 8800
Total Samples: 14303
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2038.236171
Acceptance Rate: 0.615695
Replacements: 8850
Total Samples: 14374
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2035.535343
Acceptance Rate: 0.616045
Replacements: 8900
Total Samples: 14447
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2032.780667
Acceptance Rate: 0.616391
Replacements: 8950
Total Samples: 14520
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2030.497131
Acceptance Rate: 0.616312
Replacements: 9000
Total Samples: 14603
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2028.007969
Acceptance Rate: 0.617158
Replacements: 9050
Total Samples: 14664
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2025.421993
Acceptance Rate: 0.617158
Replacements: 9100
Total Samples: 14745
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2022.552146
Acceptance Rate: 0.617076
Replacements: 9150
Total Samples: 14828
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2020.432096
Acceptance Rate: 0.617077
Replacements: 9200
Total Samples: 14909
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2018.364769
Acceptance Rate: 0.617284
Replacements: 9250
Total Samples: 14985
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2016.129104
Acceptance Rate: 0.617653
Replacements: 9300
Total Samples: 15057
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2013.862193
Acceptance Rate: 0.617937
Replacements: 9350
Total Samples: 15131
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2011.727086
Acceptance Rate: 0.618136
Replacements: 9400
Total Samples: 15207
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2009.867665
Acceptance Rate: 0.618213
Replacements: 9450
Total Samples: 15286
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2007.790888
Acceptance Rate: 0.618570
Replacements: 9500
Total Samples: 15358
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2005.601130
Acceptance Rate: 0.618724
Replacements: 9550
Total Samples: 15435
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2003.949225
Acceptance Rate: 0.619035
Replacements: 9600
Total Samples: 15508
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2002.312877
Acceptance Rate: 0.619861
Replacements: 9650
Total Samples: 15568
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2000.641264
Acceptance Rate: 0.620165
Replacements: 9700
Total Samples: 15641
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1999.161149
Acceptance Rate: 0.620545
Replacements: 9750
Total Samples: 15712
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1997.817970
Acceptance Rate: 0.620843
Replacements: 9800
Total Samples: 15785
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1996.416746
Acceptance Rate: 0.621216
Replacements: 9850
Total Samples: 15856
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1994.968565
Acceptance Rate: 0.621586
Replacements: 9900
Total Samples: 15927
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1993.580354
Acceptance Rate: 0.622342
Replacements: 9950
Total Samples: 15988
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1992.315455
Acceptance Rate: 0.622549
Replacements: 10000
Total Samples: 16063
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1991.006907
Acceptance Rate: 0.622754
Replacements: 10050
Total Samples: 16138
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1989.861622
Acceptance Rate: 0.622650
Replacements: 10100
Total Samples: 16221
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1988.773961
Acceptance Rate: 0.623158
Replacements: 10150
Total Samples: 16288
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1987.795494
Acceptance Rate: 0.623586
Replacements: 10200
Total Samples: 16357
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1986.909001
Acceptance Rate: 0.623821
Replacements: 10250
Total Samples: 16431
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1986.065857
Acceptance Rate: 0.624205
Replacements: 10300
Total Samples: 16501
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1985.223574
Acceptance Rate: 0.624849
Replacements: 10350
Total Samples: 16564
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1984.381630
Acceptance Rate: 0.625038
Replacements: 10400
Total Samples: 16639
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1983.437227
Acceptance Rate: 0.625187
Replacements: 10450
Total Samples: 16715
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1982.498386
Acceptance Rate: 0.625298
Replacements: 10500
Total Samples: 16792
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1981.606895
Acceptance Rate: 0.625148
Replacements: 10550
Total Samples: 16876
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1980.724480
Acceptance Rate: 0.625369
Replacements: 10600
Total Samples: 16950
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1979.891304
Acceptance Rate: 0.625661
Replacements: 10650
Total Samples: 17022
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1979.179162
Acceptance Rate: 0.625877
Replacements: 10700
Total Samples: 17096
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1978.514578
Acceptance Rate: 0.626493
Replacements: 10750
Total Samples: 17159
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1977.843131
Acceptance Rate: 0.626668
Replacements: 10800
Total Samples: 17234
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1977.228976
Acceptance Rate: 0.627204
Replacements: 10850
Total Samples: 17299
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1976.542232
Acceptance Rate: 0.627302
Replacements: 10900
Total Samples: 17376
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1975.885509
Acceptance Rate: 0.627939
Replacements: 10950
Total Samples: 17438
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1975.290633
Acceptance Rate: 0.628320
Replacements: 11000
Total Samples: 17507
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1974.712527
Acceptance Rate: 0.628305
Replacements: 11050
Total Samples: 17587
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1974.129601
Acceptance Rate: 0.628539
Replacements: 11100
Total Samples: 17660
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1973.465837
Acceptance Rate: 0.628736
Replacements: 11150
Total Samples: 17734
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1972.726794
Acceptance Rate: 0.629143
Replacements: 11200
Total Samples: 17802
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1971.902733
Acceptance Rate: 0.629265
Replacements: 11250
Total Samples: 17878
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1971.016909
Acceptance Rate: 0.629737
Replacements: 11300
Total Samples: 17944
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.181810
Acceptance Rate: 0.630100
Replacements: 11350
Total Samples: 18013
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1969.352334
Acceptance Rate: 0.630148
Replacements: 11400
Total Samples: 18091
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1968.561937
Acceptance Rate: 0.630576
Replacements: 11450
Total Samples: 18158
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1967.813649
Acceptance Rate: 0.631105
Replacements: 11500
Total Samples: 18222
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1967.014007
Acceptance Rate: 0.631527
Replacements: 11550
Total Samples: 18289
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1966.249466
Acceptance Rate: 0.631774
Replacements: 11600
Total Samples: 18361
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1965.574935
Acceptance Rate: 0.632053
Replacements: 11650
Total Samples: 18432
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.982644
Acceptance Rate: 0.632432
Replacements: 11700
Total Samples: 18500
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.462724
Acceptance Rate: 0.632809
Replacements: 11750
Total Samples: 18568
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1963.973074
Acceptance Rate: 0.633149
Replacements: 11800
Total Samples: 18637
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1963.459120
Acceptance Rate: 0.633419
Replacements: 11850
Total Samples: 18708
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1962.991342
Acceptance Rate: 0.633619
Replacements: 11900
Total Samples: 18781
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1962.527859
Acceptance Rate: 0.633314
Replacements: 11950
Total Samples: 18869
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1962.073762
Acceptance Rate: 0.633212
Replacements: 12000
Total Samples: 18951
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1961.642991
Acceptance Rate: 0.632878
Replacements: 12050
Total Samples: 19040
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1961.224514
Acceptance Rate: 0.633110
Replacements: 12100
Total Samples: 19112
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1960.863629
Acceptance Rate: 0.633175
Replacements: 12150
Total Samples: 19189
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1960.534231
Acceptance Rate: 0.633339
Replacements: 12200
Total Samples: 19263
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1960.218545
Acceptance Rate: 0.633894
Replacements: 12250
Total Samples: 19325
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1959.905738
Acceptance Rate: 0.633890
Replacements: 12300
Total Samples: 19404
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1959.628101
Acceptance Rate: 0.633886
Replacements: 12350
Total Samples: 19483
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1959.383271
Acceptance Rate: 0.633979
Replacements: 12400
Total Samples: 19559
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1959.145369
Acceptance Rate: 0.634201
Replacements: 12450
Total Samples: 19631
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1958.918829
Acceptance Rate: 0.634486
Replacements: 12500
Total Samples: 19701
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1958.718309
Acceptance Rate: 0.634479
Replacements: 12550
Total Samples: 19780
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1958.534016
Acceptance Rate: 0.634953
Replacements: 12600
Total Samples: 19844
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1958.367383
Acceptance Rate: 0.635263
Replacements: 12650
Total Samples: 19913
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1958.212298
Acceptance Rate: 0.635477
Replacements: 12700
Total Samples: 19985
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1958.064138
Acceptance Rate: 0.636005
Replacements: 12750
Total Samples: 20047
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1957.924915
Acceptance Rate: 0.636183
Replacements: 12800
Total Samples: 20120
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1957.789576
Acceptance Rate: 0.636580
Replacements: 12850
Total Samples: 20186
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1957.658062
Acceptance Rate: 0.636911
Replacements: 12900
Total Samples: 20254
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1957.528867
Acceptance Rate: 0.637178
Replacements: 12950
Total Samples: 20324
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1957.399662
Acceptance Rate: 0.637255
Replacements: 13000
Total Samples: 20400
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1957.280053
Acceptance Rate: 0.637238
Replacements: 13050
Total Samples: 20479
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1957.165670
Acceptance Rate: 0.637346
Replacements: 13100
Total Samples: 20554
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1957.055152
Acceptance Rate: 0.637669
Replacements: 13150
Total Samples: 20622
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.946320
Acceptance Rate: 0.637835
Replacements: 13200
Total Samples: 20695
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.837951
Acceptance Rate: 0.638124
Replacements: 13250
Total Samples: 20764
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.731994
Acceptance Rate: 0.638625
Replacements: 13300
Total Samples: 20826
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.630405
Acceptance Rate: 0.638451
Replacements: 13350
Total Samples: 20910
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.534031
Acceptance Rate: 0.638612
Replacements: 13400
Total Samples: 20983
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.440754
Acceptance Rate: 0.638925
Replacements: 13450
Total Samples: 21051
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.352448
Acceptance Rate: 0.639326
Replacements: 13500
Total Samples: 21116
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.270128
Acceptance Rate: 0.639724
Replacements: 13550
Total Samples: 21181
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.191965
Acceptance Rate: 0.639880
Replacements: 13600
Total Samples: 21254
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.118367
Acceptance Rate: 0.640004
Replacements: 13650
Total Samples: 21328
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.048478
Acceptance Rate: 0.640337
Replacements: 13700
Total Samples: 21395
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.982575
Acceptance Rate: 0.640697
Replacements: 13750
Total Samples: 21461
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.920286
Acceptance Rate: 0.641204
Replacements: 13800
Total Samples: 21522
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.861169
Acceptance Rate: 0.641471
Replacements: 13850
Total Samples: 21591
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.804705
Acceptance Rate: 0.641617
Replacements: 13900
Total Samples: 21664
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.751561
Acceptance Rate: 0.641851
Replacements: 13950
Total Samples: 21734
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.702069
Acceptance Rate: 0.642143
Replacements: 14000
Total Samples: 21802
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.655607
Acceptance Rate: 0.642286
Replacements: 14050
Total Samples: 21875
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.611818
Acceptance Rate: 0.642750
Replacements: 14100
Total Samples: 21937
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.569750
Acceptance Rate: 0.643036
Replacements: 14150
Total Samples: 22005
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.529462
Acceptance Rate: 0.643029
Replacements: 14200
Total Samples: 22083
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.491060
Acceptance Rate: 0.643196
Replacements: 14250
Total Samples: 22155
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.454548
Acceptance Rate: 0.643564
Replacements: 14300
Total Samples: 22220
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.420195
Acceptance Rate: 0.643931
Replacements: 14350
Total Samples: 22285
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.387914
Acceptance Rate: 0.644209
Replacements: 14400
Total Samples: 22353
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.357771
Acceptance Rate: 0.644715
Replacements: 14450
Total Samples: 22413
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.329790
Acceptance Rate: 0.645018
Replacements: 14500
Total Samples: 22480
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.303413
Acceptance Rate: 0.645233
Replacements: 14550
Total Samples: 22550
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.278612
Acceptance Rate: 0.645275
Replacements: 14600
Total Samples: 22626
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.255425
Acceptance Rate: 0.645460
Replacements: 14650
Total Samples: 22697
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.233920
Acceptance Rate: 0.645558
Replacements: 14700
Total Samples: 22771
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.213875
Acceptance Rate: 0.646051
Replacements: 14750
Total Samples: 22831
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.195089
Acceptance Rate: 0.646091
Replacements: 14800
Total Samples: 22907
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.177473
Acceptance Rate: 0.646298
Replacements: 14850
Total Samples: 22977
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.161022
Acceptance Rate: 0.646645
Replacements: 14900
Total Samples: 23042
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.145604
Acceptance Rate: 0.646700
Replacements: 14931
Total Samples: 23088
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.136587
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -1954.9532726101045 +/- 0.22448610914297198
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 23088
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (4.681 -0.026 +0.17) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | (-7.49 +0.06 +0.20) x 10^-1 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (4.794 -0.34 -0.015) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -2.070 -0.04 +0.019 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval1 | -642.849643 |
| n4_interval1 | -644.924798 |
| b0_interval1 | -677.932817 |
| total | -1965.707258 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 3939.527831 |
| BIC | 3954.936649 |
| DIC | 3886.894341 |
| PDIC | 1.866411 |
| log(Z) | -849.025419 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.996377
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 552
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -57131.012764
Acceptance Rate: 0.975610
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 615
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1787.601777
Acceptance Rate: 0.962963
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 675
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1561.649383
Acceptance Rate: 0.938338
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 746
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1561.004985
Acceptance Rate: 0.902527
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 831
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1560.647432
Acceptance Rate: 0.884956
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 904
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1560.406801
Acceptance Rate: 0.870010
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 977
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1560.229776
Acceptance Rate: 0.857143
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1050
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1560.092474
Acceptance Rate: 0.838482
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1133
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1559.981863
Acceptance Rate: 0.827130
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1209
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1559.887910
Acceptance Rate: 0.811437
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1294
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1559.802444
Acceptance Rate: 0.793651
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1386
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1559.711414
Acceptance Rate: 0.765136
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1503
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1559.580286
Acceptance Rate: 0.747664
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1605
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1559.333007
Acceptance Rate: 0.727590
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1718
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1558.654891
Acceptance Rate: 0.716648
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1814
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1555.752431
Acceptance Rate: 0.713531
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1892
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1550.978631
Acceptance Rate: 0.706714
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1981
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1539.719931
Acceptance Rate: 0.699469
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 2073
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1524.893712
Acceptance Rate: 0.699953
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 2143
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1507.550024
Acceptance Rate: 0.694133
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2233
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1486.612556
Acceptance Rate: 0.691443
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2314
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1464.232467
Acceptance Rate: 0.690088
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2391
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1429.795137
Acceptance Rate: 0.687981
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2471
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1402.609432
Acceptance Rate: 0.685468
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2553
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1376.472519
Acceptance Rate: 0.683891
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2632
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1351.673014
Acceptance Rate: 0.684932
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2701
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1330.829215
Acceptance Rate: 0.678571
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2800
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1307.880779
Acceptance Rate: 0.677083
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2880
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1289.100476
Acceptance Rate: 0.673854
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2968
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1270.052111
Acceptance Rate: 0.669497
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 3062
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1252.869529
Acceptance Rate: 0.662461
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 3170
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1234.248264
Acceptance Rate: 0.659712
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 3259
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1219.248521
Acceptance Rate: 0.652045
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3374
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1206.074744
Acceptance Rate: 0.650853
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3457
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1192.937225
Acceptance Rate: 0.648801
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3545
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1179.795065
Acceptance Rate: 0.643836
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3650
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1167.298703
Acceptance Rate: 0.644122
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3726
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1156.217851
Acceptance Rate: 0.642370
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3814
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1144.517927
Acceptance Rate: 0.643335
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3886
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1134.777062
Acceptance Rate: 0.643777
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3961
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1125.700060
Acceptance Rate: 0.642610
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 4046
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1116.173862
Acceptance Rate: 0.642424
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 4125
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1106.183422
Acceptance Rate: 0.640417
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 4216
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1097.066308
Acceptance Rate: 0.637312
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 4315
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1085.911016
Acceptance Rate: 0.637813
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4390
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1078.083025
Acceptance Rate: 0.637299
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4472
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1069.881416
Acceptance Rate: 0.633880
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4575
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1063.113080
Acceptance Rate: 0.631827
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4669
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1057.279352
Acceptance Rate: 0.630650
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4757
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1050.976106
Acceptance Rate: 0.630947
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4834
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1044.318783
Acceptance Rate: 0.630851
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4914
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1037.562551
Acceptance Rate: 0.628492
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 5012
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1032.312229
Acceptance Rate: 0.626101
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 5111
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1027.899287
Acceptance Rate: 0.625361
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 5197
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1023.444375
Acceptance Rate: 0.625474
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 5276
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1018.949094
Acceptance Rate: 0.625000
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5360
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1014.288313
Acceptance Rate: 0.622711
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5460
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1010.271153
Acceptance Rate: 0.622294
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5544
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1006.390381
Acceptance Rate: 0.620347
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5642
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1003.027478
Acceptance Rate: 0.620738
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5719
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -998.661014
Acceptance Rate: 0.618344
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5822
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -994.915345
Acceptance Rate: 0.614271
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5942
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -991.863598
Acceptance Rate: 0.614414
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 6022
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -988.800488
Acceptance Rate: 0.613748
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 6110
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -986.590945
Acceptance Rate: 0.613596
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 6193
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -984.415375
Acceptance Rate: 0.613644
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 6274
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -982.259862
Acceptance Rate: 0.612149
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 6371
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -979.852349
Acceptance Rate: 0.610604
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6469
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -977.973793
Acceptance Rate: 0.609849
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6559
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -975.772565
Acceptance Rate: 0.608382
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6657
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -973.739439
Acceptance Rate: 0.607858
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6745
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -971.929933
Acceptance Rate: 0.608415
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6821
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -970.307150
Acceptance Rate: 0.606498
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6925
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -968.758217
Acceptance Rate: 0.603951
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 7037
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -967.371269
Acceptance Rate: 0.604017
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 7119
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -966.105451
Acceptance Rate: 0.602410
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 7221
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -964.963404
Acceptance Rate: 0.601257
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 7318
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -963.742818
Acceptance Rate: 0.597556
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 7447
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -962.801704
Acceptance Rate: 0.597055
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 7537
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -961.791602
Acceptance Rate: 0.596800
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7624
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -960.684973
Acceptance Rate: 0.593319
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7753
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -959.713190
Acceptance Rate: 0.590776
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7871
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -958.928528
Acceptance Rate: 0.588015
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7993
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -958.220829
Acceptance Rate: 0.586420
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 8100
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -957.478566
Acceptance Rate: 0.585794
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 8194
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -956.748708
Acceptance Rate: 0.584690
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 8295
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -956.107559
Acceptance Rate: 0.583472
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 8398
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -955.538924
Acceptance Rate: 0.581874
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 8507
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -955.020088
Acceptance Rate: 0.580046
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 8620
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -954.494451
Acceptance Rate: 0.577605
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 8743
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -954.027857
Acceptance Rate: 0.577250
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 8835
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -953.588615
Acceptance Rate: 0.575355
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 8951
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -953.155990
Acceptance Rate: 0.573319
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 9070
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -952.696507
Acceptance Rate: 0.571958
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 9179
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -952.277086
Acceptance Rate: 0.570076
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 9297
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -951.897862
Acceptance Rate: 0.568967
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 9403
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -951.523075
Acceptance Rate: 0.567465
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 9516
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -951.115627
Acceptance Rate: 0.566234
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 9625
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -950.614516
Acceptance Rate: 0.565436
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 9727
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -949.863466
Acceptance Rate: 0.564598
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 9830
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -949.037328
Acceptance Rate: 0.564004
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 9929
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -947.987194
Acceptance Rate: 0.562973
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 10036
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -946.930708
Acceptance Rate: 0.562519
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 10133
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -945.949450
Acceptance Rate: 0.560483
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 10259
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -944.964084
Acceptance Rate: 0.559144
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 10373
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -943.901493
Acceptance Rate: 0.556984
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 10503
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -942.850645
Acceptance Rate: 0.555660
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 10618
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -941.847515
Acceptance Rate: 0.554934
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 10722
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -940.947120
Acceptance Rate: 0.553659
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 10837
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -939.921203
Acceptance Rate: 0.552915
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 10942
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -938.923848
Acceptance Rate: 0.552536
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 11040
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -937.935570
Acceptance Rate: 0.552412
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 11133
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -937.079535
Acceptance Rate: 0.551896
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 11234
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -936.341572
Acceptance Rate: 0.551146
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 11340
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -935.574823
Acceptance Rate: 0.551036
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 11433
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -934.670741
Acceptance Rate: 0.551024
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 11524
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -933.898882
Acceptance Rate: 0.551249
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 11610
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -933.123163
Acceptance Rate: 0.550999
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 11706
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -932.262008
Acceptance Rate: 0.550614
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 11805
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -931.381768
Acceptance Rate: 0.549958
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 11910
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -930.566555
Acceptance Rate: 0.549725
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 12006
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -929.773550
Acceptance Rate: 0.550406
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 12082
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -929.028168
Acceptance Rate: 0.550398
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 12173
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -928.339731
Acceptance Rate: 0.550347
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 12265
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -927.617975
Acceptance Rate: 0.549140
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 12383
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -926.943909
Acceptance Rate: 0.548571
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 12487
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -926.297564
Acceptance Rate: 0.549188
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 12564
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -925.726690
Acceptance Rate: 0.548194
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 12678
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -925.169498
Acceptance Rate: 0.547902
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 12776
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -924.598087
Acceptance Rate: 0.547233
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 12883
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -924.064798
Acceptance Rate: 0.546532
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 12991
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -923.564653
Acceptance Rate: 0.546135
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 13092
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -923.088301
Acceptance Rate: 0.545455
Replacements: 7200
Total Samples: 13200
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -922.596133
Acceptance Rate: 0.545523
Replacements: 7250
Total Samples: 13290
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -922.162869
Acceptance Rate: 0.545550
Replacements: 7300
Total Samples: 13381
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -921.772750
Acceptance Rate: 0.545617
Replacements: 7350
Total Samples: 13471
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -921.376566
Acceptance Rate: 0.545321
Replacements: 7400
Total Samples: 13570
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -920.992563
Acceptance Rate: 0.545348
Replacements: 7450
Total Samples: 13661
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -920.625364
Acceptance Rate: 0.545217
Replacements: 7500
Total Samples: 13756
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -920.282093
Acceptance Rate: 0.545244
Replacements: 7550
Total Samples: 13847
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -919.956880
Acceptance Rate: 0.545585
Replacements: 7600
Total Samples: 13930
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -919.653827
Acceptance Rate: 0.545610
Replacements: 7650
Total Samples: 14021
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -919.373045
Acceptance Rate: 0.545596
Replacements: 7700
Total Samples: 14113
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -919.089686
Acceptance Rate: 0.545275
Replacements: 7750
Total Samples: 14213
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -918.804030
Acceptance Rate: 0.544769
Replacements: 7800
Total Samples: 14318
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -918.507078
Acceptance Rate: 0.544156
Replacements: 7850
Total Samples: 14426
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -918.226454
Acceptance Rate: 0.543778
Replacements: 7900
Total Samples: 14528
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -917.970167
Acceptance Rate: 0.543367
Replacements: 7950
Total Samples: 14631
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -917.731108
Acceptance Rate: 0.542557
Replacements: 8000
Total Samples: 14745
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -917.493094
Acceptance Rate: 0.542526
Replacements: 8050
Total Samples: 14838
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -917.274504
Acceptance Rate: 0.542532
Replacements: 8100
Total Samples: 14930
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -917.071912
Acceptance Rate: 0.542754
Replacements: 8150
Total Samples: 15016
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -916.865337
Acceptance Rate: 0.542831
Replacements: 8200
Total Samples: 15106
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -916.673007
Acceptance Rate: 0.543729
Replacements: 8250
Total Samples: 15173
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -916.493819
Acceptance Rate: 0.543941
Replacements: 8300
Total Samples: 15259
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -916.320147
Acceptance Rate: 0.544400
Replacements: 8350
Total Samples: 15338
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -916.158742
Acceptance Rate: 0.545171
Replacements: 8400
Total Samples: 15408
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -915.995471
Acceptance Rate: 0.545478
Replacements: 8450
Total Samples: 15491
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -915.834556
Acceptance Rate: 0.545641
Replacements: 8500
Total Samples: 15578
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -915.678133
Acceptance Rate: 0.545350
Replacements: 8550
Total Samples: 15678
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -915.522272
Acceptance Rate: 0.545962
Replacements: 8600
Total Samples: 15752
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -915.375152
Acceptance Rate: 0.546431
Replacements: 8650
Total Samples: 15830
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -915.232422
Acceptance Rate: 0.547204
Replacements: 8700
Total Samples: 15899
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -915.092102
Acceptance Rate: 0.547662
Replacements: 8750
Total Samples: 15977
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -914.954840
Acceptance Rate: 0.547638
Replacements: 8800
Total Samples: 16069
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -914.824604
Acceptance Rate: 0.547716
Replacements: 8850
Total Samples: 16158
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -914.701130
Acceptance Rate: 0.548266
Replacements: 8900
Total Samples: 16233
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -914.579581
Acceptance Rate: 0.548844
Replacements: 8950
Total Samples: 16307
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -914.462626
Acceptance Rate: 0.549484
Replacements: 9000
Total Samples: 16379
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -914.348521
Acceptance Rate: 0.549918
Replacements: 9050
Total Samples: 16457
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -914.236966
Acceptance Rate: 0.550148
Replacements: 9100
Total Samples: 16541
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -914.126849
Acceptance Rate: 0.550674
Replacements: 9150
Total Samples: 16616
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -914.020114
Acceptance Rate: 0.550799
Replacements: 9200
Total Samples: 16703
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -913.919185
Acceptance Rate: 0.551251
Replacements: 9250
Total Samples: 16780
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -913.822982
Acceptance Rate: 0.551569
Replacements: 9300
Total Samples: 16861
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -913.729702
Acceptance Rate: 0.552176
Replacements: 9350
Total Samples: 16933
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -913.639874
Acceptance Rate: 0.553169
Replacements: 9400
Total Samples: 16993
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -913.551188
Acceptance Rate: 0.553635
Replacements: 9450
Total Samples: 17069
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -913.464130
Acceptance Rate: 0.554097
Replacements: 9500
Total Samples: 17145
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -913.377706
Acceptance Rate: 0.554974
Replacements: 9550
Total Samples: 17208
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -913.292570
Acceptance Rate: 0.555427
Replacements: 9600
Total Samples: 17284
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -913.211788
Acceptance Rate: 0.556420
Replacements: 9650
Total Samples: 17343
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -913.133781
Acceptance Rate: 0.557151
Replacements: 9700
Total Samples: 17410
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -913.057384
Acceptance Rate: 0.557398
Replacements: 9750
Total Samples: 17492
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -912.984236
Acceptance Rate: 0.558087
Replacements: 9800
Total Samples: 17560
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -912.913982
Acceptance Rate: 0.558707
Replacements: 9850
Total Samples: 17630
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -912.846964
Acceptance Rate: 0.559132
Replacements: 9900
Total Samples: 17706
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -912.781969
Acceptance Rate: 0.559492
Replacements: 9950
Total Samples: 17784
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -912.718859
Acceptance Rate: 0.560161
Replacements: 10000
Total Samples: 17852
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -912.658846
Acceptance Rate: 0.560763
Replacements: 10050
Total Samples: 17922
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -912.602765
Acceptance Rate: 0.561517
Replacements: 10100
Total Samples: 17987
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -912.549580
Acceptance Rate: 0.562047
Replacements: 10150
Total Samples: 18059
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -912.497741
Acceptance Rate: 0.562634
Replacements: 10200
Total Samples: 18129
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -912.447329
Acceptance Rate: 0.563187
Replacements: 10250
Total Samples: 18200
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -912.399083
Acceptance Rate: 0.563827
Replacements: 10300
Total Samples: 18268
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -912.352371
Acceptance Rate: 0.564433
Replacements: 10350
Total Samples: 18337
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -912.308069
Acceptance Rate: 0.564788
Replacements: 10400
Total Samples: 18414
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -912.265838
Acceptance Rate: 0.565262
Replacements: 10450
Total Samples: 18487
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -912.225424
Acceptance Rate: 0.565977
Replacements: 10500
Total Samples: 18552
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -912.187372
Acceptance Rate: 0.566565
Replacements: 10550
Total Samples: 18621
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -912.151484
Acceptance Rate: 0.567148
Replacements: 10600
Total Samples: 18690
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -912.117496
Acceptance Rate: 0.567758
Replacements: 10650
Total Samples: 18758
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -912.084978
Acceptance Rate: 0.568182
Replacements: 10700
Total Samples: 18832
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -912.053635
Acceptance Rate: 0.568783
Replacements: 10750
Total Samples: 18900
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -912.023338
Acceptance Rate: 0.569500
Replacements: 10800
Total Samples: 18964
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -911.994345
Acceptance Rate: 0.570122
Replacements: 10850
Total Samples: 19031
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -911.966476
Acceptance Rate: 0.570890
Replacements: 10900
Total Samples: 19093
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -911.939563
Acceptance Rate: 0.571622
Replacements: 10950
Total Samples: 19156
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -911.913851
Acceptance Rate: 0.572142
Replacements: 11000
Total Samples: 19226
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -911.889465
Acceptance Rate: 0.572806
Replacements: 11050
Total Samples: 19291
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -911.866131
Acceptance Rate: 0.573636
Replacements: 11101
Total Samples: 19352
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -911.843234
Acceptance Rate: 0.574320
Replacements: 11151
Total Samples: 19416
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -911.820728
Acceptance Rate: 0.574970
Replacements: 11201
Total Samples: 19481
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -911.797886
Acceptance Rate: 0.575705
Replacements: 11251
Total Samples: 19543
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -911.775018
Acceptance Rate: 0.576258
Replacements: 11301
Total Samples: 19611
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -911.751664
Acceptance Rate: 0.576984
Replacements: 11351
Total Samples: 19673
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -911.727760
Acceptance Rate: 0.577646
Replacements: 11401
Total Samples: 19737
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -911.703528
Acceptance Rate: 0.578100
Replacements: 11451
Total Samples: 19808
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -911.678694
Acceptance Rate: 0.578696
Replacements: 11501
Total Samples: 19874
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -911.652808
Acceptance Rate: 0.579230
Replacements: 11551
Total Samples: 19942
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -911.626839
Acceptance Rate: 0.579586
Replacements: 11601
Total Samples: 20016
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -911.601405
Acceptance Rate: 0.580027
Replacements: 11651
Total Samples: 20087
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -911.576831
Acceptance Rate: 0.580407
Replacements: 11701
Total Samples: 20160
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -911.553539
Acceptance Rate: 0.580526
Replacements: 11751
Total Samples: 20242
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -911.531158
Acceptance Rate: 0.580987
Replacements: 11801
Total Samples: 20312
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -911.509934
Acceptance Rate: 0.581473
Replacements: 11851
Total Samples: 20381
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -911.489837
Acceptance Rate: 0.581984
Replacements: 11901
Total Samples: 20449
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -911.470476
Acceptance Rate: 0.582322
Replacements: 11951
Total Samples: 20523
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -911.452461
Acceptance Rate: 0.582912
Replacements: 12001
Total Samples: 20588
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -911.435679
Acceptance Rate: 0.583099
Replacements: 12020
Total Samples: 20614
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -911.429580
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -911.21877647729309 +/- 0.19320159659355005
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 20614
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (2.93 +0.05 +0.9) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | (-9.74 -0.14 +1.6) x 10^-1 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (3.84 -1.5 -0.28) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -1.7524 -0.0012 +0.11 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval2 | -288.319434 |
| n4_interval2 | -310.904906 |
| b0_interval2 | -323.625062 |
| total | -922.849402 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 1853.812118 |
| BIC | 1869.220935 |
| DIC | 1806.897554 |
| PDIC | 1.433673 |
| log(Z) | -395.737286 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.998185
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 551
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -238016.372293
Acceptance Rate: 0.985222
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 609
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -10985.192289
Acceptance Rate: 0.968703
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 671
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1272.775104
Acceptance Rate: 0.944669
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 741
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1271.182259
Acceptance Rate: 0.912409
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 822
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1270.639442
Acceptance Rate: 0.874317
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 915
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1270.318042
Acceptance Rate: 0.855131
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 994
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1270.095880
Acceptance Rate: 0.825688
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1090
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1269.929920
Acceptance Rate: 0.815451
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1165
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1269.799570
Acceptance Rate: 0.792393
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1262
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1269.692506
Acceptance Rate: 0.780089
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1346
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1269.599379
Acceptance Rate: 0.768693
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1431
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1269.511533
Acceptance Rate: 0.756579
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1520
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1269.413529
Acceptance Rate: 0.753296
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1593
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1269.287681
Acceptance Rate: 0.746714
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1674
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1269.056372
Acceptance Rate: 0.744986
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1745
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1268.224071
Acceptance Rate: 0.738916
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1827
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1265.506842
Acceptance Rate: 0.733368
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1909
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1259.016752
Acceptance Rate: 0.724638
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 2001
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1251.614636
Acceptance Rate: 0.718735
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 2087
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1242.447249
Acceptance Rate: 0.717593
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2160
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1229.397840
Acceptance Rate: 0.714286
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2240
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1215.919427
Acceptance Rate: 0.713051
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2314
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1201.158886
Acceptance Rate: 0.713386
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2383
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1184.021499
Acceptance Rate: 0.709364
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2467
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1160.547646
Acceptance Rate: 0.708661
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2540
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1143.937337
Acceptance Rate: 0.707187
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2616
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1122.870074
Acceptance Rate: 0.701625
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2708
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1108.117769
Acceptance Rate: 0.698674
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2791
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1087.870112
Acceptance Rate: 0.695652
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2875
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1070.202117
Acceptance Rate: 0.692100
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2962
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1056.154056
Acceptance Rate: 0.689202
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 3047
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1038.245882
Acceptance Rate: 0.682540
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 3150
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1025.770133
Acceptance Rate: 0.679222
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3239
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1012.294701
Acceptance Rate: 0.677915
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3319
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1001.986763
Acceptance Rate: 0.678266
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3391
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -990.234056
Acceptance Rate: 0.676454
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3474
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -977.332976
Acceptance Rate: 0.675676
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3552
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -968.726158
Acceptance Rate: 0.672154
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3645
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -960.500749
Acceptance Rate: 0.670241
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3730
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -953.024210
Acceptance Rate: 0.668239
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3816
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -944.473568
Acceptance Rate: 0.665472
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3907
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -936.939161
Acceptance Rate: 0.662334
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 4001
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -928.564219
Acceptance Rate: 0.659502
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 4094
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -923.012825
Acceptance Rate: 0.658683
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 4175
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -916.962290
Acceptance Rate: 0.657123
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4261
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -909.736502
Acceptance Rate: 0.653820
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4359
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -903.901886
Acceptance Rate: 0.652418
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4445
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -898.442200
Acceptance Rate: 0.649351
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4543
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -893.041536
Acceptance Rate: 0.649210
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4621
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -888.759228
Acceptance Rate: 0.649904
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4693
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -884.352763
Acceptance Rate: 0.647317
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4789
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -880.041775
Acceptance Rate: 0.646286
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4874
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -875.556936
Acceptance Rate: 0.644252
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4967
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -871.890082
Acceptance Rate: 0.642674
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 5057
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -868.585532
Acceptance Rate: 0.639783
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 5158
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -865.227144
Acceptance Rate: 0.638825
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5244
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -861.972762
Acceptance Rate: 0.637420
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5334
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -858.750979
Acceptance Rate: 0.634191
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5440
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -856.085471
Acceptance Rate: 0.632454
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5534
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -853.941232
Acceptance Rate: 0.630551
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5630
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -851.365416
Acceptance Rate: 0.628163
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5731
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -849.481883
Acceptance Rate: 0.625750
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5833
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -847.572808
Acceptance Rate: 0.623210
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5937
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -845.845239
Acceptance Rate: 0.619835
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 6050
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -844.401172
Acceptance Rate: 0.615784
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 6171
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -842.810903
Acceptance Rate: 0.612472
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 6286
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -840.974779
Acceptance Rate: 0.609565
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 6398
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -839.547394
Acceptance Rate: 0.606852
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6509
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -838.326376
Acceptance Rate: 0.604504
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6617
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -837.227645
Acceptance Rate: 0.603847
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6707
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -836.167751
Acceptance Rate: 0.601967
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6811
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -835.001658
Acceptance Rate: 0.600058
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6916
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -833.799615
Acceptance Rate: 0.599401
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 7007
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -832.836482
Acceptance Rate: 0.597246
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 7116
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -832.041021
Acceptance Rate: 0.596808
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 7205
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -831.263341
Acceptance Rate: 0.596953
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 7287
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -830.514568
Acceptance Rate: 0.595560
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 7388
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -829.820505
Acceptance Rate: 0.594761
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 7482
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -829.186452
Acceptance Rate: 0.594766
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 7566
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -828.582835
Acceptance Rate: 0.593840
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7662
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -827.950660
Acceptance Rate: 0.593013
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7757
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -827.342659
Acceptance Rate: 0.592583
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7847
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -826.822905
Acceptance Rate: 0.592238
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7936
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -826.283729
Acceptance Rate: 0.591679
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 8028
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -825.761448
Acceptance Rate: 0.590333
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 8131
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -825.300974
Acceptance Rate: 0.588378
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 8243
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -824.862172
Acceptance Rate: 0.587319
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 8343
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -824.433374
Acceptance Rate: 0.586215
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 8444
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -824.040648
Acceptance Rate: 0.586441
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 8526
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -823.659280
Acceptance Rate: 0.585032
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 8632
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -823.267374
Acceptance Rate: 0.583190
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 8745
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -822.870296
Acceptance Rate: 0.582052
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 8848
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -822.474817
Acceptance Rate: 0.581330
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 8945
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -821.950010
Acceptance Rate: 0.580495
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 9044
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -821.089848
Acceptance Rate: 0.580440
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 9131
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -819.981983
Acceptance Rate: 0.578816
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 9243
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -818.859762
Acceptance Rate: 0.577478
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 9351
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -817.726290
Acceptance Rate: 0.576659
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 9451
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -816.593213
Acceptance Rate: 0.576339
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 9543
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -815.395783
Acceptance Rate: 0.575547
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 9643
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.007320
Acceptance Rate: 0.574890
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 9741
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.586101
Acceptance Rate: 0.574304
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 9838
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -811.357049
Acceptance Rate: 0.573441
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 9940
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -810.376019
Acceptance Rate: 0.571912
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 10054
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -809.405125
Acceptance Rate: 0.571147
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 10155
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -808.373824
Acceptance Rate: 0.570787
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 10249
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -807.313999
Acceptance Rate: 0.570986
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 10333
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -806.488044
Acceptance Rate: 0.569978
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 10439
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -805.738226
Acceptance Rate: 0.570180
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 10523
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -805.086752
Acceptance Rate: 0.569733
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 10619
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -804.401209
Acceptance Rate: 0.569295
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 10715
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -803.751312
Acceptance Rate: 0.568550
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 10817
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -803.177300
Acceptance Rate: 0.567402
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 10927
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -802.585032
Acceptance Rate: 0.566996
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 11023
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -802.015015
Acceptance Rate: 0.566496
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 11121
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -801.487530
Acceptance Rate: 0.565954
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 11220
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -800.917925
Acceptance Rate: 0.565621
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 11315
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -800.411510
Acceptance Rate: 0.565641
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 11403
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -799.979579
Acceptance Rate: 0.565512
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 11494
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -799.573403
Acceptance Rate: 0.565142
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 11590
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -799.173098
Acceptance Rate: 0.565359
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 11674
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.773037
Acceptance Rate: 0.565813
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 11753
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.382870
Acceptance Rate: 0.565067
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 11857
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -798.019883
Acceptance Rate: 0.565185
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 11943
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -797.665653
Acceptance Rate: 0.564878
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 12038
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -797.309995
Acceptance Rate: 0.564762
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 12129
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -796.940260
Acceptance Rate: 0.564602
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 12221
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -796.574262
Acceptance Rate: 0.564352
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 12315
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -796.205706
Acceptance Rate: 0.564016
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 12411
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -795.846814
Acceptance Rate: 0.563684
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 12507
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -795.479342
Acceptance Rate: 0.563626
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 12597
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -795.150461
Acceptance Rate: 0.563303
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 12693
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -794.835793
Acceptance Rate: 0.563072
Replacements: 7200
Total Samples: 12787
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -794.545791
Acceptance Rate: 0.561885
Replacements: 7250
Total Samples: 12903
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -794.275518
Acceptance Rate: 0.560891
Replacements: 7300
Total Samples: 13015
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -794.014759
Acceptance Rate: 0.560726
Replacements: 7350
Total Samples: 13108
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -793.746936
Acceptance Rate: 0.560691
Replacements: 7400
Total Samples: 13198
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -793.488255
Acceptance Rate: 0.560319
Replacements: 7450
Total Samples: 13296
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -793.246857
Acceptance Rate: 0.560412
Replacements: 7500
Total Samples: 13383
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -793.013006
Acceptance Rate: 0.560172
Replacements: 7550
Total Samples: 13478
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.794042
Acceptance Rate: 0.559811
Replacements: 7600
Total Samples: 13576
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.591321
Acceptance Rate: 0.559415
Replacements: 7650
Total Samples: 13675
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.402784
Acceptance Rate: 0.559390
Replacements: 7700
Total Samples: 13765
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.223690
Acceptance Rate: 0.558881
Replacements: 7750
Total Samples: 13867
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -792.052061
Acceptance Rate: 0.558739
Replacements: 7800
Total Samples: 13960
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.888411
Acceptance Rate: 0.558918
Replacements: 7850
Total Samples: 14045
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.730879
Acceptance Rate: 0.558778
Replacements: 7900
Total Samples: 14138
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.578183
Acceptance Rate: 0.558600
Replacements: 7950
Total Samples: 14232
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.431092
Acceptance Rate: 0.558230
Replacements: 8000
Total Samples: 14331
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.284189
Acceptance Rate: 0.557595
Replacements: 8050
Total Samples: 14437
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -791.133666
Acceptance Rate: 0.556969
Replacements: 8100
Total Samples: 14543
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.984199
Acceptance Rate: 0.556618
Replacements: 8150
Total Samples: 14642
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.840982
Acceptance Rate: 0.554916
Replacements: 8200
Total Samples: 14777
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.705629
Acceptance Rate: 0.553172
Replacements: 8250
Total Samples: 14914
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.578191
Acceptance Rate: 0.551898
Replacements: 8300
Total Samples: 15039
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.456862
Acceptance Rate: 0.551774
Replacements: 8350
Total Samples: 15133
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.345596
Acceptance Rate: 0.552123
Replacements: 8400
Total Samples: 15214
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.243555
Acceptance Rate: 0.552251
Replacements: 8450
Total Samples: 15301
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.145843
Acceptance Rate: 0.552522
Replacements: 8500
Total Samples: 15384
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -790.051536
Acceptance Rate: 0.552397
Replacements: 8550
Total Samples: 15478
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.961392
Acceptance Rate: 0.552841
Replacements: 8600
Total Samples: 15556
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.876507
Acceptance Rate: 0.553211
Replacements: 8650
Total Samples: 15636
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.794452
Acceptance Rate: 0.553470
Replacements: 8700
Total Samples: 15719
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.712730
Acceptance Rate: 0.553062
Replacements: 8750
Total Samples: 15821
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.632484
Acceptance Rate: 0.552729
Replacements: 8800
Total Samples: 15921
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.555633
Acceptance Rate: 0.552745
Replacements: 8850
Total Samples: 16011
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.484126
Acceptance Rate: 0.552555
Replacements: 8900
Total Samples: 16107
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.416455
Acceptance Rate: 0.552503
Replacements: 8950
Total Samples: 16199
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.353104
Acceptance Rate: 0.551673
Replacements: 9000
Total Samples: 16314
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.293268
Acceptance Rate: 0.551527
Replacements: 9050
Total Samples: 16409
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.236557
Acceptance Rate: 0.551415
Replacements: 9100
Total Samples: 16503
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.183224
Acceptance Rate: 0.551437
Replacements: 9150
Total Samples: 16593
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.133015
Acceptance Rate: 0.551493
Replacements: 9200
Total Samples: 16682
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.085848
Acceptance Rate: 0.551942
Replacements: 9250
Total Samples: 16759
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.041840
Acceptance Rate: 0.552289
Replacements: 9300
Total Samples: 16839
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -789.000185
Acceptance Rate: 0.552274
Replacements: 9350
Total Samples: 16930
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -788.960508
Acceptance Rate: 0.552227
Replacements: 9400
Total Samples: 17022
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -788.923574
Acceptance Rate: 0.551922
Replacements: 9450
Total Samples: 17122
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -788.889463
Acceptance Rate: 0.551908
Replacements: 9500
Total Samples: 17213
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -788.857297
Acceptance Rate: 0.552247
Replacements: 9550
Total Samples: 17293
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -788.826929
Acceptance Rate: 0.552327
Replacements: 9600
Total Samples: 17381
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -788.798466
Acceptance Rate: 0.552376
Replacements: 9650
Total Samples: 17470
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -788.771947
Acceptance Rate: 0.552015
Replacements: 9700
Total Samples: 17572
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -788.747311
Acceptance Rate: 0.551814
Replacements: 9750
Total Samples: 17669
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -788.724172
Acceptance Rate: 0.551709
Replacements: 9800
Total Samples: 17763
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -788.702522
Acceptance Rate: 0.551481
Replacements: 9850
Total Samples: 17861
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -788.682571
Acceptance Rate: 0.551149
Replacements: 9881
Total Samples: 17928
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -788.670928
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -788.44219118242904 +/- 0.17608039646101495
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 17928
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (2.89 -0.13 +0.5) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | (-9.2 -0.5 +1.2) x 10^-1 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (3.45 -0.7 +0.28) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -2.24 -0.4 +0.18 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval3 | -242.510946 |
| n4_interval3 | -262.668884 |
| b0_interval3 | -298.407815 |
| total | -803.587645 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 1615.288605 |
| BIC | 1630.697422 |
| DIC | 1570.356603 |
| PDIC | 2.878012 |
| log(Z) | -342.416093 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.996377
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 552
Nested Sampling ln(Z): **************
Acceptance Rate: 0.988468
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 607
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -32686.416049
Acceptance Rate: 0.957290
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 679
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6233.589888
Acceptance Rate: 0.924703
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 757
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6232.734442
Acceptance Rate: 0.902527
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 831
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6232.315571
Acceptance Rate: 0.885936
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 903
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6232.045697
Acceptance Rate: 0.854271
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 995
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6231.851322
Acceptance Rate: 0.837989
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1074
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6231.702056
Acceptance Rate: 0.830420
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1144
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6231.580901
Acceptance Rate: 0.823045
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1215
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6231.474866
Acceptance Rate: 0.808937
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1298
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6231.362240
Acceptance Rate: 0.802334
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1371
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6231.170256
Acceptance Rate: 0.800278
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1437
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6230.392216
Acceptance Rate: 0.791557
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1516
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6226.465509
Acceptance Rate: 0.784683
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1593
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6219.071247
Acceptance Rate: 0.771971
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1684
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6204.358840
Acceptance Rate: 0.765740
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1763
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6178.396452
Acceptance Rate: 0.763359
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1834
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6135.370216
Acceptance Rate: 0.764365
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1897
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -6087.283438
Acceptance Rate: 0.764916
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 1961
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5999.685390
Acceptance Rate: 0.755361
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2052
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5918.988296
Acceptance Rate: 0.752233
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2127
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5785.931068
Acceptance Rate: 0.743913
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2218
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5637.474700
Acceptance Rate: 0.739452
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2299
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5510.929108
Acceptance Rate: 0.732524
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2389
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5366.139151
Acceptance Rate: 0.731410
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2461
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5227.103316
Acceptance Rate: 0.726630
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2546
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5094.736285
Acceptance Rate: 0.720243
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2638
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4967.969449
Acceptance Rate: 0.716648
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2721
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4843.371188
Acceptance Rate: 0.711997
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2809
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4724.902385
Acceptance Rate: 0.706897
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2900
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4620.423554
Acceptance Rate: 0.705882
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 2975
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4524.236502
Acceptance Rate: 0.701697
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 3064
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4412.472732
Acceptance Rate: 0.700191
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3142
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4303.328376
Acceptance Rate: 0.698758
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3220
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4204.383952
Acceptance Rate: 0.696337
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3303
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4119.369981
Acceptance Rate: 0.695678
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3378
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -4035.942359
Acceptance Rate: 0.692042
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3468
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3971.909066
Acceptance Rate: 0.690141
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3550
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3874.396235
Acceptance Rate: 0.684744
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3651
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3792.391439
Acceptance Rate: 0.681090
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3744
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3713.170277
Acceptance Rate: 0.676731
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3842
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3646.209346
Acceptance Rate: 0.676020
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3920
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3594.852213
Acceptance Rate: 0.672478
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 4015
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3538.976273
Acceptance Rate: 0.672865
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 4087
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3493.576130
Acceptance Rate: 0.669696
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4181
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3449.505104
Acceptance Rate: 0.667135
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4272
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3390.576771
Acceptance Rate: 0.665138
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4360
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3344.172381
Acceptance Rate: 0.663369
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4447
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3281.835837
Acceptance Rate: 0.659196
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4551
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3239.498744
Acceptance Rate: 0.656055
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4649
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3204.347860
Acceptance Rate: 0.653595
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4743
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3169.267116
Acceptance Rate: 0.651365
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4836
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3136.044003
Acceptance Rate: 0.651466
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4912
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3103.262386
Acceptance Rate: 0.648962
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 5008
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3066.795889
Acceptance Rate: 0.647059
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 5100
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3044.057864
Acceptance Rate: 0.645099
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5193
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3009.660629
Acceptance Rate: 0.643087
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5287
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2983.280508
Acceptance Rate: 0.640669
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5385
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2959.805426
Acceptance Rate: 0.640674
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5463
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2940.413735
Acceptance Rate: 0.639755
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5549
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2920.891156
Acceptance Rate: 0.637281
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5649
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2900.362260
Acceptance Rate: 0.636221
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5737
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2876.516010
Acceptance Rate: 0.631723
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5857
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2861.182903
Acceptance Rate: 0.630888
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 5944
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2841.880463
Acceptance Rate: 0.627581
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 6055
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2827.805668
Acceptance Rate: 0.624797
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 6162
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2812.719812
Acceptance Rate: 0.620229
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 6288
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2794.554056
Acceptance Rate: 0.618444
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6387
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2783.485227
Acceptance Rate: 0.615858
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6495
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2772.725929
Acceptance Rate: 0.615408
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6581
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2762.477395
Acceptance Rate: 0.615062
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6666
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2750.777370
Acceptance Rate: 0.613633
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6763
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2741.340782
Acceptance Rate: 0.609491
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6891
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2731.708686
Acceptance Rate: 0.607490
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 6996
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2723.615389
Acceptance Rate: 0.606146
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 7094
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2714.361954
Acceptance Rate: 0.604419
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 7197
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2704.328986
Acceptance Rate: 0.601175
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 7319
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2696.916603
Acceptance Rate: 0.599407
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 7424
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2688.746096
Acceptance Rate: 0.597292
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 7534
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2681.480136
Acceptance Rate: 0.596252
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7631
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2674.108035
Acceptance Rate: 0.593548
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7750
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2667.602705
Acceptance Rate: 0.590626
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7873
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2660.258621
Acceptance Rate: 0.587720
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7997
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2653.980111
Acceptance Rate: 0.585841
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 8108
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2646.927949
Acceptance Rate: 0.583658
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 8224
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2639.945781
Acceptance Rate: 0.582023
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 8333
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2626.500165
Acceptance Rate: 0.579265
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 8459
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2616.112884
Acceptance Rate: 0.576856
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 8581
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2602.792013
Acceptance Rate: 0.576103
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 8679
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2590.542820
Acceptance Rate: 0.574778
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 8786
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2576.515675
Acceptance Rate: 0.574195
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 8882
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2564.292338
Acceptance Rate: 0.572095
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 9002
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2546.352142
Acceptance Rate: 0.570551
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 9114
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2534.536813
Acceptance Rate: 0.569229
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 9223
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2520.687882
Acceptance Rate: 0.569280
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 9310
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2508.097493
Acceptance Rate: 0.566978
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 9436
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2499.240675
Acceptance Rate: 0.564617
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 9564
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2489.760646
Acceptance Rate: 0.562494
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 9689
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2479.749473
Acceptance Rate: 0.562027
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 9786
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2471.975333
Acceptance Rate: 0.559984
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 9911
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2462.862209
Acceptance Rate: 0.558102
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 10034
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2453.064039
Acceptance Rate: 0.555556
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 10170
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2445.021967
Acceptance Rate: 0.553774
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 10293
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2437.090649
Acceptance Rate: 0.553044
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 10397
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2429.349940
Acceptance Rate: 0.552697
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 10494
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2422.378686
Acceptance Rate: 0.551055
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 10616
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2415.140336
Acceptance Rate: 0.550579
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 10716
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2408.263878
Acceptance Rate: 0.548640
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 10845
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2401.706553
Acceptance Rate: 0.547545
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 10958
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2396.357349
Acceptance Rate: 0.546374
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 11073
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2390.644634
Acceptance Rate: 0.545325
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 11186
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2385.253296
Acceptance Rate: 0.544248
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 11300
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2380.339407
Acceptance Rate: 0.543764
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 11402
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2375.285146
Acceptance Rate: 0.541407
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 11544
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2370.379771
Acceptance Rate: 0.540541
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 11655
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2365.606209
Acceptance Rate: 0.538044
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 11802
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2362.262297
Acceptance Rate: 0.538267
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 11890
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2358.598051
Acceptance Rate: 0.536740
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 12017
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2354.475898
Acceptance Rate: 0.535332
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 12142
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2350.446662
Acceptance Rate: 0.533518
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 12277
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2347.453828
Acceptance Rate: 0.530803
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 12434
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2343.967046
Acceptance Rate: 0.530261
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 12541
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2340.706344
Acceptance Rate: 0.529142
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 12662
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2337.794633
Acceptance Rate: 0.528707
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 12767
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2334.972300
Acceptance Rate: 0.528402
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 12869
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2332.391340
Acceptance Rate: 0.528427
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 12963
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2330.102155
Acceptance Rate: 0.526798
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 13098
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2327.407830
Acceptance Rate: 0.526236
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 13207
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2325.077970
Acceptance Rate: 0.525723
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 13315
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2322.959525
Acceptance Rate: 0.525296
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 13421
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2320.579096
Acceptance Rate: 0.524217
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 13544
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2318.398700
Acceptance Rate: 0.524309
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 13637
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2316.390654
Acceptance Rate: 0.524208
Replacements: 7200
Total Samples: 13735
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2314.524949
Acceptance Rate: 0.523882
Replacements: 7250
Total Samples: 13839
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2312.788235
Acceptance Rate: 0.523410
Replacements: 7300
Total Samples: 13947
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2310.672591
Acceptance Rate: 0.522611
Replacements: 7350
Total Samples: 14064
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2308.971465
Acceptance Rate: 0.522599
Replacements: 7400
Total Samples: 14160
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2307.277554
Acceptance Rate: 0.522367
Replacements: 7450
Total Samples: 14262
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2305.541601
Acceptance Rate: 0.521485
Replacements: 7500
Total Samples: 14382
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2303.964848
Acceptance Rate: 0.520690
Replacements: 7550
Total Samples: 14500
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2302.429178
Acceptance Rate: 0.519339
Replacements: 7600
Total Samples: 14634
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2300.920973
Acceptance Rate: 0.518468
Replacements: 7650
Total Samples: 14755
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2299.377380
Acceptance Rate: 0.518065
Replacements: 7700
Total Samples: 14863
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2297.897730
Acceptance Rate: 0.517287
Replacements: 7750
Total Samples: 14982
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2296.638616
Acceptance Rate: 0.516419
Replacements: 7800
Total Samples: 15104
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2295.514755
Acceptance Rate: 0.515803
Replacements: 7850
Total Samples: 15219
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2294.439192
Acceptance Rate: 0.515699
Replacements: 7900
Total Samples: 15319
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2293.249938
Acceptance Rate: 0.514763
Replacements: 7950
Total Samples: 15444
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2292.139995
Acceptance Rate: 0.514701
Replacements: 8000
Total Samples: 15543
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2291.102181
Acceptance Rate: 0.514673
Replacements: 8050
Total Samples: 15641
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2290.164576
Acceptance Rate: 0.514351
Replacements: 8100
Total Samples: 15748
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2289.197839
Acceptance Rate: 0.513353
Replacements: 8150
Total Samples: 15876
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2288.208898
Acceptance Rate: 0.512596
Replacements: 8200
Total Samples: 15997
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2287.206328
Acceptance Rate: 0.511533
Replacements: 8250
Total Samples: 16128
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2286.328664
Acceptance Rate: 0.510989
Replacements: 8300
Total Samples: 16243
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2285.530713
Acceptance Rate: 0.510610
Replacements: 8350
Total Samples: 16353
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2284.765861
Acceptance Rate: 0.509585
Replacements: 8400
Total Samples: 16484
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2284.072204
Acceptance Rate: 0.508791
Replacements: 8450
Total Samples: 16608
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2283.419049
Acceptance Rate: 0.508252
Replacements: 8500
Total Samples: 16724
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2282.722637
Acceptance Rate: 0.507539
Replacements: 8550
Total Samples: 16846
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2282.020859
Acceptance Rate: 0.507375
Replacements: 8600
Total Samples: 16950
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2281.424908
Acceptance Rate: 0.506292
Replacements: 8650
Total Samples: 17085
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2280.852034
Acceptance Rate: 0.505051
Replacements: 8700
Total Samples: 17226
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2280.245556
Acceptance Rate: 0.504294
Replacements: 8750
Total Samples: 17351
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2279.722707
Acceptance Rate: 0.503721
Replacements: 8800
Total Samples: 17470
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2279.210200
Acceptance Rate: 0.503012
Replacements: 8850
Total Samples: 17594
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2278.719038
Acceptance Rate: 0.502286
Replacements: 8900
Total Samples: 17719
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2278.267068
Acceptance Rate: 0.501850
Replacements: 8950
Total Samples: 17834
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2277.809104
Acceptance Rate: 0.501644
Replacements: 9000
Total Samples: 17941
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2277.344312
Acceptance Rate: 0.501552
Replacements: 9050
Total Samples: 18044
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2276.908633
Acceptance Rate: 0.500220
Replacements: 9100
Total Samples: 18192
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2276.517524
Acceptance Rate: 0.499863
Replacements: 9150
Total Samples: 18305
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2276.143565
Acceptance Rate: 0.498997
Replacements: 9200
Total Samples: 18437
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2275.765850
Acceptance Rate: 0.498303
Replacements: 9250
Total Samples: 18563
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2275.407290
Acceptance Rate: 0.497539
Replacements: 9300
Total Samples: 18692
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2275.092980
Acceptance Rate: 0.496838
Replacements: 9350
Total Samples: 18819
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2274.806986
Acceptance Rate: 0.495702
Replacements: 9400
Total Samples: 18963
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2274.539789
Acceptance Rate: 0.494583
Replacements: 9450
Total Samples: 19107
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2274.283687
Acceptance Rate: 0.493660
Replacements: 9500
Total Samples: 19244
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2274.039411
Acceptance Rate: 0.492573
Replacements: 9550
Total Samples: 19388
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2273.807254
Acceptance Rate: 0.492055
Replacements: 9600
Total Samples: 19510
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2273.588356
Acceptance Rate: 0.491369
Replacements: 9650
Total Samples: 19639
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2273.387069
Acceptance Rate: 0.490717
Replacements: 9700
Total Samples: 19767
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2273.192928
Acceptance Rate: 0.489876
Replacements: 9750
Total Samples: 19903
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2273.003677
Acceptance Rate: 0.488949
Replacements: 9800
Total Samples: 20043
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2272.834622
Acceptance Rate: 0.488301
Replacements: 9850
Total Samples: 20172
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2272.671725
Acceptance Rate: 0.487229
Replacements: 9900
Total Samples: 20319
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2272.514059
Acceptance Rate: 0.486243
Replacements: 9950
Total Samples: 20463
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2272.366008
Acceptance Rate: 0.485791
Replacements: 10000
Total Samples: 20585
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2272.228979
Acceptance Rate: 0.484734
Replacements: 10050
Total Samples: 20733
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2272.096187
Acceptance Rate: 0.483902
Replacements: 10100
Total Samples: 20872
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.969097
Acceptance Rate: 0.482873
Replacements: 10150
Total Samples: 21020
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.852024
Acceptance Rate: 0.481246
Replacements: 10200
Total Samples: 21195
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.741367
Acceptance Rate: 0.478994
Replacements: 10250
Total Samples: 21399
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.634935
Acceptance Rate: 0.477648
Replacements: 10300
Total Samples: 21564
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.534037
Acceptance Rate: 0.476015
Replacements: 10350
Total Samples: 21743
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.438997
Acceptance Rate: 0.474474
Replacements: 10400
Total Samples: 21919
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.351208
Acceptance Rate: 0.473708
Replacements: 10450
Total Samples: 22060
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.269178
Acceptance Rate: 0.473122
Replacements: 10500
Total Samples: 22193
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.192457
Acceptance Rate: 0.472861
Replacements: 10550
Total Samples: 22311
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.120788
Acceptance Rate: 0.471530
Replacements: 10600
Total Samples: 22480
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.051589
Acceptance Rate: 0.471343
Replacements: 10650
Total Samples: 22595
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2270.985880
Acceptance Rate: 0.470288
Replacements: 10700
Total Samples: 22752
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2270.924869
Acceptance Rate: 0.470007
Replacements: 10750
Total Samples: 22872
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2270.866743
Acceptance Rate: 0.469504
Replacements: 10800
Total Samples: 23003
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2270.811302
Acceptance Rate: 0.468824
Replacements: 10850
Total Samples: 23143
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2270.758734
Acceptance Rate: 0.468757
Replacements: 10900
Total Samples: 23253
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2270.709670
Acceptance Rate: 0.467449
Replacements: 10950
Total Samples: 23425
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2270.664478
Acceptance Rate: 0.466952
Replacements: 11000
Total Samples: 23557
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2270.622125
Acceptance Rate: 0.466028
Replacements: 11050
Total Samples: 23711
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2270.582538
Acceptance Rate: 0.465331
Replacements: 11100
Total Samples: 23854
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2270.545557
Acceptance Rate: 0.464119
Replacements: 11150
Total Samples: 24024
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2270.511398
Acceptance Rate: 0.463442
Replacements: 11200
Total Samples: 24167
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2270.479695
Acceptance Rate: 0.462868
Replacements: 11250
Total Samples: 24305
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2270.450408
Acceptance Rate: 0.462414
Replacements: 11300
Total Samples: 24437
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2270.423378
Acceptance Rate: 0.462265
Replacements: 11350
Total Samples: 24553
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2270.398236
Acceptance Rate: 0.461744
Replacements: 11400
Total Samples: 24689
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2270.375005
Acceptance Rate: 0.461204
Replacements: 11448
Total Samples: 24822
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2270.354369
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -2270.1016458664649 +/- 0.19455774841096241
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 24822
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (2.05 -0.12 +0.10) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | (-9.81 -0.4 +0.32) x 10^-1 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (4.0 -0.4 +0.6) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -1.95 -0.16 +0.05 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval4 | -757.021697 |
| n4_interval4 | -746.772151 |
| b0_interval4 | -778.522084 |
| total | -2282.315932 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 4572.745178 |
| BIC | 4588.153996 |
| DIC | 4528.426468 |
| PDIC | 3.690571 |
| log(Z) | -985.892618 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.996377
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 552
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -723816.681633
Acceptance Rate: 0.972447
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 617
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -17961.953275
Acceptance Rate: 0.960118
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 677
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3701.262135
Acceptance Rate: 0.944669
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 741
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3700.093208
Acceptance Rate: 0.905797
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 828
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3699.608483
Acceptance Rate: 0.867679
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 922
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3699.310118
Acceptance Rate: 0.836614
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 1016
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3699.100170
Acceptance Rate: 0.826446
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1089
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3698.941263
Acceptance Rate: 0.813356
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1168
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3698.814010
Acceptance Rate: 0.807754
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1238
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3698.705900
Acceptance Rate: 0.798479
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1315
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3698.604820
Acceptance Rate: 0.791367
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1390
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3698.496087
Acceptance Rate: 0.781250
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1472
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3698.319237
Acceptance Rate: 0.773196
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1552
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3697.743422
Acceptance Rate: 0.766401
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1631
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3695.497789
Acceptance Rate: 0.762016
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1706
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3690.440950
Acceptance Rate: 0.761851
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1772
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3681.284162
Acceptance Rate: 0.755532
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1853
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3665.479116
Acceptance Rate: 0.750129
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1933
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3636.991803
Acceptance Rate: 0.748503
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 2004
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3609.429874
Acceptance Rate: 0.750605
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2065
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3569.539234
Acceptance Rate: 0.748013
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2139
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3510.607127
Acceptance Rate: 0.743243
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2220
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3450.709760
Acceptance Rate: 0.736888
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2307
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3371.771950
Acceptance Rate: 0.736842
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2375
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3290.691707
Acceptance Rate: 0.737101
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2442
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3215.872692
Acceptance Rate: 0.735586
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2515
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3149.577256
Acceptance Rate: 0.730769
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2600
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3081.936654
Acceptance Rate: 0.728155
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2678
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3022.810415
Acceptance Rate: 0.728067
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2747
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2965.410502
Acceptance Rate: 0.725921
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2824
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2910.560300
Acceptance Rate: 0.725890
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 2893
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2856.206998
Acceptance Rate: 0.724638
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 2967
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2797.818336
Acceptance Rate: 0.724638
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3036
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2743.615858
Acceptance Rate: 0.719770
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3126
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2687.201104
Acceptance Rate: 0.715397
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3215
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2642.696843
Acceptance Rate: 0.712553
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3298
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2594.328178
Acceptance Rate: 0.711955
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3371
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2555.662949
Acceptance Rate: 0.708297
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3459
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2509.473300
Acceptance Rate: 0.704821
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3547
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2467.834952
Acceptance Rate: 0.701320
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3636
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2425.469601
Acceptance Rate: 0.699677
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3716
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2396.058479
Acceptance Rate: 0.698471
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3794
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2356.276821
Acceptance Rate: 0.694802
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 3886
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2318.203743
Acceptance Rate: 0.694444
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 3960
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2287.903099
Acceptance Rate: 0.692726
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4042
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2257.094730
Acceptance Rate: 0.689906
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4131
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2226.997588
Acceptance Rate: 0.688182
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4214
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2202.503936
Acceptance Rate: 0.686525
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4297
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2174.671433
Acceptance Rate: 0.683683
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4388
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2151.213648
Acceptance Rate: 0.682021
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4472
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2120.967358
Acceptance Rate: 0.677596
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4575
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2096.113257
Acceptance Rate: 0.674807
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4668
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2070.471113
Acceptance Rate: 0.671704
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4764
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2056.606815
Acceptance Rate: 0.668862
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 4859
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2038.902919
Acceptance Rate: 0.666801
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 4949
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2024.200311
Acceptance Rate: 0.661925
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5061
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2011.273142
Acceptance Rate: 0.658787
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5161
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1996.693409
Acceptance Rate: 0.656643
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5254
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1986.879416
Acceptance Rate: 0.653229
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5358
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1972.655550
Acceptance Rate: 0.651137
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5452
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1959.668661
Acceptance Rate: 0.649702
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5541
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1949.245802
Acceptance Rate: 0.648658
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5627
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1940.853909
Acceptance Rate: 0.645837
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5729
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1930.980247
Acceptance Rate: 0.645550
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 5809
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1919.728733
Acceptance Rate: 0.643959
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 5901
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1910.971058
Acceptance Rate: 0.642202
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 5995
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1902.227093
Acceptance Rate: 0.641236
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 6082
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1895.446301
Acceptance Rate: 0.640194
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6170
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1886.913922
Acceptance Rate: 0.639693
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6253
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1881.610314
Acceptance Rate: 0.638902
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6339
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1874.264513
Acceptance Rate: 0.637339
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6433
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1868.576445
Acceptance Rate: 0.635820
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6527
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1863.434099
Acceptance Rate: 0.633293
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6632
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1859.844497
Acceptance Rate: 0.629816
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 6748
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1854.986365
Acceptance Rate: 0.629299
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 6833
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1850.846952
Acceptance Rate: 0.628522
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 6921
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1846.904003
Acceptance Rate: 0.627406
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 7013
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1843.031461
Acceptance Rate: 0.627291
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 7094
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1839.036067
Acceptance Rate: 0.625174
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 7198
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1835.369598
Acceptance Rate: 0.623971
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7292
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1831.974531
Acceptance Rate: 0.622294
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7392
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1828.589385
Acceptance Rate: 0.621325
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7484
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1825.443906
Acceptance Rate: 0.619317
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7589
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1822.857157
Acceptance Rate: 0.618087
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 7685
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1820.429026
Acceptance Rate: 0.615385
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 7800
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1818.572909
Acceptance Rate: 0.613458
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 7906
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1816.998943
Acceptance Rate: 0.610288
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 8029
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1815.298964
Acceptance Rate: 0.608632
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 8133
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1813.640070
Acceptance Rate: 0.605914
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 8252
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1812.097453
Acceptance Rate: 0.604863
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 8349
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1810.457449
Acceptance Rate: 0.603265
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 8454
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1808.953779
Acceptance Rate: 0.602974
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 8541
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1807.412327
Acceptance Rate: 0.603108
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 8622
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1805.845549
Acceptance Rate: 0.601237
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 8732
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1804.527051
Acceptance Rate: 0.599683
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 8838
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1803.202152
Acceptance Rate: 0.599373
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 8926
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1801.797095
Acceptance Rate: 0.599334
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 9010
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1800.268341
Acceptance Rate: 0.598967
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 9099
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1798.814645
Acceptance Rate: 0.597372
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 9207
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1796.797300
Acceptance Rate: 0.596646
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 9302
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1793.343605
Acceptance Rate: 0.596316
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 9391
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1786.829061
Acceptance Rate: 0.596117
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 9478
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1780.965977
Acceptance Rate: 0.595985
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 9564
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1774.539895
Acceptance Rate: 0.596287
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 9643
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1767.381035
Acceptance Rate: 0.595177
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 9745
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1761.124204
Acceptance Rate: 0.594996
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 9832
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1755.857366
Acceptance Rate: 0.594818
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 9919
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1749.215086
Acceptance Rate: 0.594406
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 10010
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1743.092963
Acceptance Rate: 0.594825
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 10087
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1737.495259
Acceptance Rate: 0.594595
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 10175
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1732.308312
Acceptance Rate: 0.594021
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 10269
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1725.631065
Acceptance Rate: 0.593515
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 10362
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1720.711792
Acceptance Rate: 0.593529
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 10446
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1716.230169
Acceptance Rate: 0.594106
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 10520
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1710.527857
Acceptance Rate: 0.594901
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 10590
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1704.794585
Acceptance Rate: 0.594124
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 10688
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1699.108832
Acceptance Rate: 0.594133
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 10772
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1695.114562
Acceptance Rate: 0.594470
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 10850
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1691.545598
Acceptance Rate: 0.594585
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 10932
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1687.841740
Acceptance Rate: 0.594698
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 11014
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1683.559504
Acceptance Rate: 0.594595
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 11100
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1679.567376
Acceptance Rate: 0.594919
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 11178
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1675.147607
Acceptance Rate: 0.595767
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 11246
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1671.204336
Acceptance Rate: 0.596448
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 11317
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1668.169096
Acceptance Rate: 0.596387
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 11402
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1665.156375
Acceptance Rate: 0.596950
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 11475
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1661.633128
Acceptance Rate: 0.596783
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 11562
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1658.870679
Acceptance Rate: 0.596925
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 11643
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1655.532069
Acceptance Rate: 0.597015
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 11725
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1652.585578
Acceptance Rate: 0.596548
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 11818
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1649.973551
Acceptance Rate: 0.596739
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 11898
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1647.754362
Acceptance Rate: 0.597426
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 11968
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1645.388208
Acceptance Rate: 0.597064
Replacements: 7200
Total Samples: 12059
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1642.855544
Acceptance Rate: 0.596855
Replacements: 7250
Total Samples: 12147
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1640.717991
Acceptance Rate: 0.597332
Replacements: 7300
Total Samples: 12221
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1638.951379
Acceptance Rate: 0.598096
Replacements: 7350
Total Samples: 12289
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1637.197707
Acceptance Rate: 0.598706
Replacements: 7400
Total Samples: 12360
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1635.065154
Acceptance Rate: 0.599405
Replacements: 7450
Total Samples: 12429
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1633.194203
Acceptance Rate: 0.599233
Replacements: 7500
Total Samples: 12516
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1631.130562
Acceptance Rate: 0.599587
Replacements: 7550
Total Samples: 12592
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1629.364287
Acceptance Rate: 0.599984
Replacements: 7600
Total Samples: 12667
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1627.781338
Acceptance Rate: 0.600000
Replacements: 7650
Total Samples: 12750
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1626.180678
Acceptance Rate: 0.600390
Replacements: 7700
Total Samples: 12825
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1624.930044
Acceptance Rate: 0.600403
Replacements: 7750
Total Samples: 12908
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1623.664397
Acceptance Rate: 0.600832
Replacements: 7800
Total Samples: 12982
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1622.439065
Acceptance Rate: 0.601210
Replacements: 7850
Total Samples: 13057
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1621.135928
Acceptance Rate: 0.601905
Replacements: 7900
Total Samples: 13125
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1619.858138
Acceptance Rate: 0.602181
Replacements: 7950
Total Samples: 13202
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1618.580919
Acceptance Rate: 0.603013
Replacements: 8046
Total Samples: 13343
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1615.426030
Acceptance Rate: 0.603318
Replacements: 8146
Total Samples: 13502
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1611.950496
Acceptance Rate: 0.603705
Replacements: 8246
Total Samples: 13659
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1608.835009
Acceptance Rate: 0.604432
Replacements: 8346
Total Samples: 13808
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1605.356313
Acceptance Rate: 0.604711
Replacements: 8446
Total Samples: 13967
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1602.862151
Acceptance Rate: 0.604812
Replacements: 8546
Total Samples: 14130
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1600.284581
Acceptance Rate: 0.605335
Replacements: 8646
Total Samples: 14283
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1598.126157
Acceptance Rate: 0.605679
Replacements: 8746
Total Samples: 14440
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1595.514073
Acceptance Rate: 0.606555
Replacements: 8846
Total Samples: 14584
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1593.514192
Acceptance Rate: 0.607579
Replacements: 8946
Total Samples: 14724
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1591.672304
Acceptance Rate: 0.608953
Replacements: 9046
Total Samples: 14855
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1590.015730
Acceptance Rate: 0.609774
Replacements: 9146
Total Samples: 14999
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1588.310158
Acceptance Rate: 0.610458
Replacements: 9246
Total Samples: 15146
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1586.628504
Acceptance Rate: 0.611369
Replacements: 9346
Total Samples: 15287
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1585.009360
Acceptance Rate: 0.611669
Replacements: 9446
Total Samples: 15443
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1583.697413
Acceptance Rate: 0.611296
Replacements: 9546
Total Samples: 15616
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1582.404007
Acceptance Rate: 0.611823
Replacements: 9646
Total Samples: 15766
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1581.153342
Acceptance Rate: 0.612186
Replacements: 9746
Total Samples: 15920
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1580.195895
Acceptance Rate: 0.612771
Replacements: 9846
Total Samples: 16068
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1579.458040
Acceptance Rate: 0.612514
Replacements: 9946
Total Samples: 16238
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1578.797440
Acceptance Rate: 0.613159
Replacements: 10046
Total Samples: 16384
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1578.239841
Acceptance Rate: 0.613942
Replacements: 10146
Total Samples: 16526
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1577.752889
Acceptance Rate: 0.613974
Replacements: 10246
Total Samples: 16688
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1577.323381
Acceptance Rate: 0.614371
Replacements: 10346
Total Samples: 16840
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1576.977010
Acceptance Rate: 0.614724
Replacements: 10446
Total Samples: 16993
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1576.676836
Acceptance Rate: 0.615681
Replacements: 10546
Total Samples: 17129
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1576.414676
Acceptance Rate: 0.616480
Replacements: 10646
Total Samples: 17269
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1576.192363
Acceptance Rate: 0.617480
Replacements: 10746
Total Samples: 17403
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1576.003133
Acceptance Rate: 0.618393
Replacements: 10846
Total Samples: 17539
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.839895
Acceptance Rate: 0.618383
Replacements: 10946
Total Samples: 17701
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.699663
Acceptance Rate: 0.618373
Replacements: 11046
Total Samples: 17863
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.577859
Acceptance Rate: 0.618775
Replacements: 11146
Total Samples: 18013
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.473271
Acceptance Rate: 0.618830
Replacements: 11246
Total Samples: 18173
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.382267
Acceptance Rate: 0.619425
Replacements: 11346
Total Samples: 18317
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.301952
Acceptance Rate: 0.620178
Replacements: 11446
Total Samples: 18456
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.232771
Acceptance Rate: 0.620053
Replacements: 11546
Total Samples: 18621
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.173980
Acceptance Rate: 0.620161
Replacements: 11646
Total Samples: 18779
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.123602
Acceptance Rate: 0.620713
Replacements: 11729
Total Samples: 18896
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.094399
Acceptance Rate: 0.621157
Replacements: 11779
Total Samples: 18963
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.094399
Acceptance Rate: 0.621108
Replacements: 11829
Total Samples: 19045
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.094399
Acceptance Rate: 0.621390
Replacements: 11876
Total Samples: 19112
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1575.094399
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -1574.8363200612055 +/- 0.20016193243193672
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 19112
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (2.832 -0.021 +0.21) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | (-8.965 -0.030 +0.5) x 10^-1 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (4.11 -0.5 +0.11) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -2.13 -0.12 +0.11 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval5 | -523.868222 |
| n4_interval5 | -527.351009 |
| b0_interval5 | -536.640041 |
| total | -1587.859272 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 3183.831859 |
| BIC | 3199.240676 |
| DIC | 3134.823253 |
| PDIC | 2.411369 |
| log(Z) | -683.942724 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.996377
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 552
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -295876.758951
Acceptance Rate: 0.980392
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 612
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -7676.928234
Acceptance Rate: 0.960118
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 677
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3558.885765
Acceptance Rate: 0.922266
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 759
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3557.954014
Acceptance Rate: 0.889680
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 843
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3557.516739
Acceptance Rate: 0.860215
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 930
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3557.238659
Acceptance Rate: 0.830078
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 1024
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3557.039879
Acceptance Rate: 0.808625
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1113
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3556.888205
Acceptance Rate: 0.792988
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1198
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3556.767028
Acceptance Rate: 0.789889
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1266
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3556.663601
Acceptance Rate: 0.784167
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1339
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3556.568556
Acceptance Rate: 0.777935
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1414
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3556.458300
Acceptance Rate: 0.774933
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1484
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3556.260422
Acceptance Rate: 0.771208
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1556
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3555.361630
Acceptance Rate: 0.764526
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1635
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3551.210031
Acceptance Rate: 0.760679
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1709
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3543.765042
Acceptance Rate: 0.759707
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1777
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3534.155232
Acceptance Rate: 0.752688
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1860
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3523.070810
Acceptance Rate: 0.747423
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1940
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3497.678175
Acceptance Rate: 0.748130
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 2005
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3472.361896
Acceptance Rate: 0.742693
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2087
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3442.342552
Acceptance Rate: 0.735971
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2174
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3390.353652
Acceptance Rate: 0.733008
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2251
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3329.191066
Acceptance Rate: 0.729614
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2330
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3267.204005
Acceptance Rate: 0.725238
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2413
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3182.744595
Acceptance Rate: 0.723473
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2488
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3118.453165
Acceptance Rate: 0.714286
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2590
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3047.776229
Acceptance Rate: 0.708427
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2682
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2983.847633
Acceptance Rate: 0.708318
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2753
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2912.649803
Acceptance Rate: 0.706215
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2832
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2859.602419
Acceptance Rate: 0.703500
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2914
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2785.739428
Acceptance Rate: 0.699534
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 3002
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2749.973399
Acceptance Rate: 0.694893
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 3094
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2705.364621
Acceptance Rate: 0.693569
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3172
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2666.017319
Acceptance Rate: 0.692521
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3249
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2615.296190
Acceptance Rate: 0.687593
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3345
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2570.909162
Acceptance Rate: 0.684932
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3431
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2534.153222
Acceptance Rate: 0.681625
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3521
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2493.965010
Acceptance Rate: 0.679612
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3605
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2459.181472
Acceptance Rate: 0.676956
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3693
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2418.037847
Acceptance Rate: 0.672823
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3790
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2386.724093
Acceptance Rate: 0.668380
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3890
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2357.332336
Acceptance Rate: 0.666667
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3975
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2332.879417
Acceptance Rate: 0.662414
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 4076
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2311.592057
Acceptance Rate: 0.659314
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 4171
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2288.587715
Acceptance Rate: 0.654206
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4280
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2264.236696
Acceptance Rate: 0.652473
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4368
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2239.814581
Acceptance Rate: 0.650662
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4457
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2222.236022
Acceptance Rate: 0.649780
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4540
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2203.503106
Acceptance Rate: 0.649070
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4622
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2184.604531
Acceptance Rate: 0.646460
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4718
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2164.789265
Acceptance Rate: 0.646372
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4796
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2146.450796
Acceptance Rate: 0.645227
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4882
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2132.566737
Acceptance Rate: 0.643087
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4976
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2118.475256
Acceptance Rate: 0.638381
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 5091
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.838747
Acceptance Rate: 0.637189
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 5179
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2093.018329
Acceptance Rate: 0.636036
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5267
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2079.438860
Acceptance Rate: 0.633147
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5370
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2069.096517
Acceptance Rate: 0.633609
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5445
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2060.999692
Acceptance Rate: 0.633140
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5528
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2050.363602
Acceptance Rate: 0.633702
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5602
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2040.321150
Acceptance Rate: 0.633134
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5686
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2031.431166
Acceptance Rate: 0.632582
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5770
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2024.239453
Acceptance Rate: 0.630861
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5865
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2016.303212
Acceptance Rate: 0.629829
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 5954
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2009.099877
Acceptance Rate: 0.629765
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 6034
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2001.340723
Acceptance Rate: 0.628161
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 6129
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1995.066700
Acceptance Rate: 0.627211
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 6218
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1990.082232
Acceptance Rate: 0.627084
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6299
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1983.824208
Acceptance Rate: 0.624415
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6406
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1978.698829
Acceptance Rate: 0.623269
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6498
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1973.210382
Acceptance Rate: 0.622438
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6587
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1968.363468
Acceptance Rate: 0.623310
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6658
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1963.822714
Acceptance Rate: 0.622222
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6750
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1959.345704
Acceptance Rate: 0.620076
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 6854
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1955.135147
Acceptance Rate: 0.618260
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 6955
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1951.550086
Acceptance Rate: 0.616409
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 7057
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1948.328524
Acceptance Rate: 0.615041
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 7154
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1944.744475
Acceptance Rate: 0.614132
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 7246
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1941.697308
Acceptance Rate: 0.612078
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 7352
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1939.077312
Acceptance Rate: 0.610656
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7451
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1936.469076
Acceptance Rate: 0.608868
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7555
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1933.952765
Acceptance Rate: 0.608878
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7637
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1931.784073
Acceptance Rate: 0.609124
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7716
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1929.712391
Acceptance Rate: 0.608896
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 7801
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1927.233738
Acceptance Rate: 0.607211
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 7905
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1925.257823
Acceptance Rate: 0.606098
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 8002
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1923.086457
Acceptance Rate: 0.604789
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 8102
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1921.396239
Acceptance Rate: 0.604617
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 8187
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1919.624073
Acceptance Rate: 0.604084
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 8277
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1918.072824
Acceptance Rate: 0.603201
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 8372
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1916.515227
Acceptance Rate: 0.601061
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 8485
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1914.695126
Acceptance Rate: 0.599255
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 8594
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1912.715867
Acceptance Rate: 0.598182
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 8693
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1910.840978
Acceptance Rate: 0.596862
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 8796
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1908.518068
Acceptance Rate: 0.596377
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 8887
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1905.130942
Acceptance Rate: 0.596233
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 8973
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1900.376201
Acceptance Rate: 0.594976
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 9076
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1895.771449
Acceptance Rate: 0.594265
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 9171
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1890.779284
Acceptance Rate: 0.594466
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 9252
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1887.029765
Acceptance Rate: 0.593710
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 9348
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1882.719403
Acceptance Rate: 0.592154
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 9457
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1877.629151
Acceptance Rate: 0.591190
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 9557
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1872.923204
Acceptance Rate: 0.591409
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 9638
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1868.406950
Acceptance Rate: 0.590895
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 9731
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1864.144046
Acceptance Rate: 0.590631
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 9820
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1860.214364
Acceptance Rate: 0.590611
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 9905
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1855.795452
Acceptance Rate: 0.590413
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 9993
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1852.021979
Acceptance Rate: 0.590395
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 10078
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1848.508439
Acceptance Rate: 0.590319
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 10164
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1844.852619
Acceptance Rate: 0.590820
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 10240
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1841.748546
Acceptance Rate: 0.590170
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 10336
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1838.119037
Acceptance Rate: 0.590778
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 10410
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1834.945502
Acceptance Rate: 0.590645
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 10497
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1831.704800
Acceptance Rate: 0.590626
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 10582
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1828.729296
Acceptance Rate: 0.590884
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 10662
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1826.418127
Acceptance Rate: 0.590698
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 10750
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1823.727400
Acceptance Rate: 0.590351
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 10841
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1820.657937
Acceptance Rate: 0.589849
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 10935
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1818.177535
Acceptance Rate: 0.590587
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 11006
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1816.193017
Acceptance Rate: 0.590675
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 11089
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1814.242616
Acceptance Rate: 0.590657
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 11174
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1812.038093
Acceptance Rate: 0.590954
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 11253
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1810.128904
Acceptance Rate: 0.591350
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 11330
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1808.278826
Acceptance Rate: 0.591586
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 11410
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1806.306031
Acceptance Rate: 0.591510
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 11496
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1804.529463
Acceptance Rate: 0.591537
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 11580
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1802.700505
Acceptance Rate: 0.590905
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 11677
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1800.751808
Acceptance Rate: 0.590384
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 11772
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1799.102528
Acceptance Rate: 0.590518
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 11854
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1797.438550
Acceptance Rate: 0.590255
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 11944
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1795.845481
Acceptance Rate: 0.590830
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 12017
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1794.361034
Acceptance Rate: 0.591300
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 12092
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1792.986545
Acceptance Rate: 0.592105
Replacements: 7200
Total Samples: 12160
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1791.661704
Acceptance Rate: 0.592659
Replacements: 7250
Total Samples: 12233
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1790.133140
Acceptance Rate: 0.593014
Replacements: 7300
Total Samples: 12310
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1788.578486
Acceptance Rate: 0.593412
Replacements: 7350
Total Samples: 12386
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1787.085985
Acceptance Rate: 0.593424
Replacements: 7400
Total Samples: 12470
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1785.574467
Acceptance Rate: 0.593767
Replacements: 7450
Total Samples: 12547
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1784.194505
Acceptance Rate: 0.593871
Replacements: 7500
Total Samples: 12629
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1782.782730
Acceptance Rate: 0.593507
Replacements: 7550
Total Samples: 12721
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1781.494305
Acceptance Rate: 0.593611
Replacements: 7600
Total Samples: 12803
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1780.255677
Acceptance Rate: 0.593944
Replacements: 7650
Total Samples: 12880
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1779.191744
Acceptance Rate: 0.593907
Replacements: 7700
Total Samples: 12965
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1778.127721
Acceptance Rate: 0.594371
Replacements: 7750
Total Samples: 13039
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1777.050615
Acceptance Rate: 0.594966
Replacements: 7800
Total Samples: 13110
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1776.119556
Acceptance Rate: 0.594967
Replacements: 7850
Total Samples: 13194
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1775.205307
Acceptance Rate: 0.594253
Replacements: 7900
Total Samples: 13294
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1774.331729
Acceptance Rate: 0.593505
Replacements: 7950
Total Samples: 13395
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1773.496994
Acceptance Rate: 0.593076
Replacements: 8000
Total Samples: 13489
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1772.664073
Acceptance Rate: 0.592784
Replacements: 8050
Total Samples: 13580
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1771.808880
Acceptance Rate: 0.593189
Replacements: 8100
Total Samples: 13655
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1771.026848
Acceptance Rate: 0.593029
Replacements: 8150
Total Samples: 13743
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1770.272164
Acceptance Rate: 0.592614
Replacements: 8200
Total Samples: 13837
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1769.477595
Acceptance Rate: 0.592077
Replacements: 8250
Total Samples: 13934
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1768.658239
Acceptance Rate: 0.592349
Replacements: 8300
Total Samples: 14012
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1767.913486
Acceptance Rate: 0.592241
Replacements: 8350
Total Samples: 14099
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1767.258420
Acceptance Rate: 0.592760
Replacements: 8400
Total Samples: 14171
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1766.705959
Acceptance Rate: 0.593149
Replacements: 8450
Total Samples: 14246
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1766.158020
Acceptance Rate: 0.593244
Replacements: 8500
Total Samples: 14328
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1765.639971
Acceptance Rate: 0.592598
Replacements: 8550
Total Samples: 14428
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1765.156216
Acceptance Rate: 0.592205
Replacements: 8600
Total Samples: 14522
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1764.654137
Acceptance Rate: 0.592141
Replacements: 8650
Total Samples: 14608
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1764.194751
Acceptance Rate: 0.592038
Replacements: 8700
Total Samples: 14695
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1763.753396
Acceptance Rate: 0.592257
Replacements: 8750
Total Samples: 14774
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1763.325903
Acceptance Rate: 0.591239
Replacements: 8800
Total Samples: 14884
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1762.930946
Acceptance Rate: 0.590118
Replacements: 8850
Total Samples: 14997
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1762.553821
Acceptance Rate: 0.589716
Replacements: 8900
Total Samples: 15092
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1762.190447
Acceptance Rate: 0.589436
Replacements: 8950
Total Samples: 15184
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1761.866305
Acceptance Rate: 0.588813
Replacements: 9000
Total Samples: 15285
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1761.573233
Acceptance Rate: 0.588312
Replacements: 9050
Total Samples: 15383
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1761.308522
Acceptance Rate: 0.587324
Replacements: 9100
Total Samples: 15494
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1761.054257
Acceptance Rate: 0.586727
Replacements: 9150
Total Samples: 15595
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1760.813215
Acceptance Rate: 0.586548
Replacements: 9200
Total Samples: 15685
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1760.582339
Acceptance Rate: 0.586668
Replacements: 9250
Total Samples: 15767
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1760.371685
Acceptance Rate: 0.586085
Replacements: 9300
Total Samples: 15868
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1760.171921
Acceptance Rate: 0.585290
Replacements: 9350
Total Samples: 15975
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1759.979520
Acceptance Rate: 0.584650
Replacements: 9400
Total Samples: 16078
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1759.802559
Acceptance Rate: 0.583766
Replacements: 9450
Total Samples: 16188
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1759.635117
Acceptance Rate: 0.583216
Replacements: 9500
Total Samples: 16289
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1759.473718
Acceptance Rate: 0.583206
Replacements: 9550
Total Samples: 16375
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1759.317358
Acceptance Rate: 0.582136
Replacements: 9600
Total Samples: 16491
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1759.162917
Acceptance Rate: 0.582308
Replacements: 9650
Total Samples: 16572
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1759.013601
Acceptance Rate: 0.582443
Replacements: 9700
Total Samples: 16654
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1758.870701
Acceptance Rate: 0.582368
Replacements: 9750
Total Samples: 16742
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1758.736411
Acceptance Rate: 0.582848
Replacements: 9800
Total Samples: 16814
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1758.609836
Acceptance Rate: 0.583013
Replacements: 9850
Total Samples: 16895
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1758.491004
Acceptance Rate: 0.583039
Replacements: 9900
Total Samples: 16980
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1758.377349
Acceptance Rate: 0.582792
Replacements: 9950
Total Samples: 17073
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1758.270918
Acceptance Rate: 0.582920
Replacements: 10000
Total Samples: 17155
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1758.170083
Acceptance Rate: 0.582811
Replacements: 10050
Total Samples: 17244
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1758.073514
Acceptance Rate: 0.582569
Replacements: 10100
Total Samples: 17337
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1757.980983
Acceptance Rate: 0.581962
Replacements: 10150
Total Samples: 17441
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1757.890572
Acceptance Rate: 0.581329
Replacements: 10200
Total Samples: 17546
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1757.803302
Acceptance Rate: 0.581132
Replacements: 10250
Total Samples: 17638
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1757.720421
Acceptance Rate: 0.581199
Replacements: 10300
Total Samples: 17722
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1757.642188
Acceptance Rate: 0.581395
Replacements: 10350
Total Samples: 17802
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1757.569058
Acceptance Rate: 0.581103
Replacements: 10400
Total Samples: 17897
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1757.498078
Acceptance Rate: 0.581201
Replacements: 10450
Total Samples: 17980
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1757.430122
Acceptance Rate: 0.581041
Replacements: 10500
Total Samples: 18071
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1757.365424
Acceptance Rate: 0.580819
Replacements: 10550
Total Samples: 18164
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1757.303245
Acceptance Rate: 0.580822
Replacements: 10600
Total Samples: 18250
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1757.245429
Acceptance Rate: 0.580129
Replacements: 10650
Total Samples: 18358
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1757.190284
Acceptance Rate: 0.580040
Replacements: 10700
Total Samples: 18447
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1757.137953
Acceptance Rate: 0.579859
Replacements: 10750
Total Samples: 18539
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1757.088440
Acceptance Rate: 0.579804
Replacements: 10800
Total Samples: 18627
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1757.041473
Acceptance Rate: 0.579625
Replacements: 10850
Total Samples: 18719
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.997035
Acceptance Rate: 0.580127
Replacements: 10900
Total Samples: 18789
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.955425
Acceptance Rate: 0.580194
Replacements: 10950
Total Samples: 18873
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.916772
Acceptance Rate: 0.579894
Replacements: 11000
Total Samples: 18969
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.880589
Acceptance Rate: 0.579779
Replacements: 11050
Total Samples: 19059
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.846400
Acceptance Rate: 0.580240
Replacements: 11100
Total Samples: 19130
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.814009
Acceptance Rate: 0.580366
Replacements: 11150
Total Samples: 19212
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.783373
Acceptance Rate: 0.580401
Replacements: 11200
Total Samples: 19297
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.754492
Acceptance Rate: 0.580855
Replacements: 11250
Total Samples: 19368
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.727238
Acceptance Rate: 0.581306
Replacements: 11300
Total Samples: 19439
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.701660
Acceptance Rate: 0.581514
Replacements: 11350
Total Samples: 19518
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.677858
Acceptance Rate: 0.581336
Replacements: 11400
Total Samples: 19610
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.655429
Acceptance Rate: 0.581720
Replacements: 11450
Total Samples: 19683
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.634385
Acceptance Rate: 0.582190
Replacements: 11500
Total Samples: 19753
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.614834
Acceptance Rate: 0.582363
Replacements: 11550
Total Samples: 19833
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.596534
Acceptance Rate: 0.582638
Replacements: 11584
Total Samples: 19882
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1756.584725
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -1756.3688550046302 +/- 0.19358818424937738
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 19882
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (1.954 +0.005 +0.23) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | -1.0103 -0.0017 +0.08 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (4.51 -1.0 -0.06) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -2.41 -0.04 +0.33 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval6 | -584.356198 |
| n4_interval6 | -576.963252 |
| b0_interval6 | -609.649890 |
| total | -1770.969341 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 3550.051996 |
| BIC | 3565.460813 |
| DIC | 3500.828227 |
| PDIC | 3.000178 |
| log(Z) | -762.781302 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.998185
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 551
Nested Sampling ln(Z): **************
Acceptance Rate: 0.985222
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 609
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -113498.492248
Acceptance Rate: 0.968703
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 671
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3824.894697
Acceptance Rate: 0.948509
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 738
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3822.546299
Acceptance Rate: 0.927070
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 809
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3821.948331
Acceptance Rate: 0.895857
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 893
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3821.606661
Acceptance Rate: 0.863821
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 984
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3821.373928
Acceptance Rate: 0.832562
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1081
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3821.201377
Acceptance Rate: 0.830420
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1144
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3821.066523
Acceptance Rate: 0.814996
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1227
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3820.956833
Acceptance Rate: 0.809561
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1297
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3820.864077
Acceptance Rate: 0.802334
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1371
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3820.776329
Acceptance Rate: 0.800836
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1436
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3820.673649
Acceptance Rate: 0.792079
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1515
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3820.474697
Acceptance Rate: 0.786164
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1590
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3819.751169
Acceptance Rate: 0.783133
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1660
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3816.337970
Acceptance Rate: 0.778547
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1734
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3808.123672
Acceptance Rate: 0.775623
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1805
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3795.581175
Acceptance Rate: 0.770867
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1881
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3774.124788
Acceptance Rate: 0.765697
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 1959
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3755.653704
Acceptance Rate: 0.759432
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2041
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3727.162310
Acceptance Rate: 0.757576
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2112
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3683.233086
Acceptance Rate: 0.754458
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2187
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3636.751433
Acceptance Rate: 0.750552
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2265
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3586.983010
Acceptance Rate: 0.748823
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2337
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3540.901708
Acceptance Rate: 0.748130
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2406
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3472.175213
Acceptance Rate: 0.745367
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2482
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3419.016022
Acceptance Rate: 0.741319
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2563
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3335.950842
Acceptance Rate: 0.740319
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2634
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3268.462629
Acceptance Rate: 0.737735
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2711
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3216.784477
Acceptance Rate: 0.737410
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2780
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3159.334731
Acceptance Rate: 0.736325
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 2852
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3110.869343
Acceptance Rate: 0.733788
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 2930
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3063.144347
Acceptance Rate: 0.732357
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3004
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3004.707584
Acceptance Rate: 0.727214
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3094
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2955.517583
Acceptance Rate: 0.727618
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3161
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2897.868289
Acceptance Rate: 0.724861
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3242
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2846.338812
Acceptance Rate: 0.723982
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3315
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2810.526726
Acceptance Rate: 0.722075
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3393
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2762.357512
Acceptance Rate: 0.719424
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3475
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2726.100411
Acceptance Rate: 0.716292
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3560
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2690.624785
Acceptance Rate: 0.715268
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3635
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2660.114134
Acceptance Rate: 0.714478
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3709
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2627.911511
Acceptance Rate: 0.712401
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 3790
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2594.284896
Acceptance Rate: 0.711146
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 3867
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2561.082054
Acceptance Rate: 0.707071
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 3960
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2533.232807
Acceptance Rate: 0.704399
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4046
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2509.204951
Acceptance Rate: 0.703542
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4122
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2483.015011
Acceptance Rate: 0.702047
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4202
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2452.760158
Acceptance Rate: 0.699464
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4289
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2426.038506
Acceptance Rate: 0.700184
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4356
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2397.475405
Acceptance Rate: 0.699301
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4433
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2376.398079
Acceptance Rate: 0.695211
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4531
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2357.009653
Acceptance Rate: 0.693758
Replacements: 3201
Total Samples: 4614
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2328.124316
Acceptance Rate: 0.690153
Replacements: 3301
Total Samples: 4783
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2115.693823
Acceptance Rate: 0.686516
Replacements: 3401
Total Samples: 4954
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2014.382898
Acceptance Rate: 0.681394
Replacements: 3501
Total Samples: 5138
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1982.201714
Acceptance Rate: 0.674977
Replacements: 3601
Total Samples: 5335
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1974.895573
Acceptance Rate: 0.672420
Replacements: 3701
Total Samples: 5504
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1972.031362
Acceptance Rate: 0.671798
Replacements: 3797
Total Samples: 5652
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.670793
Replacements: 3847
Total Samples: 5735
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.669243
Replacements: 3897
Total Samples: 5823
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.668643
Replacements: 3947
Total Samples: 5903
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.666722
Replacements: 3997
Total Samples: 5995
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.663117
Replacements: 4047
Total Samples: 6103
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.660913
Replacements: 4097
Total Samples: 6199
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.660350
Replacements: 4147
Total Samples: 6280
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.659180
Replacements: 4197
Total Samples: 6367
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.657024
Replacements: 4247
Total Samples: 6464
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.655130
Replacements: 4297
Total Samples: 6559
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.654078
Replacements: 4347
Total Samples: 6646
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.651407
Replacements: 4397
Total Samples: 6750
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.651003
Replacements: 4447
Total Samples: 6831
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.650796
Replacements: 4497
Total Samples: 6910
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.649850
Replacements: 4547
Total Samples: 6997
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.649202
Replacements: 4597
Total Samples: 7081
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.648388
Replacements: 4647
Total Samples: 7167
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.646613
Replacements: 4697
Total Samples: 7264
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.645499
Replacements: 4747
Total Samples: 7354
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.645887
Replacements: 4797
Total Samples: 7427
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.644291
Replacements: 4847
Total Samples: 7523
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.642988
Replacements: 4897
Total Samples: 7616
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.641135
Replacements: 4947
Total Samples: 7716
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.639248
Replacements: 4997
Total Samples: 7817
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.637731
Replacements: 5047
Total Samples: 7914
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.636727
Replacements: 5097
Total Samples: 8005
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.635432
Replacements: 5147
Total Samples: 8100
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.634167
Replacements: 5197
Total Samples: 8195
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.633849
Replacements: 5247
Total Samples: 8278
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.633234
Replacements: 5297
Total Samples: 8365
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.630468
Replacements: 5347
Total Samples: 8481
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.628801
Replacements: 5397
Total Samples: 8583
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.627969
Replacements: 5447
Total Samples: 8674
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.626439
Replacements: 5497
Total Samples: 8775
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.624944
Replacements: 5547
Total Samples: 8876
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.622927
Replacements: 5597
Total Samples: 8985
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.621095
Replacements: 5647
Total Samples: 9092
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.620183
Replacements: 5697
Total Samples: 9186
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.619289
Replacements: 5747
Total Samples: 9280
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.617951
Replacements: 5797
Total Samples: 9381
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.617423
Replacements: 5847
Total Samples: 9470
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.616261
Replacements: 5897
Total Samples: 9569
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.615440
Replacements: 5947
Total Samples: 9663
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.614762
Replacements: 5997
Total Samples: 9755
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.614907
Replacements: 6047
Total Samples: 9834
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.615113
Replacements: 6097
Total Samples: 9912
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.615192
Replacements: 6147
Total Samples: 9992
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.614965
Replacements: 6197
Total Samples: 10077
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.615104
Replacements: 6247
Total Samples: 10156
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.614581
Replacements: 6297
Total Samples: 10246
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.614246
Replacements: 6347
Total Samples: 10333
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.613857
Replacements: 6397
Total Samples: 10421
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.614293
Replacements: 6447
Total Samples: 10495
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.614257
Replacements: 6497
Total Samples: 10577
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.614223
Replacements: 6547
Total Samples: 10659
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.614761
Replacements: 6597
Total Samples: 10731
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.614951
Replacements: 6647
Total Samples: 10809
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.614347
Replacements: 6697
Total Samples: 10901
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.613922
Replacements: 6747
Total Samples: 10990
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.614335
Replacements: 6797
Total Samples: 11064
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.614301
Replacements: 6847
Total Samples: 11146
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.614761
Replacements: 6897
Total Samples: 11219
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.615214
Replacements: 6947
Total Samples: 11292
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.614959
Replacements: 6997
Total Samples: 11378
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.615136
Replacements: 7047
Total Samples: 11456
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.615365
Replacements: 7097
Total Samples: 11533
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.615590
Replacements: 7147
Total Samples: 11610
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.616076
Replacements: 7197
Total Samples: 11682
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.616451
Replacements: 7247
Total Samples: 11756
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.616613
Replacements: 7297
Total Samples: 11834
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.617188
Replacements: 7347
Total Samples: 11904
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.617291
Replacements: 7397
Total Samples: 11983
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.617598
Replacements: 7447
Total Samples: 12058
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.618105
Replacements: 7497
Total Samples: 12129
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.618201
Replacements: 7547
Total Samples: 12208
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.618497
Replacements: 7597
Total Samples: 12283
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.618840
Replacements: 7647
Total Samples: 12357
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.619277
Replacements: 7697
Total Samples: 12429
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.620058
Replacements: 7747
Total Samples: 12494
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.620484
Replacements: 7797
Total Samples: 12566
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.620512
Replacements: 7847
Total Samples: 12646
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.621420
Replacements: 7897
Total Samples: 12708
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.621928
Replacements: 7947
Total Samples: 12778
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.622189
Replacements: 7997
Total Samples: 12853
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.622833
Replacements: 8047
Total Samples: 12920
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.623134
Replacements: 8097
Total Samples: 12994
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.623527
Replacements: 8147
Total Samples: 13066
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.624105
Replacements: 8197
Total Samples: 13134
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.624536
Replacements: 8247
Total Samples: 13205
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.625057
Replacements: 8297
Total Samples: 13274
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.625853
Replacements: 8347
Total Samples: 13337
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.625988
Replacements: 8397
Total Samples: 13414
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.626865
Replacements: 8447
Total Samples: 13475
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.627662
Replacements: 8518
Total Samples: 13571
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.629005
Replacements: 8618
Total Samples: 13701
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.629458
Replacements: 8718
Total Samples: 13850
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.630217
Replacements: 8818
Total Samples: 13992
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.631148
Replacements: 8944
Total Samples: 14171
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463420
Acceptance Rate: 0.632582
Replacements: 9094
Total Samples: 14376
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463419
Acceptance Rate: 0.633498
Replacements: 9244
Total Samples: 14592
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.463406
Acceptance Rate: 0.634567
Replacements: 9377
Total Samples: 14777
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1970.452979
Acceptance Rate: 0.634886
Replacements: 9529
Total Samples: 15009
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147687
Acceptance Rate: 0.635191
Replacements: 9606
Total Samples: 15123
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147687
Acceptance Rate: 0.635765
Replacements: 9656
Total Samples: 15188
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147687
Acceptance Rate: 0.636000
Replacements: 9706
Total Samples: 15261
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147687
Acceptance Rate: 0.636565
Replacements: 9756
Total Samples: 15326
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147687
Acceptance Rate: 0.637043
Replacements: 9806
Total Samples: 15393
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147687
Acceptance Rate: 0.637516
Replacements: 9856
Total Samples: 15460
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147687
Acceptance Rate: 0.637862
Replacements: 9906
Total Samples: 15530
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147686
Acceptance Rate: 0.638451
Replacements: 9956
Total Samples: 15594
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147686
Acceptance Rate: 0.638994
Replacements: 10006
Total Samples: 15659
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147686
Acceptance Rate: 0.639573
Replacements: 10056
Total Samples: 15723
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147686
Acceptance Rate: 0.639823
Replacements: 10106
Total Samples: 15795
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147686
Acceptance Rate: 0.639990
Replacements: 10156
Total Samples: 15869
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147685
Acceptance Rate: 0.640437
Replacements: 10206
Total Samples: 15936
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147685
Acceptance Rate: 0.640680
Replacements: 10256
Total Samples: 16008
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147684
Acceptance Rate: 0.640920
Replacements: 10306
Total Samples: 16080
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147683
Acceptance Rate: 0.641238
Replacements: 10356
Total Samples: 16150
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147682
Acceptance Rate: 0.641751
Replacements: 10406
Total Samples: 16215
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147680
Acceptance Rate: 0.641984
Replacements: 10456
Total Samples: 16287
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147678
Acceptance Rate: 0.642569
Replacements: 10506
Total Samples: 16350
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147675
Acceptance Rate: 0.643110
Replacements: 10556
Total Samples: 16414
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147672
Acceptance Rate: 0.643490
Replacements: 10606
Total Samples: 16482
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147669
Acceptance Rate: 0.643595
Replacements: 10656
Total Samples: 16557
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147665
Acceptance Rate: 0.643738
Replacements: 10706
Total Samples: 16631
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147660
Acceptance Rate: 0.643995
Replacements: 10756
Total Samples: 16702
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147654
Acceptance Rate: 0.644442
Replacements: 10806
Total Samples: 16768
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147647
Acceptance Rate: 0.644388
Replacements: 10856
Total Samples: 16847
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147638
Acceptance Rate: 0.644525
Replacements: 10906
Total Samples: 16921
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147629
Acceptance Rate: 0.644850
Replacements: 10956
Total Samples: 16990
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147619
Acceptance Rate: 0.644946
Replacements: 11006
Total Samples: 17065
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147608
Acceptance Rate: 0.645154
Replacements: 11056
Total Samples: 17137
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147597
Acceptance Rate: 0.645510
Replacements: 11106
Total Samples: 17205
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147585
Acceptance Rate: 0.645677
Replacements: 11156
Total Samples: 17278
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147573
Acceptance Rate: 0.646177
Replacements: 11206
Total Samples: 17342
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147560
Acceptance Rate: 0.646822
Replacements: 11256
Total Samples: 17402
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147547
Acceptance Rate: 0.646796
Replacements: 11306
Total Samples: 17480
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147535
Acceptance Rate: 0.646697
Replacements: 11356
Total Samples: 17560
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147522
Acceptance Rate: 0.647076
Replacements: 11406
Total Samples: 17627
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147510
Acceptance Rate: 0.647341
Replacements: 11456
Total Samples: 17697
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147497
Acceptance Rate: 0.647714
Replacements: 11506
Total Samples: 17764
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147485
Acceptance Rate: 0.648048
Replacements: 11556
Total Samples: 17832
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147473
Acceptance Rate: 0.648489
Replacements: 11606
Total Samples: 17897
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147461
Acceptance Rate: 0.648889
Replacements: 11656
Total Samples: 17963
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147449
Acceptance Rate: 0.648819
Replacements: 11706
Total Samples: 18042
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147438
Acceptance Rate: 0.648965
Replacements: 11756
Total Samples: 18115
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147427
Acceptance Rate: 0.649109
Replacements: 11806
Total Samples: 18188
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147416
Acceptance Rate: 0.649430
Replacements: 11856
Total Samples: 18256
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147405
Acceptance Rate: 0.649501
Replacements: 11906
Total Samples: 18331
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147394
Acceptance Rate: 0.649783
Replacements: 11956
Total Samples: 18400
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147384
Acceptance Rate: 0.650027
Replacements: 12006
Total Samples: 18470
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147374
Acceptance Rate: 0.650515
Replacements: 12056
Total Samples: 18533
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147363
Acceptance Rate: 0.650965
Replacements: 12106
Total Samples: 18597
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147353
Acceptance Rate: 0.651482
Replacements: 12156
Total Samples: 18659
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147343
Acceptance Rate: 0.652134
Replacements: 12206
Total Samples: 18717
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147333
Acceptance Rate: 0.652123
Replacements: 12256
Total Samples: 18794
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147323
Acceptance Rate: 0.652423
Replacements: 12306
Total Samples: 18862
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147314
Acceptance Rate: 0.652927
Replacements: 12356
Total Samples: 18924
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147305
Acceptance Rate: 0.653394
Replacements: 12406
Total Samples: 18987
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147296
Acceptance Rate: 0.653618
Replacements: 12456
Total Samples: 19057
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147288
Acceptance Rate: 0.653943
Replacements: 12506
Total Samples: 19124
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147280
Acceptance Rate: 0.654055
Replacements: 12516
Total Samples: 19136
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1964.147279
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -1963.8242996309289 +/- 0.23804875054978894
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 19136
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (1.7581 -0.0033 +0.005) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | -1.1046 -0.0022 +0.0009 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (3.184 -0.11 -0.018) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -1.948 -0.012 +0.023 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval7 | -649.730509 |
| n4_interval7 | -650.740640 |
| b0_interval7 | -663.402645 |
| total | -1963.873794 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 3935.860903 |
| BIC | 3951.269721 |
| DIC | 3890.311344 |
| PDIC | 0.097808 |
| log(Z) | -852.878057 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 1.000000
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 550
Nested Sampling ln(Z): **************
Acceptance Rate: 0.986842
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 608
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -16360.136784
Acceptance Rate: 0.971599
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 669
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3551.417532
Acceptance Rate: 0.939597
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 745
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3550.442140
Acceptance Rate: 0.909091
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 825
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3549.995083
Acceptance Rate: 0.884956
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 904
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3549.712692
Acceptance Rate: 0.870010
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 977
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3549.511474
Acceptance Rate: 0.856327
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1051
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3549.358153
Acceptance Rate: 0.839223
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1132
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3549.235388
Acceptance Rate: 0.814332
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1228
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3549.131453
Acceptance Rate: 0.802139
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1309
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3549.038227
Acceptance Rate: 0.793651
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1386
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3548.942199
Acceptance Rate: 0.778078
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1478
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3548.802491
Acceptance Rate: 0.768246
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1562
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3548.463734
Acceptance Rate: 0.761267
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1642
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3546.578643
Acceptance Rate: 0.754936
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1722
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3542.708164
Acceptance Rate: 0.749584
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1801
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3534.934826
Acceptance Rate: 0.745474
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1878
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3525.992259
Acceptance Rate: 0.741309
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1956
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3512.211194
Acceptance Rate: 0.736016
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 2038
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3493.591493
Acceptance Rate: 0.729412
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2125
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3474.120855
Acceptance Rate: 0.724310
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2209
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3451.966638
Acceptance Rate: 0.720524
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2290
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3419.002414
Acceptance Rate: 0.716695
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2372
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3387.482648
Acceptance Rate: 0.713994
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2451
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3350.876382
Acceptance Rate: 0.710620
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2533
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3302.235389
Acceptance Rate: 0.708812
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2610
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3256.671971
Acceptance Rate: 0.705795
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2692
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3210.778002
Acceptance Rate: 0.704734
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2767
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3175.402890
Acceptance Rate: 0.700035
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2857
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3129.103568
Acceptance Rate: 0.697754
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2938
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3093.802838
Acceptance Rate: 0.696517
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 3015
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3052.696720
Acceptance Rate: 0.693996
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 3098
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -3009.553054
Acceptance Rate: 0.693787
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3171
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2968.377764
Acceptance Rate: 0.694230
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3241
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2934.359551
Acceptance Rate: 0.692354
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3322
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2902.748656
Acceptance Rate: 0.691380
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3399
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2865.223050
Acceptance Rate: 0.691244
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3472
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2832.023799
Acceptance Rate: 0.686467
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3569
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2796.156089
Acceptance Rate: 0.684556
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3652
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2766.672358
Acceptance Rate: 0.683280
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3732
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2736.953700
Acceptance Rate: 0.681163
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3817
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2719.876852
Acceptance Rate: 0.678965
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3903
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2692.068685
Acceptance Rate: 0.675169
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 3999
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2660.780424
Acceptance Rate: 0.672207
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 4091
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2643.514902
Acceptance Rate: 0.668258
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4190
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2622.696729
Acceptance Rate: 0.666823
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4274
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2603.214295
Acceptance Rate: 0.664833
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4362
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2585.457794
Acceptance Rate: 0.663816
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4444
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2566.612411
Acceptance Rate: 0.661230
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4537
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2545.704227
Acceptance Rate: 0.659887
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4622
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2530.096704
Acceptance Rate: 0.658454
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4708
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2517.466366
Acceptance Rate: 0.656387
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4799
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2500.503088
Acceptance Rate: 0.656680
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4873
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2487.812895
Acceptance Rate: 0.655110
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 4961
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2471.178338
Acceptance Rate: 0.653724
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 5048
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2458.848891
Acceptance Rate: 0.651751
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5140
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2446.385575
Acceptance Rate: 0.651092
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5222
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2436.090671
Acceptance Rate: 0.651066
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5299
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2424.976184
Acceptance Rate: 0.650074
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5384
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2413.311937
Acceptance Rate: 0.648047
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5478
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2404.075458
Acceptance Rate: 0.646900
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5565
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2395.036631
Acceptance Rate: 0.646246
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5648
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2388.379172
Acceptance Rate: 0.644263
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5743
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2380.039431
Acceptance Rate: 0.644662
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 5817
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2372.165824
Acceptance Rate: 0.643413
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 5906
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2363.552377
Acceptance Rate: 0.642738
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 5990
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2357.236645
Acceptance Rate: 0.641342
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 6081
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2350.660252
Acceptance Rate: 0.642068
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6152
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2345.867654
Acceptance Rate: 0.642055
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6230
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2339.010738
Acceptance Rate: 0.640519
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6323
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2333.267875
Acceptance Rate: 0.641026
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6396
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2327.069747
Acceptance Rate: 0.639544
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6489
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2321.924144
Acceptance Rate: 0.637136
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6592
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2318.024690
Acceptance Rate: 0.635847
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 6684
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2313.932233
Acceptance Rate: 0.636001
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 6761
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2309.965836
Acceptance Rate: 0.635593
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 6844
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2305.217524
Acceptance Rate: 0.635930
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 6919
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2301.670895
Acceptance Rate: 0.636806
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 6988
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2297.454962
Acceptance Rate: 0.635324
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 7083
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2294.048920
Acceptance Rate: 0.635031
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7165
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2291.025375
Acceptance Rate: 0.633609
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7260
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2287.981463
Acceptance Rate: 0.633860
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7336
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2285.006841
Acceptance Rate: 0.633936
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7414
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2282.416492
Acceptance Rate: 0.633502
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 7498
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2280.146035
Acceptance Rate: 0.633329
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 7579
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2277.909724
Acceptance Rate: 0.632499
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 7668
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2275.768734
Acceptance Rate: 0.632340
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 7749
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2273.505817
Acceptance Rate: 0.632022
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 7832
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2271.868853
Acceptance Rate: 0.632031
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 7911
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2270.312626
Acceptance Rate: 0.631882
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 7992
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2268.735120
Acceptance Rate: 0.632049
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 8069
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2267.286788
Acceptance Rate: 0.631282
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 8158
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2265.765257
Acceptance Rate: 0.631068
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 8240
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2263.947167
Acceptance Rate: 0.630631
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 8325
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2262.112442
Acceptance Rate: 0.630952
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 8400
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2260.577765
Acceptance Rate: 0.630971
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 8479
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2259.094024
Acceptance Rate: 0.631136
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 8556
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2257.830535
Acceptance Rate: 0.630714
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 8641
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2256.395549
Acceptance Rate: 0.630879
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 8718
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2254.925900
Acceptance Rate: 0.630467
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 8803
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2253.188324
Acceptance Rate: 0.629921
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 8890
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2248.752852
Acceptance Rate: 0.629807
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 8971
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2243.489623
Acceptance Rate: 0.629904
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 9049
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2237.962860
Acceptance Rate: 0.629930
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 9128
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2231.581345
Acceptance Rate: 0.630229
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 9203
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2226.091538
Acceptance Rate: 0.631000
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 9271
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2219.930491
Acceptance Rate: 0.631354
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 9345
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2215.451855
Acceptance Rate: 0.631836
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 9417
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2210.408057
Acceptance Rate: 0.632578
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 9485
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2205.798212
Acceptance Rate: 0.633508
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 9550
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2200.655013
Acceptance Rate: 0.633503
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 9629
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2196.260724
Acceptance Rate: 0.634086
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 9699
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2191.399985
Acceptance Rate: 0.634271
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 9775
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2186.676804
Acceptance Rate: 0.634905
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 9844
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2181.897354
Acceptance Rate: 0.635721
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 9910
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2177.159117
Acceptance Rate: 0.636273
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 9980
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2171.917170
Acceptance Rate: 0.636120
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 10061
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2166.917857
Acceptance Rate: 0.636660
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 10131
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2162.553495
Acceptance Rate: 0.637005
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 10204
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2158.464605
Acceptance Rate: 0.637470
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 10275
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2154.651915
Acceptance Rate: 0.638051
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 10344
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2151.054943
Acceptance Rate: 0.637890
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 10425
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2147.242815
Acceptance Rate: 0.637124
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 10516
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2144.422168
Acceptance Rate: 0.637273
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 10592
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2140.845150
Acceptance Rate: 0.637659
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 10664
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2137.689857
Acceptance Rate: 0.638635
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 10726
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2134.940744
Acceptance Rate: 0.639244
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 10794
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2131.478857
Acceptance Rate: 0.639610
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 10866
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2128.328686
Acceptance Rate: 0.639912
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 10939
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2124.185392
Acceptance Rate: 0.640909
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 11000
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2120.639273
Acceptance Rate: 0.641779
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 11063
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2117.553335
Acceptance Rate: 0.642292
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 11132
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2114.460729
Acceptance Rate: 0.642570
Replacements: 7200
Total Samples: 11205
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2111.568727
Acceptance Rate: 0.642275
Replacements: 7250
Total Samples: 11288
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2108.392198
Acceptance Rate: 0.642436
Replacements: 7300
Total Samples: 11363
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2105.684339
Acceptance Rate: 0.642258
Replacements: 7350
Total Samples: 11444
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2102.703594
Acceptance Rate: 0.642250
Replacements: 7400
Total Samples: 11522
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2100.395041
Acceptance Rate: 0.642297
Replacements: 7450
Total Samples: 11599
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2097.883550
Acceptance Rate: 0.642343
Replacements: 7500
Total Samples: 11676
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2095.724104
Acceptance Rate: 0.641625
Replacements: 7550
Total Samples: 11767
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2093.651056
Acceptance Rate: 0.641458
Replacements: 7600
Total Samples: 11848
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2091.736358
Acceptance Rate: 0.641832
Replacements: 7650
Total Samples: 11919
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2089.943359
Acceptance Rate: 0.641827
Replacements: 7700
Total Samples: 11997
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2088.322049
Acceptance Rate: 0.641716
Replacements: 7750
Total Samples: 12077
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2086.986046
Acceptance Rate: 0.641658
Replacements: 7800
Total Samples: 12156
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2085.737281
Acceptance Rate: 0.640869
Replacements: 7850
Total Samples: 12249
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2084.593791
Acceptance Rate: 0.640039
Replacements: 7900
Total Samples: 12343
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2083.593023
Acceptance Rate: 0.638862
Replacements: 7950
Total Samples: 12444
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2082.624141
Acceptance Rate: 0.639080
Replacements: 8000
Total Samples: 12518
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2081.663427
Acceptance Rate: 0.639092
Replacements: 8050
Total Samples: 12596
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2080.567842
Acceptance Rate: 0.638902
Replacements: 8100
Total Samples: 12678
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2079.403232
Acceptance Rate: 0.638465
Replacements: 8150
Total Samples: 12765
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2078.394711
Acceptance Rate: 0.638331
Replacements: 8200
Total Samples: 12846
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2077.512985
Acceptance Rate: 0.638397
Replacements: 8250
Total Samples: 12923
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2076.668663
Acceptance Rate: 0.638462
Replacements: 8300
Total Samples: 13000
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2075.904435
Acceptance Rate: 0.638379
Replacements: 8350
Total Samples: 13080
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2075.143654
Acceptance Rate: 0.637813
Replacements: 8400
Total Samples: 13170
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2074.427800
Acceptance Rate: 0.638314
Replacements: 8450
Total Samples: 13238
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2073.687258
Acceptance Rate: 0.637659
Replacements: 8500
Total Samples: 13330
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2072.958619
Acceptance Rate: 0.637251
Replacements: 8550
Total Samples: 13417
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2072.318711
Acceptance Rate: 0.637273
Replacements: 8600
Total Samples: 13495
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2071.714043
Acceptance Rate: 0.636966
Replacements: 8650
Total Samples: 13580
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2071.166044
Acceptance Rate: 0.636989
Replacements: 8700
Total Samples: 13658
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2070.679339
Acceptance Rate: 0.636873
Replacements: 8750
Total Samples: 13739
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2070.221959
Acceptance Rate: 0.636804
Replacements: 8800
Total Samples: 13819
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2069.802743
Acceptance Rate: 0.636370
Replacements: 8850
Total Samples: 13907
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2069.418885
Acceptance Rate: 0.636032
Replacements: 8900
Total Samples: 13993
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2069.028286
Acceptance Rate: 0.635879
Replacements: 8950
Total Samples: 14075
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2068.659576
Acceptance Rate: 0.636582
Replacements: 9000
Total Samples: 14138
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2068.297891
Acceptance Rate: 0.636875
Replacements: 9050
Total Samples: 14210
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2067.958580
Acceptance Rate: 0.636675
Replacements: 9100
Total Samples: 14293
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2067.614805
Acceptance Rate: 0.636743
Replacements: 9150
Total Samples: 14370
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2067.267998
Acceptance Rate: 0.636546
Replacements: 9200
Total Samples: 14453
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2066.922297
Acceptance Rate: 0.636614
Replacements: 9250
Total Samples: 14530
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2066.609380
Acceptance Rate: 0.636594
Replacements: 9300
Total Samples: 14609
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2066.317879
Acceptance Rate: 0.637008
Replacements: 9350
Total Samples: 14678
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2066.037542
Acceptance Rate: 0.637331
Replacements: 9400
Total Samples: 14749
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2065.747634
Acceptance Rate: 0.637437
Replacements: 9450
Total Samples: 14825
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2065.466699
Acceptance Rate: 0.637712
Replacements: 9500
Total Samples: 14897
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2065.203533
Acceptance Rate: 0.638028
Replacements: 9550
Total Samples: 14968
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2064.956289
Acceptance Rate: 0.638213
Replacements: 9600
Total Samples: 15042
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2064.721037
Acceptance Rate: 0.638312
Replacements: 9650
Total Samples: 15118
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2064.507363
Acceptance Rate: 0.637780
Replacements: 9700
Total Samples: 15209
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2064.311594
Acceptance Rate: 0.637880
Replacements: 9750
Total Samples: 15285
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2064.125511
Acceptance Rate: 0.638312
Replacements: 9800
Total Samples: 15353
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2063.953036
Acceptance Rate: 0.638491
Replacements: 9850
Total Samples: 15427
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2063.790950
Acceptance Rate: 0.638875
Replacements: 9900
Total Samples: 15496
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2063.643517
Acceptance Rate: 0.639460
Replacements: 9950
Total Samples: 15560
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2063.508382
Acceptance Rate: 0.639468
Replacements: 10000
Total Samples: 15638
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2063.378934
Acceptance Rate: 0.639761
Replacements: 10050
Total Samples: 15709
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2063.254621
Acceptance Rate: 0.640294
Replacements: 10100
Total Samples: 15774
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2063.134344
Acceptance Rate: 0.640823
Replacements: 10150
Total Samples: 15839
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2063.017295
Acceptance Rate: 0.640905
Replacements: 10200
Total Samples: 15915
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2062.905449
Acceptance Rate: 0.641347
Replacements: 10250
Total Samples: 15982
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2062.797393
Acceptance Rate: 0.641465
Replacements: 10300
Total Samples: 16057
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2062.692788
Acceptance Rate: 0.641701
Replacements: 10350
Total Samples: 16129
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2062.588615
Acceptance Rate: 0.641658
Replacements: 10400
Total Samples: 16208
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2062.489285
Acceptance Rate: 0.641813
Replacements: 10450
Total Samples: 16282
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2062.394288
Acceptance Rate: 0.642202
Replacements: 10500
Total Samples: 16350
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2062.304675
Acceptance Rate: 0.642701
Replacements: 10566
Total Samples: 16440
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2062.191223
Acceptance Rate: 0.642879
Replacements: 10666
Total Samples: 16591
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2062.030497
Acceptance Rate: 0.642095
Replacements: 10766
Total Samples: 16767
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2061.882444
Acceptance Rate: 0.642882
Replacements: 10866
Total Samples: 16902
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2061.751879
Acceptance Rate: 0.643771
Replacements: 10966
Total Samples: 17034
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2061.638041
Acceptance Rate: 0.644271
Replacements: 11066
Total Samples: 17176
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2061.535206
Acceptance Rate: 0.644949
Replacements: 11166
Total Samples: 17313
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2061.444281
Acceptance Rate: 0.645025
Replacements: 11266
Total Samples: 17466
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2061.366241
Acceptance Rate: 0.645136
Replacements: 11366
Total Samples: 17618
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2061.298952
Acceptance Rate: 0.645251
Replacements: 11419
Total Samples: 17697
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2061.262501
Acceptance Rate: 0.645450
Replacements: 11469
Total Samples: 17769
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2061.230712
Acceptance Rate: 0.645937
Replacements: 11519
Total Samples: 17833
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2061.202353
Acceptance Rate: 0.646024
Replacements: 11569
Total Samples: 17908
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2061.176444
Acceptance Rate: 0.646326
Replacements: 11619
Total Samples: 17977
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2061.152626
Acceptance Rate: 0.646697
Replacements: 11669
Total Samples: 18044
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2061.130622
Acceptance Rate: 0.647065
Replacements: 11719
Total Samples: 18111
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2061.110394
Acceptance Rate: 0.647075
Replacements: 11769
Total Samples: 18188
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2061.091871
Acceptance Rate: 0.647085
Replacements: 11797
Total Samples: 18231
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2061.082250
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -2060.8546323958744 +/- 0.19661325935403867
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 18231
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (1.86 -0.21 +0.19) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | (-7.0 -1.3 +0.5) x 10^-1 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (2.77 -0.30 +0.33) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -1.998 +0.023 +0.13 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval8 | -700.116855 |
| n4_interval8 | -665.682593 |
| b0_interval8 | -701.527838 |
| total | -2067.327286 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 4142.767886 |
| BIC | 4158.176703 |
| DIC | 4104.626576 |
| PDIC | 2.925291 |
| log(Z) | -895.017795 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.998185
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 551
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -937282.414364
Acceptance Rate: 0.985222
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 609
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -82959.252584
Acceptance Rate: 0.970149
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 670
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2904.632887
Acceptance Rate: 0.945946
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 740
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2106.634121
Acceptance Rate: 0.901442
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 832
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2105.778706
Acceptance Rate: 0.872410
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 917
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2105.359865
Acceptance Rate: 0.847458
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 1003
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2105.090099
Acceptance Rate: 0.818182
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1100
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.896153
Acceptance Rate: 0.793651
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1197
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.747930
Acceptance Rate: 0.788644
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1268
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.630004
Acceptance Rate: 0.784753
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1338
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.533057
Acceptance Rate: 0.779589
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1411
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.450767
Acceptance Rate: 0.770777
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1492
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.377021
Acceptance Rate: 0.764818
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1569
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.305032
Acceptance Rate: 0.762660
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1639
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.221507
Acceptance Rate: 0.757576
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1716
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2104.091997
Acceptance Rate: 0.755034
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1788
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2103.806744
Acceptance Rate: 0.751880
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1862
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2102.798299
Acceptance Rate: 0.745885
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1944
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2100.181814
Acceptance Rate: 0.742207
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 2021
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2095.496561
Acceptance Rate: 0.741627
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2090
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2090.432868
Acceptance Rate: 0.739372
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2164
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2083.908340
Acceptance Rate: 0.733986
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2248
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2078.276710
Acceptance Rate: 0.733075
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2319
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2071.553124
Acceptance Rate: 0.732218
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2390
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2060.521952
Acceptance Rate: 0.727861
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2473
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2050.082241
Acceptance Rate: 0.725775
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2549
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2041.949714
Acceptance Rate: 0.724638
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2622
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2032.111611
Acceptance Rate: 0.723294
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2696
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2021.150541
Acceptance Rate: 0.718907
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2782
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2013.362196
Acceptance Rate: 0.717787
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2856
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -2002.853022
Acceptance Rate: 0.716968
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 2929
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1993.422376
Acceptance Rate: 0.712865
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 3016
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1985.089435
Acceptance Rate: 0.710136
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3098
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1978.163605
Acceptance Rate: 0.706436
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3185
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1972.440417
Acceptance Rate: 0.701220
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3280
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1966.215592
Acceptance Rate: 0.699197
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3361
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1961.314483
Acceptance Rate: 0.697269
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3442
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1956.155451
Acceptance Rate: 0.696815
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3516
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1951.858105
Acceptance Rate: 0.693289
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3606
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1947.268829
Acceptance Rate: 0.689935
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3696
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1942.860281
Acceptance Rate: 0.686922
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3785
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1938.642578
Acceptance Rate: 0.684578
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3871
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1935.216129
Acceptance Rate: 0.683717
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 3949
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1931.401763
Acceptance Rate: 0.681537
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 4035
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1927.701074
Acceptance Rate: 0.680603
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4114
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1924.168273
Acceptance Rate: 0.676960
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4210
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1921.150645
Acceptance Rate: 0.673322
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4307
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1918.204629
Acceptance Rate: 0.673670
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4379
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1916.355929
Acceptance Rate: 0.672194
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4463
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1914.325479
Acceptance Rate: 0.670330
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4550
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1912.033312
Acceptance Rate: 0.669981
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4627
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1909.892599
Acceptance Rate: 0.669216
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4707
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1907.541585
Acceptance Rate: 0.665557
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4808
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1905.599672
Acceptance Rate: 0.665302
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 4885
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1904.041818
Acceptance Rate: 0.663583
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 4973
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1902.535840
Acceptance Rate: 0.661141
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5067
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1901.075751
Acceptance Rate: 0.658149
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5166
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1899.889364
Acceptance Rate: 0.655644
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5262
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1898.587228
Acceptance Rate: 0.651769
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5370
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1897.424899
Acceptance Rate: 0.651735
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5447
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1896.421914
Acceptance Rate: 0.650759
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5532
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1895.479433
Acceptance Rate: 0.648197
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5631
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1894.589079
Acceptance Rate: 0.645386
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5733
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1893.781671
Acceptance Rate: 0.643445
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 5828
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1893.058543
Acceptance Rate: 0.639623
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 5941
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1892.419732
Acceptance Rate: 0.639216
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 6023
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1891.807003
Acceptance Rate: 0.638402
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 6109
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1891.215505
Acceptance Rate: 0.635764
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6213
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1890.683641
Acceptance Rate: 0.634115
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6308
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1890.215342
Acceptance Rate: 0.632121
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6407
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1889.763420
Acceptance Rate: 0.629027
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6518
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1889.341554
Acceptance Rate: 0.628312
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6605
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1888.959405
Acceptance Rate: 0.627053
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6698
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1888.552800
Acceptance Rate: 0.625644
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 6793
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1888.160739
Acceptance Rate: 0.621477
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 6919
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1887.800296
Acceptance Rate: 0.619835
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 7018
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1887.485719
Acceptance Rate: 0.616246
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 7140
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1887.196619
Acceptance Rate: 0.614811
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 7238
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1886.918343
Acceptance Rate: 0.612412
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 7348
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1886.660629
Acceptance Rate: 0.609593
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7464
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1886.428086
Acceptance Rate: 0.608546
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7559
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1886.222206
Acceptance Rate: 0.607050
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7660
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1886.031133
Acceptance Rate: 0.605358
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7764
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1885.850436
Acceptance Rate: 0.603481
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 7871
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1885.680138
Acceptance Rate: 0.601805
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 7976
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1885.510566
Acceptance Rate: 0.600173
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 8081
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1885.344651
Acceptance Rate: 0.599462
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 8174
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1885.158918
Acceptance Rate: 0.598332
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 8273
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1884.937516
Acceptance Rate: 0.597729
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 8365
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1884.668868
Acceptance Rate: 0.595800
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 8476
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1884.386723
Acceptance Rate: 0.595516
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 8564
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1884.078788
Acceptance Rate: 0.595169
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 8653
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1883.749474
Acceptance Rate: 0.593540
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 8761
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1883.424340
Acceptance Rate: 0.592551
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 8860
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1883.096925
Acceptance Rate: 0.591188
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 8965
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1882.773921
Acceptance Rate: 0.589987
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 9068
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1882.479570
Acceptance Rate: 0.589906
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 9154
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1882.201646
Acceptance Rate: 0.589189
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 9250
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1881.940626
Acceptance Rate: 0.588991
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 9338
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1881.691045
Acceptance Rate: 0.587675
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 9444
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1881.462476
Acceptance Rate: 0.585897
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 9558
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1881.246140
Acceptance Rate: 0.584523
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 9666
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1881.046427
Acceptance Rate: 0.583478
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 9769
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1880.860498
Acceptance Rate: 0.582987
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 9863
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1880.692553
Acceptance Rate: 0.581862
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 9968
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1880.537669
Acceptance Rate: 0.580300
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 10081
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1880.395309
Acceptance Rate: 0.580309
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 10167
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1880.263740
Acceptance Rate: 0.578681
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 10282
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1880.142029
Acceptance Rate: 0.576369
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 10410
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1880.028844
Acceptance Rate: 0.575807
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 10507
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.922488
Acceptance Rate: 0.574010
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 10627
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.823061
Acceptance Rate: 0.573694
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 10720
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.731078
Acceptance Rate: 0.572325
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 10833
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.647646
Acceptance Rate: 0.572397
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 10919
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.570661
Acceptance Rate: 0.571584
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 11022
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.498518
Acceptance Rate: 0.570838
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 11124
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.430741
Acceptance Rate: 0.570207
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 11224
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.367923
Acceptance Rate: 0.569486
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 11326
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.310101
Acceptance Rate: 0.567983
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 11444
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.255507
Acceptance Rate: 0.567247
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 11547
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.205045
Acceptance Rate: 0.565262
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 11676
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.157656
Acceptance Rate: 0.565092
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 11768
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.113286
Acceptance Rate: 0.563878
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 11882
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.072187
Acceptance Rate: 0.562969
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 11990
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1879.033588
Acceptance Rate: 0.561612
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 12108
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1878.997544
Acceptance Rate: 0.560098
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 12230
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1878.964299
Acceptance Rate: 0.557261
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 12382
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1878.933140
Acceptance Rate: 0.556356
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 12492
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1878.904048
Acceptance Rate: 0.555291
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 12606
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1878.876808
Acceptance Rate: 0.553375
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 12740
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1878.851448
Acceptance Rate: 0.552271
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 12856
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1878.827993
Acceptance Rate: 0.550720
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 12983
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1878.806263
Acceptance Rate: 0.550720
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 12983
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1878.806263
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -1878.5500054093834 +/- 0.14429001695467084
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 12983
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (1.1 -0.4 +0.9) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | (-8.5 -2.1 +2.7) x 10^-1 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (1.1 -0.4 +0.6) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -1.83 -0.4 +0.09 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval9 | -616.905172 |
| n4_interval9 | -616.135612 |
| b0_interval9 | -648.609621 |
| total | -1881.650405 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 3771.414124 |
| BIC | 3786.822941 |
| DIC | 3716.474409 |
| PDIC | -30.697801 |
| log(Z) | -815.843901 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.998185
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 551
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -257599.887217
Acceptance Rate: 0.991736
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 605
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -15426.059654
Acceptance Rate: 0.978916
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 664
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1800.368844
Acceptance Rate: 0.942127
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 743
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1770.718762
Acceptance Rate: 0.912409
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 822
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1770.074362
Acceptance Rate: 0.898876
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 890
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1769.716803
Acceptance Rate: 0.883576
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 962
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1769.476162
Acceptance Rate: 0.866218
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1039
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1769.299093
Acceptance Rate: 0.850492
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1117
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1769.161506
Acceptance Rate: 0.840336
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1190
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1769.049680
Acceptance Rate: 0.835987
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1256
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1768.954200
Acceptance Rate: 0.824588
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1334
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1768.868417
Acceptance Rate: 0.807584
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1424
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1768.780192
Acceptance Rate: 0.799467
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1501
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1768.656190
Acceptance Rate: 0.788146
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1586
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1768.421917
Acceptance Rate: 0.773810
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1680
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1767.544757
Acceptance Rate: 0.769231
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1755
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1765.654589
Acceptance Rate: 0.765864
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1828
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1762.711219
Acceptance Rate: 0.760357
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1907
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1757.619828
Acceptance Rate: 0.754527
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 1988
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1750.580300
Acceptance Rate: 0.749516
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2068
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1742.551800
Acceptance Rate: 0.746617
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2143
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1730.364546
Acceptance Rate: 0.743243
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2220
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1718.036832
Acceptance Rate: 0.739774
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2298
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1705.409006
Acceptance Rate: 0.735294
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2380
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1689.008184
Acceptance Rate: 0.732303
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2458
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1668.533496
Acceptance Rate: 0.726345
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2547
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1653.219357
Acceptance Rate: 0.721884
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2632
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1637.652571
Acceptance Rate: 0.717439
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2718
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1623.651789
Acceptance Rate: 0.715308
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2796
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1610.176776
Acceptance Rate: 0.707873
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2896
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1596.876982
Acceptance Rate: 0.703753
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 2984
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1584.327984
Acceptance Rate: 0.702155
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 3062
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1570.348338
Acceptance Rate: 0.698413
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3150
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1560.246496
Acceptance Rate: 0.693802
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3243
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1549.036096
Acceptance Rate: 0.693398
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3317
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1537.482228
Acceptance Rate: 0.690162
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3405
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1525.566472
Acceptance Rate: 0.685323
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3502
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1514.374353
Acceptance Rate: 0.680556
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3600
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1504.685702
Acceptance Rate: 0.677323
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3691
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1493.685439
Acceptance Rate: 0.673890
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3784
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1485.892458
Acceptance Rate: 0.672704
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3865
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1477.832768
Acceptance Rate: 0.668854
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3962
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1469.248078
Acceptance Rate: 0.665025
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 4060
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1461.972465
Acceptance Rate: 0.662491
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 4151
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1457.227406
Acceptance Rate: 0.658049
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 4255
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1450.858656
Acceptance Rate: 0.657895
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4332
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1445.576405
Acceptance Rate: 0.655071
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4427
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1440.764709
Acceptance Rate: 0.654537
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4507
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1435.595701
Acceptance Rate: 0.653737
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4589
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1431.415825
Acceptance Rate: 0.652546
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4674
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1427.601818
Acceptance Rate: 0.649623
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4772
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1423.226920
Acceptance Rate: 0.645095
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4883
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1419.794906
Acceptance Rate: 0.643993
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4969
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1416.489113
Acceptance Rate: 0.639260
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 5084
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1412.597769
Acceptance Rate: 0.636451
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 5185
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1409.697950
Acceptance Rate: 0.633989
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 5284
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1406.770141
Acceptance Rate: 0.630330
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5394
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1403.287542
Acceptance Rate: 0.627159
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5501
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1400.463176
Acceptance Rate: 0.624554
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5604
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1397.893520
Acceptance Rate: 0.622043
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5707
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1395.553523
Acceptance Rate: 0.620797
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5799
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1393.326399
Acceptance Rate: 0.619169
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5895
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1391.336198
Acceptance Rate: 0.618212
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5985
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1389.690924
Acceptance Rate: 0.616371
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 6084
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1388.236447
Acceptance Rate: 0.615883
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 6170
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1386.640058
Acceptance Rate: 0.614525
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 6265
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1384.960666
Acceptance Rate: 0.612726
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 6365
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1383.354068
Acceptance Rate: 0.610416
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6471
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1382.009650
Acceptance Rate: 0.609477
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6563
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1380.777914
Acceptance Rate: 0.609389
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6646
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1379.613179
Acceptance Rate: 0.609122
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6731
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1378.532061
Acceptance Rate: 0.606991
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6837
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1377.496652
Acceptance Rate: 0.605100
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6941
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1376.415020
Acceptance Rate: 0.603522
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 7042
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1375.397897
Acceptance Rate: 0.601988
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 7143
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1374.425387
Acceptance Rate: 0.600497
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 7244
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1373.513308
Acceptance Rate: 0.599292
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 7342
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1372.686155
Acceptance Rate: 0.597877
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 7443
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1371.913191
Acceptance Rate: 0.597213
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 7535
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1371.171941
Acceptance Rate: 0.596800
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7624
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1370.450408
Acceptance Rate: 0.596783
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7708
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1369.789320
Acceptance Rate: 0.595543
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7808
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1369.195214
Acceptance Rate: 0.594410
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7907
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1368.656622
Acceptance Rate: 0.594121
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 7995
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1368.141377
Acceptance Rate: 0.593839
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 8083
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1367.657853
Acceptance Rate: 0.593055
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 8178
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1367.132321
Acceptance Rate: 0.591859
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 8279
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1366.616114
Acceptance Rate: 0.590833
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 8378
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1366.092629
Acceptance Rate: 0.589136
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 8487
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1365.470121
Acceptance Rate: 0.587483
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 8596
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1364.468394
Acceptance Rate: 0.586814
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 8691
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1362.912478
Acceptance Rate: 0.585826
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 8791
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1361.107825
Acceptance Rate: 0.584664
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 8894
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1359.286001
Acceptance Rate: 0.584567
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 8981
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1357.489594
Acceptance Rate: 0.583636
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 9081
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1355.443983
Acceptance Rate: 0.582789
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 9180
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1353.579817
Acceptance Rate: 0.582650
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 9268
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1351.780663
Acceptance Rate: 0.583137
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 9346
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1350.456100
Acceptance Rate: 0.583616
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 9424
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1348.648065
Acceptance Rate: 0.584272
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 9499
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1347.099662
Acceptance Rate: 0.584368
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 9583
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1345.681124
Acceptance Rate: 0.583798
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 9678
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1344.189313
Acceptance Rate: 0.582762
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 9781
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1342.746487
Acceptance Rate: 0.582278
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 9875
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1341.600426
Acceptance Rate: 0.581395
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 9976
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1340.489350
Acceptance Rate: 0.580645
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 10075
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1339.432273
Acceptance Rate: 0.580652
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 10161
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1338.430718
Acceptance Rate: 0.580658
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 10247
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1337.455431
Acceptance Rate: 0.581508
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 10318
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1336.533201
Acceptance Rate: 0.581060
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 10412
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1335.698583
Acceptance Rate: 0.580289
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 10512
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1334.914857
Acceptance Rate: 0.580189
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 10600
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1334.140888
Acceptance Rate: 0.579493
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 10699
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1333.480056
Acceptance Rate: 0.579777
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 10780
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1332.853245
Acceptance Rate: 0.579737
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 10867
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1332.253652
Acceptance Rate: 0.580227
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 10944
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1331.624474
Acceptance Rate: 0.580131
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 11032
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1331.032013
Acceptance Rate: 0.580454
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 11112
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1330.491989
Acceptance Rate: 0.580668
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 11194
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1329.975350
Acceptance Rate: 0.581034
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 11273
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1329.476390
Acceptance Rate: 0.581139
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 11357
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1329.033416
Acceptance Rate: 0.580330
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 11459
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1328.599044
Acceptance Rate: 0.579886
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 11554
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1328.164852
Acceptance Rate: 0.579548
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 11647
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1327.729974
Acceptance Rate: 0.579315
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 11738
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1327.332518
Acceptance Rate: 0.578743
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 11836
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1326.932037
Acceptance Rate: 0.578374
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 11930
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1326.555159
Acceptance Rate: 0.578395
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 12016
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1326.213745
Acceptance Rate: 0.578321
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 12104
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1325.905520
Acceptance Rate: 0.578201
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 12193
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1325.625093
Acceptance Rate: 0.577941
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 12285
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1325.357098
Acceptance Rate: 0.577405
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 12383
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1325.115382
Acceptance Rate: 0.577201
Replacements: 7200
Total Samples: 12474
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1324.891751
Acceptance Rate: 0.576954
Replacements: 7250
Total Samples: 12566
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1324.680995
Acceptance Rate: 0.576756
Replacements: 7300
Total Samples: 12657
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1324.492185
Acceptance Rate: 0.576199
Replacements: 7350
Total Samples: 12756
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1324.313336
Acceptance Rate: 0.575920
Replacements: 7400
Total Samples: 12849
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1324.151248
Acceptance Rate: 0.575779
Replacements: 7450
Total Samples: 12939
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.996476
Acceptance Rate: 0.575772
Replacements: 7500
Total Samples: 13026
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.851181
Acceptance Rate: 0.575063
Replacements: 7550
Total Samples: 13129
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.712962
Acceptance Rate: 0.574843
Replacements: 7600
Total Samples: 13221
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.580256
Acceptance Rate: 0.574066
Replacements: 7650
Total Samples: 13326
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.453514
Acceptance Rate: 0.573770
Replacements: 7700
Total Samples: 13420
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.337160
Acceptance Rate: 0.573479
Replacements: 7750
Total Samples: 13514
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.228949
Acceptance Rate: 0.573319
Replacements: 7800
Total Samples: 13605
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.130167
Acceptance Rate: 0.572825
Replacements: 7850
Total Samples: 13704
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1323.037202
Acceptance Rate: 0.573045
Replacements: 7900
Total Samples: 13786
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.950812
Acceptance Rate: 0.573056
Replacements: 7950
Total Samples: 13873
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.869130
Acceptance Rate: 0.571878
Replacements: 8000
Total Samples: 13989
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.792551
Acceptance Rate: 0.571895
Replacements: 8050
Total Samples: 14076
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.720572
Acceptance Rate: 0.572074
Replacements: 8100
Total Samples: 14159
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.653737
Acceptance Rate: 0.571088
Replacements: 8150
Total Samples: 14271
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.591650
Acceptance Rate: 0.570276
Replacements: 8200
Total Samples: 14379
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.534287
Acceptance Rate: 0.570106
Replacements: 8250
Total Samples: 14471
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.481089
Acceptance Rate: 0.568883
Replacements: 8300
Total Samples: 14590
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.431315
Acceptance Rate: 0.567795
Replacements: 8350
Total Samples: 14706
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.385529
Acceptance Rate: 0.566802
Replacements: 8400
Total Samples: 14820
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.343268
Acceptance Rate: 0.565709
Replacements: 8450
Total Samples: 14937
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.304322
Acceptance Rate: 0.564072
Replacements: 8500
Total Samples: 15069
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.268689
Acceptance Rate: 0.563204
Replacements: 8550
Total Samples: 15181
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.235597
Acceptance Rate: 0.562680
Replacements: 8600
Total Samples: 15284
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.204877
Acceptance Rate: 0.562017
Replacements: 8650
Total Samples: 15391
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.176585
Acceptance Rate: 0.561544
Replacements: 8700
Total Samples: 15493
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.150523
Acceptance Rate: 0.561247
Replacements: 8733
Total Samples: 15560
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -1322.134516
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -1321.8656312052128 +/- 0.16589195587632252
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 15560
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (2.1 +/- 0.4) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | (-7.3 -1.5 +1.2) x 10^-1 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (2.15 -0.34 +0.8) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -1.95 -0.5 +0.08 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval10 | -437.746802 |
| n4_interval10 | -433.085149 |
| b0_interval10 | -460.835591 |
| total | -1331.667541 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 2671.448397 |
| BIC | 2686.857214 |
| DIC | 2634.883106 |
| PDIC | 1.068774 |
| log(Z) | -574.078949 |
*****************************************************
MultiNest v3.10
Copyright Farhan Feroz & Mike Hobson
Release Jul 2015
no. of live points = 500
dimensionality = 4
*****************************************************
Starting MultiNest
generating live points
live points generated, starting sampling
Acceptance Rate: 0.990991
Replacements: 550
Total Samples: 555
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -212765.751531
Acceptance Rate: 0.978793
Replacements: 600
Total Samples: 613
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -5328.583791
Acceptance Rate: 0.965825
Replacements: 650
Total Samples: 673
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -909.101010
Acceptance Rate: 0.949796
Replacements: 700
Total Samples: 737
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -906.278864
Acceptance Rate: 0.920245
Replacements: 750
Total Samples: 815
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -905.663127
Acceptance Rate: 0.909091
Replacements: 800
Total Samples: 880
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -905.315284
Acceptance Rate: 0.889121
Replacements: 850
Total Samples: 956
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -905.079541
Acceptance Rate: 0.862895
Replacements: 900
Total Samples: 1043
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.905526
Acceptance Rate: 0.839965
Replacements: 950
Total Samples: 1131
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.770425
Acceptance Rate: 0.820345
Replacements: 1000
Total Samples: 1219
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.661960
Acceptance Rate: 0.805215
Replacements: 1050
Total Samples: 1304
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.572550
Acceptance Rate: 0.793651
Replacements: 1100
Total Samples: 1386
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.497121
Acceptance Rate: 0.787132
Replacements: 1150
Total Samples: 1461
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.431512
Acceptance Rate: 0.783801
Replacements: 1200
Total Samples: 1531
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.372799
Acceptance Rate: 0.775434
Replacements: 1250
Total Samples: 1612
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.317089
Acceptance Rate: 0.769686
Replacements: 1300
Total Samples: 1689
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.258220
Acceptance Rate: 0.769231
Replacements: 1350
Total Samples: 1755
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.187086
Acceptance Rate: 0.768808
Replacements: 1400
Total Samples: 1821
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -904.066823
Acceptance Rate: 0.765576
Replacements: 1450
Total Samples: 1894
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -903.832029
Acceptance Rate: 0.763359
Replacements: 1500
Total Samples: 1965
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -903.305215
Acceptance Rate: 0.760177
Replacements: 1550
Total Samples: 2039
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -902.116420
Acceptance Rate: 0.758653
Replacements: 1600
Total Samples: 2109
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -900.595712
Acceptance Rate: 0.754113
Replacements: 1650
Total Samples: 2188
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -898.385813
Acceptance Rate: 0.751880
Replacements: 1700
Total Samples: 2261
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -895.861308
Acceptance Rate: 0.749465
Replacements: 1750
Total Samples: 2335
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -892.798512
Acceptance Rate: 0.745959
Replacements: 1800
Total Samples: 2413
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -889.307627
Acceptance Rate: 0.742078
Replacements: 1850
Total Samples: 2493
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -885.633126
Acceptance Rate: 0.741319
Replacements: 1900
Total Samples: 2563
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -881.810476
Acceptance Rate: 0.736405
Replacements: 1950
Total Samples: 2648
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -878.641196
Acceptance Rate: 0.732601
Replacements: 2000
Total Samples: 2730
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -876.030987
Acceptance Rate: 0.730057
Replacements: 2050
Total Samples: 2808
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -873.738743
Acceptance Rate: 0.727903
Replacements: 2100
Total Samples: 2885
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -871.061923
Acceptance Rate: 0.726842
Replacements: 2150
Total Samples: 2958
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -868.712704
Acceptance Rate: 0.720131
Replacements: 2200
Total Samples: 3055
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -866.132328
Acceptance Rate: 0.718620
Replacements: 2250
Total Samples: 3131
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -863.669742
Acceptance Rate: 0.716511
Replacements: 2300
Total Samples: 3210
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -861.042419
Acceptance Rate: 0.714503
Replacements: 2350
Total Samples: 3289
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -858.998889
Acceptance Rate: 0.714073
Replacements: 2400
Total Samples: 3361
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -856.766232
Acceptance Rate: 0.712831
Replacements: 2450
Total Samples: 3437
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -854.355173
Acceptance Rate: 0.710429
Replacements: 2500
Total Samples: 3519
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -852.221120
Acceptance Rate: 0.710109
Replacements: 2550
Total Samples: 3591
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -850.064460
Acceptance Rate: 0.711160
Replacements: 2600
Total Samples: 3656
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -848.170508
Acceptance Rate: 0.708746
Replacements: 2650
Total Samples: 3739
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -846.367997
Acceptance Rate: 0.707733
Replacements: 2700
Total Samples: 3815
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -844.025370
Acceptance Rate: 0.704947
Replacements: 2750
Total Samples: 3901
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -842.416578
Acceptance Rate: 0.701403
Replacements: 2800
Total Samples: 3992
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -840.943357
Acceptance Rate: 0.697504
Replacements: 2850
Total Samples: 4086
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -839.666204
Acceptance Rate: 0.695277
Replacements: 2900
Total Samples: 4171
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -838.404764
Acceptance Rate: 0.692163
Replacements: 2950
Total Samples: 4262
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -837.243942
Acceptance Rate: 0.689814
Replacements: 3000
Total Samples: 4349
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -836.210617
Acceptance Rate: 0.688643
Replacements: 3050
Total Samples: 4429
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -835.302987
Acceptance Rate: 0.685992
Replacements: 3100
Total Samples: 4519
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -834.399552
Acceptance Rate: 0.682113
Replacements: 3150
Total Samples: 4618
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -833.602886
Acceptance Rate: 0.681141
Replacements: 3200
Total Samples: 4698
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -832.858541
Acceptance Rate: 0.679774
Replacements: 3250
Total Samples: 4781
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -831.949807
Acceptance Rate: 0.678593
Replacements: 3300
Total Samples: 4863
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -831.184755
Acceptance Rate: 0.677041
Replacements: 3350
Total Samples: 4948
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -830.365413
Acceptance Rate: 0.675273
Replacements: 3400
Total Samples: 5035
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -829.630749
Acceptance Rate: 0.674487
Replacements: 3450
Total Samples: 5115
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -828.985970
Acceptance Rate: 0.671270
Replacements: 3500
Total Samples: 5214
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -828.420593
Acceptance Rate: 0.669685
Replacements: 3550
Total Samples: 5301
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -827.887667
Acceptance Rate: 0.667161
Replacements: 3600
Total Samples: 5396
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -827.384139
Acceptance Rate: 0.666302
Replacements: 3650
Total Samples: 5478
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -826.960142
Acceptance Rate: 0.665109
Replacements: 3700
Total Samples: 5563
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -826.557230
Acceptance Rate: 0.661726
Replacements: 3750
Total Samples: 5667
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -826.165829
Acceptance Rate: 0.660295
Replacements: 3800
Total Samples: 5755
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -825.824706
Acceptance Rate: 0.658345
Replacements: 3850
Total Samples: 5848
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -825.501078
Acceptance Rate: 0.653704
Replacements: 3900
Total Samples: 5966
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -825.207518
Acceptance Rate: 0.651923
Replacements: 3950
Total Samples: 6059
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -824.923080
Acceptance Rate: 0.649245
Replacements: 4000
Total Samples: 6161
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -824.647354
Acceptance Rate: 0.648727
Replacements: 4050
Total Samples: 6243
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -824.392540
Acceptance Rate: 0.645974
Replacements: 4100
Total Samples: 6347
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -824.161347
Acceptance Rate: 0.645011
Replacements: 4150
Total Samples: 6434
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -823.954134
Acceptance Rate: 0.643974
Replacements: 4200
Total Samples: 6522
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -823.760754
Acceptance Rate: 0.641703
Replacements: 4250
Total Samples: 6623
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -823.577685
Acceptance Rate: 0.639025
Replacements: 4300
Total Samples: 6729
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -823.406305
Acceptance Rate: 0.637176
Replacements: 4350
Total Samples: 6827
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -823.245142
Acceptance Rate: 0.635379
Replacements: 4400
Total Samples: 6925
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -823.086869
Acceptance Rate: 0.634989
Replacements: 4450
Total Samples: 7008
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -822.936262
Acceptance Rate: 0.634249
Replacements: 4500
Total Samples: 7095
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -822.792419
Acceptance Rate: 0.632559
Replacements: 4550
Total Samples: 7193
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -822.651563
Acceptance Rate: 0.632042
Replacements: 4600
Total Samples: 7278
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -822.511764
Acceptance Rate: 0.629399
Replacements: 4650
Total Samples: 7388
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -822.378661
Acceptance Rate: 0.628342
Replacements: 4700
Total Samples: 7480
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -822.249672
Acceptance Rate: 0.627726
Replacements: 4750
Total Samples: 7567
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -822.112177
Acceptance Rate: 0.625896
Replacements: 4800
Total Samples: 7669
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -821.948739
Acceptance Rate: 0.625645
Replacements: 4850
Total Samples: 7752
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -821.748265
Acceptance Rate: 0.625159
Replacements: 4900
Total Samples: 7838
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -821.498089
Acceptance Rate: 0.624606
Replacements: 4950
Total Samples: 7925
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -821.181049
Acceptance Rate: 0.623597
Replacements: 5000
Total Samples: 8018
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -820.854884
Acceptance Rate: 0.623226
Replacements: 5050
Total Samples: 8103
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -820.519428
Acceptance Rate: 0.622863
Replacements: 5100
Total Samples: 8188
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -820.164649
Acceptance Rate: 0.622808
Replacements: 5150
Total Samples: 8269
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -819.799020
Acceptance Rate: 0.622307
Replacements: 5200
Total Samples: 8356
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -819.448637
Acceptance Rate: 0.621302
Replacements: 5250
Total Samples: 8450
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -819.099024
Acceptance Rate: 0.620536
Replacements: 5300
Total Samples: 8541
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -818.744687
Acceptance Rate: 0.619213
Replacements: 5350
Total Samples: 8640
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -818.400304
Acceptance Rate: 0.619408
Replacements: 5400
Total Samples: 8718
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -818.077005
Acceptance Rate: 0.618826
Replacements: 5450
Total Samples: 8807
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -817.759528
Acceptance Rate: 0.617908
Replacements: 5500
Total Samples: 8901
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -817.435632
Acceptance Rate: 0.616393
Replacements: 5550
Total Samples: 9004
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -817.124382
Acceptance Rate: 0.616740
Replacements: 5600
Total Samples: 9080
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -816.828025
Acceptance Rate: 0.616140
Replacements: 5650
Total Samples: 9170
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -816.527273
Acceptance Rate: 0.616216
Replacements: 5700
Total Samples: 9250
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -816.237032
Acceptance Rate: 0.616688
Replacements: 5750
Total Samples: 9324
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -815.971158
Acceptance Rate: 0.617218
Replacements: 5800
Total Samples: 9397
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -815.721415
Acceptance Rate: 0.616244
Replacements: 5850
Total Samples: 9493
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -815.481928
Acceptance Rate: 0.615032
Replacements: 5900
Total Samples: 9593
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -815.261115
Acceptance Rate: 0.614352
Replacements: 5950
Total Samples: 9685
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -815.054765
Acceptance Rate: 0.613685
Replacements: 6000
Total Samples: 9777
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.860661
Acceptance Rate: 0.614213
Replacements: 6050
Total Samples: 9850
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.671722
Acceptance Rate: 0.614053
Replacements: 6100
Total Samples: 9934
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.494891
Acceptance Rate: 0.613956
Replacements: 6150
Total Samples: 10017
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.327508
Acceptance Rate: 0.612830
Replacements: 6200
Total Samples: 10117
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.168942
Acceptance Rate: 0.613046
Replacements: 6250
Total Samples: 10195
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -814.013772
Acceptance Rate: 0.612781
Replacements: 6300
Total Samples: 10281
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.869420
Acceptance Rate: 0.612639
Replacements: 6350
Total Samples: 10365
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.739194
Acceptance Rate: 0.610745
Replacements: 6400
Total Samples: 10479
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.619064
Acceptance Rate: 0.609756
Replacements: 6450
Total Samples: 10578
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.508517
Acceptance Rate: 0.609756
Replacements: 6500
Total Samples: 10660
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.404813
Acceptance Rate: 0.609132
Replacements: 6550
Total Samples: 10753
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.308850
Acceptance Rate: 0.609250
Replacements: 6600
Total Samples: 10833
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.220518
Acceptance Rate: 0.608083
Replacements: 6650
Total Samples: 10936
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.140185
Acceptance Rate: 0.607324
Replacements: 6700
Total Samples: 11032
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -813.065735
Acceptance Rate: 0.607397
Replacements: 6750
Total Samples: 11113
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.997371
Acceptance Rate: 0.607360
Replacements: 6800
Total Samples: 11196
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.933870
Acceptance Rate: 0.606624
Replacements: 6850
Total Samples: 11292
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.873955
Acceptance Rate: 0.605422
Replacements: 6900
Total Samples: 11397
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.818129
Acceptance Rate: 0.605453
Replacements: 6950
Total Samples: 11479
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.766940
Acceptance Rate: 0.605170
Replacements: 7000
Total Samples: 11567
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.720349
Acceptance Rate: 0.605358
Replacements: 7050
Total Samples: 11646
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.678106
Acceptance Rate: 0.604358
Replacements: 7100
Total Samples: 11748
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.639322
Acceptance Rate: 0.602968
Replacements: 7150
Total Samples: 11858
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.603984
Acceptance Rate: 0.601152
Replacements: 7200
Total Samples: 11977
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.571495
Acceptance Rate: 0.600017
Replacements: 7250
Total Samples: 12083
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.541646
Acceptance Rate: 0.600082
Replacements: 7300
Total Samples: 12165
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.514223
Acceptance Rate: 0.599803
Replacements: 7305
Total Samples: 12179
Nested Sampling ln(Z): -812.511606
analysing data from chains/fit-.txt
ln(ev)= -812.22236273581564 +/- 0.14890024803824281
Total Likelihood Evaluations: 12179
Sampling finished. Exiting MultiNest
Maximum a posteriori probability (MAP) point:
| result | unit | |
|---|---|---|
| parameter | ||
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.K | (2.7 -0.5 +2.6) x 10^-2 | 1 / (keV s cm2) |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.alpha | (-5.2 -1.1 +4) x 10^-1 | |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.xp | (1.32 -0.4 +0.19) x 10^2 | keV |
| grb.spectrum.main.Band.beta | -2.15 -0.26 +0.23 |
Values of -log(posterior) at the minimum:
| -log(posterior) | |
|---|---|
| n3_interval11 | -272.503236 |
| n4_interval11 | -255.744843 |
| b0_interval11 | -292.359477 |
| total | -820.607555 |
Values of statistical measures:
| statistical measures | |
|---|---|
| AIC | 1649.328425 |
| BIC | 1664.737243 |
| DIC | 1615.695833 |
| PDIC | -1.115091 |
| log(Z) | -352.743690 |
Examine the fits
Now we can look at the fits in count space to make sure they are ok.
[24]:
for a in analysis:
a.restore_median_fit()
_ = display_spectrum_model_counts(a, min_rate=[20, 20, 20], step=False)
Finally, we can plot the models together to see how the spectra evolve with time.
[25]:
fig = plot_spectra(
*[a.results for a in analysis[::1]],
flux_unit="erg2/(cm2 s keV)",
fit_cmap="viridis",
contour_cmap="viridis",
contour_style_kwargs=dict(alpha=0.1),
)
This example can serve as a template for performing analysis on GBM data. However, as 3ML provides an abstract interface and modular building blocks, similar analysis pipelines can be built for any time series data.